Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 5/12/18
Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets (-145, 6)
The Vegas Golden Knights long since surpassed expectations in authoring the most successful inaugural season in NHL history, and now the expansion team tries to continue its stunning run through the Stanley Cup Playoffs against the Winnipeg Jets in the Western Conference finals. The Jets host Game 1 of the best-of-seven series Saturday night, two days after capping a riveting 4-3 series victory over Nashville, while Vegas has not played since finishing off San Jose in six games Sunday.
Vegas swept Los Angeles in the opening round and in 10 games has allowed more than three goals just twice, but figures to be pushed by Winnipeg’s high-powered offense that scored four goals or more five times against the Predators. “If we can defend well and get on the attack ourselves, we’ll be alright,” Vegas forward James Neal told reporters during a Friday press conference. “It’s that time of year. Everyone is batting for space out there. Goals aren’t easy to come by.” The Golden Knights will look to unleash their speed while relying on center William Karlsson - who has added four goals in the playoffs after scoring 43 during the regular season - and goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury, while the Jets counter with center Mark Scheifele - who has scored a NHL-high 11 goals in 12 postseason games and Vezina finalist Connor Hellebuyck. “We’re here to win a Stanley Cup,” Hellebuyck told reporters during a press conference Friday. “We haven’t achieved anything yet.”
TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, TVA
SERIES PRICE (PER WILLIAM HILL US):
LINE HISTORY: The Jets opened Game 1 as -140 home favorites and have been bet up slightly to -145 as of Friday night. The total hit the board at 5.5 and has seen enough action to move up to the even number of 6. Check out the complete line history here.
COVERS CONSENSUS: There could be some sharp action on the Jets as the line has moved in their favor despite seeing just 41 percent of wagers according to the public. The Over is seeing the slight edge in the total action with 53 percent of the bets. Check out the complete consensus data here.
GOALIE SHOWDOWN:
GP W L GAA SAVE % SO
Marc-Andre Fleury (Golden Knights) 10 8 2 1.53 .951 4
Connor Hellebuyck (Jets) 12 8 4 2.25 .927 2
INJURY REPORT:
Golden Knights - LW William Carrier (Questionable, upper body), D Clayton Stoner (Out, abdominal).
Jets - D Dmitry Kulikov (Out, back).
ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS: Karlsson’s linemates, forwards Jonathan Marchessault and Reilly Smith, each have 11 points in 10 playoff games for a Vegas squad that finished the regular season with 109 points and won the Pacific Division title. Fleury, who played with Pittsburgh as they won the past two Stanley Cups, has posted a .951 save percentage and a 1.53 goals against average in going 8-2 with four shutouts. Another veteran presence to watch for Vegas is Neal, who owns seven points (three goals) this spring and has 90 games of postseason experience - the first 80 coming with Pittsburgh and Nashville.
ABOUT THE JETS: Winnipeg’s top line of Scheifele along with forwards Blake Wheeler and Kyle Connor has been sensational in the playoffs, combining for 16 goals and 23 assists, while trade-deadline acquisition Paul Stastny scored twice in Game 7 against Nashville and boasts 14 points in the postseason. There is also more firepower that has been sporadic in the opening two rounds, including forwards Patrik Laine (44 regular-season goals, three in the playoffs) and Nikolaj Ehlers (29 in the regular season, zero in the postseason). Hellebuyck, playing in his first postseason, has two shutouts, a .927 save percentage and a 2.24 goals against average in winning eight of 12 starts.
TRENDS:
* Golden Knights are 11-2 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Jets are 42-11 in their last 53 home games.
* Under is 12-5-1 in Golden Knights last 18 games following a win.
* Under is 7-1 in Jets last eight home games.
Preview: Golden Knights at Jets
Gracenote
May 11, 2018
The Vegas Golden Knights long since surpassed expectations in authoring the most successful inaugural season in NHL history, and now the expansion team tries to continue its stunning run through the Stanley Cup Playoffs against the Winnipeg Jets in the Western Conference finals. The Jets host Game 1 of the best-of-seven series Saturday night, two days after capping a riveting 4-3 series victory over Nashville, while Vegas has not played since finishing off San Jose in six games Sunday.
