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Brian Nadeau

Fonner Park - Race #2

#9 My Lady J Price player has finished behind a few here in her last two but now goes third-off the long layoff, has a closing gear in a field loaded with early speed, and figures to be completely overlooked on the board as well; bombs away in the lane.
#2 Taylor's Beauty ML favorite is another who will like all the speed she can rally into, and that 2nd last time makes her a threat here, but it's not like she was close to the winner, and the eight straight losses she owns is a worry as well; trying to beat on top.
#1 Aunt Gale The best of the speeds takes a slight drop in class too after just missing in 2nd last time, so clearly she's a big threat here, but fending off the outside pace players, kicking clear, and holding off the top pair is a big ask; comes unglued late.
Race Summary Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that should really set up both the 9 and the 2, so play the former in all the slots, box the pair in the EX, and use them both in the early Pk5, and to kick off the Pk4 as well (which both had large pools last week), since this one has a good chance to melt down in the lane, and they'll both have a big chance to pick up all the pieces.

Fonner Park - Race #6

#5 Zyxyz Class dropper was in too tough last time from a tough outside draw too, but she's back with friends here, drew better, will gets some pace to run into, and will be a price; upset special.
#4 Mongoll Call Class riser looked good winning off the break, and she did it on the lead too, but this is a much tougher group here, and you wonder if she regresses off such a big return; second-best.
#7 Stalker Capable miss was a closing 2nd at the level last time, albeit in a slow race, so while the pace will help, she's a big underlay at this 5-2 ML, wit no edge on paper either; rallies for a share.
Race Summary That 5-1 ML on the pick sure seems fair, especially on the class drop, and in a race with some speed too, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5 as well (which should have a big, big pool), since a win in the $10 range would add some value to the sequence, in a race that seems there for the taking with two potentially vulnerable favorites as well.

Fonner Park - Race #8

#6 Out of Patience Turf Paradise runner doesn't have any early speed but has been facing better of late, fits like a glove on figures, and should offer a hint of value as well; look out.
#4 Bigshot Lacewell Remington invader hasn't been out since November but those were better he was facing, even in the state-bred ranks, and the price will be right; do not ignore.
#7 Banjo Bill The one to catch and beat wins this if he runs back to his last, but it was in the mud, his fast track form isn't nearly as good, and he'll be overbet too; tread lightly.
Race Summary The drop in class might be all the 6 needs to make a dent here, and with the potential vulnerability of the 7 he looks even more appealing, so play him in all the slots, and especially in the late Pk5 as well (which should have a big, big pool), as a win will add plenty of value to the sequence, and he has every right to run huge here.
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The Sports Geek

4:00 AM ET

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Viktor Ivanov vs. Alexey Yanshaev Moscow Liga Pro Prediction:If you can find some trends in table tennis, the sport becomes simpler to handicap. Just like any sport, there are players in grooves and others that can’t seem to figure anything out. The same goes for table tennis players, as obscure as the sport is. Viktor Ivanov played three matches on Sunday with two losses in three outings.While he isn’t coming off his best of days, we should be able to expect him to respond with a stronger effort on Monday. This is especially true for his match against Alexey Yanshaev. The matchup history has been rather unfavourable for Yanshaev against Ivanov.Ivanov could be playing better table tennis recently, but Yanshaev is likely going to be a cure for his blues. Ivanov and Yanshaev have played eight matches against each other in their careers dating back to May 29, 2019. Yanshaev was severely over-matched in the majority of them and enters having lost three matches in a row to Ivanov.Ivanov has won six out of the eight times that they’ve met at the table. They played as recently as Saturday, with Ivanov getting the win over Yanshaev in five sets. The final set wasn’t close, as Ivanov poured it on for an 11-4 win. They also met on March 17, with Ivanov making it look easier in that match by 3-1 sets.Yanshaev has gone 5-7 in his previous 12 matches going back to Saturday. He’s seemed to excel against lesser opponents, but has struggled even against an average player. I would put Ivanov into the average category. Expect Ivanov to make it four wins over Yanshaev since March 18 on Monday.
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Jonathon Kinchen

Late Pick 4 at Will Rogers Downs begins with Race 7 at 5:15 p.m. ET and goes through Race 10.

Will Rogers Downs 7th
7 First Metal Count (10-1)
Has been running competitive numbers at the Fair Grounds, which has recently closed due to COVID-19. His last race might be better than it looks. He was near the pace on a track that seemed to be favoring inside runners and still ran a number that is competitive with these.

9 Champagne's On Ice (5-2)
This one ran pretty well sprinting for Robertino Diodoro in Houston in the maiden special weight two races back. They connections dropped him in for a tag off that effort and asked him to go long, but the race didn't go well. He should perform much better with the outside post, cutback in distance and drop to the lowest level of his life.

