NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Monday, March 8
CAA tournament (Harrisonburg, VA)
Drexel vs Northeastern
Drexel (10-7, 5-5)
— ranked #159 by KenPom
— Tempo: #336
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #3
— Opponents are shooting 50.8% inside arc (#212)
— Dragons won three of their last four games.
— Drexel has #43 eFG% in country (54.5% inside arc, #30).
— Drexel made 11-18 on arc in yesterday’s win over Charleston.
— Last 8+ years, Drexel is 4-8 in CAA tourney
Northeastern (10-8, 9-2)
— ranked #158 by KenPom
— Tempo: #239
— Experience: #321
— Continuity: #226
— Yesterday was Huskies’ first game in 18 days.
— Northeastern lost three of its last five games.
— Huskies get 38.7% of its points on arc (#26).
— Huskies played all five starters 31:00+ yesterday; three played 36:00+.
— Last 3+ years, Northeastern is 8-2 in CAA tourney.
— Northeastern won five in row, 10 of last 11 series games.
Elon vs Hofstra
Elon (9-8, 6-7)
— ranked #217 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #243
— Continuity: #61
— Elon won its last six games, after a 3-8 start.
— Elon is 1-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Elon has #247 eFG% in country (47.1% inside arc, #270).
— Elon was down 15 with 13:52 left Sunday; three starters played 35:00+.
— Elon won four of last five CAA tourney games.
Hofstra (13-9, 9-6)
— ranked #176 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #82
— Yesterday was Hofstra’s first game in three weeks.
— Hofstra lost three of its last five games.
— Opponents are shooting 51.6% inside the arc (#244).
— Hofstra played two guys 40:00 Sunday; they were down 7 in 2nd half.
— Hofstra won CAA tourney for first time LY, then there were no NCAA’s.
— Hofstra won last five series games.
Horizon tournament (@ Indianapolis)
Milwaukee vs Cleveland State
Milwaukee (10-11, 9-10)
— ranked #205 by KenPom
— Tempo: #91
— Experience: #164
— Continuity: #144
— Milwaukee won last three games, after a 2-9 skid.
— Two of their last three wins came in overtime.
— Milwaukee has #280 eFG% defense in country.
— Last 4+ years, Milwaukee is 6-3 in Horizon tourney.
Cleveland State (17-7, 7-4)
— ranked #156 by KenPom
— Tempo: #291
— Experience: #67
— Continuity: #114
— Cleveland State won seven of its last nine games.
— Vikings are grabbing 31.4% of their missed shots (#67)
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Cleveland State won its first tourney game LW in triple OT.
— Last 6+ years, Vikings are 6-6 in Horizon tourney.
— Teams split pair of games in Cleveland, January 22-23.
— Vikings won four of last five series games.
Oakland @ Northern Kentucky
Oakland (11-17, 11-10)
— ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #108
— Experience: #273
— Continuity: #273
— Oakland won three of its last four games.
— Three of their last five games went to overtime.
— Oakland has #340 eFG% defense in country.
— Last three years, Oakland has gone W-L in this event.
Northern Kentucky (14-10, 12-7)
— ranked #188 by KenPom
— Tempo: #323
— Experience: #298
— Continuity: #167
— Norse won nine of its last eleven games.
— NKU is 11-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— NKU grabs 34.5% of its missed shots (#22).
— NKU won this tournament the last two years.
— Norse won last four series games.
Summit League tournament (@ Sioux Falls, SD)
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State
Oral Roberts (14-10, 11-5)
— ranked #160 by KenPom
— Tempo: #46
— Experience: #232
— Continuity: #272
— ORU is 5-2 in their last seven games, 10-5 in last 15.
— Golden Eagles are shooting 38.5% on the arc (#14)
— ORU played three starters 37:00+ in yesterday’s win.
— Last 6+ years, Oral Roberts is 3-5 in Summit tourney.
South Dakota State (16-6, 10-3)
— ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #55
— Experience: #231
— Continuity: #14
— Jackrabbits won five of their last six games.
