Welcome, Guest
Username: Password: Remember me
Read and discuss NFL & NCAA College Football News, Betting, Odds, Trends, Picks and Predictions

Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Premium Service Plays For Thursday 12/5/19

Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Premium Service Plays For Thursday 12/5/19 1 month 2 weeks ago #516495

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Online
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 40885
  • Thank you received: 331
  • Karma: 61
Thursday 12/5/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, & NBA games
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Premium Service Plays For Thursday 12/5/19 1 month 2 weeks ago #516512

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Online
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 40885
  • Thank you received: 331
  • Karma: 61
R.J. White

SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 10:54 AM
DALLAS -3
DALLAS @ CHICAGO | 12/05 | 8:20 PM EST
The Bears have won three of four games, but those wins came against Lions backup QBs twice and a Giants team that has lost eight straight. The Cowboys have lost three of their last four, but those losses came against teams that are 8-4 at worst and Dallas outgained their opponents in each. Even a Dallas defense dealing with injuries should be able to slow down this unimpressive Chicago offense, and the Chicago defense could struggle with the best offense it has faced in a while. Wait to get this at 2.5 and then jump on the Cowboys.

18-9 IN LAST 27 NFL PICKS | +803
26-12-1 IN LAST 39 CHI ATS PICKS | +1301

7-5-1 IN LAST 13 DAL ATS PICKS | +144
__________________

Executive Sportsline football
..

Thur, Dec 5
8:20
NFL
400%
Dallas -3
over Chicago
__________________

Hank Goldberg

DALLAS -3
DALLAS @ CHICAGO | 12/05 | 8:20 PM EST
YESTERDAY 11:54 PM
Mitchell Trubisky is not going to play well here. He's beaten three terrible teams over the last four weeks. The Lions ran all over the Bears last week and Ezekiel Elliott will too. The weather won't be awful, which is a bonus for Dallas. Lay the points.

12-4 IN LAST 16 NFL PICKS | +757
4-3 IN LAST 7 CHI ATS PICKS | +73
__________________

ELITE SPORTS PICKS

Rockets+1.5
__________________

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* Montana State PK NCAABB

3* Cowboys/Bears UNDER 43 NBA
__________________

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

4* Furman+12.5 NCAABB

3* Cowboys-3 NFL
__________________

Primetime Sports Picks For 12/05/19

4 Unit --> Furman +12.5 over Auburn (NCAAB)

3 Unit --> Louisiana Tech +8.5 over Mississippi St. (NCAAB)

3 Unit --> Dallas/Chicago UNDER 43 (NFL)
__________________

Dave Essler
NBA (3*) Game of the Month
Toronto/Houston under
__________________
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Premium Service Plays For Thursday 12/5/19 1 month 2 weeks ago #516516

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Online
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 40885
  • Thank you received: 331
  • Karma: 61
Bill Marzano

NBA New Orleans over 235.5
NBA Philadelphia -7.5
NHL Boston -1.5
__________________

Mike Barner

Toronto Raptors -1.5
__________________

Wayne Root

Mill- Dallas
__________________

From Northcoast group of handicappers:

Master Sports

NBA
3* #505 Denver -9

__________________

Dwayne Bryant

NBA TOTALS SYSTEM

3% Rockets-Raptors under 230 (Playable down to 228.5)
__________________

Miller locks

7:35 pm est nba
houston rockets vs. Toronto raptors

pick: Houston rockets +1 (-100)

risk: 11 units

7:35 pm est nba
denver nuggets vs. New york knicks

pick: Denver nuggets -9.5 (-104)

risk: 11 units

8:20 pm est nfl
dallas cowboys vs. Chicago bears

pick: Dallas cowboys (-150)

risk: 11 units
__________________

newworldinsiders

OFFSHORE INSIDER: Raptors OV 230
__________________
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Premium Service Plays For Thursday 12/5/19 1 month 2 weeks ago #516519

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Online
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 40885
  • Thank you received: 331
  • Karma: 61
DWAYNE BRYANT Basketball Plays

5-0 RUN! NBA TOTALS SYSTEM $$$$$
Game: (503) Houston Rockets at (504) Toronto Raptors
Date/Time: Dec 5 2019 7:35 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Under 230.0 (-106)

View Analysis

7:35 PM ET -- NBA

503 Houston Rockets
504 Toronto Raptors

PLAY = UNDER 230 (-106)

