NBA betting trends, odds and predictions for Monday, November 20th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
The administrator has disabled public write access.
Jazz won nine of last ten games with Philly (6-4 vs spread); under is 7-1 in last eight series games. Utah is 3-1 vs spread in last four games in this building. Jazz lost seven of its last nine games but won by 40 in Orlando Saturday- Utah is 2-3 as a road underdog- four of their last five games went over. 76ers are 2-3 in last five games; they were up 22 at the half over Golden State last game, lost by 8. Sixers are 2-1 as home favorites; over is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Cavaliers won six of last eight games with Detroit; under is 5-2 in last seven. Cleveland is 1-3 vs spread in last four games in Motor City. Cavaliers won their last four games; seven of their last nine games went over- they’re 2-3 as road favorites. Pistons won six of their last eight games; their last three games stayed under. Detroit is 5-3 vs spread at home, all as the favorite. (7-1 SU)
Minnesota won its last two games with Charlotte, after losing the previous six; Wolves are 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this building. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Minnesota won three of its last four games; their last nine games stayed under the total. Wolves are 2-3 as road underdogs. Hornets lost six of their last seven games; over is 7-3 in their last ten. Charlotte is 4-0 as a home favorite.
Pacers won/covered nine of last ten games with Orlando; under is 5-3 in last eight. Indiana won/covered its last five visits to the Magic Kingdom. Pacers won four of last five games, three in row on road; they’re 5-3 as road underdogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Magic lost its last four games, losing by 40 Saturday; they’re 1-3 as home favorites. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.
Clippers are in freefall, losing their last eight games (1-7 vs spread); LA is 3-5 as a road underdog- three of their last four games stayed under the total. Knicks won five of their last six home games; they’re 4-0 as home favorites. Over is 6-2 in New York’s last eight home games. Clippers won their last ten games with New York (7-3 vs spread, under 7-3); they’re 5-0 vs spread in last five visits to Manhattan.
Memphis-Portland split their last ten games; Trailblazers are 2-2-1 vs spread in their last five visits to Memphis. Three of last four series games stayed under the total. Portland won three of its last four games; they’re 1-3-1 vs spread on road this year. Last seven Portland games stayed under the total. Memphis lost its last four games, both overall/at home. Under is 3-2 in their last five games.
Wizards won six of last eight games with Milwaukee; home side won six of last seven series games. Washington is 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Four of last six series games stayed under the total. Wizards lost their last two games, by 3-9 points- they’re 4-1 as road underdogs. Last eight Washington games stayed under the total. Bucks won four of their last five games; they’re 3-3 as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under.
Thunder won six of last seven games with New Orleans, covering last four; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Bourbon Street. Over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Oklahoma City won three of its last four games; they’re 2-5 as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over total. Pelicans lost last two games, are 0-3 vs spread in last three, but are 2-0 as home dogs. Over is 4-2 in last six New Orleans games.
Spurs won nine of last ten games with Atlanta, covering four of last five; Hawks are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Four of last five series games went over total. Hawks lost eight of last ten games; they’re 4-5 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. San Antonio won six of its last eight games; they’re 5-2 as home favorites. Three of their last four home games went over.
Celtics have won 15 in a row since an 0-2 start; they’re 4-1 as a road favorite. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Boston won its last two games with Dallas, after losing previous seven meetings- over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Celtics are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Dallas. Mavericks lost eight of their last ten games; they’re 3-5 as home underdogs. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.
Nuggets won their last three games with Sacramento, by 12-13-17 points; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Last four series games stayed under the total. Denver wins ix of its last nine games, but lost last three road games; they’re 1-6 vs spread on foreign soil. Three of their last four games went over total. Kings lost four of last five games; they’re 4-2 vs spread at home. Three of their last four games stayed under.
The administrator has disabled public write access.
