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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#8 Limentini Pletcher charge basically ran around the track and passed a few late after a slow beginning in his MSW debut, but it came in a very fast race for the level, the barn is 32% with this type of drop, and 22% with second-time maidens, so you have to think it's go-time today; look out.
#4 Gatto Marrone Intriguing Breen firster has a slew of encouraging AM drills showing for an 18% debut barn, is certainly bred to fire on turf, as dad Big Brown freaked on the surface in his carer bow, drew perfectly, and figures to offer a big number on the toteboard too; could blow up your exotics.
#11 Cardiac Kid Dicey ML favorite did beat the pick last time, but only by 2 3/4 lengths, and the upside of that runner, coupled with the bar post of this one, can negate that in a hurry, not to mention he's been stuck in place in his five MSW starts, so there's not much upside here; tread very lightly.
Race Summary There's a good chance the 8 is favored here, but it shouldn't be too heavy, and one can surmise this was the plan all along, for an ace barn that excels with this type of move, so play him aggressively to win and place at 5-2 or better, which getting some added value by keying him to kick off the early Pk5, since he looks primed to lay down a race the rest of these simply won't be able to handle.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#2 Cloudbased Tampa invader surely needed his last off the extended break, now also goes second-time Lasix and blinkers as well, drew perfectly, has a world of upside off just three starts, and should be a solid price too; expecting a breakthrough run.
#7 Winning Factor The clear horse to beat is also getting close to becoming a lifetime maiden, as he's 11-0-3-2, so sure, those big figures make him look great, and the slight class drop will help too, he's impossible to trust; making him prove it.
#11 Beach Traffic Heavy hitter was less than a length behind the chalk last time, with a bit of stretch trouble to boot, so he's clearly big threat here, but the wide draw, as well as the underlaid price, just don't entice; limiting his use to underneath only.
Race Summary There's a lot to like about the 2, most notably his upside and expected improvement second-off a long layoff, not to mention the combined 0-for-20 record for the two favorites, so play him in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4, since he's moving forward here, which isn't a guarantee for his two main rivals, which will go a long way in leveling the playing field.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10
Picks Notes
#2 Midnight Soiree Stalker was a distant but clear 2nd off the break against slightly better last time, should be sitting off what looks like a hot and contested pace, and the 38-1 last time should ensure she's a playable price today; call from close range.
#1 I'll Take the Cake Class riser looked good winning a Claiming Crown stakes off the Joseph claim, and while the waters get a bit deeper here, she's another who should be tracking the pace, and she won't have to improve much to double up; huge chance.
#5 Bella Ciao Logical contender was 3rd, 2 lengths behind the pick, in her last, and getting Irad back will help, and note he put her in the game early two-back, so she too is a player here, though at what figures to be an underlaid price; in the mix.
Race Summary The price, post, and pace all seem to work for the 2, who tipped her hand last time and offers no reason to think she can't build off that run in her second start back, so play her in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5/Pk4 too, since this is a deep field, and there are a few others who will attract more attention, which means a win in the $10 range might play a bit longer in both sequences.
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Oaklawn Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 Lewys Vaporizer Will need to bounce back after the fading run last out, but he drops for this one and catches a field that might not be overflowing with early pace. He's probably quickest early from the inside anyway and looks like the one to beat.
#7 Big League Finished ahead of the top choice when they met last time out, so he's another who can be in the mix late. Tactical pace should give his rider a couple options for where to place him.
#3 Doc Curlin Fell short as the 4/5 chalk last time out, but he's a good fit with this group if he can hold his form off the claim away from Diodoro.
Race Summary Lewys Vaporizer does his best work on the front end, so his last race was pretty much over before it started. Guessing he finds the front from the fence today and never looks back on the drop.

Oaklawn Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#7 Honorable Memory Has enough pace to find a good spot near the top in a race without a ton of other serious early speed. Price will be right for top connections while heading into this first dirt route.
#10 Shazzy B Quick enough to find the front if they want, and I'm guessing they will. First run out of the Cox barn makes this one dangerous with her early speed while catching a pretty positive race shape.
#1 Cherokee Maiden Probably has to hustle just a touch from the inside for position, but she's a pretty reliable type who figures to run her race again. Whether that's good enough to score here after falling short at 1/1 and 9/5 in recent starts -- that's your call depending on the price at post time.
Race Summary Honorable Memory is a mid-ranged price player out of the Asmussen barn, and she has the early speed to get herself in the mix out of the gate in a spot where the right trip should make the difference.

Oaklawn Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#5 Beach Flower Might get a decent pace to kick at in this second start off the break, and though her form can be inconsistent, she has some upside off the comeback run and might be able to outkick these late.
#1 Vault Moves into the Cox barn off a trio of Mid-Atlantic wins, and she's got tactical pace to secure position heading into the first turn. The slight one to beat?
#7 Fighting Mad Baffert is lethal at Oaklawn and this filly has run a couple of races that'd put her right in the mix with these. Overbet?
Race Summary Beach Flower will be the right kind of price to take a shot here, as she can come running from midpack behind the pace, and she has some back running lines that offer intrigue with this group.
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#4 One Famous Painter Debuted in a trial and never threatened, finishing mid-pack keeps Ramirez and should be able to improve on his 1st effort as he drops to a maiden-claiming event.
#9 Jc Finest Broke well and settled for 3rd in her debut and can make a impact on this one as she steps up slightly in class.
#6 Countryfried Chicken Gets Flores for his debut, which is a good sign; has some moderate works for his 1st.
Race Summary One Famous Painter tried some company in his debut and should excel in his drop in class.

