Welcome, Guest
Username: Password: Remember me
Read and discuss NBA and NCAA College Basketball News, Betting, Odds, Trends, Picks and Predictions

NBA Betting News and Trends For Monday 5/21/18

NBA Betting News and Trends For Monday 5/21/18 4 weeks 2 days ago #483044

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 19164
  • Thank you received: 42
  • Karma: 23
Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 5/21/18
The administrator has disabled public write access.

NBA Betting News and Trends For Monday 5/21/18 4 weeks 2 days ago #483054

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 19164
  • Thank you received: 42
  • Karma: 23
Monday's Playoff Essentials
May 21, 2018
By Tony Mejia

Eastern Conference Finals - Game 4 - Celtics lead 2-1
Boston at Cleveland (-6.5, 207), ESPN, 8:05 ET

The NBA Finals are back to being perceived as the Golden State Warriors Invitational after Sunday night’s 41-point point demolition of the Rockets.

The defending champs won all four quarters, taking the third by 10 and the fourth by 20, forcing Houston to falter immediately after halftime and ultimately, to quit over the final 12 minutes.

Because Houston is the only team with the firepower to be favored against Golden State the rest of the way, likely in Game 5 if they find a way to make Tuesday’s contest competitive, it’s understandable that some are already eyeing the draft and free agency. After being quieted by the Rockets’ dominant Game 2 win, those who like to cry about Kevin Durant damaging the NBA’s competitive balance by signing in Oakland are already belting out depressing songs in between their tears.

The Eastern Conference champion doesn’t have a chance to beat Golden State four times out of seven. Houston is still dangerous since it potentially still has a pair of home games remaining but seems likely to run out of bullets. For those reasons, that makes Monday night’s Game 4 in Cleveland potentially the most compelling playoff game we’ll be able to witness from here until June.


If the Celtics pull off the upset at Quicken Loans Arena, Monday night's Game 4 might be the final time we ever see LeBron James in a Cavs uniform. If there's a Game 6 or 7, those will obviously carry more drama. The same can be said about a Game 5 if Cleveland holds serve and evens things up. The fact that we can only all guess how this one is going to know makes this incredibly interesting, especially after what went down on Saturday night.

The Celtics didn’t show up. Head coach Brad Stevens, who can never be more valuable than elite players despite how foolish some have been by openly wondering whether a coach can be more important than the talent on the floor in today’s NBA, had no magical elixir to dispense or ingenious strategy to turn to.

LeBron James got help. Five other Cavs scored in double-figures. Not only that, but most were engaged on defense. Stevens’ very capable hands were tied, which sets up a Game 4 where he’ll need his team to show up in the same manner that it managed to at home, stifling the supporting cast while lifting one another up.

It remains to be seen whether that’s even possible in Cleveland.

Prior to Game 3, Jaylen Brown responded to a question about his team’s struggles on the road this postseason with a wait-and-see approach. As in, you wait and see what we’re going to do to the Cavs in front of their fans. Brown then came out and got into foul trouble, picking up two before five minutes were off the clock. He ended up with five, never got in a rhythm and finished 3-for-8, snapping a run of three straight games where he’d scored at least 23 points.

Rookie Jayson Tatum led Boston with 18 points on Saturday night and made six of his 10 shot attempts. He hasn’t scored 20 yet in this series after setting a Celtics playoff record with 20 or more points in seven straight contests against the Bucks and 76ers.

Point guard Terry Rozier, who has filled in admirably for Kyrie Irving, becoming a cult hero in the process, isn’t the same killer on the road that he is at TD Garden. If a team is making a run and you need a pull-up 3-pointer, Rozier fearlessly steps up. That’s his game. At home, he averaged 22 points per game in the first two round and came up huge with 18 points in Game 2 against the Cavs after scoring just eight in the series opener. After shooting 28-for-55 at home from beyond the arc in the first two series, he shot just 2-for-11 in the wins against Cleveland and shot 0-for-3 in Game 3.

Tatum, Brown and Rozier have been Boston’s top three scorers all postseason, each averaging over 17 points per game. If they can’t get it going against the Cavs, nothing Stevens can do from a strategy standpoint will stop James from rallying to win a third series after his team dropped the first two games.

Although he’s 2-4 in this situation, he’s done it in the conference finals against the Pistons in ’07 and the ’16 Finals vs. Golden State. He’s rallied the troops past better and more experienced teams than the current Celtics.

Al Horford and Marcus Morris, the team’s most experienced veterans, each performed horribly in Game 3, finishing with the worst two plus/minus figures in Saturday’s 30-point loss. The Celtics were outscored by 28 points when Morris was on the floor. The self-proclaimed LeBron stopper didn’t mince words in stating that his defense was horrible and nowhere near where it needs to be the other night. Horford, who set the tone with a brilliant Game 1, attempted just four shots in Game 3, matching a season-low.

Marcus Smart, whose energy, defense and passing created one game-changing opportunity after another in Boston, shot 2-for-9, missing all four of his 3-point attempts.

