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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20

Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526048

  • Shazman
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Sunday 11/1/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL & NCAAF
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526050

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HITMAN

275 LAC -1.0(-110) Westgate vs 276 DEN double-dime bet
281 PIT 5.0(-110) William Hill vs 282 BAL double-dime bet
101 ATL 8.5(-120) Westgate vs 102 CAR double-dime bet
267/ 268 CHI UNDER 44.0 double-dime bet
255 / 256 BUF UNDER 44.0 double-dime bet

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Warren Sharp

Add: 259 Las Vegas Raiders +3 -120 (0.75 units)
Add: 274 NY Giants Under 48 (0.5 units)
Add: 275 LA Chargers Over 44.5 (0.75 units)
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Dave Essler

GOY Lions +3

Double Dime-Cleveland -2.5
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KEVIN BRAUDIS

Play Rating: 4%
Play: Indianapolis Colts -2.5 (-117)
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H&H Sports (NFL) - Triple Dime Miami Dolphins +4
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VegasInsider

Green Bay Packers -7
Chicago Bears +4.5
Denver Broncos +3.5
New York Giants +11 (Monday Night)
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Texas Tornado

2) New Orleans - 4
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FEZZIK

254 / 253 MIN Under 53.5 double-dime bet
268/ 267 NOS Under 44.0 double-dime bet
260 / 259 LVR Under 53.5 double-dime bet
256 / 255 NEP Under 43.0 double-dime bet
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Texas Tornado

2) New Orleans - 4
2* San Fran + 3
Added
2* OVER 53.5 San Fran / Seattle
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WUNDERDOG NFL PICK:

Pick: New England +4 (-105)
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526051

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Stephen Oh

KANSAS CITY -19.5

R.J. White

Indianapolis-2.5

Mike Tierney

LAR -4

Bill Marzano

BUF -3.5
TEN -6
PIT +3.5
GB -6.5

Micah Roberts

CLEVELAND -2.5
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526090

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R.J. White

CIN +7
DEN +3.5
PIT +4.5
NYJ @ KC UNDER 49
LV @ CLE UNDER 50.5
NE @ BUF UNDER 41
NO @ CHI UNDER 43.5
MIA +3.5
CLE -2.5
TB -10.5
GB -6.5
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Emory Hunt

DET +2.5
IND @ DET | 11/01 | 1:00 PM ESTTHU 10/29
The Indianapolis Colts currently sit at 4-2 on the season. But when you take a deeper look at their wins, and it has been mainly against bad football teams. Watching them play, you can see why they tend to struggle against solid-to-good squads. Detroit enters this game riding a two-game winning streak, and has looked better than the Colts in its three wins on the season. The Lions are trending in the right direction, as they've started to play good complimentary football.

22-13 IN LAST 35 NFL ATS PICKS | +780
4-0 IN LAST 4 IND ATS PICKS | +400

4-2 IN LAST 6 DET ATS PICKS | +181

GB -7
MIN @ GB | 11/01 | 1:00 PM ESTTHU 10/29
Both teams come into this game off of a bye week. Minnesota hopes the time off does QB Kirk Cousins good, as he's been a liability for the Vikings so far this season. Green Bay is looking to get back on the winning track after getting beat down from the Buccaneers prior to the bye week. The Packers defense should be able to harass Cousins and force him into some bad decisions. Expect them to get a convincing win.

22-13 IN LAST 35 NFL ATS PICKS | +780
3-0 IN LAST 3 GB ATS PICKS | +300

TEN -5.5
TEN @ CIN | 11/01 | 1:00 PM ESTTHU 10/29
Tennessee nearly came back against the Pittsburgh Steelers last week in a clash of AFC contenders. The key matchup Sunday will be between their defensive front seven and the Bengals offensive line, which has played inconsistent all season long. Their inability to protect QB Joe Burrow on a consistent basis really hamstrings the potential of the offense. This is a bad matchup for the Bengals.

22-13 IN LAST 35 NFL ATS PICKS | +780
7-2 IN LAST 9 CIN ATS PICKS | +471

8-4 IN LAST 12 TEN ATS PICKS | +350

KC -19.5
NYJ @ KC | 11/01 | 1:00 PM ESTTHU 10/29
Last week, the Jets showed some fight and were able to cover against the Bills. The main reason why, an inconsistent Josh Allen kept them in the game. They won't get that luxury this week as they face Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense, that showed last week in the snow they could still be as explosive as if it were a clear, sunny day.