Vegas swept Los Angeles in the opening round and in 10 games has allowed more than three goals just twice, but figures to be pushed by Winnipeg’s high-powered offense that scored four goals or more five times against the Predators. “If we can defend well and get on the attack ourselves, we’ll be alright,” Vegas forward James Neal told reporters during a Friday press conference. “It’s that time of year. Everyone is batting for space out there. Goals aren’t easy to come by.” The Golden Knights will look to unleash their speed while relying on center William Karlsson - who has added four goals in the playoffs after scoring 43 during the regular season - and goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury, while the Jets counter with center Mark Scheifele - who has scored a NHL-high 11 goals in 12 postseason games and Vezina finalist Connor Hellebuyck. “We’re here to win a Stanley Cup,” Hellebuyck told reporters during a press conference Friday. “We haven’t achieved anything yet.”
TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, TVA
ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS: Karlsson’s linemates, forwards Jonathan Marchessault and Reilly Smith, each have 11 points in 10 playoff games for a Vegas squad that finished the regular season with 109 points and won the Pacific Division title. Fleury, who played with Pittsburgh as they won the past two Stanley Cups, has posted a .951 save percentage and a 1.53 goals against average in going 8-2 with four shutouts. Another veteran presence to watch for Vegas is Neal, who owns seven points (three goals) this spring and has 90 games of postseason experience - the first 80 coming with Pittsburgh and Nashville.
ABOUT THE JETS: Winnipeg’s top line of Scheifele along with forwards Blake Wheeler and Kyle Connor has been sensational in the playoffs, combining for 16 goals and 23 assists, while trade-deadline acquisition Paul Stastny scored twice in Game 7 against Nashville and boasts 14 points in the postseason. There is also more firepower that has been sporadic in the opening two rounds, including forwards Patrik Laine (44 regular-season goals, three in the playoffs) and Nikolaj Ehlers (29 in the regular season, zero in the postseason). Hellebuyck, playing in his first postseason, has two shutouts, a .927 save percentage and a 2.24 goals against average in winning eight of 12 starts.
OVERTIME
1. Vegas won the season series 2-1 and outscored the Jets 12-11 in the three games, while Winnipeg outshot the Golden Knights 95-89 and went 4-for-14 on the power play.
2. Fleury only made one start against Winnipeg due to injury, making 26 saves in a 3-2 road overtime victory on Feb. 1.
3. Jets D Dustin Byfuglien finished the Nashville series with four goals and four assists.
PREDICTION: Jets 3, Golden Knights 1
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W/L Trends
Vegas
Golden Knights are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Golden Knights are 7-1 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Golden Knights are 11-2 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
Golden Knights are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
Golden Knights are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
Golden Knights are 8-2 in their last 10 overall.
Golden Knights are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win.
Golden Knights are 27-11 in their last 38 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Golden Knights are 9-4 in their last 13 Saturday games.
Golden Knights are 41-19 in their last 60 vs. Western Conference.
Winnipeg
Jets are 6-1 in their last 7 Saturday games.
Jets are 42-11 in their last 53 home games.
Jets are 11-3 in their last 14 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Jets are 20-6 in their last 26 vs. Pacific.
Jets are 16-6 in their last 22 games following a win.
Jets are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Jets are 40-17 in their last 57 overall.
Jets are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Jets are 45-21 in their last 66 vs. Western Conference.
Jets are 44-21 in their last 65 games playing on 1 days rest.
Jets are 35-17 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
OU Trends
Vegas
Over is 4-1-1 in Golden Knights last 6 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Golden Knights last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 3-1-1 in Golden Knights last 5 road games.
Under is 10-4-1 in Golden Knights last 15 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 12-5-1 in Golden Knights last 18 games following a win.
Winnipeg
Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Jets last 8 home games.
Under is 8-2 in Jets last 10 games following a win.
Under is 6-2 in Jets last 8 Saturday games.
Over is 24-10 in Jets last 34 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Head to Head
No trends available.
NHL
Long Sheet
Saturday, May 12
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VEGAS (59-26-0-7, 125 pts.) at WINNIPEG (60-24-0-10, 130 pts.) - 5/12/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 60-35 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 37-18 ATS (+6.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
WINNIPEG is 31-13 ATS (+17.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WINNIPEG is 33-21 ATS (+5.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WINNIPEG is 23-11 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
VEGAS is 60-33 ATS (+20.3 Units) in all games this season.
VEGAS is 25-13 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a division game this season.
VEGAS is 33-17 ATS (+14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 2-1-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)
NHL
Saturday, May 12
Trend Report
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Vegas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Vegas's last 16 games on the road
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Winnipeg is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Winnipeg is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games at home