Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 4/12/20
Sunday's Best Bet: Machiavelli a late threat at Gulfstream Park
By Jarrod Horak
April 11, 2020
Sunday’s 10th race from Gulfstream Park is a $20,000 claiming event for 3-year-olds and up which have never won three races. They will be traveling one mile on the turf course (Post Time - 4:30 p.m. ET).
#10 MACHIAVELLI (9-2) owns ascending numbers and ran well in his last three local turf starts. He should get pace to chase and might be along in time.
#2 Sir Seamus (4-1) was clear throughout in a sharp victory vs. restricted claiming foes at this course/distance March 19. That was his first start after the Carlos David claim, and he is a solid repeat threat if he gets to the front again.
#3 Souper Courage (12-1) fired trifecta shots in seven of his last ten turf starts. Dibona has good stats first after the claim and Jaramillo rides the versatile gelding.
#5 Gins and Tins (10-1) stretches back out in his second start after the claim. He finished a solid 3rd in a local five furlong turf dash Feb. 28, and hit the board in two of his 3 flat mile turf starts.
#11 Devoted Kitten (5-1) is a decent grass runner for +ROI turf trainer Sanchez, and he remains above his $16k claimed price. Berrios sticks and he is a quality turf rider.
Wagers:
#10 to win
Exacta Box 2-10
Trifecta 2-10/2-3-5-10-11/2-3-5-10-11
Trifecta 2-3-5-11/2-3-5-11/10
Recent Best Bet Winners
April 4 - KIMARI ($7.80), Exacta ($23.80)
April 6 - WHOLEHEARTED ($6.40)
April 11 - PROVERB ($7.60), Exacta ($33.60), Trifecta ($48.70)
Horse Races Today: Sunday's Gulfstream Park Odds
April 12, 2020
By Mike Dempsey
Saturday at Gulfstream Park started off really weird. The winners in the first three races paid $148.40, $70.00 and $75.20. The early Pick 3 for .50 cents returned $14,483.65.
Usually when a longshot hits I can go back in the past performances and find something that looks positive and a reason to think maybe the winner had a legitimate shot. I could not come up with a reason to back any of those three winners.
The day got considerably better and we closed it out in the finale with Farley scoring as my top pick at $23.40 and with my fourth choice the exacta paid $89.40.
That brings us into Easter Sunday and we indeed have plenty of action, although it is just one track. Gulfstream Park kicks off at noon and we have a solid 12-race card on tap.
This is certainly going to be a strange day. Easter is usually a day we spend with family and friends and instead the vast majority of us are stranded in our houses, isolated from our family and the world.
My Best Plays Report for Saturday includes my nine strongest plays from Oaklawn Park and Gulfstream Park.
Here is hoping all of you stay safe and healthy and we get back to some semblance of normalcy in the very near future.
The NBC Sports Network will simulcast the TVG Network from 4:00 to 8:00 ET. Horseplayers can also stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Md $25,000 (12:00 ET)
#4 Couple of Nikkis 6-1
#10 Sunday Scheming 5-1
#2 Grimpante 4-1
#9 Into Fancy 9-2
Analysis: Couple of Nikkis drops back in for a tag after stalking the early pace and tiring to finish eighth last out against state bred maiden special weight foes. The winner Lady Panda came back to beat Alw-1 optional claimers and the third-place finisher Sister Otoole graduated in her next outing on March 26. Three back our top pick was beaten just a nose in a tough beat for a $25,000 tag. She is out of a In Summation mare that has dropped one other foal to race, Lolonita who shows one turf win in five trips. Paco sticks and the 6-1 morning line looks fair.
Sunday Scheming makes her first start since her debut last November where she was sent off at 8-1 in a field of 10 $50,000 maiden claimers. She was off near the back of the pack and outrun in an eighth-place finish. That was in a race washed off the turf and now she tries grass for the Ward barn that is 33% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from dirt to turf. She has a decent enough turf pedigree, by Constitution out of a Mizzen Mast mare that has dropped one other foal to race, no winners to date. She has steady works on turf at Palm Meadows and drops into an easier spot here.
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 8 Md $32,000 (3:28 ET)
#7 Sole Seeker 8-1
#4 Le Coste 6-1
#8 Budget Buster 7-2
#10 Boss Life 3-1
Analysis: Sole Seeker drops in for a tag and tries grass for the first time here in his second start off a 11-month layoff. He showed some ability ion the main track at Keeneland two back with a third-place finish. He has a decent turf pedigree, by Orb out of an Arch mare that has dropped two other foals to race, both winners including one turf winner. Bravo takes the calla and this guy should be a decent price in this spot for McPeek who has won with three of his first eight starters at the meeting.
Le Coste raced mid pack and finished evenly in a fourth-place finish last out against $50,000 foes. The runner up Rhythm Section came back to graduate in his next outing on March 27 against maiden special weight foes. He makes his first start here for Orseno and Paco sticks. He has a solid turf pedigree, out of a Hennessy mare that has dropped three winners and two have won on turf.
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R2: #12 London Werewolf 10-1
R3: #2 Tortola Pride 8-11
R4: #3 Snicket 12-1
R5: #9 Fiber Optic 8-1
R5: #11 Glory Roll 20-1
R6: #1 Sequaya 10-1
R7: #5 Desert General 8-1
R8: #7 Sole Seeker 8-1
R9: #6 Blue Blue Ice 12-1
R10: #9 The Mighty Judge 8-1
R10: #5 Gina and Tins 10-1
R12: #4 Drama in Dixie 8-1
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Gulfstream Park - Race 3
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $41,000 • Post: 12:58
FOR STATE BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. WHISKEY SUNRISE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WHISKEY SUNRISE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. VICTORY TOWN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TORTOLA PRIDE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figu re at the distance/surface.
6
WHISKEY SUNRISE
3/1
2/1
3
VICTORY TOWN
2/1
9/2
2
TORTOLA PRIDE
8/1
6/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
WHISKEY SUNRISE
6
3/1
Front-runner
83
82
79.6
77.7
72.7
2
TORTOLA PRIDE
2
8/1
Front-runner
76
72
71.1
61.1
55.6
1
BAHAMIAN BEAT
1
6/1
Stalker
0
0
62.6
51.2
43.2
3
VICTORY TOWN
3
2/1
Alternator/Stalker
90
85
76.0
74.7
72.2
7
CHINOMADITO
7
4/1
Alternator/Stalker
74
66
45.6
66.8
58.8
Unknown Running Style: HALO'S DANCE (10/1) [Jockey: Gonzalez Santiago - Trainer: Ochoa Ernesto], INTEND (8/1) [Jockey: Reyes Leonel - Trainer: Cioffi Antonio].
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