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shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57723

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Wednesday 12/15/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB & NBA games.

Posted : December 15, 2021 9:18 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57723

Member Moderator

Topic starter

SportsLine Projection Model

CHATTANOOGA MOCS AT BELMONT BRUINS | 12/15 | 6 P.M. ET

Against the Spread

Pick: Chattanooga +6.5
The Mocs cover in 82 percent of simulations

Over-Under

Pick: Over 139
The Over hits in 72 percent of simulations

Projected final score: Chattanooga 77, Belmont 71
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Matt Severance

BELLARMINE @ SOUTH DAKOTA | 12/15 | 8:00 PM EST
SOUTH DAKOTA -120
ANALYSIS: Various models have South Dakota winning from anywhere between 2-4 points so let's not even mess with the spread. South Dakota is 6-0 at home this season and 59-9 all-time at its fairly new Coyote Sports Center. After sitting out last season in the pandemic, Aussie Hunter Goodrick has come back strong for the Coyotes and is averaging 7.2 points and 7.7 rebounds. All six of Bellarmine's losses are against good-to-great competition (Purdue, UCLA, Gonzaga to name three) but all of its wins are against garbage. Only two of Bellarmine’s 11 games have had single-digit scoring margins.

+2774 139-101-1 LAST 241 CBB SIDES
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 BELLAR PICKS
7:09 PM
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Max Gorenstein

N. MEX. ST. @ WASHINGTON ST. | 12/15 | 10:00 PM EST
N. MEX. ST. +8
ANALYSIS: This spread is too high. I make these teams about even with the absence of Cougars center Dishon Jackson who is out with a thumb injury. The Aggies have won each of their last three games, all of which were on the road. The Cougars are coming off of a straight up loss in a home game where they were favored by six. They should struggle again in this game. The Aggies will be able to keep this game close enough to cover the spread.

+1162 41-27 IN LAST 68 CBB PICKS
3:16 AM

FAIRFIELD @ FDU | 12/15 | 7:00 PM EST
FAIRFIELD -9
ANALYSIS: The Knights are one of the worst teams in Division I. They are 0-8 with an average margin of defeat of 20.4 PPG. The Stags have looked impressive this season. They are 8-1 ATS and have been trending upwards. They have won seven of their last eight games including four straight road games. They will dominate this terrible Knights teams and easily over this spread.

+1162 41-27 IN LAST 68 CBB PICKS
2:30 AM

MOREHEAD ST. @ XAVIER | 12/15 | 8:30 PM EST
XAVIER -15.5
ANALYSIS: I am very high on this Xavier team. The Musketeers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games and 6-0 ATS in their last six home games. The Eagles are not a good team. They are just 1-4 ATS in their five games as an underdog including 0-3 ATS as a double digit underdog. The Musketeers are a much better team. They have beaten up on bad teams and will again in this game. Lay the points.

+1162 41-27 IN LAST 68 CBB PICKS
2:07 AM
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Posted : December 15, 2021 9:25 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57723

Member Moderator

Topic starter

NbaUnderTips

Oklahoma City Thunder - New Orleans Pelicans
Under 211

Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers
Under 217
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TMTW SPORTS

Last 40 POD Picks 27-13 (68%)

25k POD - (NBA) Memphis -2.5 (10pm)
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TMTW SPORTS

3k Ohio -3.5 (7pm)

3k Mississippi Under 133.5 (7:30pm)

6k Utah State -2 (9pm)
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Greg Peterson

UCF vs Temple Under 136.5

SE Missouri St +12.5 vs Southern Illinois

UC Irvine +11 vs USC

Northern Colorado +26 vs Arizona

UC San Diego vs Denver Over 128.5

Updated Record 100-77-3
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The Prez

4% REGULATION Anaheim Ducks +105
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Justin Perri

UCF @ TEMPLE | 12/15 | 7:00 PM EST
OVER 136
ANALYSIS: I'll take this moderate total to go over in an interesting matchup between UCF and Temple. Central Florida seems to focus more on offensive production and runs up the score in road games. They're 3-0 on the over when away from home and each time the total has safely cashed by at least 10 points. Temple should help by getting to the free throw line and adding points with the clock stopped while staying competitive at home. The over is the play here.

+888 43-31-1 IN LAST 75 CBB ATS PICKS
8:06 AM
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Matt Severance

MIAMI @ PHILADELPHIA | 12/15 | 7:00 PM EST
PHILADELPHIA -6
ANALYSIS: I'm going to risk picking this one early in the hopes that Joel Embiid plays for Philly because he did participate in the shootaround this morning after sitting out Monday. The Heat already have ruled out Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo among a few other lesser guys.

+850 61-44-1 LAST 106 NBA SIDES
+385 6-2 IN LAST 8 MIA ML PICKS
+389 9-3 IN LAST 12 PHI ML PICKS
12:00 PM
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Mike Barner

INDIANA @ MILWAUKEE | 12/15 | 8:00 PM EST
INDIANA -2
ANALYSIS: I’m not going to lie, rolling with the Pacers here, given what they have done to me this season, makes me feel a little uneasy. With that being said, the Bucks are in rough shape with Giannis Antetokounmpo, Donte DiVincenzo and Wesley Matthews all in the health and safety protocols. To complicate matters, Khris Middleton (knee) is listed as questionable. If he’s out, this line could swing significantly. I’ll take a chance and lock in the Pacers now.

+1190 46-31-1 IN LAST 78 NBA PICKS
+451 21-15 IN LAST 36 MIL PICKS
12:37 PM
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Posted : December 15, 2021 2:13 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57723

Member Moderator

Topic starter

Larry Ness

9 units South Dakota state
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Pickswise Sports
NHL is a Pass

NBA 3* Best Bets
Lakers -120
Pelicans -4
Hornets/Spurs Over 226.5

CBB 3* Best Bet Arizona -24.5
2* Middle Tennessee/Mississippi Over 134.5
2* USC -11
2* Washington State/New Mexico State Over 136.5
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Bryan Leonard

3% Belmont -6.5
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August Young

4-Unit Play: Take #306056 Under 139 -110 in Fairfield @ Fairleigh Dickinson (7:00p.m., Wednesday, December 15)
4-Unit Play: Take #306061 Over 134.5 -110 in Florida International @ Jacksonville State (7:00p.m., Wednesday, December 15)
4-Unit Play: Take #666 Under 133.5 -110 in SE Missouri State @ Southern Illinois (8:00p.m., Wednesday, December 15)
3-Unit Play: Take #668 Under 132 -110 in Lamar @ Texas State (8:00p.m., Wednesday, December 15)
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Hot Shot Sports

NBA
3* #547 Memphis -1
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WUnderdog

NCAA

Mississippi -11.5 vs MTSU
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Posted : December 15, 2021 5:51 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 57723

Member Moderator

Topic starter

IN GAME TRAP