Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 3/27/20
By Mike Dempsey
Being stuck indoors was fun and profitable yesterday if you played along as we hit with my top pick in each of the three races in yesterday’s column and we had a good day at Gulfstream Park.
My Gulfstream Park Report included six winners on top on the 10-race card, paying $9.00, $8.20, $5.20, $4.20, $3.00 and $13.60. We hit six recommended exactas: $21.20, $23.40, $13.80, $27.00, $46.00 and $11.00.
In yesterday’s column we hit the opener at Gulfstream Park with a $9.00 winner, $21.20 exacta and a $1 trifecta for $90.80.
The feature at Oaklawn Park was the sixth where we had Esposito on top at $6.40 but missed on the exacta as our longshot Hold On Angel checked in third.
The feature at Gulfstream Park was the eighth race where Too Much War paid a nice $13.60 and topped a $2 exacta that paid $46.00 and we also hit the trifecta for $77.10.
It was announced yesterday morning that jockey Javier Castellano has tested positive for Covid-19, which at first I thought might end racing at Gulfstream Park.
However, Castellano had been in New York and flew back in to ride the Florida Derby card on Saturday. He has not ridden at Gulfstream Park since March 15.
Gulfstream Park announced that racing would go on and we have a solid 11-race card this afternoon and a total of 14 races on Saturday including the $750,000 Florida Derby (G1).
I will have my analysis of the Road to the Kentucky Derby race in tomorrow’s column and I am not selecting the 6-5 morning line favorite Tiz the Law among my top three selections.
Among the tracks still running now are Gulfstream Park, Santa Anita, Tampa Bay Downs, Fonner Park, Will Rogers Downs, Los Alamitos, Remington Park and Oaklawn Park.
Horseplayers can stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $200 for new players.
There is national coverage on FS2 Friday from 1:30 to 6:30 ET and on Saturday and Sunday on FS1 from 1:30 to 7:00 ET. The NBC Sports Network will simulcast the TVG Network Friday through Sunday from 4:00 to 8:00 ET.
My Best Plays Report for Friday includes my nine strongest plays from Santa Anita and Gulfstream Park
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Md Sp Wt (1:00 ET)
#6 Adsam 6-1
#3 Alonzo Mosely 10-1
#8 Rhythm Section 8-1
#2 Counterstrike 5-2
Analysis: Adsam adds blinkers here for his second career start for the Brown barn that is 35% winners (with a +ROI) with second out maidens. The colt raced near the back of the pack in his debut where he was sent off at 9-1 and finished evenly in a fourth-place finish. The third-place finisher Proven Strategies came back to graduate in his next start here on March 4. The colt is out of a Seeking the Gold mare that has dropped four other foals to race with two winners including one turf winner. He should show more today with a race under his belt although he will have to find a new jock as Castellano is off his mounts today.
Alonzo Mosely veered coming out of the gate in his debut leaving him next to last and made a mild late run to finish third at Tampa Bay Downs going a mile on turf. His speed fig is coming up on the light side but he is in good hands with the Clement barn that is 20% winners with second out maidens. He gets a jock upgrade to Rosario. He is the first foal tor ace out of an Uncle Mo mare. He draws a better spot and is likely to get overlooked din the betting in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 4-1 or better.
EX: 3,6 / 2,3,6,8
TRI: 3,6 / 2,3,6,8 / 1,2,3,6,8
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 9 OClm $75,000N1X (5:12 ET)
#1 Money Moves 3-1
#4 Ournationonparade 9-2
#7 Silver Ratio 4-1
#11 Liveyourbeastlife 20-1
Analysis: Money Moves was sent off at 6-5 in his debut, catching a sloppy track that he handled nice. The Pletcher trainee stalked the early pace and finished up well late to win by 1 1/4 lengths. He stretches out to a mile here and has plenty of pedigree to get more ground. He was a $975,000 Ocala purchase, by Candy Ride out of the stakes winner Citizen Advocate ($327,450) who has dropped one other foal to race, Remarqued ($128,85) who is 1 for 14 the win coming at a mile on turf. The barn is 22% winners moving runners from sprint to route. Looks as if this guy still has a ton of upside.
Ournationonparade pressed the early pace and could not hang late in a third-place finish in the Hutcheson but as beaten just a half-length for the top spot at six furlongs. The gelding makes his second start off a four mot break here and looks capable of handling a one turn mile. He broke his maiden two back at six furlongs winning the Maryland Million Nursery last fall at Laurel Park. The barn is 19% winners moving runners from sprint to route. Paco sticks and the 9-2 morning line looks fair.
Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,4,7,11
TRI: 1,4 / 1,4,7,11 / 2,4,7,11,12
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Santa Anita:
SA Race 5 Clm $12,500N2L (3:07 PT)
#6 Red Valor 4-1
#5 Tromador 5-2
#2 Minosa 9-5
#3 Satrapa 3-1
Analysis: Red Valor pressed the early pace and weakened to finish seventh last out at this level. The gelding regressed off a solid effort two back where he dueled for the early lead and cold not go with the winner late in a runner up finish. He owns solid early and mid pace numbers and is better than he showed last out. He looks capable of bouncing back with a better effort against this group.
Tromado pressed the early pacer, got clear heading for home and battled on gamely in between foes to come out on the short end in a third-place finish, beaten a half-length for the top spot. He was claimed out of the race by the Hansen barn that is 25% winners first off the claim and is having a strong meeting here, winning at a 32% clip overall. Toss his turf effort two back ad his form looks best in here.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 2,3,5,6
TRI: 5,6 / 2,3,5,6 / 2,3,5,6,7
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R2: #3 Alonzo Mosely 10-1
R1: #4 Rhythm Section 8-1
R2: #2 Chit Chat Girl 8-1
R2: #9 Marching In 10-1
R4: #10 Giggle factory 10-1
R5: #2 Sabrina Park 8-1
R6: #5 Greyes Creek 8-1
R8: #2 Cuestion de Tiempo 8-1
R9: #11 Liveyourbestlife 20-1
R10: #6 Wildlife 12-1
R11: #4 Bless the Kitten 8-1
R11: #6 Montana Man 15-1
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields
PURCHASE
Golden Gate Fields - Race 1
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min) $2 Rolling Double / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) $0.50 Early Pick 5 Races (1-2-3-4-5) $1 Rolling Super High Five
Claiming $3,200 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 4 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 1:15P
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2019-2020. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200 (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $2,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. DYNAMITE RIDE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DYNAMITE RIDE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RUN LIKE RHETT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. AZTEC WARRIOR: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Fi gure at the distance/surface.
6
DYNAMITE RIDE
2/1
5/2
1
RUN LIKE RHETT
8/5
5/1
2
AZTEC WARRIOR
6/1
10/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
DYNAMITE RIDE
6
2/1
Front-runner
97
91
70.4
91.1
86.6
2
AZTEC WARRIOR
2
6/1
Stalker
92
82
55.4
80.4
75.9
3
ZIPPY GROOM
3
9/2
Alternator/Stalker
85
75
64.5
76.8
65.8
1
RUN LIKE RHETT
1
8/5
Trailer
98
89
80.2
89.4
85.4
7
MOON HOUSE
7
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
83
81
77.4
71.2
62.2
4
OOPPER WALLAH
4
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
83
73
57.7
74.6
63.6
5
UR NOT MY PRESIDNT
5
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
89
74
50.2
69.0
58.0
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park
PURCHASE
Oaklawn Park - Race 4
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Maiden Claiming $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 77 • Purse: $17,000 • Post: 2:54P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MAYAN GHOST: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FAIR CATCH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the d istance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
13
MAYAN GHOST
8/1
3/1
12
FAIR CATCH
6/1
4/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
8
HARLEQUIN
8
7/2
Front-runner
0
0
97.6
55.0
42.5
12
FAIR CATCH
12
6/1
Front-runner
85
87
95.2
59.7
54.7
14
SIETE LEGUAS
14
20/1
Front-runner
0
0
83.6
37.5
18.0
1
GUMWRAPPER
1
5/1
Front-runner
0
0
74.3
46.5
32.0
13
MAYAN GHOST
13
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
84
77
65.8
68.8
65.3
5
COPPER MOUNTAIN
5
12/1
Alternator/Stalker
62
50
63.2
54.2
39.2
6
AXIS
6
8/1
Alternator/Stalker
66
61
50.9
58.4
43.4
7
IMEANTTOPAY
7
15/1
Trailer
0
0
0.0
51.2
39.2
10
NIALL
10
15/1
Alternator/Trailer
0
0
39.4
51.9
31.9
4
AGITATOR
4
8/1
Alternator/Trailer
85
72
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
PEWTER
2
10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
68
58
54.8
47.6
32.6
3
DAZZLING REUNION
3
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
26.5
50.2
32.7
9
PRIMORDIAL BOY
9
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
0.0
28.4
3.4
11
EMPTY NESTR
11
9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
70
47
0.0
0.0
0.0
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