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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 5/17/20

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 5/17/20

 
Posted : May 17, 2020 9:33 am
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TERRY TURRELL LOS ALAMITOS QUARTERS HANDICAP, SUNDAY, MAY 17, 2020

FIRST POST IS 5:50 P.M.

FIRST RACE

#4 ROUGH PASSAGE impressive win making first 2020 start since May 2019 beating bottom level claimers, claimed and can stand the jump in class for trainer Jerry Wallace, winning jockey Ramon Guce retains the call. #6 CANNES wide trip in most his races but has won twice over the Los Alamitos surface from six starts since shipping down from Golden Gate. #2 FANCY TERRACE overmatched in his last start beat similar two back for trainer Jesus Uranga, Edgar Payeras aboard tonight. Longshot - #3 CONEJOS

SECOND RACE

#4 LUCKY DAUGHTER in tight between horses racing wide throughout making first start under the lights at this 870-yard distance, will move up off this effort for trainer Rafael DeLeon and jockey Victor Flores. #1 CAUSE AND EFFECT speed drawing the rail off solid runner up effort at the demanding 1000-yard distance, rail draw to gain tactical position early. #8 FED HIKE exits same heat as the second choice finishing fourth, draws the outside post for the Gonzalez/Lopez team. Longshot - #7 UNSOLICITEDOPINION

THIRD RACE

#5 CAPTAIN N. BARRON claimed in his last two starts off finishing second and third respectively as the public choice in both, makes first start for trainer Rosemary Trela who has a strong ROI with first time starters off the claim, Ramon Guce aboard. #2 SATORI trouble in his three Los Alamitos starts for trainer Marty Jones worked :47.2 May 1 proving best of seven returning May 10 for an easy :49.1 under a hold throughout. #3 SANTALUZ DREAMIN extremely wide throughout facing tougher foe at 1000-yards finishing fourth, returns to competitive level and reunited with winning jockey Francisco Orduna-Rojas. Longshot - #1 VERYNSKY

FOURTH RACE

#4 MIKA THE MISTRESS invader from Turf Paradise won first asking Los Alamitos for the team of trainer Jeff Metz and jockey Vinnie Bednar facing similar 870-yard field, will need another strong effort to repeat in this contentious heat. #5 TACY exits productive 870-yard heat finishing second after trouble on the far turn at 14-1 odds for the Aquino/Harvey combo. #3 BACK BEAUTY two wins and three times second from six starts this year, win would not surprise for the probable public choice. Longshot - #1 WE WILL RE JOYCE

FIFTH RACE

#5 JESS A LITTLE RIDDLE lost all chance at the start making her first career start will face a good field of high priced claimers for trainer Paul Jones, tonight jockey Jairo Rangel will be at the controls. #1 DELILA ROSE two year old by Carters Cartel also encountered trouble at the start losing all chance in her racing debut, drops to high priced claimers for trainer Matthew Fales and jockey Erasamo Gasca, rail draw concern. #2 POUR CORONA bumped at the start racing green and lugging out in her career debut, can do better and will be value tonight. Longshot - #6 DYNASTY N BOOGIE

SIXTH RACE

#7 TELLERINEEDTEQUILA filly by Teller Cartel in the Chris O’Dell barn worked 12.2 May 9 proving second best of nineteen, outside draw edge for mild surprise as she makes her racing debut, Jose Nicasio rides. #1 TELLER JAZZ MRL filly has demonstrated talent in the morning and trainer Chris O’Dell has field surrounded with the rail draw and outside draw, Eduardo Nicasio rides. #3 ROSES FOR A PRINCESS holds experience edge over the top two picks and will improve off her better then looked debut when finishing fifth. Longshot - #5 TOP MODEL

SEVENTH RACE

#1 GETIT NOW rough trip losing all chance facing tougher drops to her lowest level to date and with the rail draw will be overlooked at the windows. #6 VINDICATED fractious prior to the start breaking through the gate and reloaded in disappointing effort facing tougher, will appreciate the drop in class tonight. #8 EL SOVERIGN outside draw and clean trip the ticket for lions share of this purse in wide open race. Longshot - #7 A MERE BAIL

EIGHTH RACE

#4 ARCANA two-year old by Corona Cartel worked 12.3 May 2 proving best of fifteen, trainer Terry Knight winning at a thirty-percent clip from only ten starters for the Legacy Ranch, jockey Oscar Andrade aboard. #7 KING RELENTLESS two starts to his credit facing competitive fields is the one to beat drawing the outside post in field of seven. #1 THIS PARTIES HOPPIN eliminated at the start in her career debut, chance to make amends for high percent team of trainer Jose Flores and jockey Cruz Mendez. Longshot - #3 BF OUTFOOSED

NINTH RACE

#7 JET WINGS ONE undefeated youngster in her two career starts has impressed and deserves top billing to complete the hat trick in The Robert Adair Kindergarten Futurity. #3 LA JACONDE won by daylight with gas in the tank in her second career start, veteran conditioner Jaime Gomez and jockey Oscar Peinado tough combo. #1 LA REINA DEL SUR 1 exits productive heat recording her first career win in second career start, will need very best breaking from the wood. Longshot - #5 JEANETICS

Best Chance Bet – TELLERINEEDTEQUILA (6)

