Welcome, Guest
Username: Password: Remember me
Read and discuss NFL & NCAA College Football News, Betting, Odds, Trends, Picks and Predictions

Sunday sharp action

Sunday sharp action 1 month 2 weeks ago #537258

  • Jimmythegreek
  • Jimmythegreek's Avatar
  • Offline
  • Platinum Member
  • Posts: 892
  • Thank you received: 70
  • Karma: 0
1 p.m. ET: Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers

These non-division NFC opponents are trending in opposite directions. The Vikings (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) started 0-2 but have since won two of their last three games, including a 19-17 come-from-behind win over the Lions last week, although Minnesota failed to cover as 10-point home favorites. On the flip side, the Panthers (3-2 SU, 3-2 ATS) started 3-0 but have since lost two straight, most recently falling to the Eagles 21-18 as 2.5-point home favorites. This line opened with Carolina listed as a 1-point home favorite. Right off the bat, this speaks volumes. Typically teams are awarded roughly 3-point for home field advantage. So this opener says the Vikings would be favored on a neutral field. The public is all over Carolina, who has a better record and is laying a short number at home. However, pros have gotten down hard on Minnesota, flipping the Vikings from a + 1 dog to -2.5 favorite. Road teams that see the line stay the same or move in their directions are 34-24 ATS (59 percent) this season. Craig Wrolstad, the lead referee, has historically favored road teams (64-44 ATS, 59 percent).

Lean Vikings

1 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens

This heavyweight showdown between divisional leaders could be a possible playoff preview. The Chargers (4-1 SU, 4-1 ATS) have won three straight and just edged the Browns 47-42 last week, covering as 2.5-point home favorites. Similarly, the Ravens (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) have won four straight, including a big 31-25 come-from-behind win over the Colts last week, although Baltimore failed to cover as 7.5-point home favorites. This line opened with the Ravens listed as a 3.5-point home favorite. Respected money has pounced on the red-hot Chargers getting points, dropping Los Angeles down from + 3.5 to + 2.5. Road dogs are 30-19 ATS (61%) this season. Short road dogs + 6 or less are 22-8 ATS (73%). Los Angeles also enjoys a rest advantage as the Ravens are on a short week having played on Monday night. Justin Herbert is 6-3 ATS (67%) as a dog in his young career. The Chargers are in a prime teaser spot, as going from + 2.5 to + 8.5 goes through the key numbers of 3 and 7.

Lean chargers and teaser action

4:25 p.m. ET: Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots

This non-conference grudge match is the most heavily bet game of the late afternoon window. The Cowboys (4-1 SU, 5-0 ATS) are riding high, having won four straight games after losing the season opener to the Bucs. Dallas just waxed the Giants 44-20, easily covering as 7-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Patriots (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS) just snapped a two-game losing skid with a 25-22 win over the Texans, although New England failed to cover as 8-point road favorites. This line opened with Dallas listed as roughly a 2-point road favorite. The public is hammering Dallas, who is the only team to cover every number this season. This lopsided support pushed the Cowboys up to -4.5. That's when a flood of sharp Patriots buyback hit the market, dropping New England down to + 3.5 or even + 3 at some shops. The Patriots are one of your top contrarian plays of the day. The lead referee, Brad Allen, has historically favored home teams (59-49 ATS, 55%).

Lean pats

More Sunday Moves

Dolphins-Jags Over 44.5 to 47

Packers -4.5 to -6 at Bears

Packers-Bears Under 46 to 44

Broncos -3 to -4 vs Raiders

Steelers -3.5 to -5 vs Seahawks

Cardinals-Browns Under 54 to 48.5
The administrator has disabled public write access.
The following user(s) said Thank You: Freezerqueen

Top Stories

    Celtics vs. Lakers, 12/7/21 NBA Betting Odds & Predictions Celtics vs. Lakers Prediction One of the oldest rivalries in the NBA will be renewed on Tuesday night in L.A. where the Lakers will host the Celtics at 10:00 p.m. ET. With the Lakers laying three points as home chalk and the total sitting at 217.5, what’s the best bet in this matchup?
    Nets vs. Mavericks, 12/7/21 NBA Betting Odds & Predictions Nets vs. Mavericks Prediction The Nets have won seven of their last 10 games and will take on an opponent Tuesday night in the Mavericks that has dropped seven of its last 10 overall. With Brooklyn only laying 3.5 points tonight at 7:30 p.m. ET in Dallas, are the Nets the smart play?
    Texas Tech vs. Tennessee, 12/7/21 Jimmy V Classic Betting Predictions Texas Tech vs. Tennessee Prediction No. 13 Tennessee will take on Texas Tech on Tuesday night in New York City for the opener of the Jimmy V Classic. Are the Vols a good bet to cover as a 4-point neutral site favorite or will the Red Raiders come through as an underdog?
    Panthers vs. Blues, 12/7/21 NHL Betting Predictions Panthers vs. Blues Prediction The Panthers got the best of the Blues last weekend in Florida, but St. Louis have an opportunity to settle the score on its home ice Tuesday night at 8:00 p.m. ET. Will the Blues cash as a home dog or is there a better bet on the board?
    Patriots vs. Bills, 12/6/21 Monday Night Football Betting Predictions Patriots vs. Bills MNF Prediction First place is on the line in the AFC East on Monday night when the Bills host the Patriots at 8:15 p.m. ET. Will the Patriots continue their hot play and pull off the small upset in Buffalo or are the Bills the better play as a small home favorite?
    Nuggets vs. Bulls, 12/6/21 NBA Betting Odds & Predictions Nuggets vs. Bulls Prediction The Bulls are off to a 16-8 start and will have a golden opportunity to earn their 17th victory of the season when they host the Nuggets at 8:00 p.m. ET. That said, given Denver’s ATS success against Chicago in previous meetings, are the Nuggets the best play on the board?
    Illinois vs. Iowa, 12/6/21 College Basketball Betting Predictions Illinois vs. Iowa Prediction Big Ten rivals clash in Iowa City on Monday night where the Hawkeyes will host the Illinois Fighting Illini at 7:00 p.m. ET. Will the Hawkeyes cover as a 3-point home favorite?
    Ducks vs. Capitals, 12/6/21 NHL Betting Predictions Ducks vs. Capitals Prediction The Ducks and Capitals will square off in Washington on Monday night at 7:00 p.m. ET with a total that currently sits at 5.5 goals. Will these two teams combine for enough goals to cash the over?
    Pelicans vs. Rockets, 12/5/21 NBA Predictions & betting Odds Pelicans vs. Rockets Prediction The Pelicans have had plenty of ATS success against the Rockets in previous meetings but will New Orleans cash as a road favorite on Sunday night when these two teams meet in Houston at 7:00 p.m. ET?
    Broncos vs. Chiefs, 12/5/21 NFL Week 13 Betting Predictions & Odds Broncos vs. Chiefs Prediction The Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 13 pits AFC West rivals against each other when the Broncos visit the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. Will the Chiefs cover as a 9-point home favorite or is there a better bet on the board?