22-13 IN LAST 35 NFL ATS PICKS | +780
20-12 IN LAST 32 KC ATS PICKS | +698

6-1 IN LAST 7 NYJ ATS PICKS | +490

BAL -4
PIT @ BAL | 11/01 | 1:00 PM ESTTHU 10/29
This is the AFC Game of the Week. Pittsburgh is a well-coached team with Mike Tomlin at the helm. He'll have a great game plan dialed up, but unfortunately he can't play and will be leaning on his defense to make sure the Steelers stay assignment-sound and gap-disciplined against Lamar Jackson. The Ravens seemingly have gotten better during the bye week by adding DE Yannick Ngakoue from the Vikings. They're looking at this matchup as a potential playoff preview, and one that can give them sole possession of first place in the AFC North.

22-13 IN LAST 35 NFL ATS PICKS | +780
12-4 IN LAST 16 BAL ATS PICKS | +760

4-0 IN LAST 4 PIT ATS PICKS | +400

NO -4.5
NO @ CHI | 11/01 | 4:25 PM ESTTHU 10/29
It is becoming increasingly hard to trust the Bears on a weekly basis. Mainly it's hard to trust their offense, as QB Nick Foles has issues in avoiding pressure, and they don't have any run game to speak of. If the Bears defense can't score, or they get a special teams touchdown, then it will be hard for them to find the end zone at a good-enough pace to keep up with New Orleans.

22-13 IN LAST 35 NFL ATS PICKS | +780
13-6 IN LAST 19 NO ATS PICKS | +630
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H&H Sports
NFL
Triple Dime - Miami Dolphins +4 (Posted Wednesday)
Triple Dime - Seattle Seahawks -146 (Moneyline)
Double Dime - Tennessee Titans -6.5
Double Dime - Baltimore Ravens -4
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Stephen' Oh

DET +3
IND @ DET | 11/01 | 1:00 PM EST7:30 PM
Three of the Colts' wins have come against the Vikings, Jets and Bengals, who are a combined 2-17-1. A fourth came over the overrated Bears. Meanwhile Indy already has lost on the road at Jacksonville and at Cleveland. My model says Detroit covers well over 50 percent of the time, so you're getting good value with the Lions at this number.

9-4-1 IN LAST 14 NFL ATS PICKS | +460
4-1 IN LAST 5 IND ATS PICKS | +290

KC -19.5
NYJ @ KC | 11/01 | 1:00 PM ESTMON 10/26
My model says the Chiefs cover the spread in almost 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value at this number. Kansas City suffered its lone loss of the season in its last home game, a 40-32 setback against Las Vegas. The Chiefs tuned up for this contest by posting a 27-point victory at Denver last week. New York has struggled in nearly every way imaginable this year. Three of the Jets' seven losses have been by at least 20 points. Expect this to be the fourth as Le'Veon Bell punishes his former team.

9-4-1 IN LAST 14 NFL ATS PICKS | +460
3-1 IN LAST 4 NYJ ATS PICKS | +185

5-3 IN LAST 8 KC ATS PICKS | +174
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Clay Travis- 25-12 in NFL plays

Bills, Bills under, Raiders, Lions, Rams & saints
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Marco D'Angelo

