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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 3/5/21
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up Friday, March 5 Hawai’i @ Cal-Davis Hawai’i (10-8, 8-8) — ranked #201 by KenPom — Tempo: #228 — Experience: #201 — Continuity: #319 — Rainbows won three of their last four games. — Hawai’i split its six games on the mainland. — Rainbows are shooting 36.0% on the arc (#73) Cal-Davis (8-6, 5-3) — ranked #221 by KenPom — Tempo: #97 — Experience: #242 — Continuity: #71 — Aggies won last five games, two of them in OT. — Davis split its four D-I home games. — You’re reading ***************.com — Davis forces turnovers 23.7% of time (#10). — Hawai’i won last four series games. — Teams split last eight meetings played here. Atlantic 14 tournament (@ Richmond, VA) Duquesne vs St Bonaventure Duquesne (9-8, 8-7) — ranked #117 by KenPom — Tempo: #142 — Experience: #209 — Continuity: #119 — Duquesne won five of its last seven games. — Dukes are shooting only 30.1% on arc (#310), 64.5% on line (#327) — Duquesne trailed 52-44 with 7:14 left in yesterday’s upset of Richmond. — Dukes’ three seniors all played 33:00+ yesterday. — Last 11 years, Duquesne is 2-10 in this event, 1-4 last 5+ years. St Bonaventure (13-4, 11-4) — ranked #34 by KenPom — Tempo: #322 — Experience: #113 — Continuity: #29 — Bonnies won three of their last four games. — St Bonaventure has #25 eFG% defense in country. — Bonnies are grabbing 33.0% of their missed shots (#38). — Last nine years, Bonnies are 10-6 in A-14 tourney, 6-1 in their first game. — Bonnies beat Duquesne twice this year, 62-48/65-61. — Bonnies won 10 of last 11 series games. UMass vs Saint Louis UMass (8-6, 7-4) — ranked #110 by KenPom — Tempo: #39 — Experience: #332 — Continuity: #225 — UMass split its last six games overall. — Opponents are shooting 50.9% inside arc (#219) — Minutemen are shooting 32.8% on arc (#218)- they take lot of 3’s. — UMass had a stress-free win yesterday; no one played 30:00. — Last 6+ years, UMass is 4-6 in A-14 tourney. Saint Louis (13-5, 6-4) — ranked #40 by KenPom — Tempo: #200 — Experience: #124 — Continuity: #17 — Billikens won six of their last eight games. — Saint Louis is grabbing 36.5% of their missed shots (#9) — Opponents are shooting 45.5% inside arc (#32) — Last eight years, Billikens are 10-5 in A-14 tourney; they won last A-14 tourney, two years ago. — UMass lost 78-57 in Saint Louis, four nights ago. — Saint Louis won six of last seven series games. George Mason vs Davidson George Mason (13-8, 9-6) — ranked #124 by KenPom — Tempo: #192 — Experience: #233 — Continuity: #24 — Patriots won their last five games overall. — Mason is shooting only 62.6% on foul line (#335) — Patriots were down 8 with 17:11 left yesterday; three guys played 32:00+. — Last three years, George Mason went W-L in A-14 tourney. Davidson (12-7, 7-4) — ranked #70 by KenPom — Tempo: #351 — Experience: #184 — Continuity: #38 — Davidson is 5-2 in last seven D-I games (lost twice to St Bonaventure). — Wildcats are shooting 58.2% inside arc (#5). — Davidson is 8-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100. — Davidson is 9-4 in five A-14 tourneys, winning it in 2018. — Davidson won last three series games, by 22-5-15 points. Dayton vs VCU Dayton (14-8, 10-7) — ranked #80 by KenPom — Tempo: #299 — Experience: #119 — Continuity: #220 — Dayton split its last eight games overall. — Flyers are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#274) — Dayton has #19 eFG% in country (55.5% inside arc, #20) — Last 4+ years, Dayton is 1-3 in A-14 tourney, losing by 6-5-9 points. VCU (17-6, 10-4) — ranked #50 by KenPom — Tempo: #117 — Experience: #304 — Continuity: #282 — Rams lost two of last three games, after a 14-2 run. — VCU is forcing turnovers 24.0% of time (#7) — Rams are 8-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 100. — VCU