Welcome, Guest
Username: Password: Remember me
Read and discuss F1 Indy Car, NASCAR Sprint Cup, Xfinity & Camping World Truck Series News, Betting, Odds, Trends, Picks and Predictions

NASCAR Darlington 400 Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends

NASCAR Darlington 400 Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends 1 month 3 weeks ago #521182

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 43178
  • Thank you received: 336
  • Karma: 61
Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 5/17/20
The administrator has disabled public write access.

NASCAR Darlington 400 Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends 1 month 3 weeks ago #521183

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 43178
  • Thank you received: 336
  • Karma: 61
NASCAR Cup Series
Darlington 400 Betting Picks
Date: Sunday, May 17, 2020
Venue: Darlington Raceway
Television-Time: FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET
We’ve got NASCAR racing and we’ve got NASCAR Darlington 400 Picks this weekend so all the awful news going on in the world gets put to rest for a couple of hours for Sunday’s 400-mile race at Darlington Raceway. When the green flag drops Sunday it will have been 70 days since the NASCAR Cup Series last raced at Phoenix Raceway.

But this isn’t just an ordinary race. No fans will be in the stands and there will be no practice or qualifying which puts most of the pressure on the guys at the garage in Charlotte to get the set-up perfect and then the other half of the equation is on the crew to make the proper changes during the race.

“It will be really interesting,” Chase Elliott said. “NASCAR has never seen anything like what we are about to see this year. Showing up and just racing without any on-track time or any prep inside the car is super unorthodox and has never really even been considered until this. It’s exciting to have something new and I’m excited that we are going to be back on TV and give our fans something to watch. I think the silver lining is that we are going to be able to offer something to our viewers on TV.”

Yes, we certainly are starving out here for some real racing and appreciate NASCAR getting a plan together as they join UFC to be the only major American sports leagues to defy the virus. While I enjoyed iRacing’s Pro Invitational Series driven by the Cup drivers on simulators, the last two weeks of it had me wanting the real stuff like an addict out of crack.
Handicapping Darlington 400 Picks
The first thing to do in the handicapping process is getting back into the mode of where we were in the season after four races: Denny Hamlin won at Daytona, Joey Logano won at Las Vegas, Alex Bowman won at Fontana, and Logano won at Phoenix. Four races and three different race packages.

So rather than looking at Daytona and Phoenix for any answers to who will win on Sunday, I look at Las Vegas and Fontana because both were using the 550 horsepower package with the tiny spoiler that will be used at Darlington this Sunday and then again on Tuesday night, as well as the two traces at Charlotte next week.

My takeaway from those races was that Team Penske and Hendrick Motorsports, along with the new Camaros in general, were vastly improved from the 2019 version of this race package when Joe Gibbs Racing won nine of the 18 races. The Gibbs cars didn’t look the same as last season and while Kyle Busch was runner-up at Fontana, Erik Jones, Martin Truex Jr., and Hamlin didn’t look as strong.

Because of a late pit sequence at Las Vegas with five laps to go, the final results look a bit weird and only three drivers finished in the top-10 of both Vegas and Fontana -- Kevin Harvick, Jimmie Johnson, and Brad Keselowski. But underneath the box score, there is a driver that has been dramatically undervalued by the sportsbooks because he didn’t finish well in either, despite having a dominant car in each. Perhaps the odds are a reflection of the long delay between races and the books not remembering.
NASCAR Cup Odds - Darlington

Kevin Harvick +450
Kyle Busch +450
Joey Logano +700
Brad Keselowski +800
Chase Elliott +850
Denny Hamlin +850
Martin Truex Jr. +950
Erik Jones +1300
Kurt Busch +1600
Alex Bowman +2000
More Future Odds...

Ryan Blaney opened 30/1 odds (Bet $100 to win $3,000) at Circa Sports in Las Vegas and was bet down to 19/1 quickly. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened him 20/1 and William Hill sportsbooks opened him 22/1. But he should probably be in the 12/1 range with Elliott and Bowman.

Blaney was the driver leading at Las Vegas with five laps to go and despite not needing fuel, the team opted to get fresh tires. Joey Logano stayed out and won, Blaney finished 11th. At Fontana, he started 16th and found his way to the front quick leading a total of 54 laps finishing second in the first stage, first in the second stage, and then a tire started to go down in the third stage.

“Racing happens. Just corded a right rear there at the end and gave up a good finish,” Blaney told Fox. “Just lost the lead. They got (Bowman’s) car better, I just got kind of too loose at the end there.
NASCAR Betting Analysis - Darlington
So Blaney had some bad luck. It happens all the time. But it doesn’t take away his blistering speed with this package and his results don’t show he can win, but having bets on him in each of those races I can say I felt like he was going to cash in each, especially after Elliott had a tire go down in Las Vegas after leading 70 laps and winning the first two stages.

Elliott is also part of my betting strategy this week in odds to win and driver match-ups. Brad Keselowski, who won at Darlington in 2018, is also on my list at 10/1 odds to win due to always running well at Darlington with a 10.7 average finish. He’s led laps in his last six races there.