— They won their last three games, by 18-12-13 points.
— SD State is shooting 40.8% on the arc (#2)
— State won Saturday, had yesterday off.
— Jackrabbits won this tournament five of last nine years.
— Teams split pair of games in Tulsa February 13-14.
— Jackrabbits are 13-2 vs ORU in Summit meetings.
South Dakota vs North Dakota State
South Dakota (14-10, 11-4)
— ranked #172 by KenPom
— Tempo: #147
— Experience: #215
— Continuity: #311
— Coyotes won three of their last four games- they had Sunday off.
— Coyotes are 4-6 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— South Dakota is shooting 38.9% on the arc (#9).
— Last 8+ years, Coyotes are 5-8 in Summit tourney.
North Dakota State (14-11, 12-5)
— ranked #145 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #265
— Continuity: #246
— Bison won three of their last four games.
— ND State is best team in country on defensive boards.
— Bison won 69-65 Sunday, after leading by 22; they played three starters 34:00.
— Bison won this tournament the last two years.
— Bison won two of three games vs South Dakota this season.
— North Dakota State is 9-5 in last 14 series games.
MAAC tournament (@ Atlantic City)
Rider vs Canisius
Rider (5-16, 5-13)
— ranked #314 by KenPom
— Tempo: #193
— Experience: #214
— Continuity: #332
— Rider lost six of its last seven games.
— Broncs have #275 eFG% in country (45.9% inside arc, #300).
— Rider’s last two losses were both by three points.
— Last nine years, Rider is 3-8 in MAAC tourney.
Canisius (7-5, 7-5)
— ranked #231 by KenPom
— Tempo: #76
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #73
— Canisius won six of their last eight games.
— Griffins are shooting 29.7% on the arc (#324)
— Canisius hasn’t played a home game since January 2nd.
— Over last decade, Canisius is 4-10 in MAAC tourney.
— Teams split last ten series games.
— Last time they met in MAAC tourney was 2010.
SoCon tournament (@ Asheville, NC)
Mercer vs NC-Greensboro
Mercer (18-10, 9-9)
— ranked #127 by KenPom
— Tempo: #197
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #255
— Mercer won five of their last six games.
— Bears won here the last three days, giving up 59-61-59 points.
— Mercer played 7 guys yesterday; only two played more than 30:00.
— Mercer won last three days in their Cinderella run to this title game; the last five years, Mercer was 0-5 in SoCon tourney.
NC-Greensboro (20-8, 15-5)
— ranked #102 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #191
— Continuity: #90
— Spartans won five of their last six games.
— NC-Greensboro is shooting 30.2% on the arc (#313)
— UNCG played nine guys 10:00+ in yesterday’s win- they played last two days, Mercer played last three days.
— Last 4+ years, NC-Greensboro is 8-3 in SoCon tourney.
— UNCG beat Mercer twice this year, 81-68/77-74.
— Spartans won 10 of last 11 series games.
Sun Belt tournament (@ Pensacola, FL)
Appalachian State vs Georgia State
Appalachian State (16-11, 10-8)
— ranked #215 by KenPom
— Tempo: #312
— Experience: #142
— Continuity: #238
— App State won here last three days, ending a 1-6 skid.
— Their wins last two days were both in OT; all five starters played 40:00+ last night.
— ASU has #284 eFG%: they’re #283 inside arc, #241 on the arc.
— App State won last three days; last five years, App State was 2-5 in Sun Belt tourney.
Georgia State (16-5, 10-4)
— ranked #139 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #116
— Panthers won their last eight games overall.
— Georgia State scored 80+ points in four of last five games.
— Panthers never trailed in Sunday’s 84-73 win, but it was 72-71 with 5:27 left.
— Last 3+ years, Georgia State is 6-2 in Sun Belt tourney.
— App State won two of three games vs Georgia State this year.
— Panthers won seven of last ten series games.
WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas)
Saint Mary’s vs Gonzaga
Saint Mary’s (14-8, 5-6)
— ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #349
— Experience: #225
— Continuity: #234
— Gaels won three of their last four games.
