Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 4/8/20
Wednesday's Horse Racing Picks for US based tracks
April 8, 2020
By Mike Dempsey
I was looking forward to betting into the mandatory payout of the Pick 5 at Fonner Park on Tuesday where over $3.1 million was bet into the carryover pool of $479,810 to equal a total pool of $4,161,515.
In the first leg Where’s Rufus crossed the wire first but was disqualified for interference at the top of the stretch. Taylor’s Prince with jockey Chris Fackler aboard came right up behind the leader in a reckless move and had to steady while it appeared that Where’s Rufus might have come over slightly.
It happened where there was not a good camera angle and just looked like a bad call, lighting up social media with horseplayers complaining about the ruling.
Poor Fonner Park, they finally get into the spotlight and the stewards screw it up at the worst possible time. Where’s Rufus drew off to cross the wire three lengths in front and was much the best.
My top pick in that race was Ohtani, and jockey Jake Olesiak decided to take the scenic route, racing wide throughout and then not persevering with his mount late which might have cost him third. It was a terrible ride giving his mount zero shot of winning.
I have seen more than enough lousy riding at Fonner Park to put me on tilt and next Tuesday perhaps we will just stick with Will Rogers Downs.
My Best Plays Report for Wednesday includes my eight strongest plays from Will Rogers Downs and Tampa Bay Downs.
Horseplayers can stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.
Wednesday’s Featured Race of the Day from Tampa Bay Downs:
TAM Race 5 Md $10,000 (2:30 ET)
#6 Goneasagirlcanget 2-1
#7 She's a Fair Catch 10-1
#9 Mighty Electrica 6-1
#12 Tessie's Red Sox 30-1
Analysis: Goneasagirlcanget cuts back to one turn after setting the early fractions and getting caught late in a runner up finish her going one mile and 40 yards. Two back at seven furlongs she tracked the early pace and finished evenly in a fourth-place finish. The winner was DQ'd but came back to break her maiden in her next outing. Three back our top pick checked in third behind a pair of next out winners. She drops into a much easier sport here and Centeno sticks for the low profile barn that is just 1 for 8 at the meeting but five have landed in the money.
She's a Fair Catch ships in from Delta Downs and with just four starts under her belt may have more upside than most of this weak group. Her best effort came two back where she made a mild late rally to finish third going five furlongs against state bred $10,000 foes. She has enough pedigree to handle the extra ground here. Decent value if she goes off near the 10-1 morning line for a barn having a chilly meeting. She is out of a Meadowlake mare that has dropped 13 other foals to race with 11 winners.
Wednesday’s Featured Race of the Day from Will Rogers Downs:
WRD Race 6 Clm $10,000 (3:45 CT)
#4 Texas Long Bow 8-1
#8 Lindante 7-2
#2 Nomo Ron 5-2
#5 Texas Munny Man 3-1
#7 Libertarian 4-1
Analysis: Texas Long Bow is one of two in here sent out by the Diodoro barn. This gelding makes his first start since December where the gelding chased the early pace and weakened to finish fifth against $20,000 claimers. The runner up Imma Wild Bling came out of that race to beat $10,000 starter optional claimers in his next outing. The barn is 25% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180-day layoff. This guy won a Texas bed stake last June and has lost five straight since but makes his first start for the sharp barn here and he sports good works at Sam Houston. He looks well spotted here dropping in for a $10,000 tag.
Lindante took the field gate to wire to beat $5,000 starter optional claimers last out in his first trip over the main track here. Broberg runners have mostly needed a race over the main track here as he has gone just 2 for 21 at the meet. The gelding now cuts back to six furlongs and he has done his best running going one turn. He wheels back quick here for Broberg who is 23% winners with runners coming back off a 1-7-day break and 28% winners moving runners from route to sprint.
Wednesday's Best Best: Heavenly Peace a top contender at Tampa Bay
By Jarrod Horak
April 8, 2020
Wednesday’s 8th race from Tampa Bay Downs is an $18,000 Maiden Special Weight event for fillies and mares traveling one mile on the turf course (Post Time - 4:00 p.m. ET).
#2 HEAVENLY PEACE (4-1) was 57-1 in her flat mile turf bow at Gulfstream Park, and she was squeezed at the start and ended up an okay 6th of 11 that day. Eddie Kenneally has started five horses at the current Tampa Bay meet with three wins and a couple of show finishes, and he is very good with second time starters. Dam has produced a turf winner and Antonio Gallardo is the top local rider with 88 wins.
#9 Gaelic Gold (3-1) is probably live right out of the box for Christophe Clement (11-for-27 at Tampa Bay). Samy Camacho has been winning races with this barn and she is bred to route on turf (1 turf winner for dam).
#3 Clear as Day (7-2) tracked the pace and landed the place in three of her last four turf routes. She can hit the board.
#1 Twirling Star (5-1) stretches back out after a rallying runner-up finish in a local turf sprint March 15. Daniel Centeno stays put and she will probably flash speed from the inside post.
#5 Tourist Like Me (12-1) might be able to spice up the exotics for +ROI second time starter trainer Victoria Oliver. She had an uncomfortable start and ended up 7th of 10 in her course/distance debut March 7. Dam has produced four turf winners.
Wagers:
#2 to win
Exacta Box 2-9
Trifecta 1-2-3-9/1-2-3-9/5
Superfecta 2-9/2-3-9/ALL/1-2-3-5-9
Recent Best Bet Winners
March 26 - SEVEN NATION ARMY ($5.60)
March 29 - DAPHNE MOON ($5.40), Exacta ($13.80)
March 30 - Okie Queen/Bright Bling/Keena Trifecta ($35.90)
April 4 - KIMARI ($7.80), Exacta ($23.80)
April 6 - WHOLEHEARTED ($6.40)
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park
PURCHASE
Fonner Park - Race 5
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / .50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) .50 Pick 4 (Races 5-8)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $4,500 • Post: 5:48P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FIRST MOON is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FIRST MOON: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after tw o sprint prep races. BIG EGYPT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MUMFORD: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BOSQUE COUNTY: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
9
FIRST MOON
6/1
7/2
7
BIG EGYPT
8/1
6/1
8
MUMFORD
2/1
7/1
3
BOSQUE COUNTY
12/1
10/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
9
FIRST MOON
9
6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
68
53
96.7
48.3
38.8
8
MUMFORD
8
2/1
Trailer
70
56
43.6
54.4
49.9
3
BOSQUE COUNTY
3
12/1
Alternator/Trailer
67
56
58.0
53.3
41.8
7
BIG EGYPT
7
8/1
Alternator/Trailer
71
64
54.1
50.1
47.1
1
WITT LOVES TACOS
1
3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
61
48
67.3
27.5
16.0
6
TEKELA'S GLORY
6
25/1
Alternator/Non-contender
73
59
41.3
38.5
26.5
5
WISE RON
5
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
50
48
35.1
41.7
29.7
2
SPUNKY KITTEN
2
9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
58
45
34.8
42.4
35.4
4
MR. PARK
4
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
51
39
29.9
18.2
1.7
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