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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, October 31st, 2017

MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, October 31st, 2017 8 months 2 weeks ago #458875

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MLB betting trends, odds and predictions for Tuesday, October 31st, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, October 31st, 2017 8 months 2 weeks ago #458876

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HOUSTON (111 - 67) at LA DODGERS (113 - 62) - 8:15 PM

JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. RICH HILL (L)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 53-53 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 64-77 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 111-67 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 28-18 (+8.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 55-33 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 45-20 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 39-23 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 42-27 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VERLANDER is 35-12 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 13-5 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 106-125 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 149-108 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 33-27 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
VERLANDER is 2-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 0.700.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

RICH HILL vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HILL is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.098.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.6 units)


HOUSTON @ LA DODGERS
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
LA Dodgers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
LA Dodgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston


StatFox Super Situations

HOUSTON at LA DODGERS
Play On - Home teams (LA DODGERS) allowing 4 or less runs/game on the season (NL) against opponent top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season 113-69 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.1% | 43.7 units ) 12-11 this year. ( 52.2% | 1.5 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

HOUSTON at LA DODGERS
HOUSTON is 46-19 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in Road games as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The average score was: HOUSTON (6.5) , OPPONENT (4.4)
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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, October 31st, 2017 8 months 2 weeks ago #458877

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MLB World Series

Houston @ Los Angeles
Astros are 2-5 on road in playoffs, outscored by opponents 42-21. Under is 7-5-1 in their last 13 games. Dodgers are 9-4 in the playoffs, 5-2 at home. Since 1903, the Game 5 winner when series was tied 2-2 is 28-14 in that World Series.

Verlander is 8-0, 1.45 in one starts for the Astros; he also won a game in relief. Four of his last five starts went over the total. Houston is 4-0 in his road starts. He is 1-0, 2.57 in two starts against the Dodgers this season and is 11-5 with a 3.28 RA in 21 career playoff games (20 starts).

Hill is 3-2, 2.14 in his last eight starts, 0-0, 2.77 in three playoff starts this month (13 IP total in 3 games). Three of his last four starts went over. Dodgers are 10-7 in his home starts; he is 1-2, 3.72 in seven career playoff starts, 0-0, 2.25 in one starts against the Astros this season.

Armadillosports.com
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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, October 31st, 2017 8 months 2 weeks ago #458878

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Astros look to win the World Series Tuesday
By: StatFox.com

The Dodgers will be trying to force a Game 7 when they take on the Astros in Game 6 on Tuesday.

It’s hard to even put into words how wild Game 5 was between the Astros and the Dodgers, but it’s worth noting that Houston overcame multiple three-run deficits to ultimately take a 3-2 series lead. The Astros will now be sending RHP Justin Verlander (4-0, 2.05 ERA, 29 K in postseason) to the hill on Tuesday and the expectation is that the veteran ace will be able to shut it down and bring Houston a World Series victory. Los Angeles, however, will have LHP Rich Hill (0-0, 2.77 ERA, 19 K in postseason) on the mound and Hill is no slouch himself. He was one of the better pitchers in the National League when healthy this season and the Dodgers are going to be comfortable with the lefty out there for them in this one. The one thing Los Angeles will, however, have to do is trust in Hill to get out of jams in the middle innings. The team has had a short leash with Hill in the postseason and that can’t be the case on Tuesday. The Dodgers have dug themselves a hole in this series by burning their bullpen and they need to make sure they have fresh arms out there in this one.

With one win to go to win a World Series, the Astros couldn’t possibly be happier to have Justin Verlander on the mound for them. Verlander has been absolutely insane in the playoffs, as he has allowed a total of six earned runs in 28.0 innings pitched as a starter for Houston. Verlander was great against this Dodgers team in Game 2, as he gave up just three earned runs in six innings of work. The righty didn’t even have his best stuff in that game, so look for him to be even better this time around. He’ll just need to avoid giving up homers, which is something he couldn’t do in Game 2. The Dodgers homered twice off of him in that one and he’ll be hoping to prevent that here. On offense, the Astros will be able to lean on SS Carlos Correa, OF George Springer and 2B Jose Altuve in this game. All three came up huge for Houston last game and it’s just hard to imagine them not finding a way to produce here. That is especially true for Altuve, who is batting .344 with seven homers and 13 RBI during the postseason.