A: 7,9
B: none

Will Rogers Downs 8th
2 Handsome Traveler (9-2)
Ultra competitive at this level in Houston. His best races were sprinting, and the mile race wasn't even that bad.

10 Corrana En Limen (7-2)
Trainer Robertino Diodoro has had a great start to 2020 and is winning at 35 percent at this meet. His percentage has dipped lately, but this one is still a legit contender from the outside post.

8 Eye Cloud (10-1)
Was 60-1 against better and should appreciate the drop to a more manageable level. The sixth-place finish (beaten nine lengths) might not look that bad, but he was last in a field of six. Use at a big price as a B, but I am not going to include him as an A.

A: 2,10
B: 8

Will Rogers Downs 9th
12 Okie Queen (3-1)
Her maiden win going six furlongs could win this race. Her comeback race in January wasn't great, but her speed figure for six furlongs crushes this field. She should be extremely tough in here.

11 Keena (9-2)
Comes in off a layoff but has one win and two seconds off layoffs in her career. I love the outside post, and although she has never won at Will Rogers she has been in the money three times.

A: 12
B: 11

Will Rogers Downs 10th
6 Burgameister (5-2)
Didn't handle the grass sprinting last time but returns to the main track and stretches back out. His race three starts back decimates this field. These horses aren't close if he runs his race.

5 Far Out Kailee (4-1)
She was bet heavily last time off the layoff but ran into a sloppy track. She is right there if she finds her Will Rogers form from last spring when she won three races in a row at this distance.

A: 6
B: 5

Wagers
All-A ticket
$10 Pick 4: 7,9 with 2,10 with 12 with 6 ($40)

Three-A, one-B tickets
$5 Pick 4: 7,9 with 8 with 12 with 6
$5 Pick 4: 7,9 with 2,10 with 11 with 6
$5 Pick 4: 7,9 with 2,10 with 12 with 5

Two-A, two-B tickets
$2 Pick 4: 7,9 with 8 with 11 with 6
$2 Pick 4: 7,9 with 8 with 12 with 5
$2 Pick 4: 7,9 with 2,10 with 11 with 5

Total wager: $106
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Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Park Wagering Strategies - 3/29/20

March 29, 2020

Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Gulfstream Park
Sunday, March 29, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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RACE 1: Post 1:00 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Wild About This; 5-Cultivation; 8-Cookie Cove

Forecast: The Sunday opener is a maiden claiming turf sprint scramble for fillies and mares. Anything goes, so let’s try a 20-1 long shot on top. Wild About This turns back from a series of route races and may go much better at this abbreviated sprint trip. She has plenty of early speed and not much stick, but at this level from the rail she could take control early and get brave. Low profile connections will keep the price up. Cultivation, nosed out in a similar affair last month, won’t need much more than that to beat this group. She’ll be running on strongly late. Cookie Cove, a close fifth in the same race Cultivation exits, is another that figures to be doing her best work late, and if the speed collapses she’ll be dangerous in the final furlong.
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RACE 2: Post 1:30 ET. Grade: C
Use: 7-Brookes All Mine; 12-Enlisting

Forecast: Enlisting and Brookes All Mine both won their last races at this $8,000 level, both were claimed, and neither one is being raised in class by their new connections, not exactly a sign of confidencE. The former moves to a 4% barn and switches to a jockey who at last check was winless with 39 mounts at the meeting, while the latter switches to a 6% jockey but at least hails the capable R. Hess, Jr. barn. We’ll use both in our rolling exotics but not with any degree of confidence in a race that is best left alone.
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RACE 3: Post 2:00 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Pardon My Heart; 2-Tizahra7-Sacred Peace

Forecast: Pardon My Heart didn’t get the clearest of runs through the lane when a close fourth (beaten a length) in a similar maiden turf router for fillies and mares earlier this month but with the switch to L. Saez from her inside draw the daughter of Declaration of War should be well-positioned to fire her best shot. Tizahra, second in her last pair with competitive speed figures and exiting the same race as Pardon My Heart, may find herself as the controlling speed in a race that projects to be slowly run early. Given that kind of trip, the I. Wilkes-trained filly could get very brave. Sacred Peace, a nine-race maiden from France making her U. S. debut, shows some decent efforts vs. winners at Chantilly and Deauville last year, and those races if repeated her give her a look. She’s a first-time Lasix user from a capable outfit and lands J. Rosario, so at 12-1 on the morning she’s a “must use.”
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RACE 4: Post 2:31 ET. Grade: A-
Single: 7-Center Aisle

