Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 5/7/20
Horse Races Today: Thursday's Gulfstream Park Analysis & Odds
May 7, 2020
By Mike Dempsey
With Oaklawn Park closing on Saturday the pickings will be slim over the next week, but by the middle of the month we should be back in action at several major racetracks.
Churchill Downs announced they will start their spring meeting on May 16. The Louisville track will race from Thursday until Sunday each week. The Kentucky Derby (G1) has been postponed until Sept 5.
Santa Anita plans on resuming racing on May 15. The track has already released a condition book and are just waiting from county officials to give them the go ahead.
Golden Gate Fields in Northern California did get the okay to start racing on May 14. Delaware Park plans on running starting on May 27, and we could see racing at Lone Star Park, Canterbury Park and Presque Isle Downs in late May or early June.
Monmouth Park kicks off the summer meeting on July 3 and the Del Mar meeting is scheduled to start on July 18.
Racing at night will pick up soon. Charles Town plans on opening on May 14 and Mountaineer Park will start running on May 31.
There is no word on when racing in New York will return. Gov. Andrew Cuomo said he is not in favor of Saratoga having fans in attendance, putting that meeting up in the air.
New York is one of the hardest hit areas of the country. The NYRA said they would like to start racing back up at Belmont Park as early as May 22.
Horseplayers can stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Md $12,500 (1:00 ET)
#9 Party Dress 15-1
#6 Myfirstexwife 5-2
#2 No No Nina 8-5
#4 Shell Beach Party 10-1
Analysis: Party Dress makes her first start on turf after her three starts have all come in the slop. Note she was well backed in her first two starts, the beaten chalk twice last summer here. She makes her second start off the layoff here for the Gallegos barn and she should take to turf. She is out of a Bertrando mare that ash dropped eight winners and five have won on turf. Worth a look here catching a soft spot she should be a decent price although it may be lighter than her 15-1 morning line.
Myfirstexwife is coming off back to back runner up finishers in her last two outings against $25,000 foes. Two back she s second behind repeat winner Roman City, who came back to beat $25,000 starter optional claimers in her next outing on March 4. The Abreu trainee has put in a couple of good morning drills over the turf at Palm Meadows since her last start. She is a logical threat in this spot. She is out of a Grand Slam mare that has dropped three other foals to race including a couple of turf winners, top earner multiple graded stakes turf winner Home Run Kitten ($514,285).
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 7 Clm $16,000 (4:17 ET)
#5 Heir Ball 5-2
#6 Fiber Optic 7-2
#4 Royally Cool 3-1
#1 Midnight Miracle 8-1
Analysis: Heir Ball pressed the early pace, took over the lead heading for home and could not match strides late with the winner in a runner up finish at this tag last out, beaten 3/4 of a length for the top spot. The mare earned a career top speed fig in the effort and since coming back off the long layoff the Rivelli barn won with her for this tag four back and then was in the mix versus state bred Alw-1 optional claimers in her next two starts. She owns a solid pace profile throughout and comes in here sharp.
Fiber Optic exits the same race as our top pick. She caved out the early fractions and weakened in the stretch to finish third. She was making her first start off the claim by the Dibona barn and was claimed again, today going for the Maker barn that is 15% winners first off the claim. She beat $16,000 non-winners of three as the heavy chalk two back. The mare has won her first three trips over the turf here including her debut which came last March. She has shown she does not need the lead and may not get it here as there are a couple of foes in here that look quicker early. She picks up Gaffalione and posted a near bullet drill for the new barn on May 2 here.
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #9 Party Dress 15-1
R1: #4 Shell Beach Party 10-1
R2: #7 Briella 8-1
R4: #8 Missandei 8-1
R6: #6 Chamberlain 12-1
R7: #1 Midnight Miracle 8-1
R8: #4 Shall Return 8-1
R10: #2 Bion Magic 12-1
R10: #4 Sayonara 8-1
R11: #5 Fake Muse 8-1
Thursday's Best Bet: Koko Star can graduate on the drop at Gulfstream
by Jarrod Horak May 6, 2020
Thursday's 11th race from Gulfstream Park is a $65,000 maiden claiming event for 3-year-olds traveling one mile on the turf course (Post Time - 6:19 p.m. ET).
Click here for Gufstream Park Entries, Results
#9 KOKO STAR (6-1) is tagged for the first time and Mike Maker excels with special weight droppers. Luis Saez wins races with this barn.
Mike Maker also saddles debut runner #6 Kitten’s Clown (9-2), and he sports two gate bullets and a pair of turf moves.
#2 Two by Two (10-1) might be set to route on turf after a couple of dirt sprints. He improved second time out, and the turf breeding is present.
#5 Fake Muse (8-1) is tagged for the first time and Hector Berrios is a strong turf rider. Dam has produced two turf winners.
#11 Call Bros (6-1) is a first time starter with Irad Ortiz Jr. in the saddle. Dam has produced three turf winners.
Wagers:
#9 to win
Quinella 6-9
Trifecta 6-9/2-5-6-9-11/2-5-6-9-11
Recent Best Bet Winners
April 20 - SHE'S ALL WOLFE ($2.80), Trifecta ($89.00)
April 21 - CANEY'S GHOST ($5.80), Quinella ($9.00), Trifecta ($14.10)
April 23 - LUNA FORTIS ($25.40)
April 24 - Artemus Eagle/River Finn Exacta ($77.20)
April 25 - Sneaking Out/Bye Bye J/Ready to Runaway Trifecta ($20.05)
April 29 - Eaton's Memory/Matapan Exacta ($8.60)
May 6 - LAWTON ($8.80), Exacta ($29.00), Trifecta ($50.60)
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Gulfstream Park - Race 10
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5
Optional Claiming $16,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $41,000 • Post: 5:49P
FOR STATE BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 7 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Stalker. ROYAL MEGHAN is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FLORA FANTASY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ROYAL MEGHAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BOW TOWN CAT: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the di stance/surface.
5
FLORA FANTASY
6/5
7/2
3
ROYAL MEGHAN
7/2
9/2
1
BOW TOWN CAT
6/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
BOW TOWN CAT
1
6/1
Front-runner
90
80
97.6
70.0
64.5
4
SAYONARA BABY
4
8/1
Front-runner
75
81
68.0
62.4
50.4
2
BION MAGIC
2
12/1
Front-runner
79
72
62.6
50.6
37.1
3
ROYAL MEGHAN
3
7/2
Stalker
86
81
69.2
78.2
72.7
5
FLORA FANTASY
5
6/5
Trailer
93
92
46.6
85.0
83.0
6
BABY ICE
6
12/1
Alternator/Trailer
86
78
47.2
74.6
66.6
7
GIOIELLI
7
9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
87
78
77.4
56.7
47.7
__________________
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
PURCHASE
Remington Park - Race 2
Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) (.50 cent Minimum)
Maiden • 440 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 73 • Purse: $11,600 • Post: 6:26P
QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * RYANS CARTEL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" desi gnation. GONNAWANNAKISSTHIS: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TEN SENT: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
RYANS CARTEL
5/1
7/2
8
GONNAWANNAKISSTHIS
8/1
5/1
10
TEN SENT
15/1
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
MY LOUISIANA KISS
1
20/1
Slow
77
61
6.2
0.0
0.0
2
OURBLASTFROMTHEPAST
2
4/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
APOLLITICAL B KING
3
10/1
Slow
81
64
6.4
0.0
0.0
4
THROUGH THE FENCE
4
5/2
Average
76
65
4.9
0.0
0.0
5
RYANS CARTEL
5
5/1
Fast
87
81
3.5
0.0
0.0
6
WL SHEZACROWDPLEASER
6
6/1
Average
73
67
4.4
0.0
0.0
7
SECONDS BRACED
7
12/1
Average
0
0
3.6
0.0
0.0
8
GONNAWANNAKISSTHIS
8
8/1
Average
85
80
4.3
0.0
0.0
9
A REGAL IVORY
9
20/1
Average
73
60
5.9
0.0
0.0
10
TEN SENT
10
15/1
Average
76
73
4.6
0.0
0.0
__________________