4% (282) BALTIMORE -4%The Steelers are in a bad scheduling spot as because their original game with Tennessee was moved The Steelers now have to have their 3rd big game in a row having played rival Cleveland followed by their game with Undefeated Tennessee and now their Biggest game of the Season with Baltimore. If that wasn't bad enough because the schedules got switched Baltimore had their bye week last week so they have had two weeks to prepare for their biggest game of the season. Pure and simple this game could decide both the AFC North Champion and who comes out with home field advantage in the AFC. Pittsburgh played fantastic last week but in the 4th Q it was all Tennessee and a key INT in the endzone that enabled Tennessee to drive down and attempt a Game tying 46 yard FG attempt that they missed at the end of the game. Tannenhill was able to move the ball as the Steeler defense looked wore out in that 4th Q. Remember last week was the 1st game without Devin Bush the Steelers All-Pro LB. The Steelers defense has struggled in the past when facing mobile QB's that can run it as well as pass the football. The Steelers struggled earlier in the season when they faced Houston and Deshaun Watson and now they have to face Lamar Jackson. Last Year when they played here in late December and Pittsburgh needing a win to make the playoffs they couldn't contain the running game of Baltimore. As Baltimore ran the Football 44 times for 223 yards in a 28-10 win. Note the Pittsburgh offense last year couldn't punch their way out of a wet paper bag with Mason Rudolph and Duck Hodges at QB as Big Ben was out. Both defenses are Top 10 in PPG and YPP. Believe it or not Baltimore has put up better offensive numbers as Baltimore is #1 at running the FB in both YPG and YPP and overall Baltimore is #18 at 5.9 YPP while Pittsburgh is #26 at 5.4 YPP. Given the schedule spot, the stats, the injury to LB Bush and Home Field advantage I have to side with Baltimore. BALTIMORE 30-20.

TAKE BALTIMORE as my 4% NFL GAME OF THE WEEK.


4% (264) MIAMI +3.5The Miami Dolphins decided even though Ryan Fitzpatrick was playing well that now was the time to bring in Tua to start. Coming off their bye week gives Tua the extra week to prepare and get comfortable with the offense. The Rams were good to us on Monday Night but now they have to travel to the East Coast on a short week. That in itself is a tough spot but it also must be noted this is the Rams 5th road game in 7 weeks and their 4th to the East Coast. Their last 2 games were physical games against San Francisco and Chicago. Lastly Miami does hold an added advantage that the Rams don’t know what to expect as far as a game plan as there is no game film on Tua as a starter in the NFL.

TAKE MIAMI as my 4% NFL UPSET SHOCKER PLAY.


3% (252) COLTS/LIONS UNDER 50

The Colts hold the #1 defense in YPP allowing just 5.0 YPP. They are #4 in PPG allowing just 19.2 PPG. Indy is coming off their bye week and the one thing that Indy needed to work on during their week was fixing their running which disappeared in their last 2 games. In those 2 games Indy ran the ball just 33 times for a 127 yards. In the 3 games before that all wins the Colts averaged 36 rush attempts and 125 yards per game on the ground. I expect them to go back to that here which will shorten the game. Note Detroit faced two very bad defenses the last 2 weeks and now must face one of the best defenses in the NFL so I see them having to work hard to get points which will send this one under the Total. Projected Points scored is 43

TAKE COLTS/LIONS UNDER 50 as my 3% NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK
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Sam Farmer
NFL Week #8 - Plus (57% ytd)

NFL
2* Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (Best Bet 5-2ytd)
1* Pittsburgh Steelers +4
1* Buffalo Bills -4.5
1* Tennessee Titans/Cincinnati Bengals Over 50.5
1* Dallas Cowboys/Philadelphia Eagles Under 43
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The Prez

5% [NFL] (261) New York Jets at (262) Kansas City Chiefs

Time: 1:00 PM EST 1H Kansas City Chiefs -11.5 (-110)
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FujitaPunter

Kansas City Chiefs – New York Jets : O 50

Detroit Lions – Indianapolis Colts : O 50
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Ultra Sports 11/1

Packers
Ravens
Rams
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Maddux

10 LA Rams/Miami under 46
20 Seattle -3
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King Creole

NFL OVER of the WEEK

2*) Over 53 San Francisco @ Seattle.
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Mti Teaser
Sf/pitt
Sf/New England
New England/Pitt
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Mti
Dallas
Sf
Under Sf
Chicago
Under Denver
Under Pitt
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526094

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Brian Edwards

Steelers +4 @ Ravens
Packers -7 vs Vikings
Chargers -3 @ Broncos
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Platinum Sports

Ravens
Vikings
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Nevada sports service

Bills
Browns
Rams ov 45
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Lee Sterling

35 GB
35 Balt
30 Den
25 LV
25 over Sea
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ATS
cinci +7
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Joey Spikes