BET SIZE = 3%

Playable down to 228.5

My NBA totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data (using Hollinger's ratings for pace and offensive & defensive efficiency), history involving similar games (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.
__________________

BUSTER SPORTS

Hockey Plays

Game: (51) Colorado Avalanche at (52) Montreal Canadiens
Date/Time: Dec 5 2019 7:05 PM EST
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 6.5 (-109)

View Analysis

Our selection is on the Colorado/Montreal game OVER 6 1/2.
This is a game we have been waiting for and we knew we would see 6 1/2 as the oddsmakers are reluctant to put 7’s on games. I believe we have only seen one so far this year. If this game is in March it would be 7. We will take advantage here as we see both of these clubs having tons of scoring chances. We are well aware that last year these teams played 3 unders but this is a new year and this situation screams OVER. We had Colorado last night and we reported that both Gabe Landeskog, who has missed 16 games with an ankle injury, and Andre Burakovsky would play in Toronto. Well they did not but that was a game time decision by HC Jared Bednar. We can only go by what is reported by the information that we use and normally they would have played. We have to believe that they will play tonight, as it is a back to back for the Avalanche. Fresh legs are always nice to have and maybe that was Bednar’s thought process. The difference to us, if they play they might get a couple of PP goals and this total will be OVER by the end of the second period if not it will be OVER mid 3rd. Montreal is one of the worse teams on the PK sitting 30th overall and this Avalanche PP looked fantastic in Toronto last night. They will only be that much better with Landeskog back.
The goaltender situation will not be a problem for our over as backup Pavel Francouz is expected to be in net for the Avalanche. It does not matter who will be in net for the Canadiens as Carey Price is sporting a nasty .899 save percentage, which is terrible for him. He has allowed over 4 goals a game in his last 4 home starts. Now it is not Price’s fault per se as Montreal has just a real bad defensive group and that is why they have been in high scoring gamers most of the year. Now rookie Cayden Primeau, could get his first start tonight as at the time of this writing the Montreal goaltender has not been decided and that will work for us as well. We are looking at a 5-4, type of game here, as the Montreal offense should be able to take advantage of the Avalanche on the back to back. Montreal has played wide open offensively in the Bell Centre all year. They have fired 40, 42, 48, 37 and 43 shots on goal in their last 5 home games respectively. We will have a rare shootout between these teams tonight. Backing our selection is the fact that the Over is 5-0 in the Canadiens last 5 home games and the fact that the Over is 4-1 in Avalanche’s last 5 games playing on no rest.
So lets get the job done with the Colorado/Montreal OVER 6 1/2.
__________________

Tom Stryker

10-0 ATS NFL THURSDAY NIGHT PERFECT WAGER

Cowboys
__________________

Freddy Wills
Cowboys -3 3.3%
__________________

10* Top Play Silky Sullivan Dallas Stars
__________________

Frank Patron
30,000* Dallas -3 Chicago (NFL)
10,000* Toronto -1.5 Houston (NBA)
__________________

Jack Winningham

NBA
Toronto ML -135

NHL
Boston -210
Calgary -155
_________________

Bezobets

2u Bears +3
__________________
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Premium Service Plays For Thursday 12/5/19 1 month 2 weeks ago #516522

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Online
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 40885
  • Thank you received: 331
  • Karma: 61
John Bollman

CALGARY -160
BUFFALO @ CALGARY | 12/05 | 9:00 PM EST
10:56 AM
The Flames have won two straight and they are 7-3-2 at home, while the Sabres are 4-4-2 in their last 10 but 5-7-2 on the road. The Sabres already lost the first matchup to the Flames at home. The Sabres have won the last two games in Calgary but before that the Flames had won nine of 10 at home. Back the Flames at home against the Sabres backup goalie.

10-3 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +671
2-1 IN LAST 3 CGY ML PICKS | +61

N.Y. ISLANDERS -116
VEGAS @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 12/05 | 7:00 PM EST
10:53 AM
The Islanders are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games but 11-2-1 at home this season. The Golden Knights have won four straight and they get Marc Andre Fleury back tonight. However, they are just 8-6-1 on the road this season. The Knights needed a third period hat trick just to beat the Devils on Tuesday, take the value in the Islanders at home.