NBA Pick 'n' Roll: Monday's Picks and Analysis
Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans (+2.5, 214.5)
The Thunder are struggling to win close games this season. Friday’s 104-101 setback at San Antonio brings their record to 0-4 in games decided by five or fewer points this year. OKC is second to last in clutch net rating (last five minutes of game with score difference no greater than five points) at -46.4. Last season the Thunder owned the second best clutch net rating.
It’s fair to say there was no confusion about what to do in late-game situations a year ago. Give the ball to Russell Westbrook and everybody else, get the hell out of the way. An offensive philosophy Doug Collins first popularized in his days as the Chicago Bulls head coach.
Things are a bit more confusing in late-game situations for Oklahoma City. Paul George and Carmelo Anthony were both accustomed to the offense running through them at their previous clubs and there seems to be a feeling out happening of who should be taking the shot rather than just running a good offensive set and producing a clean look.
Whatever struggles OKC is having on the offensive end, the club isn’t having any trouble at the other end of the floor. The Thunder own the third best defense in the Association with a 98.6 net rating.
Pick: Under 214.5
Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies (+2, 194)
The end of grit ‘n’ grind is here. The Grizzlies opened the season 5-1 and didn’t seem to miss departed players Zach Randolph and Tony Allen one iota. But they’ve now dropped seven of their last nine games and All-Star center Marc Gasol couldn’t hide his frustration after Sunday’s 22-point loss to the Houston Rockets.
“Defense doesn’t work if it’s four out of five guys, or three, or most of the time it’s two, but sometimes it’s three, sometimes it’s four,” Gasol told reporters. “Sometimes it’s five guys and we get stops for maybe 10-12 minutes. But it’s not enough. There’s no consistency. You might win games every now and then. You might even stay at .500. But that’s not what we’ve built here for 10 years. That’s not what we’ve stood for. To me, it’s embarrassing and sad.”
Gasol isn’t the type to criticize teammates so his words should carry some weight in the locker room. The Grizzlies just aren’t the same team with point guard Mike Conley. He’s missed the last two games and won’t return until December because of sore Achilles.
Pick: Grizzlies +2
Yesterday’s picks: 0-2
Season record: 32-35
*The under is 9-0 in the Timberwolves' last nine overall.
*The over is 8-2 in 76ers last 10 games overall.
*The under is 7-0 in the Blazers' last seven games.
*The under is 8-0 in the Wizards' last eight games.
Injury of Note
Patrick Beverly is set to make his return to the Clippers and not a moment too soon for LA backers. The starting point guard missed the last five games with a sore knee and the Clippers went 0-5 straight up and 1-4 against the spread in those games.
*The Hornets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
*The Pistons are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
*The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five games between the Cavs and Pistons.
*The favorite is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between the Pacers and Magic.
*The Clippers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.
*The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.
*The Celtics are 25-7-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.
About 70 percent of players are backing the Boston Celtics to cover as 7-point road favorites against the Dallas Mavericks on Monday night.
The administrator has disabled public write access.
Magic host Pacers
By: Sam Chase
The Magic and Pacers could both be fighting for playoff spots come spring.
The Orlando Magic were one of the big surprises in the earliest days of the NBA season, getting off to a 6-2 start that included blowout wins over Cleveland and San Antonio. They have since come back to earth somewhat, losing to Chicago and Boston at home in early November and going 1-3 on a Western Conference road trip a week later. After a Saturday night home game against the Jazz, the Magic will stay in Orlando for a Monday night matchup with the Pacers. Like Orlando, Indiana is hovering around .500 without giving a clear indication of exactly where it might be headed in the Eastern Conference standings. Indy has a full weekend with games on Friday (vs. Detroit) and Sunday (at Miami), and will be on the tail end of a back-to-back for Monday's showdown.