50 Dime

CLE Browns ML

25 Dime

Chiefs/Cowboys 6 Point Tease
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Tkwins
3* La Rams -2.5
3* Indianapolis -2.5 freeplay
4* New Orleans -4
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Gavazzi
4% New Orleans Saints (-4-) 4:25 PM ET
4% San Francisco 49ers (+3) 4:25 PM ET

5% UNDER 51 Green Bay

4% UNDER 41 Buffalo

4% UNDER 52- Cincinnati

4% UNDER 50- Cleveland

4% UNDER 43- Chicago

3% OVER 46 Baltimore
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Marc Lawrence NFL Top Play

3*) Denver + 3.5
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Jeff Ma- ravens , browns, packers, Seahawks & broncos
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Brad Feinberg-
Under 51 Browns
Eagles & Green Bay tease
Seahawks
George Kittle over 66.5 yards
Adam Theilan 68.5 under yards
Zack Pascal 47.5 underyards
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King Creole

Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers / 3*** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals / 2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens / 2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS / 4****BEST BET on: OVER THETOTAL

Opinons:
Bears / Saints UNDER… Raiders / Browns UNDER…

TEAM TOTAL opinions: Buf Bills UNDER 23.5pts... LA Rams OVER 25.5 pts
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Bob Balfe

Minnesota+6
Minnesota/Green Bay over49
Buffalo-4
Titans-6.5
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526096

  • NeverSplitAces
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I can't seem to locate Midwest Handicapper in my large bag of candy from last night. If you can find him, I'll pay you back in Kit-Kats and Tootsie Pops. Appreciate you as always.
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526097

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Ben Burns

Baltimore ML
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Kevin Rogers

Denver +3
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Steven Nover

Cleveland Under 51
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Scott Rickenbach

Denver +3.5
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Matt Fargo

Cincy +6.5
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Chip Chirimbes

Minnesota +7
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Rainman

Ten -7
Phi -11
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Big Al Conf GOY. Ravens
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Noble Technology (The Swami NFL) - 10* Top Play Bills/Patriots Under 41
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Big Al
Road warrior. Titans
Total of week. Jets/chiefs over
Divisional gom. Seahawks
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Wise Guy: Cinn under 24.5 first half
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RALPH MICHAELS ALL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (259) Las Vegas Raiders at (260) Cleveland Browns
Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Cleveland Browns -2.5 (-110)

#258 3% Cleveland -2.5 Las Vegas 1 PM
Windy conditions likely means better rush team can control game. Cleveland avg 5.09 ypc (#5) vs a Raiders D allowing 4.61 (#24). On the flipside Raiders avg 3.01 (#22) vs the Browns D allowing 3.79 (#6).
Game: (269) San Francisco 49ers at (270) Seattle Seahawks
Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 4:25 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Francisco 49ers +3.0 (-120)

#269 3% San Francisco +3 Seattle 4:25 PM
Seattle is -54 YPG which is #29 while SF is +73 YPG which is #3. Give me 3 points all day long against a defense that is #32 in YPG allowed (479 ygp) & #29 in yards per play allowed.
Game: (267) New Orleans Saints at (268) Chicago Bears
Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 4:25 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 42.5 (-110)

THERE ARE SOME 43's so SHOP!
#267/#268 4% UNDER 42.5/43 New Orleans/Chicago 4:25 PM
Normally will not play into this big of al line move because of the wind BUT I still find value at this number so I will use it. Bears rush attack #3 (3.75 ypc) vs Saints #3 rush D (3.43). Saints are 2-0 O/U on the road but is was against the #26 D of Las Vegas and #22 D of Detroit with both games in Domes. This is versus the #7 defense in yards per play allowed and their first outdoor game this season!
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DR. CHUCK


Game: (263) Los Angeles Rams at (264) Miami Dolphins
Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Rams -3.5 (-115)

23-3-4 TREND going....oh and yes...the Flippers are going with Tua....
we cannot beat the Tua in his first start....then we out we out right....we out we out.....dum duh du du dum

Game: (253) Minnesota Vikings at (254) Green Bay Packers
Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Minnesota Vikings +230

INSANE amounts of value here….we get a team that has just 1 win on the season somehow against one of the most overrated teams thus far…as you saw in the game against Tampa…not that the Vikings are that good…as the Buccs defense is just intensely good. But we get Zimmer plus Cook, Rodgers minus Jones, and the nasty ass weather in Lambeau today…facing a QB who didn't even look the way of a receiver not named Adams last week against the Texans…look for Zimmer to FORCE the game plan change to a massive degree!