Best Bet – ARCANA (8)
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Posted : May 17, 2020 9:34 am
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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 Like You Class dropper has really picked his game in his last two, when being asked for more speed too, should offer a hint of value on the cutback, and will trip out too; call from close range.
#7 R U Lucky The chalk romped two-back off the Joseph claim then regressed last time, so what you get today is a guess, yet the price will be on the underlaid side with Irad up; trying to beat on top.
#5 Prince Khozan Turf runner is certainly bred for the main, and his only spin over it came on debut, so you can be a bit forgiving, especially since he's a much better horse now; do not ignore at a nice price.
Race Summary That 4-1 ML would be very fair if you can get it on the 1, as this is a drop in class, he fits nicely on paper, and should have plenty of foundation off those route tries too, so play him to win and place, and especially in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since a win would add value to both sequences, in what could prove a tough puzzle for the betting public.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#3 Noble Thought Maker veteran starts for one of the best marathon turf barns in the country, goes turf-to-dirt and second-off a near five-month layoff as well, lures Irad, and is clearly a more accomplished horse on the grass than on the main track; love his chances here.
#7 So High Lightly raced Euro import now starts for Thomas, who knows how to train a nice horse, adds Lasix and runs as a first-time gelding too, plus has a ton of upside off just four starts, though the 12-month layoff says he may need one; tabbing for down the road.
#8 Rijeka Deep closer seems at the mercy of the pace, though that's not as big of a deal with turf racing in this day and age, but this wide draw won't help him either, not to mention the top pair seem to have a lot more quality about them; using underneath, if at all.
Race Summary It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see this is the spot Maker had in mind all along for the 3, who looks primed with the dirt tightener behind him, and catches a field with only one to fear, and that one might not be cranked here either, so play him aggressively to win and place at 2-1 or better, while getting some additional value by singling him in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he looks like he's getting all the best of it, at least today.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10
Picks Notes
#7 Beale Street Closer stretched out and was a one-paced 5th behind a streaking winner in a slow-paced GIII marathon last time, but she's back with friends here, cuts back, and catches a group with plenty of pace to aid herrun; mows them all down.
#12 Miss Munnings Tepid ML favorite will like the drop out of the local GIII, where she was a close and commendable 5th against much better, and her prior form is best here, but this post sure did her no favors; the gal to beat, with little margin for error.
#5 Traipsing Lightly raced miss was up in time off the 18-month layoff last time, which is one heck of an accomplishment, and she's another who fits the race flow, though this is a much tougher group, for a suddenly cold Clement barn; tread ligihtly.
Race Summary Pace makes the race and there's enough of it here to set up the 7, who looked good winning to-back and certainly didn't disgrace herself last time, in a spot she really had no chance in, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she's going to offer plenty of value, yet has every right to make a huge dent here.
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Posted : May 17, 2020 9:35 am
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Golden Gate - Race #6
Picks Notes
#5 Exclusive Speaker Has shown some tactical ability through two starts, and the move to the grass might be just what he needs for the push over the top.
#4 Inquisition Has handled the turf in the past and should be finishing late, but he's getting short on excuses after a dozen tries.
#7 Kind of Gallant He's probably too cheap to win this, but he's got blazing fast early speed and is going to dare them to come and get him in his turf debut.
Race Summary Exclusive Speaker might like the new footing and figures to offer a fair price, and he can get a good trip tracking Kind of Gallant, who figures to make a break for it for at least a brief thrill.

Golden Gate - Race #10
Picks Notes
#2 Concensus His only real chance here is to go for it from the break with this draw near the inside, but several of these want to press the pace rather than set it, and if he breaks well, he might find himself in front with a chance to get brave at a price.
#5 Elegant Tanner Should be right there throughout, and he's versatile enough to adapt to whatever pace scenario presents itself. He can press the splits or settle further back and finish.
#10 Cross Creek Another one who can sit relatively close, and this draw near the outside might play in his favor to let his rider spy what's happening down near the rail and place him from there.
Race Summary Concensus has the pace to be in the mix right from the start, and the hope is that a few of these pressing types will be happy to settle and wait while he finds his rhythm.

Golden Gate - Race #5
Picks Notes
#1 Morning Cynn Bred to handle the added ground, she's quickest from the inside and figures to find an easy enough lead in the early going.
#4 Ziarah Tactical type should be right up on the splits with the top choice in a race that lacks much other serious pace. Tough to get past these two.
#6 Creative Romance Might fall into the right sort of trip behind the top pair while racing clear of the closing crew, and that could be enough to keep her around for a piece of this.
Race Summary Morning Cynn gets the front if they want it, and she's probably capable of getting there without too much trouble. From there it should just be a question of whether she can run to a pedigree that suggests this trip should be well within her scope.
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Posted : May 17, 2020 9:35 am
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 Mistr Downtown Was 3rd two back, comes out of a tough race and can improve in his 3rd back.
#3 Jrs Lightning Bolt Invades from Louisiana Downs, where he was 4th in his only start; big player from the start.
#2 Peanuts NV Lost a photo last time out and makes his 16th attempt to break his maiden; can be close.
Race Summary Mistr Downtown's effort two races back would probably win this and he comes out of a race that produced a repeat winner.

Remington Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#5 Coastal Confessions Waltzed to an easy win vs. N2L allowance rivals and has the speed to get to the front here; has won 2 of 3 at the distance.
#1 Summerhills Hero Was a convincing winner at Prairie Meadows to end 2019 and draws well for his 1st of this year; both 870 attempts were solid.
#2 Lota Legacy Outlasted N2L company last out and can secure a good inside trip; a repeat is certainly not out of the question.
Race Summary Coastal Confessions' last race was too good to ignore and he's clearly the one to beat in his return.

Remington Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#9 Baja Jessy Was up in time in 3 of his last 5, including his only start here this year; can get a clean run from the outside and is the one to beat.
#7 Hott Link Ran on for 4th last out looks like he'd be comfortable on the class drop.
#2 Coronado Heights Beat N3L claimers two back and then was outrun in a much tougher spot; can get back to good form.
Race Summary Baja Jessy was sharp in his 1st of the year, is 2 of 3 over the strip and can add another victory.
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Posted : May 17, 2020 9:36 am
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