Indiana PG Darren Collison made franchise history on Wednesday night, becoming the first Pacer to ever score 30 points, shoot 12-of-12 from the line, rack up eight assists, and commit no more than one turnover. It was the best game of the season for the starting point guard, and his team came away with a 116-113 win in Memphis. It was a rare scoring outburst, as he hadn't hit double figures in any of his previous three games. Acquired in the offseason, SG Victor Oladipo has become a far better shooter and scorer than anyone expected. His 21 points against Memphis marked his fourth straight game with 20+ points, and he added six rebounds, three assists, two blocks and a steal. Also a talented perimeter defender, Oladipo has shown that he's a well-rounded player now that he's out of Russell Westbrook's orbit. Still only 25, Oladipo and 21-year-old C Domantas Sabonis (13.3 PPG, 9.5 RPG) have both quickly become essential parts of Indiana's young core. Also 21, C Myles Turner has to be happy to have the help. He's only played about half of the team's games thus far this year due to a fairly minor injury in October, but his 2.6 blocks per game would lead the league if he had logged enough time to qualify. SF Bojan Bogdanovic and PF Thaddeus Young have started every game this year in the frontcourt. Collison, Young, Sabonis, Bogdanovic and Turner were all averaging between 12.8 and 13.8 PPG going into their Friday night game against Detroit.
Entering the weekend, the Orlando trio of SF Evan Fournier, PF Aaron Gordon and C Nikola Vucevic each had a PER of 20.0 or higher. Both Vucevic and Gordon are attempting far more three-pointers than ever before and shooting them well. Gordon, in particular, has been shooting ridiculously well from the perimeter. While the 50% rate won't sustain, if he can finish the season north of even just 37% it will represent an incredible development in his game. He was also averaging slightly more rebounds per game than Vucevic, largely a byproduct of the center's migration to the three-point line. Fournier started off the season with 20+ points in eight of his first nine games, and while he's cooled off a bit since, he remains the team's most frequent high-scorer. Starting PG Elfrid Payton has been in an out of the lineup—mostly out—with injury, and one can't help but wonder if the team isn't better off without him. He still hasn't developed much of an ability to score, and his assist numbers approach the high single digits only infrequently. Free agent addition SF Jonathon Simmons has been a revelation in a bigger role than he had in San Antonio, as he was averaging 15.1 PPG in 25.3 MPG entering the weekend. Rookie PF Jonathan Isaac looks raw, which was expected.
The administrator has disabled public write access.
Monday's NBA Essentials
By Tony Mejia
Game of the Night - Oklahoma City at New Orleans
Anthony Davis caught an accidental head butt from Denver star Nikola Jokic in Friday's blowout loss and immediately left in the third quarter, but he got good news on Sunday when the was cleared after an examination, diagnosed with a contusion of the orbit bone above his right eye. The Pelicans (8-8 SU, 9-7 ATS) list him as probable for this one, so we'll get both teams at relatively full strength if wing defender Tony Allen is able to make it back from a knee issue.
New Orleans welcomed back Rajon Rondo last week and is still getting him acclimated, but comes in on a two-game losing streak after a 125-116 home loss to Toronto and a 146-114 loss at the Nuggets. This is an especially challenging week for New Orleans, who will play the Spurs on Wednesday before a Friday-Saturday back-to-back at Phoenix and Golden State. Despite DeMarcus Cousins joining Shaquille O'Neal and Moses Malone as the only players in NBA history to score 400 points and grab 200 rebounds over a season's first 15 games -- a feat that hadn't been accomplished since Shaq did it in 2000 -- the Pelicans open the week with just the seventh-best record in the conference, a half-game up on Oklahoma City (7-8 SU, 6-8-1 ATS) and slumping Memphis.
If you want to be optimistic about it, New Orleans hasn't had Rondo in play and needed to pick up Jameer Nelson just to give itself an extra playmaker alongside Jrue Holiday. The Pels have also lacked firepower on the wing, but are stuck with that predicament until Solomon Hill is able to return from a torn hamstring next month at the earliest.
