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AAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Saturday 3/23/19

AAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Saturday 3/23/19 1 month 3 weeks ago #502600

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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 3/23/19
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AAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Saturday 3/23/19 1 month 3 weeks ago #502601

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AAF Week 7
— Home teams are 13-11 SU, 11-13 vs spread thru six weeks.
— Thru six weeks, favorites are 12-12 vs spread, 16-8 SU.
— Under is 13-10-1 thru six weeks.

Orlando (5-1) @ Atlanta (2-4)— Apollos lost for first time last week, turning ball over twice (-2) after being +5 in first five games; Orlando (-5.5) pounded Atlanta 40-6 in Week 1, getting four takeaways (+3) on a rainy night. Apollos won/covered all three road games, winning by 8-9-17 points. Legends lost two of three home games; they’ve been outscored 79-27 in 2nd half of games this season. Atlanta scored 14 or fewer points in five of their six games- they’re 2-0 if they run for 100+ yards, 0-4 if they don’t. Three of last four Orlando games stayed under total;

Salt Lake City (2-4) @ San Antonio (4-2)— First home game in four weeks for Commanders, who won/covered last three weeks. San Antonio has 11 takeaways in its last three games, going +3 in turnovers all three games- they led 26-0/26-6 at half of last two games. Stallions lost all three road games, by 16-3-2 points; they’re 1-2 vs spread as an underdog. Salt Lake turned ball over nine times in its last two games (-6), Four of last five SLC games stayed under total; four of last five San Antonio games went over.

San Diego (3-3) @ Arizona (3-3)— Visiting Fleet is 3-1 at home, 0-2 on road, losing by 9-3 points; San Diego allowed 27.7 ppg in last three games, after giving up only 12.7 ppg in first three games. Fleet scored 23+ points in each of last five games. Arizona lost three of last four games, but they gave Orlando their first loss LW; Hotshots lost their last two home games, by total of seven points- their last three games were all decided by 5 or fewer points. Last four San Diego games went over total; four of last five Arizona games stayed under.

Birmingham (4-2) @ Memphis (1-5)— Silvers will start at QB for Memphis, but Manziel might play; he would be 4th Express QB this year. Iron (-3) blanked Memphis 26-0 in season opener; Express threw for only 99 yards that night. Birmingham won both its road games, scoring 28-32 points; they’re scoring 15.7 ppg at home. Iron has six takeaways in two road tilts (+3), six in four home games (-2). Express split pair of home games that were decided by total of five points. Under is 3-2-1 in Birmingham games, 4-2 in Memphis games.
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AAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Saturday 3/23/19 1 month 3 weeks ago #502602

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Alliance of American Football Betting Preview

Week 7

Even with a lighter card last week, we were still able to get to the cashier's window, potentially with some help from a false start penalty from Orlando in the final 10 seconds. The Apollos were driving the ball for the game-winning TD that would have also cashed 'over' plays, but getting a little luck once in awhile is never a bad thing.

So it's on to Week 7 action in the Alliance now, and it's the two games on Sunday to close out the week that have caught my eye. It's there that we should get a great divisional showdown between San Diego and Arizona, as well as Birmingham looking to build off their upset win over the Fleet last week and keep pace with Orlando in the East. So where has my money gone?

YTD Record: 6-1 ATS

Best Bet #1: Arizona -3.5

It's easy to figure that Arizona might have a bit of a letdown after handing Orlando their first loss of the year, but with both the Hot Shots and Fleet looking up at San Antonio in the West with just a few weeks remaining. There is no more time in the year to get caught looking back at past glories, and with Arizona and San Diego tied for that all important 2nd spot in the West, the Hot Shots – who were the preseason favorites – need to make sure they take care of business here at home.

These two teams finish off the year with their second meeting (@ San Diego), and with the Fleet starting three straight on the road this week, that game may not be as important if Arizona takes care of business here.

We know this Arizona team is one of the most talented teams in this league on paper, and although it got tight for them late last week, they led the majority of that game against Orlando to show they are one of the better squads in the Alliance. At the same time, San Diego laid an egg for three of the four quarters in their home loss to Birmingham, and it's now three straight weeks where the Fleet have given up at least 25 points. Give up that many to Arizona here, and it will be lights out in a hurry for San Diego's chances – the total is just 40 – and it is a win by at least a TD that I believe we get from Arizona this Sunday.

Best Bet #2: Memphis +3

While I'm not that concerned about a letdown performance off a big win coming for Arizona, the same can't be said for Birmingham this week, as they close out Alliance action for the second straight week on the road. Birmingham's offense brought it against San Diego last week, as the 32 points they scored was seven more points than their combined score of the previous two weeks, and because of that I do believe they will be a popular side this week.

Remember, Birmingham also hung a beat down on Memphis is the season opener (26-0), and when you pair that with the quality effort they showed the world last Sunday, a point spread of -3 on the road starts to look really appetizing.

But this number is that short for a reason, and while Memphis has lost two in a row coming into this one, both were on the road. In their two home games this year they've lost by two points and won by three, so this is really a team that prefers to be playing in comfortable territory, and an outright win by the home side is another way to potentially attack this game.
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