Denny Hamlin (7/1) has always figured out the key to keeping the "Lady in Black" off his back. In 14 Cup starts he has a 7.7 average finish with two wins and 562 laps led. He also has five Xfinity Series wins. His key to success has been saving his tires at the start of a run by not making any wild movements and running a steady line. When other drivers start to have their tires wear down after 20 laps, Hamlin maintains his speed close to his first lap. His teammate Erik Jones (15/1), last year’s winner, has also followed the tire gameplan to perfection and has a 4.6 average finish in three Cup starts which is the best among active drivers.

The Chip Ganassi Racing Camaros driven by Kurt Busch (19/1) and Matt Kenseth (40/1) should both be looked at for a bet as well. Busch doesn’t have a win at Darlington in 23 Cup starts, but he was runner-up in the most exciting Darlington race ever held in 2003 when he bumped and banged with Rickey Craven for the final 27 laps. Last season he led 94 laps there before finishing seventh.

Kenseth comes in rusty as he takes over the No. 42 formerly driven by Kyle Larson, but at this stage everyone is rusty. His 2013 win at Darlington was the last race held there in May. He gets the saving tire strategy and he’ll have a great car set-up. Larson had a 6.6 average finish between his six cup starts there.

Logano has been left off my betting list and that scares me. He could be a problem after getting his only top-fives on the track in three of his last five starts there. More so, the issue is he’s got a really fast 550 HP package.

Enjoy the race y’all. We’ve earned this. And I think we also deserve to cash a few tickets.

I'll be back for more on Monday evening with betting information on Tuesday's Darlington race.
Darlington 400 - Top-5 Finish Prediction
1) #12 Ryan Blaney (22/1)
2) #11 Denny Hamlin (7/1)
3) #9 Chase Elliott (12/1)
4) #2 Brad Keselowski (10/1)
5) #1 Kurt Busch (19/1)
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Top Stories

