Welcome, Guest
Username: Password: Remember me
Read and Discuss News, Betting, Odds, Trends, Picks and Predictions for Soccer, Mixed Martial Arts, Pro Wrestling, Boxing, Golf, The Olympics, Horse Racing and Anything Else Right Here

PGA FedEx Championship

PGA FedEx Championship 7 months 2 weeks ago #511026

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 42161
  • Thank you received: 331
  • Karma: 61
Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 8/21/19
The administrator has disabled public write access.

PGA FedEx Championship 7 months 2 weeks ago #511027

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 42161
  • Thank you received: 331
  • Karma: 61
PGA Tour Betting Preview
The Tour Championship
East Lake Golf Club – Par 70 – 7, 346 yards

The first full PGA Tour season with the condensed schedule with a Major every month starting in the spring has finally reached a conclusion with the Tour Championship this week. The Top 30 guys in the Fed-Ex Cup standings are starting with a staggered scoreboard based on their positioning in the standings, and while that method has eliminated the potential for confusion in the mainstream world for potentially having two separate winners this week (one of this week's event, one of the overall Fed-Ex Cup), it's transplanted that confusion over the the betting markets instead.

This week we've now got two sets of odds charts, one with the starting strokes incorporated, and another without. Given that the starting strokes leaderboard has the leader – Justin Thomas – starting at -10, and a sixth of the 30-man field starting at Even par, this new system does reward those who have stepped up and played well all year, and rightfully so, but it will be interesting to see if anyone does end up making a run coming from the bottom half of this field. This staggered starting system may be too rewarding to the top guys, as it does really feel like only those starting at -5 or better really have a shot, and it makes for some interesting handicapping that will be split up later.

As far as the course goes, East Lake has been the Tour Championship venue for some time now, and it's a long track that requires accuracy with every shot. There is also plenty of water lurking around so some big crooked numbers are possible, and it's going to be something that's needed from a few of the guys at the top if the rest of the field ultimately wants to be involved. In past years, the winning scores here (from scratch) were all in the -10 to -13 range, which again emphasizes just how big starting at -10 may be for Justin Thomas.

But saving a few pars with long putts, getting up-and-down from the surrounds, and making the most of one's birdie opportunities is what's going to have whomever ends up pushing Thomas in that position. And with the two different betting options, I'll be breaking it down in a similar fashion.

Let's get right to it:

Golfers to Watch (Starting with Fed-Ex Cup strokes):

Brooks Koepka (+500) – Koepka starts in third at -7 for this tournament as that's where he slipped to in the standings after the BMW Championship, and while that may seem rough given the tournament hasn't started yet, all it takes is a birdie/bogey type swing between himself and Thomas early on Thursday and then all of a sudden Koepka is a shot back with 65+ holes to go.

For someone like Brooks who's been involved in all the big tournaments (wins or top 5 finishes) it seems the past two+ years, claiming a Fed-Ex Cup would be another big time trophy for his mantel. The bonus check for winning this thing this year has been bumped up to $15 million from $10 million in past years, and Brooks is all about those big prizes in the sport.

He's one of the fortunate ones to really have a shot at doing so this week, but his positioning here is all because of another strong year he had from start to finish. With less than 10 guys realistically having a shot to win in this new format, getting Koepka at +500 odds in what is essentially a nine-man field who's three shots back with four days to go in that scenario is something that's tough to pass up.

Golfers to Watch (Starting without Fed-Ex Cup strokes):

Hideki Matsuyama (+1800) – Matsuyama is a guy that's on the fringe in terms of winning it with the starting strokes at +3300, but his seven-shot deficit probably ends up being a bit too much to overcome in the end. If there is a guy who can go low on any given day it is Matsuyama though, and if you are of the mindset that someone from the chase pack will catch and surpass all the leaders, Matsuyama's name definitely should be considered.

But in the situation where all 30 guys are starting at Even par, Matsuyama is still worth a wager at +1800, as he's got some great current form right now considering half of his rounds at the BMW were scores of 63, and he's a guy that's known to win in these short, elite fields before with his WGC success. He's also got a pair of Top 5 finishes at East Lake in the past three years alone, and for a guy with as much talent as Matsuyama has and has yet to break through on the Major circuit, claiming the Tour Championship (in some version of it), would help him continue that climb into his prime.