Game: (253) Minnesota Vikings at (254) Green Bay Packers
Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Minnesota Vikings +7.0 (-120)

Just NUTS VALUE here….as we wrote in our ML play on the Vikes, I think this is the most live dog on the board in a while….and WOW they are getting a TD (bought the hook because hell I am playing the ML already so why not add some insurance!) but yes I think Cousins can step it up when needed, Cook should be Cook and get himself a TON of yards, while ARod showed he is Adams or bust when he is missing Aaron Jones, but with the wind and the defensive mind/scheme of Zimmer I trust this to be a close, low scoring nasty game that comes down to the wire….or maybe doesn't and the Vikings break down GB a la Tampa Bay, getting them behind and forcing the hand of a one dimensional offense

Game: (253) Minnesota Vikings at (254) Green Bay Packers
Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 24.5 (-110)

Whipping winds across field at 25 to 30mph with GUSTS OF 40MPH in the first half….ummmm….yeah….so basically we're saying it was already going to be a slugfest, no Aaron Jones, the Pack KNOW they have to focus in on Dalvin Cook and be staunch in the red zone (both teams in fact) and we cruise under this big 24 PLUS THE HOOK!

Game: (261) New York Jets at (262) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 1:00 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Braxton Berrios Over 37.5 Receiving Yards

Sam Darnold is up against it this week against the Chiefs defense that will likely be sitting on a lead from JUMP today with the biggest spread of the year….but he is such an enormous upgrade over Flacco, even without a running game to speak of or his receivers Crowder or Perriman I think he has a pretty decent day…also in one of the few matchups on the day without wind wreaking absolute havoc on the passing game. Mims seems to be the hot buy for today as the WR1 for the NYJ, but I can't see why the Chiefs and Spags wouldn't also know this….right?
Berrios saw 7 targets last week without the injury riddled team and should see that today at the least in my projections…getting just a couple of those to be decent chunk plays of any kind we cruise toward the 50 yard mark quite easily…and if the Jets can get a couple of solid possessions going at all if the Chiefs overlook this game whatsoever then we could get there by the 3rd quarter potentially!

Game: (269) San Francisco 49ers at (270) Seattle Seahawks
Date/Time: Nov 1 2020 4:25 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: San Francisco 49ers Total Over 24.5 (-110)

This is just flat out straight value here…we avoid any issues with Seattle's record off a loss….any issues with a small spread like +3 that really commits to these 2 teams being equal on a neutral field (if HFA is intact in such a Covid season).
With a TT Over play here on the road team we also can avoid issues with Seattle being the top team in the NFL with yards per play on offense, with points per play on offense, and Seattle going north of 30 means NOTHING in regard to what San Fran can do on the offensive end…where by the way, they are coming off a game against a NE defense where they racked up 7.4 yards per play and 33 points.
The Seahawks have REALLY grooved on offense this year and Russ should be the MVP at this point, but on defense they rank only ahead of ATL and JAX at opponent's yards per play on offense…allowing 6.3 average this season. The 9ers saw the vulnerability in the night game last week in AZ and Shanahan knows he can score at will on this team with the right schemes…and in a game that DOESN'T have the weather issues running rampant across the league with likely low scoring affairs abounding and passing being a supreme difficulty, we should see a similar to last week and NFC West mojo high scoring both teams in the 30s matchup…according to our numbers!
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526098

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2020 WESTGATE LAS VEGAS SUPERCONTEST WEEK 8: 10/27/20 - 11/02/20

Top Super Contest Leaders

ODBMG2 - W28 L6 T1 LW 3-1-1
Week 8 Picks: IND TEN KC PHI PIT

ANDREWSCALZI - W27 L8 T0 LW 5-0
Week 8 Picks: IND GB PHI PIT TB

BET MILE HIGH - W26 L8 T1 LW 4-0-1
Week 8 Picks: IND BUF MIA PHI BAL

SQUAD GOALS - W25 L8 T2 LW 3-1-1
Week 8 Picks: IND TEN LV LAC PIT

GOOSBUMPS - W25 L8 T2 LW 2-3
Week 8 Picks: IND GB LV LAR PHI

CHATT TOWN 117 - W24 L9 T2 LW 3-2-1
Week 8 Picks: IND TEN LV NO PHI
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526099