Remington Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#2 Might B Jesse Was favored in both starts and has a 2nd and 4th to his credit; lands in a maiden score vs. state-breds and has an excellent chance at success.
#8 Kiss Me in the Snow Lost a photo in her only start and would not be a surprise here; expect another good effort.
#5 Mh Apollitical Spy Was in the mix throughout and finished a solid 2nd in his debut, which came in a trial; fits well with these.
Race Summary Might B Jesse has had his share of support in his two races and came up just a little short; can be a strong player in his 3rd attempt.

Remington Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#2 Doing What I Like Usually breaks well and comes out a fast races at a higher level; drops to his lowest level and can score here.
#5 Jettin Jesse James Just missed last time and takes a step up in class; has some good local starts to his credit and could be formidable in this spot.
#4 Some Value Had a troubled trip vs. a higher level last time out, which was his 1st since November; capable of improvement on the drop.
Race Summary Doing What I Like has kept stronger company and can move up on this class drop; seeks a return to the good form he had last fall.
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE

04/30/20, GP, Race 5, 3.13 ET
04/30/20,GP,5,7F [Dirt] 1:20:01 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 127 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since March 30 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $12,500 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 3 Miz Chaplin 4-1 Saez L Matier Sandra JFEWL 40.26 1.41/$1
097.06 5 My Sebastiana 20-1 Vasquez M A Duco Luis 35.58 1.16/$1
096.75 1 Papa's Little Girl 9/2 Maragh R Garoffalo Jose C 38.38 1.33/$1
096.70 4 Bimini 5/2 Jaramillo E Alvarado Juan T 35.58 1.16/$1
095.53 6 Shes One Mad Momma 15-1 Berrios H I Cuito Marcelo 38.38 1.33/$1
095.38 2 Charge Account 8-1 Zayas E J Condie Kendall 40.26 1.41/$1
093.75 7 Janet B Doesit All 6-1 Torres C A Dwoskin Steven S 38.38 1.33/$1
090.75 8 Mystic Nile 7/2 Fuentes M De Paulo Michael P. 35.58 1.16/$1
* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.90, ROI 1.19/$1
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Oaklawn Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,200 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 BOO BE RIGHT (ML=3/1)
#2 JAMES'S MOONSHINE (ML=7/2)

BOO BE RIGHT - Have to give this colt a good shot. Ran a solid effort in the last race within the last 30 days. Just check out his recent figure, 65. That one fits in this bunch. JAMES'S MOONSHINE - Was in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race at Oaklawn Park last time out. That affair had an Equibase class figure of 67 and he is moving down in this race. A certain contender. This horse didn't run well in the mud in his last start at Oaklawn Park. You should discount that showing.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 RICH ICON (ML=9/2), #12 EXPLOSIVE SHOES (ML=5/1), #14 BLACKS FERRY ROAD (ML=6/1),

RICH ICON - Not easy to play this steed in today's event. Make him show you something in a sprint race before you wager on him in a race of 6 furlongs. EXPLOSIVE SHOES - No good results for this steed in a short distance event over the last 60 days tells me that this gelding is in a tough spot BLACKS FERRY ROAD - Today's affair is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance event in the last couple months. Not the best of omens.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BOO BE RIGHT - Registering a speed figure of 47 two back and then following up with a rating of 65 last race on March 7th, this colt is ready to do some damage.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #7 BOO BE RIGHT to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $45000 Class Rating: 85

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 MANE ATTRACTION 10/1

# 9 FUDDLED (IRE) 2/1

# 2 AVUNCULAR 8/1

MANE ATTRACTION looks to be a very strong contender particularly if the morning line of 10/1 holds. Keep this filly in your exotics as Fuentes has given backers some double digit profits. Is a definite contender - given the 85 speed figure from her most recent race. FUDDLED (IRE) - Might best this field here, showing very good figures of late. Might wake up with Lasix change (with second time Lasix) today. AVUNCULAR - Clement has one of the strongest winning percentages in this group of animals with entries running at this distance and surface. Her 67 average has this filly with among the best Speed Figures for this event.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $12300 Class Rating: 81

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 EYE M YOUR FAVORITE 10/1

# 1 WILLIE BIG BUX 2/1

# 6 WEEPAINTEDASIGN 20/1

I have to consider EYE M YOUR FAVORITE in this contest especially at such a decent 10/1. The speed figure of 76 from her last contest looks very strong in here. She has to be considered given the formidable speed figures. This animal must be played at the expected big odds. WILLIE BIG BUX - Has performed very well recently in short races, posting a nifty 73 avg Equibase Speed Figure. Flores will most likely be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this race. WEEPAINTEDASIGN - Is a key contender - given the 67 Equibase Speed Figure from her most recent race.
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Paul Leiner

Horse Picks 4/30

Thu Apr 30, 2020 7:45 am
Nice hit yesterday with Kalu who wins the 4th at Tampa Bay Downs. We lost the other two races. Today I have two from Gulfstream and one from Oaklawn. Goodluck and stay safe.

Gulfstream Race 1
#1 Abdaa $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 1-11-8

Gulfstream Race 8
#10 Fast Magic $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 10-9-7

Oaklawn Race 6
#6 Gordy Florida $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 6-2-1
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