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Monday Sharp Action

Monday Sharp Action 2 months 1 week ago #546376

  • Jimmythegreek
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Timmy I agree together were a great team , we all work together for a common goal! when you hit broncos for the 3 time live I knew you were not messing around :) Surf I saw that airplane disappear too lol .

8:15 p.m. ET: Dallas Cowboys (1-1) at New York Giants (2-0)

Both of these NFC East rivals are coming off Week 2 victories. The Cooper Rush and the Cowboys just shocked the Bengals 20-17, winning outright as 7-point home dogs. On the flip side, the Giants just held off the Panthers 19-16, winning outright as 1-point home dogs. This line opened with the Giants listed as a 3-point home favorite. Some books opened as high as Giants -4.5. We've seen steady, consistent action on the Cowboys, dropping the line down to Giants -1. We haven't seen any buyback on the Giants. Currently 44% of bets and 45% of money is taking the points with the Cowboys at DraftKings.

The Cowboys match several profitable betting systems. Dogs are 28-18-1 ATS (61%) on the season. Primetime dogs are 63-47 ATS (57%) since 2019. Short road dogs 3 or less are 74-55 ATS (57%) since 2019. Dallas also has value as a divisional dog. Historically, dogs within the division have barked louder than dogs outside of the division due to the built in familiarity leveling the playing field and benefiting the team getting points.

Pros are also expecting a low scoring game in this one. The total opened at 40 and has fallen to 39, signaling respected money taking the under. Currently 58% of bets and 71% of money is taking the under, indicating a contrarian under. Seems like public and sharps are on the Unders and are 30-17 (64%) this season. Divisional unders are 14-3 (82%). Primetime unders are 7-2. The forecast calls for mid 60s with 10 MPH winds. Historically, when the wind blows 10 MPH or more the under is roughly 55% over the past decade. Both teams are 2-0 to the under this season. 42% and 29% are hitting the over at 38 so we are see some buyback on the over. Last thing with tonight game, I think in order for Dallas to win the total has to be Dallas TT 20 or greater. An alternative over may be the way to go. Lean Cowboys
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