  • Jimmythegreek
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Good morning some early leans

Sharp Action Report

1 p.m. ET: Las Vegas Raiders at Cleveland Browns

These two AFC foes are trending in opposite directions, which creates a buy low, sell high opportunity for value-driven bettors. The Raiders (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) have lost three of their last four games, most recently falling to the Bucs 45-20 as 4-point home dogs. On the flip side, the Browns have won five of their last six games and just beat the Bengals 37-34, although they failed to cover as 4-point road favorites. This line opened with Cleveland listed as a 3-point home favorite. Spread bets are split down the middle and the public doesn't know who to back. However, we've seen this line tumble from Browns -3 to -2. In a vacuum, a line shouldn't move at all if the tickets are split. So we know this move was caused by respected pro money backing Vegas. The Raiders have value as a short road dog, a road dog with a line move in their favor and a dog off a 20+ point blowout loss. The Raiders are 6-0 to the over and the Browns are 5-2 to the over. The public sees an auto-bet over, but sharp money sees a bit of an inflated total. Sharps have hit the under, dropping the total from 55.5 to 48. Weather is a huge factor here, as the forecast calls for 25 MPH winds. Bill Vinovich, the lead ref, has historically favored road teams (56% ATS) and unders (59%).

Lean Vegas +3 and Under 49

1 p.m. ET: Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens

This AFC North showdown features a pair of bitter rivals with Super Bowl aspirations. This will also be one of the most anticipated and heavily bet games on Sunday. The Steelers (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) are the only undefeated team left in the NFL and just beat the Titans 27-24, winning outright as 1-point road dogs. Meanwhile, the Ravens (5-1 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) are riding a three-game winning streak, having just beat the Eagles 30-28 their last time out, although Baltimore failed to cover as a 10-point road favorite. The Ravens will also enjoy a big rest advantage here as they are coming off a bye week. This line opened with Baltimore listed as a 5.5-point home favorite. Pros and Joes are both rushing to the window to grab the points with the streaking Steelers. This lopsided action has forced oddsmakers to adjust the line down from Ravens -5.5 to -3.5. We saw some buyback on Ravens at -3.5, pushing the line back up to -4 where it rests now. Pittsburgh has value as a road divisional dog, a road team with a line move in their favor and a short road dog + 6 or less. We've also seen a steady stream of under money, dropping the total from 49 to 46.5. Weather could be an issue as the forecast calls for 10 MPH winds and some rain.

Lean Steelers +4 and Under

4:35 p.m. ET: San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks

This NFC West showdown has big divisional implications. The Seahawks (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) are coming off their first loss of the season, falling to the Cardinals on Sunday Night 37-34 and losing straight up as 3.5-point road favorites. Meanwhile, the 49ers (4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS) are riding on a two-game win streak and just demolished the Patriots 33-6, winning straight up as 3-point road dogs. This line opened with Seattle listed as a 4-point home favorite. The public sees Russell Wilson at home off a loss and has no problem laying the short number. However, despite a majority of bets backing Seattle, we've seen a notable adjustment toward San Francisco, with this line falling down to the key number of 3 thanks to smart money backing the 49ers. San Francisco has value as a contrarian road divisional dog with a line move in their favor and a short road dog. Jimmy Garoppolo is 2-0 ATS this season as a dog and 11-3 ATS as a dog in his career. The lead official is Craig Wrolstad. He has historically favored road teams (58% ATS).

Lean 49r's ML

More notable line movement

Vikings + 7 to + 6 at Packers

Patriots-Bills Under 46 to 40.5

Titans -4 to -7 at Bengals

Titans-Bengals Under 55.5 to 51

Jets + 21 to + 20 at Chiefs

Rams-Dolphins Under 47 to 45

Saints-Bears Under 45.5 to 42.5
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526101

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Hey ace...I liked the way you asked Shaz for the info
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526102

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NeverSplitAces wrote:
I can't seem to locate Midwest Handicapper in my large bag of candy from last night. If you can find him, I'll pay you back in Kit-Kats and Tootsie Pops. Appreciate you as always.