10-3 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +671
2-1 IN LAST 3 NYI ML PICKS | +77

WINNIPEG +139
WINNIPEG @ DALLAS | 12/05 | 8:30 PM EST
10:53 AM
The Jets are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games and 10-5-0 on the road this season. The Stars were very hot in November but they have cooled off to a 6-3-1 mark in their last 10 games. These teams have already played each other three times this season, with each team winning at home. These are two playoff teams with two good goalies playing, I like the value in the underdog at +140 any day.

10-3 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +671
3-1 IN LAST 4 WPG ML PICKS | +262
__________________

Larry Hartstein

SENIOR ANALYST
5:01 PM
DENVER -9.5
DENVER @ NEW YORK | 12/05 | 7:30 PM EST
Going from playing the Lakers to the Knicks will be refreshing for the Nuggets, who had a 10-1 run prior to their two-game skid. Expect Nikola Jokic to bounce back bigtime and for Denver to win by double digits.

20-9-1 IN LAST 30 NBA ATS PICKS | +1015
34-22-3 IN LAST 59 DEN ATS PICKS | +983

5-0-1 IN LAST 6 NY ATS PICKS | +500
__________________

Tom Fornelli

#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
3:05 PM
UNDER 230
HOUSTON @ TORONTO | 12/05 | 7:30 PM EST
While most of the attention when talking about Houston focuses on an efficient offense built around James Harden and Russell Westbrook, it's a better defensive team than most realize. Then there are the Raptors, and they rank fourth in the NBA in defensive efficiency. This total is a little too high. Plus, you never know how many dunks the refs won't count!

5-0 IN LAST 5 NBA O/U PICKS | +500
7-1 IN LAST 8 HOU O/U PICKS | +591
__________________

Adam Silverstein

FLORIDA FAVORITE
3:12 PM
DALLAS -3
DALLAS @ CHICAGO | 12/05 | 8:20 PM EST
Analysis to come later.

29-21 IN LAST 50 NFL ATS PICKS | +574
8-3 IN LAST 11 CHI ATS PICKS | +474

7-4 IN LAST 11 DAL ATS PICKS | +238


Micah Roberts

FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
2:52 PM
DALLAS -3
DALLAS @ CHICAGO | 12/05 | 8:20 PM EST
The Bears have won two straight, while the Cowboys have lost their last two. Both teams are at 6-6, and the loser of this game likely will miss the playoffs. The Bears are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight and their 3-9 ATS mark is the worst in the league. The Cowboys don’t beat many good teams, but the Bears hardly qualify.

4-1 IN LAST 5 CHI ATS PICKS | +289
__________________

Zack Cimini

HIGH POINT +2.5
ELON @ HIGH POINT | 12/05 | 7:00 PM EST
2:26 PM
The High Point Panthers are just 1-7, with their only win against a non D-1 school and all of their losses being double-digit blowouts -- including a 59-33 loss to Boston College and 93-70 to North Florida. That said, look for Thursday's game to be a winnable game against an Elon team that is vulnerable on the offensive end of the floor. Grab the points here.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +81
FURMAN +12.5
FURMAN @ AUBURN | 12/05 | 9:00 PM EST
2:23 PM
A scrappy Furman team hits the road Thursday to face Auburn. The Paladins are coming off a poor loss against South Florida, but still match up well against an Auburn team that has cruised to a 7-0 record mainly due to a soft schedule. Look for a competitive matchup to test the Tigers' undefeated mark.

2-1 IN LAST 3 CBB ATS PICKS | +81
2-1-1 IN LAST 4 FURMAN ATS PICKS | +90

NEW ORLEANS -4
PHOENIX @ NEW ORLEANS | 12/05 | 8:00 PM EST
2:16 PM
The Pelicans have lost an unimaginable six games straight and are now just 6-15. They take on a Phoenix Suns team Thursday that has lost a bit of their early success. Now just 9-11, the Suns nearly surrendered a steep lead on the road against Charlotte on Monday night. Offensively, Phoenix has lost a bit of production from both its starters and second unit. Look for the Pelicans to end their losing skid.

