Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 3/31/20
By Mike Dempsey
Horse Racing Action at TVG!
It has been nearly three weeks since the sporting world basically shut down and it does not look as if we will see an NBA, NHL or an MLB game for months.
While horse racing continues at some tracks around the U.S. with restrictions and no fans, the future is also uncertain.
The Kentucky Derby (G1) has been pushed back to the first Saturday of September, and Keeneland has canceled the spring meeting. Arlington Park won’t race in May, and I doubt we see any racing in New York until at least May if not later. Saratoga is slated to open in July, and even that is uncertain now.
We still have racing at Gulfstream Park and Tampa Bay Downs in Florida, Golden Gate Fields in Northern California and Oaklawn Park in Arkansas. Minor tracks that are still running include Fonner Park and Will Rogers Downs and we have quarterhorse action still going from Los Alamitos and Remington Park.
So we still have enough wagering action to keep us busy for now.
Santa Anita was closed by the Los Angeles Health Department last Friday, but the track is trying to get clarification and wants to reopen.
The Santa Anita Derby (G1) and Santa Anita Oaks (G2) are scheduled for this Saturday. Stay tuned, it is possible we could see action by Saturday in Southern California.
The championship meeting at Gulfstream Park ended on Sunday and the spring/summer meeting starts on Thursday. Normally many of the top horses and trainers exit Gulfstream Park and head to Keeneland or back to New York, but this year the horse population should stay strong in Florida.
Horseplayers can stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.
Keep an eye on the schedule for FS1 and FS1 and NBCSN as they will be adding some horse racing action this week as well.
My Best Plays Report for Tuesday includes my eight strongest plays from Will Rogers Downs and Fonner Park.
Tuesday’s Featured Race of the Day from Will Rogers Downs:
WRD Race 5 Md Sp Wt (3:15 CT)
#6 Dakoma Rose 4-1
#3 Quick Calisia 9-2
#7 Shadowing 7-2
#2 Smarty Gigi 6-1
Analysis: Dakoma Rose showed speed in her debut setting the early fractions before tiring to finish fourth, sent off at 5-2 in a field of 10 at Sam Houston. He catches an easier group here for the Nolen barn that is 17% winners with second out maidens. The filly is by Doctor Chit out of a Sasha's Prospect mare, her first foal to race. She earned solid early and mid pace numbers and should move forward enough with a race under her belt to take these farther.
Quick Calisia tracked thee early pace and made a mild late rally to finish in the runner up spot in the slop in her local debut. She was sixth on turf in her debut at Remington Park and then fifth at Sam Houston. This looks likely to be her first trip over a fast track if the rains stop overnight early enough. She is out of a Rubiano mare that has dropped seven winners including a pair of stakes winners, top earner Royal Nemesis ($285,392). She does not need to move forward much off her last effort to be a threat in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 3,6 / 2,3,6,7
TRI: 3,6 / 2,3,6,7 / 1,2,3,6,7
Tuesday’s Featured Race of the Day from Fonner Park:
FON Race 6 OClm $10,000N4L (1:00 CT)
#7 Golden Bullet 9-2
#9 Southernaire 5-2
#4 Wild Drive 7-2
#1 Ship Stalker 10-1
Analysis: Golden Bullet makes his first starts since last November at Remington Park where she tracked the early pace and weakened to finish fifth against $10,000 claimers going seven furlongs. His last win came on turf three back where she beat Alw-1 company, the runner up coming back to win next out. He has been working well since landing here with four morning drills for the Compton barn that is 0 for 8 at the meeting but six of the starters have landed in the money.
Southernaire tracked the early pace, took over the lead and finished up well to beat La bred $20,000 non-winners of three last out at Delta Downs. The third-place finisher Navy Times came back to beat state bred Alw-3 foes in his next start and three others exited the race to run second in their next starts. He has won 2 of 3 since getting claimed for $5,000and his numbers in those two wins are good enough to beat this group handily.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 7-2 or better.
EX: 7,9 / 1,4,7,9
TRI: 7,9 / 1,4,7,9 / 1,4,5,7,9
Tuesday's Best Bet: Our Musical Moment a strong factor at Will Rogers
by Jarrod Horak
Tuesday’s 9th race from Will Rogers Downs is a $27,500 allowance event for fillies and mares dashing six furlongs on the main track (Post Time 6:15 p.m. ET).