Midwest NFL Handicapping

GB -6
PITT +4
INDY -3
TENN -6.5
PHIL -10.5


6 PT Teaser
ATL +8.5/GB PK
MIA +10/PITT +10
TENN -.5/GB PK
TB -6.5/TENN -.5


7 PT Teaser
LAC +3.5/PHIL -3.5
MIA +11/DET +10
MINN +13.5/KC -13.5


OVER/UNDER
NE/BUFF UNDER 43
GB/MINN UNDER 52
LV/CLEV UNDER 53.5


Prop
Le’Veon Bell OVER 43.5 Yards (Old Team)
George Kittle OVER 65.5 Yards
Zack Pascal 47.5 UNDER Yards
David Njoku Over 14.5 Receiving Yards
Jared Cook Under 41.5 Receiving Yards
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526103

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Warren sharp

Add: 269 San Francisco 49ers Over *SPLIT* [first half over 26 (0.5 units) and full game over 53 (0.5 units)]
(write-up to follow)
___
Add: 264 Miami Dolphins +4 -113 (0.75 units)
Add: 259 Las Vegas Raiders +3 -120 (0.75 units)
Add: 274 NY Giants Under 48 (0.5 units)
Add: 275 LA Chargers Over 44.5 (0.75 units)
Added write-up for the Broncos +3.5 recommendation to the dashboard.
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endzone

200 seattle
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HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 1 2020 1:00PM
260 CLE 0.0(-110) Bookmaker vs 259 LVR double-dime bet
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DR Bob

1 Cincy
1 Cincy/Tenn U (1st half)
1 Sea

Op Miami
Op Den/LAC Over
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Elite Sports Picks

Baltimore -4 over Pittsburgh (NFL)
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Insider Sports Report

4* Cleveland -2.5 over Las Vegas (NFL)
Range: -.5 to -4.5

3* Denver +3.5 over L.A. Chargers (NFL)
Range: +5 to +1

3* San Francisco +3 over Seattle (NFL)
Range: +5 to +1
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National Sports Service

5* Detroit +3 over Indianapolis (NFL)

3* Green Bay -6 over Minnesota (NFL)

3* New Orleans -4 over Chicago (NFL)
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MEMBER PICKS
Primetime Sports Picks For 11/01/20

5 Unit --> Denver +3.5 over L.A. Chargers (NFL)

3 Unit --> New England/Buffalo UNDER 40.5 (NFL)

3 Unit --> Baltimore -4 over Pittsburgh (NFL)
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victory sports

200 chicago
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 11/01/20

4★ San Francisco +3 over Seattle (NFL)

3★ Detroit +3 over Indianapolis (NFL)

3★ L.A. Rams/Miami OVER 45.5 (NFL)
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Marc Lawrence

Marc’s Smoking Hot NFL Game Of The Week! - SundayPlay - Denver Broncos (Game 268). Edges - Broncos: 7-4 SU and 9-1-1 ATS as home dogs versus losing opponents; and head coach Vic Fangio 6-0 ATS when coming off an ATS loss of 4.5 or more points … Chargers: 3-9 ATS away off a home game that was preceded by a pair of home games, including 0-6 ATS versus losing foes; and Game Seven .333 teams favored off an ATS win are 0-3 SUATS; and head coach Anthony Lynn is 0-5 ATS when coming off a SUATS win and facing an opponent that cored 10-plus points in its last game … We cement the call with this from our well-oiled machine as it notes that NFL Game Seven division home dogs off a home game and facing an opponent coming off a win are 12-6 ATS since 1980, including 8-0 SUATS as a dog of 4 or fewer points in games with an Over/Under total of 41 or more points … With Chargers QB Justin Herbert coming off his first NFL win, and the Chargers two wins this season coming against the likes of Cincinnati and Jacksonville, we recommend a strong 3* play on Denver.