    4 Things Every Beginner Sports Bettor Needs To Know Four Keys for Sports Bettor Beginners Over the past few years, the emergence of sports fantasy has led to a significant change in conventional sports fantasy. Where gambling has been frowned upon in society as a stigma, the American culture is more open towards betting, and there are a lot of people who are trying to establish a million-dollar industry based on it.
    Most Powerful Punchers in Boxing Most Powerful Punchers in Boxing Heavyweight boxing has seen some ruthless warriors in the ring throughout the years. Fighters with huge hits are still emerging today too, and if betting in Indiana, you can access some top-drawer markets for the largest fights in the game right now. These markets coincide with exciting bonuses too, so you are not short on options.
    Six Tips for Sports Betting in 2020—New Tactics Six Tips & Tactics for 2020 Sports Betting You’ve heard countless stories of how people made millions betting on sports. But you tried their tactics and failed. What should you do? What tips can you follow to win sports bets consistently?
    5 Teams That Are In the Best Position Sign Colin Kaepernick Five Teams in Position to Sign Kaepernick It is increasingly looking more likely that Colin Kaepernick will return to the NFL. The reality is that the former San Francisco 49ers quarterback and one time champion of the NFC, has not been involved in an NFL game since 2016.  But the pressure to get him back to the fold is becoming very strong. There are indications that some teams are showing interest in getting his signature in 2020, for the first time since his NFL-orchestrated workout in 2019.
    Mike Tyson Making His Boxing Return with $20 Million Opportunity Tyson to Make Boxing Return? If you like to bet on boxing fights, then there’s something exciting to look forward to. Mike Tyson, loved by many, is going to make a return, especially now with a $20 million opportunity. So, if you want to see him boxing again, expect to see something from him very soon.
    The Return of the Premier League: What Does it Mean for Sports Bettors? The Return of the Premier League Finally, there is some good news for football lovers! The Premier League resumption date has been confirmed to return on 17th June.
    Need a Change from Traditional Sports? Try Betting on These Markets Need a Change? Try Betting These Markets The world of betting has come a long way in the internet age, and it now spans way beyond picking the winner in a traditional sports game.
    Will Jordan Love selection spur on Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay? Will Love Selection Spur Rodgers in GB? The Green Bay Packers dropped a huge hint over the future of quarterback Aaron Rodgers by picking Jordan Love in the 2020 Draft. The 36-year-old has been outstanding during his 12-year run as the starting quarterback, inheriting the position in difficult circumstances from Hall of Famer Brett Favre. He ensured that the Packers would remain one of the NFL’s most competitive teams, bringing another Vince Lombardi Trophy back to the Titletown with their triumph in the 2010 season.
    NASCAR Cup Series Preview: Who has the edge at Darlington Raceway? NASCAR Cup Series Preview: Darlington There is perhaps no safer place to be, within the grip of a global pandemic, than the alone in the driver’s seat of your trusty car. Windows up, the solo passenger, the virus has no means of spread. The only danger is not getting into an accident.
    Betting On Virtual Motorsports Betting On Virtual Motorsports Virtual motorsport races are drawing a lot of attention from sportsbooks and their players. For those in the sports betting world, the cancellation of major sports has left us with few wagering options. But while fans of basketball, baseball, or hockey are patiently waiting to see their favorite players return to action, motor racing bettors don't have to wait at all. Competitive motor racing barely missed a beat when COVID-19 shut down sports worldwide, thanks to the realism of virtual racing simulators. These programs are used regularly by drivers to keep their skills sharp without the high cost of real track practice. Therefore, many of the top racers in the world entered eSports tournaments just days after real-world events were canceled. The first of these events were held in March and became so popular that sportsbooks began to take notice and offer odds. This is an excellent opportunity for any bookmaker to use the momentum of this sport to fill the gaps left in the absence of most leagues. The success of these events just goes to show how far the realism of simulation racing has come in the eSports era. With professionals now involved, along with the sanctioning bodies of F1, NASCAR & IndyCar, sim racing has been put into the spotlight. Make no mistake; the age of competitive virtual motorsports is upon us. With that in mind, let's explore the big three leagues going on right now that you can bet on. eNASCAR iRacing Pro Invitational Series The NASCAR season was put on hiatus after just four races, but a new form of the sport is experiencing an explosion in popularity. The NASCAR iRacing Pro Invitational was created to pick up where the Cup Series left off and use the iRacing platform to finish the season. Taking place each Sunday, this series pits NASCAR drivers and dignitaries against one another on a virtual track. Names such as Dale Earnhardt Jr., Denny Hamlin, Jeff Gordon, and Kyle Bush are a big reason for the early success. The iRacing platform makes the action feel as genuine as possible and is used for training on off days. Denny Hamlin suggested that around half of the people who work for or with NASCAR already have home setups, including wheels and pedals in their homes. This allowed for a quick transition for many races from the real to the digital world. The success of this new form of competition has been undeniable. The races run so far have been watched by hundreds of thousands of people worldwide to rave reviews. The odds are available now for upcoming races at Dover and Martindale speedways. William Byron is 3/1 favorite to win both after taking the checkered flag in the last two races and Top-8 finishes in the other two. Timmy Hill is also a guy to keep an eye on. Hill has finished in the Top-3 in all but one race this year and is 15/2 heading into Dover. INDYCAR iRacing Challenge iRacing has also teamed up with INDYCAR to host a virtual racing series while real races are on hold. The competitors are a mix of NTT INDYCAR Series drivers, along with some special invitees such as F1 racer Lando Norris. Norris was a special guest driver for Arrow McLaren for last week's race at the Circuit of the Americas. The 20-year-old dominated the field in fact as he beat out the other 33 drivers on the virtual road course in Texas. Norris had more than 20,000 viewers watching his Twitch stream alone. The races last around 70 minutes and are broadcasted live on NBCSN with live commentary just like a day at the track would have. There is even a pre-race show featuring a national anthem presentation and more. The list of drivers includes seven Indianapolis 500 winners and features names like Josef Newgarden, Scott Dixon, Ryan Hunter-Reay, and Simon Pagenaud. F1 eSports Virtual Grand Prix Series With the real-world Formula 1 series postponed, the F1 eSports Virtual GP series has stepped into the spotlight. Professional drivers, retired legends, full-time gamers, and celebrities go head to head in events that mirror the real-life series. This gives bettors a chance to continue watching and wagering on competitive racing on weekends. The major difference with the F1 Virtual Series is the platform that is utilized. Formula One has its own branded title developed by Codemasters. While not as realistic as the iRacing software, it is still a popular alternative for fans to watch. It must also be mentioned that this series is not a part of the competitive eSports series that is also currently active. This series is more of an exhibition event and features racers of varying driving and gaming talent. Races are 28 laps or less and follow qualifying to determine the starting positions for each race. The first race saw participants ranging from current F1 drivers Nicholas Latifi and Lando Norris, reserve talent Stoffel Vandoorne and Esteban Gutierrez, and legend Nico Hülkenburg. Formula 2 racers, Academy drivers, and pros from other series filled out the starting grid. Odds for these events have been popular betting options over the last few weeks. Heading into the next event, Team Renault is favorites to win a 4/1 with McLaren (5/1) and Mercedes (6/1), taking the next two spots on the odds board. The latter is an interesting play at those odds considering Guiterrez and Vandoorne are both F1 test drivers and gamers, making Mercedes a strong contender. These are just three of the major series going on right now, but IMSA, Porche, and the WRC all have eSports events running on a weekly basis. These series will continue to run and provide betting options even when real-world racing returns to action. This is the perfect time for the sports betting industry to embrace not only eSports but the competitive virtual racing scene. PayPerHead® agents can stand to benefit massively from this emerging sport. Especially during these trying times, having a weekly event for fans to bet on is a powerful thing. Any time you can get your clients interested in new events is time well spent. If your pay per head service provider does not include eSports on their list of odds, then it might be time to find a better option. At PayPerHead®, we pride ourselves on offering odds on a slew of virtual and simulation sports to keep your players busy while we await the return of major sports nationwide. If you are ready to switch providers to a company that offers a better variety of odd, then head over to the PayPerHead® and see what offers we have for new clients today!