Forecast: Center Aisle blazed a quarter mile in :20 3/5 at the Fasig-Tipton March Sale last year and then brought $1.5 million through the ring. She finally makes it to the races more than a year later following a healthy series of breezing workouts for C. Brown. In viewing the video of several of her drills at xbtv.com it’s fairly evident that this daughter of Into Mischief is loaded with speed and quality. The known element doesn’t particularly impress and we doubt there’s a world beater among the other first-timers, so at 5/2 on the morning we’ll make her a strong straight play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 5: Post 3:03 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Bean Counter; 9-I Am Magical

Forecast: Bean Counter was a beaten choice in a recent starter’s allowance middle distance turf affair so in her second start off a layoff she returns to the restricted claiming ranks, draws the rail, and should be the controlling speed for the Pletcher-Saez team. I Am Magicalmust overcome her outside draw and is winless in four starts since being imported from England but her numbers are solid and she appears to be the most dangerous of the closing types. We’ll try to get by in rolling exotic play using just these two in an uninspiring affair.
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RACE 6: Post 2:00 ET. Grade: A-
Single: 12-Dr Post

Forecast: Dr Post was all the rage last summer prior to his debut at 50 cents on the dollar at Belmont Park, but after bobbling at the start and then failing to show his best speed, the son of Quality Road wound up fourth and then disappeared. The T. Pletcher-trained colt makes it back to the post nine months later in this seven furlong maiden special weight affair for 3-year-olds, lands the cozy outside post, and once again should be heavily backed at the windows. His workouts at Palm Beach Downs give every indication that the hype prior to his 2-year-old debut was justified; this time we’re expecting no mistakes. Let’s make him a strong straight play and rolling exotic single and hope to get close to his morning line of 3-1.
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RACE 7: Post 4:06 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Blazing Desires; 6-Justinthenickoftime

Forecast: Blazing Desires seems likely to be the controlling speed from his inside draw and will take them as far as he can. How quick he’ll have to go early may depend on how much pressure is applied by Mystery Bank, a maiden tackling winners but with the kind of early speed that could impact the pace flow. Justinthenickoftime, a well-beaten third in an overnight stakes over this course and distance last month, earned a good number in defeat and won’t need much better to act at this level of competition. The Justin Phillip gelding switches to L. Saez and appears capable of making a strong run from second-flight, stalking trip.
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RACE 8: Post 4:39 ET. Grade: B
Use: 3-Faraway Kitten; 4-Morocco; 11-Westerland

Forecast: Faraway Kitten was an unlucky runner-up when claimed for $40,000 last month and moves up a level for his new connections while trying to make amends after missing at even money. With a better trip today, he can be along in time. Morocco was out of his element when unplaced in the Mac Diarmeda Stakes but he’s realistically spotted today while remaining above his claim level for M. Maker and switching to L. Saez. With some help up front, Pioneerof the Nile gelding will be heard from late. Westerland, listed at 12-1 on the morning line, may be worth tossing in somewhere. The “other” M. Maker entrant earned a strong number when unplaced in a tougher second-level allowance affair in late January, switches to P. Lopez, and is another capable of producing a dangerous late kick if the race-shape turns up in his favor.
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RACE 9: Post 3:34 ET. Grade:
Use: 4-Viva Forever; 6-Believe Indeed; 8-Angelia

Forecast: Angelia lands the ideal outside post for this one-turn mile and in her second start off a long layoff the daughter of Curlin should produce enough of a forward move to regain her winning form in this first-level allowance optional claimer for fillies and mares. She also gets an extra quarter of a mile to work with, so there should be no excuses at 9/5 on the morning line. Small ticket player may consider her as a possible rolling exotic single. Believe Indeed shortens up and returns to the main track, conditions that should suit her fine. The P. Walder-trained mare, first or second in 21 of 46 career starts, seems likely to at least hit the board from off the pace. Old pro Viva Forever, a winner of 11 races (with seven seconds) from 42 career outings, was beaten as the favorite at Tampa Bay Downs two weeks ago and in fact has failed as the chalk in each of her last three starts and four of her last five. At this stage of her career she may no longer be one to trust, but we’ll toss her in on a ticket or two out of respect.
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RACE 10: Post 4:17 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 6-Urban Fairytale; 7-Key Biscayne