8-5-1 IN LAST 14 NBA ATS PICKS | +248
12-7-1 IN LAST 20 NO ATS PICKS | +445
__________________

Brandon Lovell
Auburn -12.5 30* triple your wager
__________________

Maddux

NBA

10 New Orleans -3
10 Philadelphia/Washington over 234
__________________

Bondi
3* dallas
__________________

Sharpside Sports

YTD: 865-605-29

76ers -7.5 to win 4% of BR
Cowboys -3 to win 4% of BR

Philly -7.5: The Wizards have zero rim protection. Bryant (who is ranked 9th in non post up rim score %) and Wagner are both injured, and will be out tonight. This leaves Rui Hachimura and Bertens as the primary rim protectors. This makes the worse defense in the NBA even worse. The front court is incredibly small (IT, Ish Smith, Beal), and with 0 back court help the 76ers will be scoring at will. According to Synergy they are the worst transition defensive team, and the worst half court team. This is by a wide margin. Teams have an aFG% of 65.4% on the break. They simply don't get back. Philly runs 18.9% of the time, and we expect them to pour it on them after missed buckets. PHI is the 9th best spot up team in the NBA, and get majority of these looks by running post up action. These looks will be wide open tonight, as WAS will have no choice but to help on post ups by both Embiid and Horford. PHI has won 8 out of their last 9 with their only loss coming at TOR. Look for them to abuse this depleted team tonight and win easily.
__________________

Robinhood

Today’s Selections –
The top NFL bettor in action is going with everyone’s favorite, the Chicago Bears +3.5, he bought the hook. I would advise a 0.50 unit wager on Chicago +3 which is how I will grade it. If you want the hook, that’s up to you. I always buy on and off 3 and 7 personally but again, that choice is yours. The LJP level on the game is a 3. Almost made it to 4 but not quite. With how the level scoring works with the LJP is a 3.9999999999999999 is still a “3”. It only achieves a level of “4” at 4.0 and above.

The top NHL bettor in action is going with Arizona/Philadelphia UN5.5 (-115). I would advise a 0.50 unit wager on UN5.5 (-115). The LJP level on the game is a 3.

The picture in basketball is real messy at the top. The following will be a good test of the LJP scoring. The top bettor has North Texas +6 over Oklahoma. The 4th at one book and the 6th bettor at another book are taking Oklahoma St. It also has an LJP score of 2.
Over in the NBA it is even messier with nothing achieving above a “2” on the LJP scale.

Yesterday the LA Kings were the bet from the top bettor in action. I ran with it because there was no contradiction at the top. However the LJP score on the game was a 2 and thereby from LJP standards, it would be a no play, lean at best. Why did I release the play? In an effort not to fully jump right into the LJP I wanted to keep doing things the way I would in the past with the RHC. It didn’t work out yesterday with the LA Kings. If today again shows why the LJP is a great strength assessment tool, you can expect in the future that even if the top bettor is on a game, if it doesn’t achieve a score of 3 or above, it’ll be a pass. I might let you know the info for your betting but it won’t be an official Robin Hood Club selection. Lastly, if the above 1 unit is too much risk or the thought of possibly being down 7 units has you looking for the nearest bridge to jump, then by all means DON’T BET IT! Bet what you are comfortable or pass altogether. If the thought of betting Trubisky has you beside yourself, give it a pass! The choice is yours. If you are uncomfortable with anything, don’t bet it! Oh one more thing, there has not been a lot of risk simply because I have not seen much in the markets. So I do not force plays nor do I chase. I am patient and wait for the games to come to me versus me pushing to the games. My level of patience, like bankroll management, is not for everyone so bet how and what you like, I just structure this to my betting style and philosophy… which again is not for everyone.
__________________

MTI

4* Cowboys at Bears UNDER 43 - The Cowboys have played two road games this season against 500-plus teams. The final scores in those two games were 10-12 and 9-13. We are on the under

Both of these teams are 6-6 and whoever loses here will have any faint hope of making the playoffs extinguished. The line makers rate the game relatively close to pick and the Bears over averaged only 1.08 turnovers per game this season, which is 7th best in the league. This activates a nice UNDER spot for the Cowboys. Dallas is 0-17 OU when the line is inside of 6 points of pick, they were at home last week, and they are visiting a team that has averaged fewer than 1.3 turnover per game. The SDQL text is:

team=Cowboys and A and -6= 2008

Dallas is also 0-7 OU (-9.64 ppg) on the road off a home game when they have the same number of wins as losses and 0-10 OU (-9.00 ppg) on the road vs a non-divisional opponent that has allowed fewer than 4.5 yards per carry when they allowed at least five third down conversions in their last game. The SDQL for the second of this pair is:

team=Cowboys and A and NDIV and po:3DM>=5 and oA(o:YPRA)<4.5 and date>=20151000

The Bears are in the unusual spot of being a home dog after playing as a road favorite. This, and the fact that the Cowboys had four sacks in their last game, qualifies them for a nice league-wide, multi-season system with a very nice average margin.

