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NHL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Monday 4/15/19

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 4/15/19

 
Posted : April 15, 2019 8:39 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
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There are four games scheduled in the National Hockey League playoffs on Monday, April, 15, including three series that are tied at 1-1 as all four series move to new venues. The Colorado Avalanche look to take a 2-1 lead over the team with the best record in the Western Conference, the Calgary Flames, and the Toronto Maple Leafs look to go up 2-1 over the Boston Bruins in an Original Six battle. That Nashville Predators look to regain home-ice advantage against the Dallas Stars.

Featured Game

Calgary Flames(-125) vs.Colorado Avalanche(+105)

The Colorado Avalanche earned the victory in Game 2, defeating the Calgary Flames in overtime, 3-2. After a scoreless first period, Colorado would take the lead in the second but the score would be tied at the end of two. Calgary would take their first lead on a Sean Monahan goal but J.T. Compher tied the score with a little less than three minutes left in the game. Nathan McKinnon would when the contest 8:27 into the extra frame. Philipp Grubauer made 35 saves to in the victory.

Goaltending Matchup:

Mike Smith will be in goal for Calgary. After shutting out Colorado in Game 1 of this series, he allowed three goals on 39 shots in the overtime loss. Smith has not allowed more than three goals in any of his last 10 starts and has allowed 18 total goals in that span.

Philipp Grubauer Rebounded after giving up three goals in Game 1, to allow just two on 37 shots in the victory. Grubauer has been absolutely brilliant of late, going 7-1-1 in his last nine starts. He has allowed 20 total goals in his last nine starts.

Trends to Watch:

The Calgary Flames are…

1-5 in their last six conference quarterfinals games.
23-11 in their last 34 games against teams with a losing record.
6-2 in their last eight games on a Monday.

The Colorado Avalanche are…

9-4 in their last 13 games.
7-3 in their last 10 games against teams from the Western Conference.
6-0 in their last six games at home.

Stat Pack:

Flames:
Goals For: 3.52
Goals Against: 2.72
Power-Play: 19.3%
Penalty Killing: 79.7%

Avalanche:
Goals For: 3.15
Goals Against: 2.98
Power-Play: 22.0%
Penalty Killing: 70.7%

Prediction

This is turning out to be the one series the Calgary probably dreaded the most. The Colorado Avalanche entered this series playing exceptionally well and had a goaltender who was playing his best hockey of the season heading into the playoffs. The Avalanche have won six straight games at home, and we expect them to jump out to take the lead in this series.

The total is set at 6.0 for this game. The total has gone under in each of the first two games and we expect that to happen here is well. Both goaltenders are playing solid hockey right now, and this should be a tight checking game. We take the Colorado Avalanche to win 3-2.

Two Games to Watch

Boston Bruins (+100) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (-120)

After losing at home in Game 1, 4-1, the Boston Bruins rebounded to take Game 2 by an identical score. Boston jumped out to a 3-0 halfway through the contest and four different players would find the back of the net for the Bruins. Tuukka Rask rebounded from a tough performance in Game 1 to stop 30 shots.

Why Boston Wins:

Bruins are 5-2 in their last seven games on the road.
Bruins are 21-9 in their last 30 games.
Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last five games.
Maple Leafs are 2-5 in their last seven games at home.
Bruins are 5-2 in the last seven meetings between these two teams.

Why Toronto Wins:

Maple Leafs are 7-2 in their last nine games at home when facing a team with a losing record on the road.
Bruins are 1-5 in their last six games against teams from the Atlantic Division.
Home team has won six of the last eight meetings.
Maple Leafs are 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these two teams in Toronto.

What About the Total?

Gounder 6.0, because…

Total has gone under in each of the first two games of this series.
Rask allowed one goal on 31 shots in his last outing.
Toronto has gone under in six of their last seven games.

Nashville Predators (+100) vs. Dallas Stars (-120)

The Nashville Predators earned a dramatic victory in Game 2 to tie this series at one. After both teams would score a goal in the second period, the game headed to overtime were Craig Smith would when it with his first goal the playoffs exactly 5 minutes into the extra frame. Pekka Rinne earned the victory by stopping 22 shots.

Why Nashville Wins:

Predators are 5-1 in their last six games on the road.
Predators are 4-1 in their last five games.
Road team has won five of the last seven meetings between these two teams.
Predators are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams.
Predators are 4-1 in the last five meetings in Dallas.
Rinne has won five of his last six starts.

Why Dallas Wins:

Stars are 6-2 in their last eight games.
Stars are 5-2 in their last seven conference quarterfinals games.
Predators are 1-4 in their last five games against teams with a winning record.
Bishop has allowed two goals in five contests and has five shutouts over his last 10 games.

What About the Total?

Go under 6.0, because…

Bishops has a 0.93 goals-against average over his last 10 starts.
Total has gone under in each of the first two games of this series.
Nashville has gone under in four of their last five conference quarterfinals games.
Dallas has gone under in 20 of their last 29 at home.

 
Posted : April 15, 2019 8:42 am
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NHL
Long Sheet

Monday, April 15

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BOSTON (50-25-0-9, 109 pts.) at TORONTO (47-29-0-8, 102 pts.) - 4/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 21-18 ATS (-8.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
TORONTO is 21-24 ATS (+46.6 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 12-9 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 12-9-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
10 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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WASHINGTON (50-26-0-8, 108 pts.) at CAROLINA (46-30-0-8, 100 pts.) - 4/15/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 30-16 ATS (+5.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 116-75 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-16 ATS (+5.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
WASHINGTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 68-45 ATS (+3.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 46-24 ATS (+11.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 9-2 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after a division game this season.
WASHINGTON is 63-42 ATS (+13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-26 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 82-84 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 15-16 ATS (-6.4 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
CAROLINA is 23-35 ATS (-19.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 132-136 ATS (-79.3 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
CAROLINA is 48-61 ATS (-38.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 32-49 ATS (-31.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 11-3 (+6.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 11-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)

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NASHVILLE (48-30-0-6, 102 pts.) at DALLAS (44-32-0-8, 96 pts.) - 4/15/2019, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 232-155 ATS (+63.1 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 60-34 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 10-6 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 10-6-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (51-25-0-8, 110 pts.) at COLORADO (39-31-0-14, 92 pts.) - 4/15/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 21-12 ATS (+7.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
CALGARY is 37-23 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 39-45 ATS (-62.3 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 9-2 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 9-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)
__________________

 
Posted : April 15, 2019 10:29 am
(@shazman)
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NHL

Monday, April 15

Trend Report

Washington @ Carolina
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Boston @ Toronto
Boston
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston

Nashville @ Dallas
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Nashville
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Nashville

Calgary @ Colorado
Calgary
Calgary is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 13 games
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Posted : April 15, 2019 10:30 am
(@shazman)
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29Boston -30 Toronto
TORONTO is 18-20 ATS (-17.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

31Washington -32 Carolina
WASHINGTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive division games over the last 2 seasons.

33Nashville -34 Dallas
NASHVILLE is 15-7 ATS (7.6 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.

35Calgary -36 Colorado
COLORADO is 22-34 ATS (-16.1 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.
__________________

 
Posted : April 15, 2019 10:31 am
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