— Opponents are shooting 45.1% inside arc (#23)
— Gaels are 1-7 this season vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Saint Mary’s is shooting 30.1% on the arc (#314)
— Last 5+ years, Gaels are 10-4 in WCC tourney
Gonzaga (24-0, 15-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #250
— Continuity: #180
— First game in nine days for Gonzaga.
— Gonzaga has ONE WIN this season by less than 11 points; that was December 2nd vs West Virginia (87-82).
— Zags are shooting 64.4% inside the arc (#1).
— Last eight years, Gonzaga is 20-1 in WCC tourney, winning it 7 times.
— Zags won both meetings this year, 73-59/87-65
— Gonzaga won 12 of last 14 series games.
Pepperdine vs BYU
Pepperdine (12-11, 8-6)
— ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #61
— Experience: #114
— Continuity: #56
— Waves are 2-7 this year vs teams in top 100.
— Opponents are shooting 27.6% on the arc (#4)
— Opponents are shooting 55.7% inside arc (#330)
— Last 3+ years, Pepperdine is 6-3 in WCC tourney.
BYU (19-5, 10-3)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #206
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #277
— First game in nine days for BYU.
— BYU has #20 eFG% in country; #25 inside arc, #33 on arc.
— Last four games, Cougars allowed 61.8 ppg.
— Last two years, BYU is 0-2 in A-14 tourney, scoring 57-50 points.
— These teams split a pair of games in late January.
— BYU won eight of last ten series games.
Nets vs. Heat NBA Prediction The second game of Sunday’s ESPN NBA double header takes basketball fans to Miami where the Heat will host the Nets at 3:30 p.m. ET. The Nets have been a good ATS play against the Heat but will they cover as a 5.5-point favorite today?
Pelicans vs. Knicks NBA Prediction The first game of ESPN’s NBA double header takes place at Madison Square Garden on Sunday where the Knicks will host the Pelicans at 1:00 p.m. ET. What’s the best play on the board when it comes to this matchup?
Tigers vs. A's MLB Prediction The A’s will go for a four-game sweep of the Tigers on Sunday when the two teams meet at 4:07 p.m. ET in Oakland. With Matthew Boyd set to oppose Chris Bassitt in the pitching matchup, are the A’s the best play on the board?
Dodgers vs. Padres MLB Prediction The Dodgers will go for a sweep of their NL West rivals the Padres on Sunday when the division foes meet at 4:10 p.m. ET in San Diego. Will the Dodgers complete the sweep of are the Padres a good bet as an underdog?
Capitals vs. Bruins NHL Prediction The Capitals have been a good bet in previous meetings with the Bruins, but Washington is playing the second game of a back-to-back set and is an underdog. Will the Caps still cash for bettors?
Warriors vs. Celtics NBA Prediction The ABC Saturday night matchup of the week in the NBA will take place in Boston where the Celtics will host the Warriors at 8:30 p.m. ET tonight. Will the Celtics cover as a 4.5-point home favorite or is there a better option on the board?
Jazz vs. Lakers NBA Prediction The Lakers will host the Jazz in a Saturday afternoon matinee when the two teams meet at 4:30 p.m. ET from STAPLES Center in L.A. With the Lakers catching 6.5 as a home dog and the total sitting at 216, what’s the best play when it comes to this matchup?
Dodgers vs. Padres MLB Prediction Following an epic series opener between the two teams on Friday, the Dodgers and Padres will meet again on Saturday night at 8:40 p.m. ET from Petco Park. Will the over cash again for bettors?
Rays vs. Yankees MLB Prediction The Yankees have had all sorts of issues with American League East rival Tampa to start the season and they’ll host the Rays again at 1:05 p.m. ET on Saturday. Are the Rays another wise bet this afternoon in the Bronx?
Blues vs. Coyotes NHL Prediction The Blues are one spot ahead of the Coyotes for a playoff spot but that could change depending on what happens on Saturday evening in Arizona. Will the Coyotes pull off a small upset against the Blues at 6:00 p.m. ET tonight?
