Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 5/14/20
Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks
Gulfstream Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#6 El Scorcho Tepid ML favorite drops steeply again for John Servis, still has plenty of upside off just two starts, goes second-off the layoff, and gets a monumental jock upgrade to Saez; all systems go.
#5 Funny Feather Logical sort is another who takes a drop in class, albeit a much slighter one than the chalk, but she tacks up nicely with her on paper, and will be a much better price too; exotics appeal.
#4 Matcha Major underlay will get bet because Irad is here, but her last two have been dreadful, and now she actually rises in class too, so at false odds, she's impossible to trust; tread very lightly.
Race Summary Swing hard if you sniff that 3-1 ML on the 6, as this looks like another ML miss, since she looks more like 8-5 or so, so make an aggressive win and place bet at 2-1 or better, though you can get some guaranteed value by singling her to kick off the early Pk5, since that's a move the betting public doesn't like to endorse in the opening leg of a sequence, even though in this case it looks like the right move in a name the score type of race for the favorite.
Gulfstream Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 Our Time Price player has run just once on turf, and that was in a stakes against tons better, and his 6th that day wasn't terrible, and now he gets a field loaded with speed to aid his stalking style, and runs as a first-time gelding too; upset special.
#10 Bahamian Prince Deserving chalk was just a fast 2nd against better, is another who can settle and make a run into the pace, and will clearly take a lot of beating, though the wide draw and underlaid price aren't all that appealing; still, looms plenty scary.
#7 Sea Lover Undefeated runner is 2-for-2, and impressed in his turf bow last time too, and the fact he drew outside the other speed helps too, though pressing/chasing early, kicking clear, then holding off the top-2 won't be easy; comes up wanting late.
Race Summary Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that should really flatter the 1, who could be poised for a breakthrough run on the return to the turf, and with the help of the ultimate equipment change too, so give him a look in all the slots, box him in the EX with the 10, and use them both in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well, since the race flow says they will have every chance to run by them all in deep stretch.
Gulfstream Park - Race #10
Picks Notes
#1 New York Commander Price player got to the turf in her second start and really improved when a close 5th at the level, has a ton of room to move forward again, and the tactical speed to lay close throughout, plus meets a crew there for the taking, and while the 28-1 is gone, she'll still offer value; can surprise.
#2 Cookie Cove The chalk and horse to beat will take a lot of support with the big jock switch to Irad, and maybe that's what finally gets her over the hump, or the fact she's in against a weak field too, but at 0-for-8 with no upside, 5-2 or 2-1 from down inside in a big field is no bargain; trying to beat on top.
#11Dotdotdas Logical contender has run 4th in both turf starts and either of those finishes would put her in the mix here, especially last time over the pick, as she had a ton of trouble, but she's still no great shakes on paper, drew wide, and would be an underlay at this 9-2 ML; using her underneath only.
Race Summary The price will be right on the 1, and she tipped her hand a bit last time with a much-improved run while getting to the turf, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to end the late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since she's likely to fall through the wagering cracks, and the budget players will be singling the 2, even though the pick isn't too far off her on paper, and would really blow things up with a win.
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks
Charles Town - Race #3
Picks Notes
#8 River Flyinred Rvf Didn't show a whole lot in the Penn debut, but he drops for this one while racing with Lasix, and he has some room to improve with that race under his belt.
#1 Tun Tun Turned in an even effort at 26/1 in the debut while facing better, and though he can win, I wouldn't be too excited about taking too short a number here.
#7 Mad Miner Has an April '19 layoff to manage for this comeback, but at least he's catching an entire group that's coming off a layoff of sorts. There if he fires.
Race Summary River Flyinred Rvf gets Lasix while dropping in class for the local debut, and he'd be attractive at anything near his 10/1 ML offering.
Charles Town - Race #5
Picks Notes
#3 Vonda Was no match for the mare drawn to her inside when they met in February, but this one is capable of something a bit better than she offered that day. Price might be right to see if she can turn the tables.
#2 Thesweetesttaboo Rattled off three in a row here before the break, and she's going to be in line for another really good run of things from close range.
#7 Sainte Therese Has some mild ability to settle and pass horses, and that may allow her to find her way into the gimmicks at a price.
Race Summary Vonda has several lengths to turn on Thesweetesttaboo from their February meeting, but her best game keeps her in the mix if she's able to bring it today.
Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#4 Pecan Pattie I'd be thrilled to get something like the 3/1 ML price on this one, as she's super reliable and has faced better company than this in most of her recent starts.
#8 Silk Stocking Tactical type can get the right kind of trip while spying the pace today, but the price gets shorter than the 17/1 she offered last out when facing just four others.
#5 Azzurra Was heading in the right direction before the break, and she should get a really nice trip from right up on the splits while adding ground today.
Race Summary Pecan Pattie figures tough with this group if she's able to transfer her form to the local footing. She has been in with good company should get the right kind of trip.
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks
Remington Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 AJ Quick Chick Closed well for 3rd two back and then got lost in the crowd last time; her best gives her a great chance here.
#4 Dubdeuce Was 2nd in his last three, including in his only start this season; can be a strong player from the start.
#2 Cartel King Has been on the board in 6 of 10 races and has been in some good races; would not be a major surprise.
Race Summary AJ Quick Chick has some good races on her form and can make a solid run inside; can finish the job this time.
Remington Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#9 Heres a Question Comes out of decent races, was claimed two back and makes her 2nd for Steele stable; can get a clean run outside.
#5 Ryochord Makes 1st of the year after being on the board in two of his last four last year; has a bullet work to his credit.
#3 Im a Fancy Zorrito Held 3rd in his only start and can battle from the beginning; in the mix.
Race Summary Heres a Question has been close in all three races and has a good chance to finish well against these.
Remington Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#10 JS Gitter Dun Chicken Was 3rd in both starts this year and drops out of maiden special races; can be effective on this class drop.
#1 Ms Flea Flicker Ran 3rd last time on the class drop and can be a big player inside from the beginning.
#9 AE Fire N Sixes Was on the board in his last eight races and has a 2nd and 3rd here this season; a factor throughout.
Race Summary JS Gitter Dun Chicken drops in class after facing some top-flight runners in his career and should be able to break the maiden here.
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