Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 5/10/18
Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators (-165, 5.5)
Series tied 3-3.
The two best teams in the NHL this season have battled through six incredible games in the Western Conference semifinals, and now it is time to decide whether the Winnipeg Jets or the Nashville Predators will advance to the conference final. The Predators host the Jets in Thursday's Game 7, the finale of a series in which neither team has won consecutive games, the road team has prevailed four times, and both teams have the same amount of shots (177) and attempts (338).
“It’s a really tight series,” Nashville captain Roman Josi told reporters Wednesday. “Even the games where the score doesn’t really show it, they’re all tight games. They could’ve gone either way.” The key Thursday could be who scores first, as the Predators jumped ahead in Games 4 and 6 and then deployed a defensive-focus mindset in the final two periods of both games to keep the Jets at bay. In between, Winnipeg survived a first-period onslaught in Game 5 before pounding in four second-period goals en route to a 6-2 victory, using the speed and precise passing that Nashville’s defense negated in Games 4 and 6. “Have the confidence that you’re going to go out and perform at your best,” Winnipeg coach Paul Maurice told reporters after Wednesday’s practice. “Enjoy it, the whole part. The nerves before the game, the tension of the game, the excitement of the game.”
TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, Sportsnet, TVA Sports
BETTING STATS:
LINE HISTORY: The Predators opened as -165 moneyline favorites for Game 7 and as of Wednesday night that number has not moved. 66 percent of early Covers Consensus moneyline wagers are on the favored Preds. The total hit betting boards at 5.5 and has yet to move. Check out the complete line history here.
ABOUT THE JETS (59-23-9-2, 45-46 O/U): Winnipeg had chances in Game 6 but saw its power play, one of the NHL’s best this season, come up empty four times with the man advantage in the 4-0 defeat – three times in the opening period with the Jets trailing the game 1-0. Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler, who have combined for 12 goals and 15 assists in the postseason, were a combined minus-4 with three shots apiece in Game 6, while 29-goal scorer Nikolaj Ehlers has not scored in the playoffs. Connor Hellebuyck gave up a goal 62 seconds into Game 6 and finished with 25 saves, his lowest total of the series.
ABOUT THE PREDATORS (60-23-4-7, 47-46 O/U): Nashville is alive thanks in large part to its top line, as Filip Forsberg and Viktor Arvidsson each scored twice with one assist in Game 6, and center Ryan Johansen added two assists – each member of the line finishing plus-4 in an elimination game on the road. Pekka Rinne has been pulled twice against the Jets, but the Vezina finalist made 34 saves in his strongest game of the series. The Predators were outstanding defensively in front of Rinne, blocking 23 shots in the game and holding Winnipeg to just four shots in killing off the four Jets power plays.
INJURY REPORT:
Jets - D Dmitry Kulikov (Out Indefinitely, Back).
Predators - C Mike Fisher (Questionable, Undisclosed).
TRENDS:
* Jets are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.
* Predators are 48-21 in their last 69 home games.
* Under is 9-4 in Jets' last 13 overall.
* Over is 7-2 in Predators' last 9 home games.
* Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Nashville.
Preview: Jets at Predators
Gracenote
May 9, 2018
The two best teams in the regular season have battled through six incredible games in the Western Conference semifinals, and now it is time to decide whether the Winnipeg Jets or the Nashville Predators will advance to the conference final. The Predators host the Jets in Thursday's Game 7 - the finale of a series in which neither team has won consecutive games, the road team has prevailed four times, and both have the same amount of shots (177) and attempts (338) playing 5-on-5.
“It’s a really tight series,” Nashville captain Roman Josi told reporters Wednesday. “Even the games where the score doesn’t really show it, they’re all tight games. They could’ve gone either way.” The key Thursday could be who scores first, as the Predators jumped ahead in Games 4 and 6 and then deployed a defense-focused mindset in the final two periods to keep the Jets at bay. In between, Winnipeg survived a first-period onslaught in Game 5 before pounding in four second-period goals en route to a 6-2 victory, using the speed and precise passing that Nashville’s defense negated in Games 4 and 6. “Have the confidence that you’re going to go out and perform at your best,” Winnipeg coach Paul Maurice told reporters after Wednesday’s practice. “Enjoy it, the whole part. The nerves before the game, the tension of the game, the excitement of the game.”