100% ATS NFL Perfect System Club Top Play Game! - SundayPlay - New England Patriots (Game 255). Edges - Patriots: Head coach Bill Belichick is 10-0 ATS with the Pats as a dog off a double-digit loss; and Belichick is 3-0 SUATS in this series with New England in games in which Buffalo owns the better record … Bills: 1-10-1 ATS as a favorite in this series when coming off a win of 7-plus points since 1980, including 0-7 ATS at home … We cement the call with this from our NFL Perfect System Club as it tells us to: PLAY ON any NFL division dog of 6 or fewer points coming off consecutive SU favorites losses if they were a bowl team last season and they are facing a foe coming off a win. We do this because these teams are 11-0 ATS in this role since 2001. With that, we recommend a strong 3* play on New England.
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Chris Jordan

18th Ever
2000♦
Double Your Wager
NFL Release in 38 Years

Detroit Lions
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Dwayne Bryant

3% Browns/Raiders Under
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Bondi

4* Las Vegas, 4* Miami (2 Team Parlay)
3* Tennessee
3* Baltimore
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Stats Analytics Sports
NFL 28-19 ytd (+1560)

Sunday NFL - All 2* Plays
Patriots/Bills Under 43 - Now 41
Vikings/Packers Under 52.5 Now 48.5
Titans/Bengals Over 49
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526104

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Scott Spreitzer

3* NE +4

3* 2 team teaser:

GBAY PK
DENVER +9
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InkBets

3* NFL: Buffalo Bills -4 @ 1.909/-110

3* NFL: Green Bay Packers ML + Chicago Bears +11.5 + Dallas Cowboys +18 @ 2.503/+150

3* NFL: Baltimore Ravens -3.5 @ 1.926/-108

3* NFL: Cleveland Browns ML @ 1.885/-113
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Rockdeman Sports
NFL
Patriots/Bills Under 41
Dolphins +3.5
Colts -3
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

DOUBLE PLAYS:
Indianapolis -3
New Orleans -4.5

SINGLE PLAYS:
Green Bay -6
Buffalo -4
Denver +3
San Francisco +3
Denver-LA Chargers OVER
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Las Vegas Cris

4% Steelers +5.5 (-108)

Steelers +5.5 4% (Play good to +4) (3% at 3 or 3.5) >>>> UPDATE WRITE UP BELOW ORIGINAL TEXT <<<<<<<

This line crashed fast, there are some 3.5's starting to show. Getting the best of the number is always the goal. Ive been waiting 6 days for the Bears/Rams line to move to where I want it. I do my best to maximize line value for clients. I want every single half pt I can get.

So, as important as line value is, this line moved 1.5, didnt we lose too much value?

Answer. NO They made a HUGE mistake on this line. If the line had opened at 3.5 or 4. It would be a happy bet. The opener moved through “dead numbers”

(((((((Update: Have to admit something that doesn't happen often. The original line was so far off, I had to spend time contacting other sharp contacts, scrolling twitter for info< checking injury reports< etc.. A game with 2 quality teams does not get lined that far off. it just doesn't happen

Short summary: This is a bad spot for Pitt off a tough road win, and off to play another rival for conference bye , that is off a bye. Steelers have a bit of the injury bug also, but they were able to overcome it last wk vs TN. Baltimore has done a shift in their plan. They are retooling Jackson to be a pocket passer and he hasnt adjusted yet. Baltimore is down to 15th in the offense math model. Jackson no longer runs< and we watch him try and evolve to an accurate passer. Hes going up against our #1 defense , Pitt. The model has Pitt higher in Offense (11) vs the #3 Balt D. The conclusion is, Steelers are the higher rated overall team and getting over a FG. Stated above, line caved down from a great line to the spread we expected and wanted anyway.
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Tom Stryker

Raiders
Titans
Eagles
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526105

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Hey Shaz man...I don't have any candy like Ace. But I do know Northcoast was hot yesterday which means he won't be able to pick his nose today. And Wayne Root is never any good since he got rich. He just has some people give the pick one way and other people give it the opposite. Just like to see because before all this tech you could only see them on TV....with some other loosers that still give picks from someone else's pocket.
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Free Premium Service Plays For Sunday 11/1/20 1 month 2 days ago #526106

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Hey Shaz, have you seen Paul Leiner?
Thanks for all you do!
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