Bryson DeChambeau (+4000) – With the hot topic in today's game being all about pace of play and DeChambeau being the face many point to for slow play now, it could be fitting in a maniacal sort of way for DeChambeau to have the best four-round score of anyone this week, as he goes out to prove that he needs all the time he takes between shots to perform at his best.

But it was last year that DeChambeau remembers the most in all likelihood this week as he came into this week last year in great position having won the first two events of the playoffs. But a stumbling 19th place finish here at East Lake took him out of contention there, and it was a great learning lesson for him. Now 12 months later, DeChambeau has little shot at overcoming the starting stroke deficit he begins with, but all else being even, I do expect him to be among the leaders this week.

From a game theory standpoint, the guys who are way down the staggered leaderboard have no real choice but to go pin seeking from the outset. The prize money is good for everyone in the field (30th makes close to $400K), so what's the harm in going for broke early, hoping you catch fire and climb back into contention. DeChambeau's got just the long game to excel in that type of proposition, and knowing he'll be aggressive from the start is never a bad thing when you got 40-1.

And for a Tour that's literally a week away from the end of the season and then discussing how better to implement slow play penalties, to have the “slow play” era end with a Bryson DeChambeau win (in a way) would be poetic justice to this “era” of golf.
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Top Stories

    Sphobet’s Sportsbook Gives Users the Freedom to Bet from Any Device and in Real Time Bet in Real Time From Any Device An Indonesian sports betting platform for web, Android, and iOS, Sphobet is changing the betting game with real time, almost instantaneous bets on live sporting events all over the country and indeed, the world.
    5 Common Golf Injuries Five Common Golf Injuries Golf is one of the most popular sports in the world, and it is particularly good for those who are older as it is a great way of keeping fit and healthy as much as possible. Make sure you think about what it takes to improve this as much as you can, and do what it takes to make the most of this. If you are someone who enjoys golfing, you need to be clear about the injuries you might pick up as a result.
    The Best UFC Fighters of the Last Decade Best UFC Fighters of Last Decade Over the past ten years, mixed martial arts, or MMA, has gone from strength to strength, rising from scattered, little-known competitions without much recognition, to a sport that now challenges established fighting sports, from boxing to traditional martial arts like Judo, for fan numbers and viewing figures.
    Online Casinos- a fun hobby to burn time in Quarantine How Casino's are Impacted by Quarantine Many citizens like to spend their time playing around in casinos, betting their money and enjoying the thrill that comes with the games of chance and skill that are designed to keep the player on their toes always wanting to play more and more.
    Eagles Trade For Darius Slay, 3/20/20 Philly a top contender in NFC Eagles bring in Darius Slay The Philadelphia Eagles addressed a need in the secondary on Thursday morning by trading for Darius Slay. How does it impact their Super Bowl odds?
    Dana White Insists UFC 249 Will Go Ahead, Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Tony Ferguson Prediction White Insists UFC 249 is Still On Almost every major sport has been put on hold due to the coronavirus pandemic, but Dana White has insisted UFC 249—and the lightweight championship bout between Khabib Nurmagomedov and Tony Ferguson—will go ahead as planned.
    Wrestlemania 36 Odds 3/19/20, WWE to hold two-day event in April Wrestlemania 36 Odds The biggest event in sports entertainment was scheduled to take place in Tampa on April 5, but due to the coronavirus, Wrestlemania is going under a number of changes.
    AFC East Predictions, 3/20/20 Are Patriots Still Good Bet to Win Division? AFC East Predictions: Pats Still Best Bet? Despite losing Tom Brady, are the Patriots still the best bet to win the AFC East in 2020-21? Or has the Bills surpassed New England as the new king? Let’s examine the latest odds and make a prediction pre-draft.
    NBA Criticized for Testing Players, 3/20/20 Can League Salvage Season? NBA Criticized for Testing Players NBA commissioner Adam Silver hopes to “salvage” the 2019-20 season, but also noted that he does not know if or when the season will resume. Can the league season be saved following its suspension due to COVID-19?
    NFL Conference Championship Odds, 3/19/20 Saints Still Team to Beat in NFC? Saints, 49ers Top Teams to Win NFC? Despite Tom Brady joining the NFC South, are the New Orleans Saints still the team to beat, not only in that division, but the entire conference? At least one group of oddsmakers believes that to be the case, although the Saints have company at the top.