No, Stevens can’t accomplish anything if all his resources perform below expectations on the road. Cleveland should be concerned with the fact that his team can’t possibly play as poorly as they managed to in Game 3. Collectively, they let one another down. The young Celtics are 1-5 on the road this postseason, suffering every loss by double-digits and barely claiming the wing they did damage.

If they play Game 3 with nothing to lose, they’ve got a fighting chance since the Cavs are under pressure to even the series. Boston is 37-0 all-time after taking a 2-0 advantage but is playing with house money since few expected them to win this series when it began.

The Celtics were underdogs in the series even after winning Game 1 and were barely a 2-to-1 choice upon claiming the second contest. Following Cleveland’s impressive rout, Westgate Vegas lists Boston at -120 to reach the NBA Finals and has the Cavs as even money to get it done. If you listened and got in before Game 3, you’re sitting pretty so long as they’re able to hold serve here.

Tyronn Lue’s team is a 2.5-point favorite for the first quarter and a is laying four in the first half. The total, 100, offers up my recommended free play for you in this column since I think we’ll see both teams settle in and play a higher-scoring first 24 minutes than expected.

James got the help he needed from everyone in Game 3, but the player who stepped up first and was the most vital contributor was point guard George Hill. Not only did he outperform Rozier, but he also made it a point to be more aggressive, finishing 4-for-11 after scoring just eight points and taking eight shots combined in the first two games.

Kyle Korver went 5-for-5, making all four of his attempts from 3-point range, while Jordan Clarkson started to get loose in garbage time and could be a key contributor if he can successfully build upon the momentum he gained in building confidence by finishing 3-for-7 on 3s.

Cleveland is 6-0 at home this postseason after suffering an upset in Game 1 of the playoffs against Indiana. The Cavs have notched blowout wins where everyone showed up and nail-biters were James saved them, so they’re not worried about style points here.

Consider that and the fact Boston can’t play any worse as you consider whether to lay 6.5 points, which is the same number oddsmakers put out there after the first two embarrassing Cavs losses. A lot of people were tripped up by all those points, trusting what they saw in Boston would continue in Northeast Ohio.

They failed to consider that the Celtics are one team at home and another when faced to generate their own momentum on the road. They can’t play worse, but will they perform significantly better? Stevens is a championship coach, but is the group he’s throwing out there a team worthy of the NBA Finals?

We’ve been treated exclusively to blowouts thus far in the conference finals. Boston has the potential to end that if it can gain its bearings early. It’s on James and a supporting cast that again looks capable to prevent that from happening. Another compelling matchup awaits. As stated above, we’re not likely to get many more of these, so appreciate it.

Totals-wise, the number is also similar to where it resided for Game 3. Garbage time was cruel to over bettors since just two points were scored over the final two-plus minutes, so we’ll see if the posted total can be surpassed for the first time. If it closes over 207, it will be the highest figure of the series.

Game 5 will be played Wednesday night in Boston.
Last Edit: 4 weeks 2 days ago by Shazman.
The administrator has disabled public write access.

NBA Betting News and Trends For Monday 5/21/18 4 weeks 2 days ago #483055

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 19164
  • Thank you received: 42
  • Karma: 23
Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers (-6.5, 206.5)

Celtics lead series 2-1

For all the excitement they've provided as the overachievers in the NBA playoffs, the Boston Celtics have struggled to find success on the road, a trend they will try to reverse when they take on the host Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference finals on Monday. The Cavaliers followed up a pair of double-digit losses in Boston to begin the series before rolling to a 116-86 win in Game 3 back home.

Cleveland raced to a 20-4 lead and never looked back against a Celtics team that shot 39.2 percent from the floor and made six 3-pointers, their lowest total this postseason.

"The toughest team sets the rules," Boston point guard Terry Rozier told reporters. "They came out aggressive from the jump and never looked back. We've got to play aggressive from the tip. Tonight, we were all over the place, playing too fast and doing things we didn't want to do."

LeBron James scored 27 points on 8-of-12 shooting - including 3-of-3 from 3-point distance - and handed out 12 assists in a dominant all-around effort that got his team back in the series.

"Even when things broke down, we just covered for one another," James told the media. "We made them make extra passes. We made them make extra dribbles. We were flying around, and I just happened to be one of the guys on the floor that wanted to fly around as well."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

Note: Not every online sportsbook is the same. Thinking of placing a bet? Check which top rated sports betting sites have been reviewed first.

SERIES PRICE: Cavaliers +105, Celtics -125 (Betway.com)

LINE HISTORY: Cleveland opened as 6.5-point home chalk for Game 4 and briefly went up to -7 at some books before returning to the opening number. The total hit the betting board at 205.5 and has yet to move. Check out the complete line history here.

INJURY REPORT:

Celtics - PG Shane Larkin (Out Indefinitely, Shoulder), PG Kyrie Irving (Out For Season, Knee), PF Daniel Theis (Out For Season, Knee), SF Gordon Hayward (Out For Season, Ankle).

Cavaliers - No injuries to report.


