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Horse Racing Betting News For Tuesday 4/14/20

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 4/14/20

 
Posted : April 14, 2020 8:41 am
(@shazman)
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Horse Racing bettor wins over $500K on 50-cent wager
April 13, 2020
By VI News

Horse Racing has been the only consistent game in the sports betting industry lately and it could very well be for a while too.

Fortunately, bettors at VegasInsider.com and around the United States have found out that you can win real money and every now and then you strike it rich!
Horse Racing bettor cashes over $500K on 50-cent wager
This past weekend, one lucky bettor turned a 50-center wager into $524,966.50.

The winning ticket took place on Saturday April 11, 2020 from Gulfstream Park, which is located in Hallandale Beach, Florida.
Winning Pick-5 Horses
The winning horses for the Early Pick-5 races from Gulfstream Park on Saturday April 11, 2020 are listed below with odds to win on each horse.

Race 1: No. 8 Freddy Soto (73/1)
Race 2: No. 4 Union Lane (34/1)
Race 3: No. 1 He's a Babe (37/1)
Race 4: No. 3 Enzoexpress (3/1)
Race 5: No. 6 Lashara (4/5)

Pick-5 Luck or Skill
VegasInsider.com spoke to veteran horse racing handicapper and contributor Mike Dempsey about the huge score and he humored us.

“I thought actually getting the $1200 stimulus check in my bank account was going to be the biggest longshot we would see this month,” joked Dempsey.

Dempsey told VI that while the winner of the big pot has not given any interviews, he was told through a source that he hit it by placing three tickets, each worth $409.50. The player hit the wager on one of his $409.50 tickets that went ALL-ALL-ALL-3-6. The singles in the final two legs paid $7.40 and $5.40 both favorites.

In the opening three legs the winner paid $148.40 (second biggest odds in race), $70.00 (beating a 1-5 chalk) and $75.20 (biggest odds in race).
Was he lucky or good?
Dempsey answered, “Probably both. If he had strong opinions on the final two legs and saw the possibility of chaos in the first three legs, playing the tickets the way he did probably made sense. I would guess it was the perfect storm of luck and good handicapping.”
Should Horse Racing bettors chase the jackpot?
Anthony Stabile aka the Big A is a big fan of going for the scores. He said, “Most of my plays are Pick-4 and Pick-5 bets. You can invest small money and get back huge returns. All about getting some value for your money and sometimes that involves greater risk that a wager on an individual race.”

Stabile was fortunate to cash last year’s trifecta in the 2019 Kentucky Derby thanks to dropping the winner, he told VI that one of his memorable Pick-5 payouts watched him turn $36 into $12,700.
Triple the Fun!
Mike Dempsey isn’t as aggressive than Stabile unless the situation fits.

“I am against playing any Jackpot Pick 6 bets except on mandatory payout days, but the Pick 5 is probably the best wager in racing,” explained Dempsey. “At most tracks the wager has a reduced takeout, at Gulfstream Park it is 15% while the Pick 4 takeout is 20%. The Pick 5 takeout in New York is 15%.”

Bettors have a great knack of always recalling the great wins and terrible losses and Dempsey went back a couple decades to share one that relates to Saturday’s big winner.

Dempsey said, “It reminded me of a lucky wager I made in the Laurel Park Twin Tri back in the 90’s. The Twin Tri involved solving the third race trifecta, and for each ticket correct you would cash it and exchange it for a shot of hitting the fifth race trifecta. If you did both you took down the pool.”

“The idea was to have 10 or 20 or more tickets alive so you could play multiple combinations in the second leg. I stupidly left myself with one live ticket going into the second half that day. I played a 1-3-2 straight trifecta with my lone ticket, and the trio hit the wire together. I looked down at my ticket and realized I had somehow hit the trifecta cold with the one ticket, and there was $80,000+ in the pool.”

“I had to sit there quietly for 10 minutes wondering if I had the only ticket or if there were other winners. It turned out there were five other winners, and we each won $15,684.30. It felt like lightning struck, much like I am sure it did for Saturday’s winner, but compared to the Pick 5 winner, my hit now seems more like I was struck by a taser.”
Understanding Pick-5 Wager and Cost
Based on the insight Dempsey provided VI, the winner’s Pick-5 ticket would technically have the below horses covered in each of the five races – based on the above possibility.

1) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 (ALL)
2) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 (ALL)
3) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 (ALL)
4) 3
5) 6

In order to win the Pick-5 wager, you must select all the first five races before the first race begins.

The easiest way to calculate how much your ticket would cost is simple multiplication.

Example: Only 1 horse in each race on $1 wager
1 x 1 x 1 x 1 x 1 = $1

Example: 2 horses in each race on $1 wager
2 x 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 = $32

Example: Possible Pick 5 (above) from Gulfstream Park on $1 wager
11 x 9 x 8 x 1 x 1 = $792

If you’re only playing 50-cent on the Pick-5, then the cost would be divided in half.

According to Ed DeRosa of Twinpsires, “The Pick 5 payout of $524,966.50 today Gulfstream Park is the 5th highest 50-cent Pick 5 payoff in North America history & 3rd highest for a non-jackpot.