Rich Hill is going to be starting for the Dodgers on Tuesday and the lefty pitched well in his last trip to the mound. He started Game 2 against Verlander and allowed just one earned run in four innings of work. Hill struck out seven in that game and threw just 60 pitches. A lot of people have called his removal in that game a mistake, so expect manager Dave Roberts to have a longer leash with him. Hill is capable of throwing least 90 pitches in any given start, so the Dodgers should leave him in as long as he is performing at a high level. On offense, the team will be counting on SS Corey Seager, 3B Justin Turner and 1B Cody Bellinger here. Both Seager and Bellinger are lefties, so they have an advantage facing a righty like Verlander in this one. Bellinger was almost the hero in Game 5, as he was 2-for-5 with a homer and four RBI in that game. If he can keep swinging a hot bat then perhaps the Dodgers will still win this series.
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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, October 31st, 2017 8 months 2 weeks ago #458879

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World Series Game 6 Betting Preview
Covers.com

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Dodgers (-115, 7.5)

Justin Verlander was acquired to bolster Houston's starting pitching for a postseason run and the veteran right-hander has a chance to pitch the Astros to their first World Series title when he faces the host Los Angeles Dodgers in Tuesday's Game 6. Verlander received a no-decision in Game 2 and has never won a World Series game, going 0-3 with a 6.43 in four career starts with the Detroit Tigers and Houston.

The 34-year-old Verlander has more than does his job since joining the Astros - he is 9-0 with a 1.53 ERA in 10 total appearances (nine starts) - but fully understands one more big outing is needed. "These games are what it's all about," Verlander told reporters Monday. "These are the moments that you want to be a part of as a baseball player. It's everything you could ask for." Houston is in position to clinch after Sunday's 13-12, 10-inning victory, the second wild game of a World Series featuring a record 22 homers. "Obviously, we want to be the last team standing on the field, win the last game of the season, that's the goal," Los Angeles third baseman Justin Turner said at a press conference. "But you have literally the two best teams in baseball are going at it. It's the clash of the titans right now, and I don't think there's a single moment of this season that will be unforgettable."

LINE HISTORY: The moneyline for this critical Game 6 opened with the Dodgers as faily large home favorites at -125. Since opening last night the betting public has been on Verlander and the Astros, forcing books to drop the Dodgers down to the current number of -115. The total hit the betting boards at 7.5 and has yet to move.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Justin Verlander (4-0, 2.05 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (0-0, 2.77)

Verlander gave up just two hits in his Game 2 outing at Dodger Stadium but both were homers (to Joc Pederson and Corey Seager) as he gave up three runs in six innings. Not having a World Series win might be the lone thing missing from a stellar career resume that includes 11 career postseason victories. "As soon as the postseason starts, you're living or dying on every single pitch, and your whole team is living or dying on every single pitch," Verlander said. "It changes everything."

Hill was the recipient of a quick hook from manager Dave Roberts despite giving up one run and three hits and striking out seven in four innings in Game 2. Roberts hinted that Hill will have a longer leash in Game 6 and the 37-year-old proclaims himself ready for the task. "It's something that all of us have been preparing our entire careers for," Hill told reporters. "Going out there in Game 6 and having the ability to be in that position, and go out there and leave everything on the field, is just an amazing thought."

UMPIRE REPORT: Dan Iassogna

Dan Iassogna gets the home plate assignment Tuesday night for Game 6. During the 2017 season, home teams are an astronomical 21-7 (including one playoff game) which equates to a home winning percentage of 75 percent. In games in which the home team is -101 to -120 they went a perfect 6-0 with Iassogna calling balls and strikes.

TRENDS:

* Astros are 9-0 in Verlander's nine starts since joining the team.
* Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff home games.
* Dodgers are 5-1 in Hill's last 6 starts.
* Over is 6-1 in Astro's last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
* Astros are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles.