ABOUT THE CELTICS: Boston is 1-5 on the road in the playoffs but it knows that a victory would've been elusive no matter where they played Game 3. "If we would have played like that in Boston, we would have gotten beat," coach Brad Stevens told reporters after his team also tied a playoff low with 16 assists while getting outrebounded 45-34. Jaylen Brown is averaging 11.3 points on 42.3 percent shooting in the past three road games - compared to 23.3 on 59.6 percent in the past three at home - after being limited to 10 points with one assist and three turnovers in Game 3.

ABOUT THE CAVALIERS: Starting guards George Hill and J.R. Smith combined to make six 3-pointers and score 24 points Saturday after they put up a pair of clunkers in Boston, while reserve sharpshooter Kyle Korver made all five of his shot attempts - four from long range - en route to 14 points in 20 minutes. Another complementary player stepped up on the defensive end as center Tristan Thompson stifled Celtics big man Al Horford, who was limited to seven points in Game 3 - his first single-digit showing since March 20. "You've got to give a lot of credit to Tristan because Horford is really the one that makes them go," teammate Kevin Love told the media. "[Horford] can play a little bit of the point forward. He can do a lot of the intangibles that even for their team might not show up on the box score as well. But he did a great job on him tonight, and he's done a great job on him the last two games."

TRENDS:

* Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 road games.
* Under is 5-0 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
* Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
The administrator has disabled public write access.

NBA Betting News and Trends For Monday 5/21/18 4 weeks 2 days ago #483067

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 19164
  • Thank you received: 42
  • Karma: 23
Boston Celtics vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Preview and Predictions 05-21-2018

20th May 2018 by Gracenote

for all the excitement they've provided as the overachievers in the nba playoffs, the boston celtics have struggled to find success on the road, a trend they will try to reverse when they take on the host cleveland cavaliers in game 4 of the eastern conference finals on monday. the cavaliers followed up a pair of double-digit losses in boston to begin the series before rolling to a 116-86 win in game 3 back home.

cleveland raced to a 20-4 lead and never looked back against a celtics team that shot 39.2 percent from the floor and made six 3-pointers, their lowest total this postseason. "the toughest team sets the rules," boston point guard terry rozier told reporters. "they came out aggressive from the jump and never looked back. we've got to play aggressive from the tip. tonight, we were all over the place, playing too fast and doing things we didn't want to do." lebron james scored 27 points on 8-of-12 shooting - including 3-of-3 from 3-point distance - and handed out 12 assists in a dominant all-around effort that got his team back in the series. "even when things broke down, we just covered for one another," james told the media. "we made them make extra passes. we made them make extra dribbles. we were flying around, and i just happened to be one of the guys on the floor that wanted to fly around as well."

tv: 8:30 p.m. et, espn

about the celtics: boston is 1-5 on the road in the playoffs but it knows that a victory would've been elusive no matter where they played game 3. "if we would have played like that in boston, we would have gotten beat," coach brad stevens told reporters after his team also tied a playoff low with 16 assists while getting outrebounded 45-34. jaylen brown is averaging 11.3 points on 42.3 percent shooting in the past three road games - compared to 23.3 on 59.6 percent in the past three at home - after being limited to 10 points with one assist and three turnovers in game 3.
about the cavaliers: starting guards george hill and j.r. smith combined to make six 3-pointers and score 24 points saturday after they put up a pair of clunkers in boston, while reserve sharpshooter kyle korver made all five of his shot attempts - four from long range - en route to 14 points in 20 minutes. another complementary player stepped up on the defensive end as center tristan thompson stifled celtics big man al horford, who was limited to seven points in game 3 - his first single-digit showing since march 20. "you've got to give a lot of credit to tristan because horford is really the one that makes them go," teammate kevin love told the media. "[horford] can play a little bit of the point forward. he can do a lot of the intangibles that even for their team might not show up on the box score as well. but he did a great job on him tonight, and he's done a great job on him the last two games."

buzzer beaters
1. james is averaging 34.5 points on 58.5 percent from the floor and 12 assists in the last two games, and he needs six made baskets to pass kareem abdul-jabbar (2,356) for the all-time nba playoff record.

2. celtics pg shane larkin (shoulder) has missed four straight games and there is no timetable for his return.

3. cavaliers pf larry nance jr. had eight points on 4-of-4 shooting to go along with six rebounds, three assists and three steals in game 3 after a pair of scoreless outings in boston.

prediction: cavaliers 108, celtics 101
The administrator has disabled public write access.

NBA Betting News and Trends For Monday 5/21/18 4 weeks 2 days ago #483068

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 19164
  • Thank you received: 42
  • Karma: 23
NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, May 21


BOSTON (65 - 32) at CLEVELAND (59 - 37) - 5/21/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 59-34 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOSTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 23-5 ATS (+17.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
BOSTON is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 22-48 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 9-8 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 12-6 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
The administrator has disabled public write access.

NBA Betting News and Trends For Monday 5/21/18 4 weeks 2 days ago #483069

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 19164
  • Thank you received: 42
  • Karma: 23
NBA

Monday, May 21

Trend Report

Boston Celtics
Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Boston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Cleveland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 13 games at home
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Boston
Cleveland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Top Stories