 
Posted : April 14, 2020 8:54 am
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Tuesday's Best Bet: Kool Kate along in time in Runza Stakes
by Jarrod Horak

Tuesday’s 8th race from Fonner Park is the Runza Stakes for fillies and mares dashing six furlongs on the main track (Post Time 8:09 p.m. ET).

#1 KOOL KATE (5-2) turns back in distance and switches surfaces. She usually shows speed in turf routes, and rallied from last to land the show in a dirt sprint stakes at Turf Paradise late last year. I am expecting her to close from the rail, and she should get pace to chase.

#6 Love At Night (7-2) captured seven of her last eight starts. She wired the field in those victories, and she loves this course and distance.

#3 Matapan (6-1) faded in the slop at Will Rogers last time. She was a fairly reliable early-pressing sprinter before that, and she might bounce back at square odds.

#5 Chub’s Charmer (10-1) rallied for the place in her last three starts. She should be finishing and might be able to land a share.

#7 Imabarnkat (10-1) was part of the exacta in her last eight starts, and she captured half of those races. She was claimed out of her last and should make her presence felt throughout.

#9 Eaton’s Memory (9-2) figures to show speed from the outside post, and she does some of her best work at this distance. She is sharp and fresh.

#2 Dixie Flyer (8-1) will probably chase inside. She captured three of her last eight starts, and has been inconsistent since last summer.

#8 Betty Jean (15-1) will probably try to get involved early, but it sure looks crowded up front. She is going to have to uncorked a career best to compete with these.

#4 Stella Marie (12-1) is an Iowa-bred filly trying opening company, and this is her first start in more than seven months.

Wagers:

#1 to win

Superfecta 1/3-6/3-5-6/3-5-6-7-9

Superfecta 3-6/1/3-5-6/3-5-6-7-9

Superfecta 1-6/1-3-6/5/1-3-6-7-8

Superfecta 1-6/1-3-6/1-3-6-7-9/5

Recent Best Bet Winners

April 4 - KIMARI ($7.80), Exacta ($23.80)

April 6 - WHOLEHEARTED ($6.40)

April 11 - PROVERB ($7.60), Exacta ($33.60), Trifecta ($48.70)

 
Posted : April 14, 2020 10:03 am
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs
PURCHASE
Will Rogers Downs - Race 4

Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)

Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $7,150 • Post: 2:45P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ABSTRACT PAYNTER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ABSTRACT PAYNTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CONCRETE FINISHER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GONE DANCING: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investmen t is at least +20.
1
ABSTRACT PAYNTER
5/2

2/1
2
CONCRETE FINISHER
3/1

6/1
5
GONE DANCING
6/1

7/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
ABSTRACT PAYNTER
1

5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
63

56

56.5

56.6

52.6
5
GONE DANCING
5

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
62

52

49.0

44.8

36.3
3
DANZING RIVER
3

6/1
Trailer
0

0

33.2

32.2

19.2
4
EVIE'S PRINCE
4

7/2
Trailer
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
2
CONCRETE FINISHER
2

3/1
Alternator/Trailer
61

55

62.3

49.4

45.4
8
FAR LEFT
8

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

45.5

26.5

12.5
7
PRESLEY CHIME
7

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

31.7

31.8

19.8
6
IWANT SGT RECKLESS
6

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

21.8

21.8

10.3
9
DAYTIME WHISTLER
9

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

19.2

19.2

2.7
10
BUENO
10

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

16.1

16.1

0.0
__________________

 
Posted : April 14, 2020 10:04 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57671
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park
PURCHASE
Fonner Park - Race 8

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / Daily Double

Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:09P
RUNZA S. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. PURSE $10,000-ADDED. NO NOMINATION FEE. $25 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. WEIGHTS: THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $9,000 TWICE IN 2019-2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS., OF $9,000 IN 2019-2020, 5 LBS. MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED ON THE SCALE. TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2019-2020 WILL BE USED IN DETERMINING THE ORDER OF PREFERENCE OF HORSES ASSIGNED EQUAL WEIGHTS. CLOSED THURSDAY, APRIL 2 WITH 16 NOMINATIONS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * KOOL KATE: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse has the highest TrackMaste r Power Rating. LOVE AT NIGHT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MATAPAN: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. I'MABARNKAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1
KOOL KATE
5/2

3/1
6
LOVE AT NIGHT
7/2

8/1
3
MATAPAN
6/1

8/1
7
I'MABARNKAT
10/1

8/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
LOVE AT NIGHT
6

7/2
Front-runner
78

79

85.8

81.0

73.0
3
MATAPAN
3

6/1
Front-runner
87

86

76.8

78.4

70.4
8
BETTY JEAN
8

15/1
Front-runner
79

72

69.7

72.4

59.4
2
DIXIE FLYER
2

8/1
Front-runner
84

82

69.4

72.4

60.4
7
I'MABARNKAT
7

10/1
Stalker
88

80

92.0

77.6

72.6
9
EATON'S MEMORY
9

9/2
Stalker
84

81

82.2

72.0

60.0
4
STELLA MARIE
4

12/1
Stalker
80

73

72.4

74.4

59.4
1
KOOL KATE
1

5/2
Trailer
100

99

68.3

89.1

85.1
5
CHUB'S CHARMER
5

10/1
Trailer
79

69

31.2

70.4

57.9
__________________

 
Posted : April 14, 2020 10:05 am
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