WALK OFF NOTES:

Dodgers' 1B Cody Bellinger is on a 4-for-7 roll with one homer, one triple and two doubles after opening the World Series with 13 hitless at-bats. Astros' OF George Springer reached base five times (three walks, one single, one homer) in Game 5 and has gone deep three times in the series.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the red-hot Verlander in Game 6, with 51 percent of wagers on the Astros. With another hot pitcher on the mound, bettors like the Under here with 51 percent of the totals wagers picking below the posted number.
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MLB Betting News and Notes Tuesday, October 31st, 2017 8 months 2 weeks ago #458893

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World Series Game 6 Best Bet
By Sportsbetting.ag

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Dodgers

Odds:
Houston (+105), L.A Dodgers (-115); Total set at 8

There is no question that this 2017 World Series will go down as one of the best matchups ever regardless of who ends up winning it all as the drama in every game so far has been through the roof. Many thought the Astros and Dodgers couldn't be able to top the wild Game 2 they had with five extra innings HR's, but Game 5 definitely topped it with all the twists and turns it had.

Houston's 13-12 victory will go down as one of the best World Series games ever for those who love to see offensive baseball – whether the balls are juiced or not – and now Houston gets a chance to close things out in Game 6 with their prized stud 11th hour acquisition Justin Verlander on the hill.

Will Houston win the franchise's first ever championship or will these L.A Dodgers force a Game 7?

After suffering the loss in a historic Game 5, Dodgers OF Yasiel Puig made it known to reporters that he was guaranteeing there would be a Game 7 in this series. Whether or not that ends up being the case, you've got to admire Puig's brash confidence minutes after losing a wild Game 5, but with Verlander on the hill it will be tough.

With how dominant Justin Verlander has been in the postseason, he and the Astros definitely deserve to be laying a few cents here, but the Dodgers as a small home favorite in the ultimate “must win” spot will surely get support.

Yet, I'm not looking to make a play on the ML for Game 6 as there is no question it could go either way. If you have series futures bets pending from any other point in this series, stepping out and hedging your wagers is an option depending on who you've got already in your pocket. Personally, I liked and took Houston before the World Series began and while the hedging is available too me here, I'm going to let it ride for at least Game 6 and reassess should Puig's claim come true and we get a Game 7.

What I am looking to make a play on for Game 6 is on the total. The last thing everyone remembers about this series is how many HR balls we had in Game 5 – and the entire series quite frankly – and with both bullpens overexposed and taxed, expecting a lot of runs will be a common refrain here.

However, with Verlander and Rich Hill – who many debated was pulled way too early in Game 2 – on the hill, and both bullpens needing some rest, I expect both of these starters to live up to their managers wishes and pitch deep into the game. Nothing more needs to be said about how good Verlander has been, but after Dodgers manager Dave Roberts took some heat for pulling Hill early in Game 2 to try and let his bullpen bring the game home, I don't think Roberts will make the same mistake again here, especially after basically his entire bullpen was used on Sunday night.

Secondly, no matter who was going to be on the rubber for this one, I'd have a tough time believing both offenses will shoot off as many fireworks as they did in Game 5. For one, it's a potential elimination game with a world championship on the line, and the series shifts back to pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium with last week's heat wave now moved on.

The pressure of the moment, the likelihood of some major offensive regression after Game 5, and the fact that we've got pitchers hitting in the order again all are boons to an 'under' play here.

Houston is on a 0-3-1 O/U run after scoring 5+ runs in their last outing and 8-19-3 O/U when facing a team that put up 5+ in their previous game. L.A has a 0-3-2 O/U run going in these playoffs following a day off and 1-4-1 O/U after scoring 5+ runs themselves last time out.

With umpire Dan Iassongna calling balls and strikes for this critical game,and his 1-3 O/U record in interleague affairs this year, and his 80-102-10 O/U mark behind the dish over the past five years, look for this game to be another instant classic for the 2017 World Series with the pitchers taking center stage and mowing down these flaming hot offenses with relative ease.

Best Bet: Under 8
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