Forecast: The newcomers don’t impress so let’s try to get by in rolling exotic play using a couple of experienced fillies at decent prices launching a comeback. Urban Fairytale, away since October when she finished a solid second in a maiden special weight affair at Keeneland, will be tough if she returns as well as she left for I. Wilkes. The work tab at a local training center should have her fit enough. Key Biscayne, away since July and returning without blinkers, was a runner-up in a pair of races over the local lawn before being stopped on, and she, too, appears to have been training well at an off-track center. Neither are world beaters on pure form but against this group they probably won’t have to be.
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Fonner Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 Miss Blue Rooster Ran a good one as the 2-1 chalk last time out, so not sure we're getting the 8/1 ML here, but she has a couple of running lines from recent races that would do the trick.
#6 Platte Girl Meets a group with its fair share of underachievers and potential career maidens, so this is not a bad spot to make a career debut with a bullet work under the belt.
#3 Baker Township Forward player may hang around for a piece, but she tends to give away ground in the stretch call of her races, making her a bit tough to endorse on top.
Race Summary Miss Blue Rooster should be tough here at something closer to the 2/1 she offered last out than the 8/1 ML price, and her early speed will put her in the mix in a spot where a repeat of her last would almost surely get her home.

Fonner Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#8 Perfect Line Will flash his early speed while drawn outside of the other forward players, and he has proven a really good fit with the local company.
#7 Witt's Gold Sam Houston invader fits well here, but he is almost always heading the wrong way in the lane and may get caught in a tough, chasing trip anyway.
#1 Dialed Drops off a modest enough effort with better last out, and the two-back run was pretty sharp. Rail draw may make for a tough trip.
Race Summary Perfect Line is quick enough to be in the mix from the bell, and he draws well to bother other speedy runners like Dialed while racing outside of them.

Fonner Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#8 Bandwidth Finisher could wind up with too much to do here, but the recent races all fit really well with this bunch. Look for him late.
#5 Heisyankee Made a bit of a move before flattening out in the last one, and it isn't out of the question that he could sustain a similar run better this time around.
#3 Resilience of Love Speed isn't overmatched with these, and that was a decent enough first run off the claim for the Gonzalez barn.
Race Summary Bandwidth figures to settle back and finish in his local debut, and he brings a string a really nice Turf Paradise efforts with him to this race.
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Will Rogers Downs - Race #3
Picks Notes
#1 West Coast Broker Had a tough trip in his only start, has been off since September and has a steady string of workouts for his return; well-bred, gets blinkers and will likely should great improvement in his 2nd start.
#6 Past Visions Ran a good 2nd at Remington in his first start and then tired badly at Oaklawn in his only start there; has trained well and is the lower price of the two Caster trainees, the other being West Coast Broker.
#3 Jimmy Winne Was 4th in his only start, which came in November 2018; had a couple of bullet works at Remington last fall and trainer Young is 10 of 25 for 40 percent here.
Race Summary West Coast Broker was bred to be a runner, has a bad go of it in his only start and deserves another chance.

Will Rogers Downs - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 Quicksilver Ran up toward the lead and then backed up vs. better at Oaklawn; fits well and will likely get a good trip in his 1st one here.
#4 Little Avenger Tired in a couple at Houston and has the speed to press from the outset.
#7 Smokin B Closed with a rush and just missed at Houston in his latest; Diodoro is hitting at a 35 percent rate.
Race Summary Quicksilver has raced at higher level and can probably get a good stalking position; one to hold off.

Will Rogers Downs - Race #9
Picks Notes
#1 Polly Tiz Ran well in several races, including stakes, at Remington Park and can be on or close to the lead at once; expect a good effort out of this talented state-bred filly.
#11 Keena Was up in time for a win to end her 2019 campaign and has worked very well for her return; her only bad effort came in a stake race two years ago and she has been a contender in her races since that one.
#2 Bright Bling Finished the 2019 in good form with a win and two 2nds and has a bullet work to her credit.
Race Summary Polly Tiz has the tactical speed to get in good position and can dig in late; has very good efforts on her form and should be difficult to beat.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fonner Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7040 Class Rating: 40

FOR CERTIFIED NE BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 9 SWEET COWGIRL 6/1

# 2 P R GOLD MONEY 9/2

# 5 MISS BLUE ROOSTER 8/1

My choice in this contest is SWEET COWGIRL. The quick return to the track points to a strong effort this time around. Ought to be considered a contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. P R GOLD MONEY - This mare with Fackler in the irons makes her a solid contender. This mare is coming back in next to no time to the track. MISS BLUE ROOSTER - Bliss has her trained well to break promptly out of the gate. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Will Rogers Downs
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9350 Class Rating: 80

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 SEAHAWK WAVE 5/2

# 6 PHAT AND FAST 5/1

# 2 PATRIOT 3/1

My choice here is SEAHAWK WAVE. His 79 average has this gelding with among the strongest speed figures for this event. Ran a strong last race. Has quite good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. PHAT AND FAST - The Equibase Speed Figure of 72 from his most recent race looks solid in here. Has been travelling soundly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. PATRIOT - Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figs of this group in his last race. Reliable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a solid contender.
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