TV: 8 p.m. ET, NBC Sports Network, CBC, Sportsnet, TVA
ABOUT THE JETS: Winnipeg had chances in Game 6 but saw its power play, one of the NHL’s best this season, come up empty four times in the 4-0 defeat - three times in the opening period with the Jets trailing 1-0. Mark Scheifele and Blake Wheeler, who have combined for 12 goals and 15 assists in the postseason, were a combined minus-4 with three shots apiece in Game 6, while 29-goal scorer Nikolaj Ehlers has not scored in the playoffs. Connor Hellebuyck gave up a goal 62 seconds into Game 6 and finished with 25 saves, his lowest total of the series.
ABOUT THE PREDATORS: Nashville is alive thanks in large part to its top line, as Filip Forsberg and Viktor Arvidsson each scored twice with one assist in Game 6, and center Ryan Johansen added two assists as each member of the trio finished with a plus-4 rating in an elimination game on the road. Pekka Rinne has been pulled twice against the Jets, but the Vezina finalist made 34 saves in his strongest game of the series. The Predators were outstanding defensively in front of Rinne, blocking 23 shots in the game and holding Winnipeg to just four shots in killing off the four Jets power plays.
OVERTIME
1. Thursday marks the first home Game 7 (and only third overall) in Predators history, and the first Game 7 of any type in Jets franchise history.
2. Nashville C Mike Fisher did not practice Tuesday or Wednesday with an undisclosed injury, and if he cannot play, F Calle Jarnkrok would slide into the middle between F Scott Hartnell and F Ryan Hartman.
3. Winnipeg has won two of three games in Nashville in the series, outscoring the Predators 14-8.
PREDICTION: Jets 5, Predators 4
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W/L Trends
Winnipeg
Jets are 4-0 in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
Jets are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Jets are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Jets are 13-4 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record.
Jets are 22-7 in their last 29 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Jets are 6-2 in their last 8 road games.
Jets are 39-17 in their last 56 overall.
Jets are 11-5 in their last 16 vs. Central.
Jets are 44-21 in their last 65 vs. Western Conference.
Jets are 3-7 in their last 10 Thursday games.
Jets are 1-5 in their last 6 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals.
Nashville
Predators are 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games.
Predators are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
Predators are 22-8 in their last 30 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Predators are 23-9 in their last 32 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Predators are 61-26 in their last 87 vs. Western Conference.
Predators are 48-21 in their last 69 home games.
Predators are 37-17 in their last 54 overall.
Predators are 36-17 in their last 53 vs. Central.
Predators are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win.
OU Trends
Winnipeg
Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 following a loss of 3 or more goals.
Under is 5-1 in Jets last 6 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Over is 13-5-1 in Jets last 19 games playing on 2 days rest.
Over is 5-2 in Jets last 7 road games.
Under is 9-4 in Jets last 13 overall.
Under is 9-4 in Jets last 13 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 27-13-4 in Jets last 44 Thursday games.
Nashville
Over is 8-2-1 in Predators last 11 Thursday games.
Over is 7-2 in Predators last 9 home games.
Under is 9-3-1 in Predators last 13 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Over is 9-3 in Predators last 12 games following a win.
Under is 7-3-1 in Predators last 11 Conference Semifinals games.
Head to Head
Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Nashville.
NHL
Long Sheet
Thursday, May 10
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WINNIPEG (59-24-0-10, 128 pts.) at NASHVILLE (60-23-0-11, 131 pts.) - 5/10/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 60-35 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games this season.
NASHVILLE is 49-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 38-19 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NASHVILLE is 51-28 ATS (+18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 59-35 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games this season.
WINNIPEG is 36-18 ATS (+9.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
WINNIPEG is 41-25 ATS (+15.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 30-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WINNIPEG is 54-41 ATS (+12.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 32-21 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WINNIPEG is 22-11 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 11-9 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 11-9-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.9 Units)
NHL
Thursday, May 10
Trend Report
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Winnipeg is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 13 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Winnipeg is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 9 games
Nashville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Nashville is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 9 games at home
Nashville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
Nashville is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg