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Free Premium Service Plays For Monday 10/19/20 1 month 2 weeks ago #525556

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Monday 10/19/20 free thread for handicapping and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB
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Free Premium Service Plays For Monday 10/19/20 1 month 1 week ago #525557

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Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 3:15 PM

DALLAS +2.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
Wish I'd gotten a full 3 but I'll still back the Cowboys with a capable Andy Dalton taking over. The Cardinals won't have Chandler Jones and they're also dealing with offensive line injuries. Grab the points.

6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL ATS PICKS | +275
4-2 IN LAST 6 ARI ATS PICKS | +169


Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
YESTERDAY 2:23 PM

DALLAS +2.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
Believe it or not, the Cowboys are going to be better with Andy Dalton. He's not bad and they'll run the ball more. Ezekiel Elliott is going to have a big game. Dallas is going to be much more controlled, use more clock and keep its defense off the field. Instead of throwing for 500 yards, they're going to be more conservative and rest their defense.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +285

Zack Cimini
CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH
TUE 10/13

ARIZONA -2.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
An old NFC East matchup will take place Monday night as the Arizona Cardinals travel to face the Dallas Cowboys. This marks the third straight road game for the Cardinals, and their first with fans in the stands. Expect the Cardinals to amp up their offense against a poor Cowboys defense. Playing from behind will force the Cowboys to throw more with Andy Dalton versus sticking to a ground attack. Play Arizona.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +95
8-1-1 IN LAST 10 ARI ATS PICKS | +699

7-3 IN LAST 10 DAL ATS PICKS | +378
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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 10:33 PM

KANSAS CITY -3.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
I think this line is destined to rise, so I'm going to hop on this number now. We saw on Tuesday that Buffalo clearly isn't in the same tier as Kansas City, a team I'm not docking much for losing to a fired-up division rival. The Chiefs have the No. 2 offense and No. 9 offense in DVOA, while the Bills defense has played a lot worse than expected. The Bills offense also doesn't have a quality rushing attack to take advantage of the Chiefs' defensive weakness. If Josh Allen has to rally back, I think he'll have trouble against a pass defense that ranks second in DVOA. The Chiefs offense should score in bunches against a struggling defense, and that'll get the cover.

6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL ATS PICKS | +285
14-9-1 IN LAST 24 BUF ATS PICKS | +417


Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 3:27 PM

KANSAS CITY -3.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
The Chiefs suffered their first loss in 14 games last Sunday, falling at home to the Raiders. K.C. will regroup under Andy Reid, and will have a significant rest advantage entering Week 6 at Buffalo. The Bills' defense is too banged up to slow down Patrick Mahomes. Lay it as the Chiefs win and cover in a shootout.

6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL ATS PICKS | +275
9-1 IN LAST 10 KC ATS PICKS | +795

14-10-2 IN LAST 26 BUF ATS PICKS | +304


Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
YESTERDAY 2:25 PM

KANSAS CITY -3.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
After losing at home to the Raiders last week, the Chiefs are going to be out for blood. Buffalo is on a short week because of having to play a Tuesday game. Look what Ryan Tannehill did to this Bills' defense. What is Patrick Mahomes going to do? K.C. has extra rest. Coming off a loss, the Chiefs will win and cover.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +285
11-4-1 IN LAST 16 BUF ATS PICKS | +658

4-3 IN LAST 7 KC ATS PICKS | +65
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Pete Prisco

Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills (+3.5)
The Bills looked bad against Tennessee, while the Chiefs didn't play well against the Raiders in their loss. So who re-groups here? I think if the Bills have Tre'Davious White back they will win it, and I think he will play. Josh Allen will beat Patrick Mahomes in a battle of gunslingers.

Pick: Bills 33, Chiefs 31

Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) at Dallas Cowboys
This will be Andy Dalton starting for the Cowboys with Dak Prescott gone for the season. The Cardinals are playing a third consecutive road game, which is tough — and it's in prime time. But I think Kyler Murray and the offense will show up big here. This will be a shootout.

Pick: Cardinals 34, Cowboys 30
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
YESTERDAY 1:19 PM

ARIZONA -1.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
My Cowboys rating has plunged after every one of their games this season. They've failed to cover each time,and the biggest plunge happened last Sunday, when I dropped them four points as Dak Prescott (ankle) got injured and their defense failed to stop the Giants' anemic offense. The Cardinals aren’t consistent, but their offense is going to give Dallas problems. I’m on the Cardinals.

6-3 IN LAST 9 NFL ATS PICKS | +270
2-1 IN LAST 3 DAL ATS PICKS | +90

2-1-1 IN LAST 4 ARI ATS PICKS | +90
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Marc Lawrence

Dallas Cowboys
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DR. CHUCKALL FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (277) Kansas City Chiefs at (278) Buffalo Bills
Date/Time: Oct 19 2020 5:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Kansas City Chiefs -3.0 (-120)

View Analysis

Wow is this gonna be a tough one for the home team here....Chiefs are off a whipping at the hands of division rival Vegas for their first lost...and the Bills are getting games moved all over the calendar while also letting Tannehill do ABSOLUTELY ANYTHING he wants to on offense!
This won't be a FG for long.....and holy hell is this a solid play of the year type price!!!!
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HITMAN | NFL Side - Monday, Oct 19 2020 8:15PM
276 DAL 3.0(-115) Bookmaker vs 275 ARI triple-dime bet

Analysis: Overreaction to the Dak injury. The look ahead line on this game was Cowboys -3, and despite Dak obviously being a better quarterback then Andy Dalton, the difference is just not worth the line move.


Dallas has arguably the best wide receivers in the NFL, and an excellent running back to help offset the loss of Dak. Andy Dalton in Cincinnati was more then serviceable when he had top end weapons around him.


The weakness of this Cowboys offense is the offensive line, however, the Cardinals are 28th in the NFL in pressure rate this season. And that was with superstar edge rusher Chandler Jones, who is now out for the season. Jones is one of the few defenders in the NFL actually worth 0.5-1 point to the point spread.


The spot favors Dallas, as a team who's back is now against the wall and must rally around Andy Dalton, while the Cardinals are playing their third straight road game.
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Norm Hitzges' PIcks of the Pole

SINGLE PLAYS:
Buffalo +4.5
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Greg Shaker | NFL Total - Monday, Oct 19 2020 5:00PM
277 KAN / 278 BUF UNDER 58.0 Bookmaker BB
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Midwest NFL Handicapping

KC -3 (Buy Point)
DAL +1

Over/Under
KC/BUFF UNDER 58
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Clay Travis

over chiefs and over Cowboys
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Circa Consensus top 5 (5-0 last week)
Baltimore -7.5 loss
KC - 3.5
Pittsburgh -3.5 win
Greeen Bay Pick loss
Dallas +1.5
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Football Jesus

KC, Dallas
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Free Premium Service Plays For Monday 10/19/20 1 month 1 week ago #525558

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Alan Scozzari

GUARANTEED C WAGER MAX BET
Italy Serie A
Verona -0,5 -112

TIP OF THE DAY A WAGER
Sweden Allsvenskan
Djurgarden - Malmo FF
UNDER 2,5 -110
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Scott Spreitzer

6* Kansas City
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 9:37 AM

UNDER 55.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
Andy Dalton, stand-in for the injured Dak Prescott, likely means a more cautious offensive approach for Dallas, particularly with the Cowboys’ twin standout OTs sidelined. Arizona has yet to reach an Over all season, in large part because its defense has permitted the fifth fewest points per game. The Cardinals’ offense has been a notch below dynamic, and a rare third consecutive road game could result in sluggishness.

4-2 IN LAST 6 ARI O/U PICKS | +180


R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
FRI 10/16
DALLAS +1.5
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
The Dak Prescott injury is a huge blow to the Cowboys, but they still have a borderline starter-level QB taking the reins of an offense flush with great weapons. The one area I worry about with the Dallas offense is on the line, but their shaky tackles will benefit greatly from not having to face Chandler Jones here after the star edge rusher suffered an injury last week. The Cardinals blew out the Jets last week, but that doesn't mean much in the grand scheme of things. After adjusting for the injuries to Prescott and Jones, I'd make this line a pick at best with a lean toward Dallas. So any points we can get with the Cowboys are gravy.

11-4 IN LAST 15 NFL ATS PICKS | +675
4-1 IN LAST 5 ARI ATS PICKS | +280
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
11:11 AM

KANSAS CITY -5.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
The Chiefs are looking to bounce back after losing to the Raiders, their first defeat in their last 14 games. The Bills were crushed by the Titans and are playing on a short week vs. a team that had extra time to prepare and a chip on their shoulders. Buffalo has been horrible against the pass and the team is thin in the secondary. The Bills will surely be exposed by Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven Monday night games. The Bills are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home dog.

15-12 IN LAST 27 NFL ATS PICKS | +195
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
11:44 AM

OVER 55
ARIZONA @ DALLAS | 10/19 | 8:15 PM EDT
The Dallas Cowboys were dealt a huge blow with the loss of Dak Prescott, but the offense will still be good with Andy Dalton under center. Dallas is first in the NFL in offense, and third in points per per game at 32.6. But the defense ranks last in the NFL in points per game (36), and has created three turnovers. The Cowboys rank 30th in the NFL with 11 turnovers lost. The Cardinals offense should be able to move the football at will. We have seen the Under cash in all five Arizona games this year mostly due to the horrible offenses the team has faced
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Big Al
Dallas under
Dallas
Buffalo
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Mti

4.5 dall under
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Elite Sports Picks

Kansas City -4.5 over Buffalo (NFL)
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Insider Sports Report

4* Dallas +1 over Arizona (NFL)
Range: +2.5 to -2
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National Sports Service

4* Arizona/Dallas UNDER 55 (NFL)
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MEMBER PICKS
Primetime Sports Picks For 10/19/20