Teams are 0-15 OU as a home dog on grass after playing as a road favorite when facing a team that recorded four sacks in their last game, staying under by an average of 15.43 ppg. The SDQL text is:

HD and surface=grass and p:AF and 4<=op:sacks and date>=20091011

The Cowboys have great offensive numbers this season, and the Bears defense sees this as a challenge. Since last Thanksgiving, Chicago is 0-9 OU (-10.78 ppg) when facing a team that is averaging fewer than four punts per game. The SDQL text is:

team=Bears and oA(punts) < 4.25 and date>=20181122

Also, Chicago is 0-8 OU (-11.62 ppg) as a dog after a game in which they out gained their opponent and 0-7 OU (-14.14 ppg) as a dog off a road game when their passing yards increased over each of their past two games.

There is a lot of room under this number.

MTis FORECAST: Cowboys 16 BEARS 13
__________________

MTI NBA
20191205 4.5-Star 76ers at Wizards OVER 233.5
20191205 4.5-Star Suns at Pelicans OVER 235
20191205 4.5-Star Nuggets at Knicks UNDER 203
__________________

JR STEVENS
VIP PICKS (NFL - TNF GAME OF THE YEAR)
Dallas -2.5
Prediction: Dallas 30 Chicago 17

VIP PICKS (NBA)
Washington +8/ML +260
Houston +2/ML +120

VIP PICKS (CBB)
Louisiana Tech +8/ML +300
Furman +13/ML +665
Northern Illinois +15/ML +930
High Point +3/ML+140
__________________

Britney Deluca
ALL-STAR BANGER PLAY Chicago and Dallas Over 42.5

NBA HOT PICKS
Washington and Philadelphia Over 235
Toronto and Houston Under 231

CBB HOT PICKS
Hartford and St. Francis Under 137
High Point +3
__________________

Seabass : 500 auburn , 400 la tech , 300 knicks game under , 400 wizards game over , 1000 * cowboys game over
__________________

Paul Leiner

2000* NFL Over 43 dallas
100* CBB Oklahoma -6
100* NBA Sixers -7
__________________

Marco
3% Phoenix Suns
__________________
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Free NFL, NCAAF & NBA Premium Service Plays For Thursday 12/5/19 1 month 2 weeks ago #516525

  • Shazman
  • Shazman's Avatar
  • Online
  • Moderator
  • Posts: 40885
  • Thank you received: 331
  • Karma: 61
Maddux

Adding

NBA

10 Philadelphia/Washington under 235 (to cancel the earlier over pick)
__________________

Sterling
20 cowboys
__________________

Platinum Sports Investing

Bet to WIN 1%
NFL
12/5 - Bears +3.5 -120
__________________

Lenny Stevens
20* Thursday NIght NFL play on the BEARS
__________________

Josh Nagel

Knicks +9.5
__________________

Tony Bruno “Mr. Thursday Night”

The next to last Thursday Night game of the season tonight at venerable Soldier Field in Chicago features 2 teams at 6-6 but only 1 with a realistic chance to make the post season.
Dallas still has the number 1 offense in the NFL averaging 432.8 yards per game, but they’re facing their 3rd straight stoudt defense after being held to a combined 24 pts in back to back losses to Buffalo and New England. Dak has played well but they need to get Zeke running again. 10 yards away from 1,000, but in games where has doesn’t crack 100 yards, the Cowboys are 1-and-4.
Chicago got a big offensive game from Mitch Trubisky on Thanksgiving Day as he threw for over 300 yards and 3 tds against the Lions. Can the Bears defense stifle the Boys tonight? Numbers are pointing one way to me. Cowboys have covered the last 3 on the road, while Chicago is 3-9 against the spread and have 7 straight ATS losses. Dallas D hasn’t produced a turnover in the last 4 games while Chicago is +3 for the Bears.
Dallas is sitting at a 3 pt favorite and I taking them to win and cover as they snap out of this absolutely brutal season of underachievement that is the NFC Least!
Mr Thursday Night still sitting very profitable at 15-5 after a 1-3 Thanksgiving disaster for a 75% winning percentage
__________________
The administrator has disabled public write access.

Top Stories