Oklahoma City can identify with the slow start and getting a number of moving parts together, but certainly didn't anticipate being under .500 nearly one-fifth of the way in. The Thunder have shown signs of getting it together lately and would be coming into tonight's game above .500 if they hadn't blown a 23-point lead in San Antonio on Friday night, continuing a disturbing trend that has plagued new-look OKC over the first full month of action.
Russell Westbrook was the culprit, struggling to finish shots he typically makes in his sleep down the stretch. Paul George also missed multiple easy looks and failed to grab a key rebound on the defensive end in the 104-101 loss to the Spurs. Combined, Westbrook and George shot 10-for-38 and were brutal down the stretch. Carmelo Anthony scored a team-high 20 points but probably feels he didn't get the ball enough in the second half to keep the game from tightening back up in the first place. None said much to reporters about the brutal loss after the game, but among one another, need to continue to communicate and grow because that Friday night setback is the type that can linger if not addressed.
This is a big week for the Thunder, who welcome in Golden State on Wednesday, facing the team they envision facing as their primary playoff obstacle for the first time. Kevin Durant returning to Oklahoma City is always an event, but he enters the week questionable after missing Sunday's win in Brooklyn with a sprained left ankle.
It certainly feels like the Thunder are running into an ex with their hair messed up, as in they don't have their house in order just yet. They did at least got center Steven Adams back after a three-game absence due to a calf issue. Although OKC went 3-0 without him, it still missed his presence clogging up the paint and rebounding, so count on him being the x-factor against the NBA's most talented big-man tandem tonight.
Oklahoma City swept the season series between these teams 4-0 last season, but only one of those games was played after the Pelicans acquired Cousins. He and Davis combined for 69 points and 17 rebounds, but Cousins fouled out in just 22 minutes, dropping to 0-3 in his early stint in New Orleans. That game also saw Davis score 24 first-quarter points, so it will be interesting to see how the Thunder match up against him with the likes of Andre Roberson, George and Anthony all givng away tons of size. Expect constant double-teams, which will test whether the other Pelicans can take advantage, something that has largely eluded them thus far.
Rondo started for just the second time against Denver and played a season-long 25 minutes, scoring 13 points and adding six assists. Alvin Gentry will play him and Holiday in tandem, which is Plan A for making sure that both bigs remain angry and efficient. Rondo's presence on the floor puts pressure on Holiday and Dante Cunningham to step up as shooters, and they went a combined 2-for-8 from 3-point range in Denver on Friday. Rondo joined Davis and Cousins on the floor during the key stretches where the Nuggets pulled away and caught a minus-30 in plus-minus, so there should be genuine concern that playing his way into shape is likely to cost New Orleans a few games. It's obviously a short sample size, but New Orleans is 0-2 SU/ATS with their new starting point guard out there and have seen both games soar over the posted total. Opponents have averaged 135.5 points.
Washington missed John Wall in yesterday's 100-91 road loss in Toronto, running out of gas in the second half without its point guard. The team called his absence precautionary, giving him a Sunday off due to left knee soreness, but head coach Scott Brooks told the Washington Post that he was unsure if he'd play in Monday's visit to Milwaukee, though said "it's a great chance" he'll play if the swelling he said hindered his effort in a Friday night home loss to Miami subsides. It sounds like the Wizards just didn't want him to play three games in four nights, so he's got a good shot at being out there barring any setbacks.
Forward Otto Porter was nursing a swollen hand and Markieff Morris caught a knee to the face in Toronto, so there certainly should be concern that the Wizards won't have the juice to prevent what would be their first three-game losing streak of the season. The loss north of the border kicked off a stretch that sees Washington play 10 of 12 on the road between now and Dec. 12.
Cleveland announced late last week that point guard Derrick Rose needs a few weeks to heal an ankle injury and is still at least a month away from getting Isaiah Thomas in the mix, so being forced to give Iman Shumpert the week off to heal from knee pain of his own isn't ideal. While Dwyane Wade is likely to get more minutes after playing 37 in Friday's 118-113 OT win over the Clippers, veteran Jose Calderon will likely start tonight's visit to Detroit.