went 1-2 in last three A-14 tourneys (22-6 in the nine before that) — Rams swept Dayton this year, 66-43/76-67 — VCU won six of last eight series games. Missouri Valley tournament (@ St Louis) Southern Illinois vs Loyola Southern Illinois (12-13, 6-13) — ranked #191 by KenPom — Tempo: #286 — Experience: #341 — Continuity: #286 — Salukis lost six of their last nine games. — Southern Illinois played three guys 34:00+ yesterday. — Opponents are shooting 54.4% inside arc (#310). — Last 8+ years, Salukis are 5-8 in Arch Madness (W-L four times) Loyola (21-4, 16-2) — ranked #12 by KenPom — Tempo: #337 — Experience: #38 — Continuity: #11 — Loyola won 14 of its last 15 games overall. — Ramblers are forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#36) — Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#37) — Last six years, Loyola is 7-5 in Arch Madness. — SIU got swept at Loyola last weekend, 60-52/65-58OT. — Ramblers won six of last eight series games. Evansville vs Indiana State Evansville (9-15, 7-11) — ranked #198 by KenPom — Tempo: #355 — Experience: #39 — Continuity: #233 — Evansville lost seven of their last eight games. — Purple Aces have #343 eFG% defense (bottom 15 in country) — Evansville gets 44.9% of its points on arc (#4). — Last 13 years, Evansville is 5-13 in Arch Madness, losing by 5-10 points last two years. Indiana State (14-9, 11-7) — ranked #120 by KenPom — Tempo: #216 — Experience: #179 — Continuity: #65 — Indiana State won 10 of its last 12 games overall. — Sycamores for turnovers 21.9% of time (#40). — ISU gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#29) — Sycamores lost in first round of this event last three years, by 11-7-22 points. — Indiana State swept Evansville this year, 76-70/87-73. — Sycamores won last eight series games. Northern Iowa vs Drake Northern Iowa (10-15, 8-11) — ranked #158 by KenPom — Tempo: #148 — Experience: #284 — Continuity: #193 — Panthers won four of their last five games. — You’re reading ***************.com — Opponents are shooting 54.2% inside arc (#304) — UNI played six guys 29:00 yesterday vs Illinois State. — Last 5+ years, Panthers are 10-3 in Arch Madness. Drake (24-3, 15-3) — ranked #53 by KenPom — Tempo: #257 — Experience: #83 — Continuity: #170 — Drake is down two starters to injury. — Despite that, Bulldogs won five of last six games. — Drake is shooting 54.9% inside arc (#25) — Last six years, Drake is 1-6 in Arch Madness. — Drake swept UNI this season, 80-59/77-69 — Teams split last ten series games, including pair of games in last two MVC tourneys. Valparaiso vs Missouri State Valparaiso (10-17, 7-11) — ranked #190 by KenPom — Tempo: #246 — Experience: #266 — Continuity: #110 — Valpo lost eight of their last 12 games. — Valpo is 1-8 vs top 100 teams this season (split with Drake) — Crusaders are shooting 30.2% on the arc (#310). — Valpo went 3-1 in Arch Madness LY, losing final to Bradley. Missouri State (16-6, 12-6) — ranked #90 by KenPom — Tempo: #123 — Experience: #212 — Continuity: #288 — Bears won seven of their last eight games overall. — Bears are #10 team in country on defensive boards. — Missouri State is shooting 56.7% inside arc (#12) — Bears went W-L in this event 5 of last 7 years, lost in first round other 2 years. — Missouri State won twice at Valpo in early January, 81-68/78-68 — Bears are 7-3 vs Valpo in MVC meetings. OVC tournament (@ Evansville) Jacksonville State vs Belmont Jacksonville State (18-8, 14-6) — ranked #155 by KenPom — Tempo: #300 — Experience: #51 — Continuity: #326 — Jax State won four in row, eight of last nine games. — Gamecocks played three guys 36:00+ in last night’s OT win. — Jax State is grabbing 32.0% of its missed shots (#58) — Last 4+ years, Gamecocks are 6-3 in this event. Belmont (25-3, 19-2) — ranked #86 by KenPom — Tempo: #66 — Experience: #281 — Continuity: #207 — Belmont lost two of three games, after a 21-game winning