#7 OUR MUSICAL MOMENT (7-2) captured her last three dirt sprints and I like her running style versatility. She won a local state bred allowance route last May and is 3-for-4 at this distance.
#2 Reachreachreach (3-1) exits a local win from off the pace in the slop. The versatile filly is a fairly reliable performer for Robertino Diodoro.
#5 Runaround Rosey (15-1) captured three of her last five sprints for Scott Young (10-for-25 at current meet). Jockey Triana Jr. is 4-for-5 with this barn recently and she should be forwardly placed.
#1 Broadway County (8-1) finished 1st or 2nd in all four local starts including a runner-up finish March 16. The versatile mare might try patient tactics in this spot.
#8 Girls a Bullet (12-1) is a pretty reliable late running sprinter. She is 1-for-1 at this distance and should get pace to chase.
Wagers:
#7 to win
Exacta Box 2-7
Trifecta 2-7/1-2-5-7-8/1-2-5-7-8
Recent Best Bet Winners
March 21 - WARD 'N JERRY ($5.60), Trifecta ($14.85)
March 26 - SEVEN NATION ARMY ($5.60)
March 29 - DAPHNE MOON ($5.40), Exacta ($13.80)
March 30 - Okie Queen/Bright Bling/Keena Trifecta ($35.90)
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park
PURCHASE
Fonner Park - Race 9
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Claiming $2,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $3,700 • Post: 7:36P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MACANDALES is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MACANDALES: Today's race is a route, horse is a Front-runner and is in post position one. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Ho rse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WITT'SDOLLARNIGHT: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Eq uibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
MACANDALES
4/1
3/2
3
WITT'SDOLLARNIGHT
10/1
6/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
MACANDALES
1
4/1
Front-runner
88
76
71.4
78.4
73.4
3
WITT'SDOLLARNIGHT
3
10/1
Alternator/Stalker
94
86
66.4
72.0
68.0
10
BRONK
10
15/1
Alternator/Stalker
82
66
61.7
62.0
52.5
2
HYPER DRIVE
2
5/2
Alternator/Stalker
78
68
36.4
65.8
61.3
8
AIR ASSAULT
8
6/1
Trailer
78
72
25.5
67.0
60.0
7
HEWHOFILLSMYHEART
7
6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
80
72
70.2
29.3
14.3
4
RAIN RAY
4
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
74
64
64.8
64.8
48.8
5
SHAWNEE KID
5
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
82
73
57.5
52.6
36.1
6
DORCHEAT ZARB
6
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
84
66
55.4
57.0
41.0
9
DAZZLE MAN
9
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
79
66
37.9
42.7
27.2
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs
PURCHASE
Will Rogers Downs - Race 8
Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)
Handicap • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $17,050 • Post: 4:45P
FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. NO ENTRY FEE. NO NOMINATION FEE. WEIGHTS TO BE ASSIGNED AT THE DRAW. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * SHRED THE RULES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf ) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. KATS SECOND SILVER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ELKHORN POET: Horse ranks in the top three in Track Master Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MY WISE CAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
7
SHRED THE RULES
5/2
9/2
5
KATS SECOND SILVER
3/1
5/1
3
ELKHORN POET
5/1
7/1
4
MY WISE CAT
4/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
EURAMASTER
6
8/1
Front-runner
94
94
89.8
77.8
68.3
3
ELKHORN POET
3
5/1
Front-runner
99
94
84.8
84.8
80.3
4
MY WISE CAT
4
4/1
Front-runner
91
95
76.8
84.4
75.4
1
STARWARD
1
20/1
Front-runner
54
59
70.0
47.4
32.4
5
KATS SECOND SILVER
5
3/1
Stalker
95
98
89.0
90.0
82.0
7
SHRED THE RULES
7
5/2
Trailer
99
92
71.1
88.9
82.9
2
CATALE STORM
2
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
90
73
74.0
62.6
51.1
8
TIMELY REPLY
8
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
97
93
44.3
74.2
66.2
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