The Cavs have won a season-best four straight games (2-2 ATS) but are also without forward Tristan Thompson until mid-December, so expect vets LeBron James, Kevin Love and Wade to play major minutes. Fortunately, there are no back-to-backs scheduled for this group until next week.
The Clippers have dropped eight straight entering Monday's game at the Knicks and matched a season-low 87 points in Saturday night's loss in Charlotte. They should get some relief with point guard Patrick Beverley hoping to return from a 5-game absence due to a knee injury. L.A. hasn't won without him and is 5-5 with him in the mix. New York lists shooting guard Tim Hardaway, Jr. as questionable with a sore foot and injured his elbow on Friday. He's scored 26 or more points in three of this last five games.
Portland visits Memphis and won't have to deal with point guard Mike Conley, who has been shelved indefinitely as he tries to keep an Achilles issue from becoming a season-altering problem. Forward Brandan Wright (groin) and guard Tyreke Evans (shoulder) each left a 105-83 Saturday night loss to Houston, so the Grizzlies will certainly be significantly short-handed since they've already ruled Wright out. Evans is expected to be a game-time call.
Since 2014, even before LeBron returned via free agency, the Cavs began a three-game winning streak against the Pistons that is part of 13-6 SU run in this Central Division series. That also includes a 4-0 sweep in the 2016 playoffs first round, spoiling Stan Van Gundy's only postseason appearance with Detroit. The teams split last year's season series, both SU and ATS, with the Pistons winning each of the final two meetings in Auburn Hills. They've since moved back downtown, so this will be James' first regular-season visit to Little Caesar's Arena, which makes you wonder if he'll have a special performance in store in order to christen it. The Pistons served as his first real obstacle in this league, bringing out both the best and the worst in him, so the thoughtful star always packs something extra for them. Detroit will be facing the Cavs coming off an upset win in Minnesota and is 3-0 (2-0-1 ATS) on the second night of a back-to-back, owning wins at New York, Golden State and home against Sacramento.
Orlando head coach Frank Vogel went 0-4 SU and ATS against the Pacers and former assistant Nate McMillan last season. The Magic have a long history of struggling against Indiana, owning just one win in the last 12 meetings since the final matchup of the 2013-14 season, when Vogel was on the opposite sideline. Last year's games weren't even close, as the Pacers won each by double-digits and owned an average margin of victory of 14.3 points per game. With former Magic draft pick Victor Oladipo now in Indy and returning to Central Florida for the first time in that uniform, things could get spicy. Domantas Sabonis, who the Magic drafted and also shipped out, has been sharp in his sophomore NBA season. Indiana beat Miami 120-95 on Sunday to match a season-high three-game winning streak. It is 1-3 (2-2 ATS) on the second night of back-to-backs, winning in Cleveland.
Philadelphia star Joel Embiid and Rookie of the Year lock Ben Simmons fell short of an upset of Golden State on Saturday, blowing a 24-point lead, so it will be fun to see how they bounce back against visiting Utah. The 76ers snapped a nine-game losing streak at the hands of the Jazz on Nov. 7 despite Embiid's absence and Rudy Gobert's 16 points and 15 boards. It was Philly's first win in Utah since 2005. The Stifle Tower is now out with a knee injury until mid-December, while Embiid averaged 33 points, 13 rebounds, 4 assists and 3 blocks last week in his first extended action where he's consistently played over 30 minutes.
The Celtics look for a 16th straight win as the team with the NBA's top record (15-2) visits Dallas (3-14), which posts the league's worst. The Mavericks owned the C's until last season, winning 11 of 12 meetings between 2010-16, dropping only a double-OT game in Boston back in 2012. The Mavs were swept by Boston last season for the first time since '08 and are a 7-point home dog tonight as they look for consecutive wins for the first time in '17-'18.
The administrator has disabled public write access.