streak. — Bruins are shooting 60.0% inside arc (#3) — Six of their last seven wins were by 15+ points. — Last 4+ years, Belmont is 3-4 in this event, after going 76-12 in regular season — Belmont beat Gamecocks twice this year, 98-91/63-59 — Bruins won last four series games, after losing five in row before that. Eastern Kentucky vs Morehead State Eastern Kentucky (22-6, 16-5) — ranked #172 by KenPom — Tempo: #2 — Experience: #300 — Continuity: #211 — EKU won four in row, seven of last eight games. — Eastern Kentucky blew an 11-point lead, held off Austin Peay 70-67 last nite. — Three of their starters played 32:00+ vs Austin Peay. — Colonels are forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#6) — Last 6+ years, EKU is 2-2 in OVC tourney; last year was first time in five years they even made OVC tourney. Morehead State (21-7, 18-3) — ranked #136 by KenPom — Tempo: #302 — Experience: #203 — Continuity: #265 — Morehead won five in row, 17 of last 18 games. — Morehead has #43 eFG% defense in country. — Eagles are turning ball over 23% of time (#333) — Last 4+ years, Morehead is 3-3 in OVC tourney. — Morehead split pair of games with EKU back in December. — Teams split last eight series games. WCC tournament (@ Orleans Arena, Las Vegas) San Francisco vs LMU San Francisco (11-13, 5-9) — ranked #101 by KenPom — Tempo: #184 — Experience: #88 — Continuity: #163 — USF lost six of its last seven games. — 49.9% of their shots, 42.9% of their points come from behind the arc. — Dons are 7-2 vs teams ranked outside top 150. — Last 7+ years, Dons are 6-7 in WCC tourney. LMU (12-8, 7-5) — ranked #106 by KenPom — Tempo: #254 — Experience: #145 — Continuity: #203 — LMU won five of its last seven games. — Lions are turning ball over 23.0% of time (#334) — LMU is #3 team in country on defensive boards. — Last six years, Lions are 3-6 in WCC tourney. — LMU swept San Francisco this year, 68-60/68-63 — Teams split last 16 series games; USF beat the Lions 82-53 in LY’s WCC tourney. Santa Clara vs Pacific Santa Clara (11-7, 5-5) — ranked #150 by KenPom — Tempo: #85 — Experience: #109 — Continuity: #51 — Broncos are 5-7 in last 12 games, after a 6-0 start. — Santa Clara has #19 eFG% defense in country. — Santa Clara is shooting 28.9% on the arc (#333); they’ve got #312 eFG%. — Since 2005, Broncos are 0-9 in their second WCC tourney game, with five losses by 5 or fewer points. Pacific (9-8, 6-7) — ranked #122 by KenPom — Tempo: #255 — Experience: #45 — Continuity: #152 — Pacific won three of its last four games. — Tigers don’t shoot ball well (#283 eFG%) — Pacific gets 61.6% of its points inside arc (#2) — Last six years, Pacific is 1-5 in WCC tourney. — Santa Clara lost 79-58 at Pacific January 14. — Broncos won seven of last ten series games. |
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805IDAHO ST -806 E WASHINGTON
IDAHO ST is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons. 807ST PETERS -808 QUINNIPIAC ST PETERS are 29-16 ATS (11.4 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons. 809MONMOUTH -810 RIDER MONMOUTH is 18-7 ATS (10.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons. 811N ILLINOIS -812 C MICHIGAN N ILLINOIS are 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons. 815FAIRFIELD -816 MANHATTAN FAIRFIELD is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents in the last 3 seasons. 817BOSTON COLLEGE -818 MIAMI BOSTON COLLEGE is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons. 819MIDDLE TENN ST -820 FLA ATLANTIC MIDDLE TENN ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. 823HAWAII -824 CAL DAVIS HAWAII is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons. 825CANISIUS -826 SIENA SIENA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts since 1997. 827BALL ST -828 TOLEDO TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season. |
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