4 Unit --> Dallas +1 over Arizona (NFL)

3 Unit --> Buffalo +5 over Kansas City (NFL)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 10/19/20

4★ Kansas City/Buffalo OVER 56.5 (NFL)
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Dwayne Bryant 5% [NFL] (275) Arizona Cardinals at (276) Dallas Cowboys

Time: 8:15 PM EDT Dallas Cowboys +1.5 (-110)
Analysis: 8:15 PM ET -- NFL
275 Arizona Cardinals
276 Dallas Cowboys
PLAY --> 276 DALLAS +1.5 (-110)
PLAYABLE at -1.5 or better
BET SIZE --> 5%
PSA: 5% MAX BET does NOT mean bet all the money you have. It also does NOT mean bet money you don't have. It simply means 5% of your bankroll is the most we will ever bet on any single play, and that is what we are betting on this one. BE SMART! BET SMART!
Talk about an overreaction. The look-ahead line for this game was Dallas -3. Then QB Dak Prescott goes down, and the line shifts to Arizona -3. No way is Prescott worth six points on the line over Andy Dalton. Dalton is arguably the best backup QB in the NFL. He spent many years as the starter for the Bengals, leading them to the playoffs on multiple occasions. Some would argue that the Cowboys could be better with Dalton under center because they're likely to lean on RB Ezekiel Elliott more, and Dallas has always been more successful the more the ball gets put in Zeke's hands. Also, more running plays means longer, time-consuming drives that keep that awful defense off the field.
Arizona's signature win was Week 1 at San Francisco. That win looked great then but doesn't impress now when you look at how the 49ers have played since then. Both teams have offensive line issues, and the Cardinals will be without star pass rusher Chandler Jones. Also, the Cardinals have a huge disadvantage in regards to scheduling. This is Arizona's third straight road game, while this is Dallas' third straight at home.
This qualifies under the "Injured Star Angle," in which a team tends to step up and play a great game in its first game without a star teammate. We got a glimpse of it after Dak went down last Sunday, and Dalton led the team to a victory. I expect that to carry over here, as the Cowboys step up to "win one for 4."
PLAY DALLAS.
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The Prez 4% [NFL] (277) Kansas City Chiefs at (278) Buffalo Bills

Time: 5:00 PM EDT Total Over 56.5 (-110
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The Winning Touch (Pierro Masci The Swami)
NFL - 8 Unit Buffalo Bills +5.5
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Matt Blunt

Dallas Cowboys -115 (Moneyline)
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Free Premium Service Plays For Monday 10/19/20 1 month 1 week ago #525559

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Rockdeman Sports

Dallas Cowboys -1
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Mississippi Kid

Chiefs -5 2U POD
Cowboys PK 1.5U
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Stats Analytics Sports

2* Bills/Chiefs Over 55
2* Cowboys/Cardinals Under 55.5
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Andy Iskoe

Dallas Cowboys -1
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Kevin Rogers

Kansas City Chiefs -5.5
Dallas Cowboys -115
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Oskeim Sports

5% - Cowboys
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Ben burns

3- cowboys game uder 54
2- bills+3.5 1st half
2- cowboys pick
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Northcoast

2* Dallas.
Marquee KC
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Lee Sterling
25* Cowboys
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Free Premium Service Plays For Monday 10/19/20 1 month 1 week ago #525560

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Maddux

10 Dallas +2
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Adam Silverstein
FLORIDA FAVORITE
4:16 PM

KANSAS CITY -5.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
Look, everyone wants to take this game. And if you do, there's really only one side to go on, and that's the Chiefs -- even though Kansas City's line is inflated about two points going into Monday's early evening kickoff. Still, the Chiefs have not lost consecutive games ATS in a calendar year, and they're 4-0 ATS following their last four ATS losses. Patrick Mahomes is also 9-3-1 ATS in evening games with six straight covers; he's also undefeated ATS on Mondays. So while it's tough to take Kansas City as nearly a six-point road favorite against a good Buffalo team, the Chiefs should have their way with the Bills' secondary as Mahomes should get plenty of time in the pocket. Give me KC as the team that bounces back.

22-20-1 LAST 43 NFL SIDES | +30
17-8-2 IN LAST 27 KC ATS PICKS | +802

5-3 IN LAST 8 BUF ATS PICKS | +156


Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
3:07 PM

BUFFALO +5.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
The Bills come off being torched in Nashville, but they didn't have All-Pro cornerback Tre'Davious White for that game. He's expected to return Monday and his presence can't be overstated. Kansas City, meanwhile, will be missing Sammy Watkins and perhaps two starting offensive lineman (one for sure). The rainy, cold weather also would seem to help the home side and slow Patrick Mahomes down a bit.

7-5 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +145

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
12:23 PM

OVER 55.5
KANSAS CITY @ BUFFALO | 10/19 | 5:00 PM EDT
This is a massive total, but it's fully justified. Even though Unders are on a 15-9 NFL run the past two weeks, as regression finally arrived, this game matches truly explosive offenses against suspect defenses. Look for the Over to stay perfect in Buffalo games this season.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL PICKS | +89
2-1 IN LAST 3 KC O/U PICKS | +90
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