Sorry guys been out of commission lately had tumor removed from my chest and been recovering trying to get my energy back but it’s been an uphill battle.
Up to this point, underdogs have gone an impressive 101-78 ATS (56%). Road dogs have been particularly profitable, going 64-40 ATS (62%). Road dogs 7 or less have gone 53-22 ATS (71%).
Unders have also been a smart bet, going 103-77 (57%). Non-conference unders are 38-20 (66%). Windy unders 10 MPH or more are 35-20 (64%).
Here are today's Windy Unders matches
Cardinals-Bears Under 42
Giants-Dolphins Under 39.5
Broncos-Chiefs Under 47
Chargers-Bengals Under 50
1 p.m. ET: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons
The Bucs (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS) have won two straight and just beat the Colts 38-31, covering as 3-point road favorites. Meanwhile, the Falcons (5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS) just beat the Jaguars 21-14, covering as 1.5-point road favorites. The win snapped a two-game losing skid for Atlanta. This line opened with the Bucs listed as a 9.5-point road favorite. Sharps have gotten down hard on the Bucs, driving Tampa Bay up from -9.5 to -11. The last two times these teams played, the Bucs won by 17 points (44-27) and 23 points (48-25). Tampa Bay is averaging 32 PPG on offense compared to just 18 PPG for Atlanta. Tampa Bay is a teaser candidate (-11 to -5), which goes through the key numbers of 10 and 7.
4:05 p.m. ET: Washington Football Team at Las Vegas Raiders
Washington (5-6 SU, 4-7 ATS) is riding a three-game winning streak and just edged the Seahawks 17-15 on Monday Night, winning outright as a 1.5-point home dog. Meanwhile, the Raiders (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) are just 1-3 over their last four games, although they did upset the Cowboys 36-33 on Thanksgiving as 7-point road dogs. This line opened with Vegas listed as a 3-point home favorite. Sharp money has gotten down hard on Washington, dropping this line 3 to 1.5. Road dogs 7 or less are 53-22 ATS (71%) this season. Road dogs in which the line stays the same or moves in their favor are 30-25 ATS (55%). Washington is in a prime teaser spot ( 1.5 to 7.5), which goes through the key numbers of 3 and 7. The total has dipped from 49.5 to 48. Non-conference unders are 38-20 (66%) this season. Adrian Hill, the lead referee, is 27-15 (64%) to the under. The Raiders will be without star TE Darren Waller, who is out with a knee injury.
8:20 p.m. ET: Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs
The Broncos (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS) have won three of their last four games and just upset the Chargers 28-13, winning outright as 3-point home dogs. Similarly, the Chiefs (7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS) have won four straight and just dismissed the Cowboys 19-9, covering as 2.5-point home favorites. This line has either stayed at 9.5 or inched down to 9 at some shops, indicating respected money leaning with the Broncos and the points. Teddy Bridgewater is 26-8 ATS (76%) as a dog in his career. Primetime dogs are 23-14 ATS (62%) this season and road divisional dogs are 18-12 ATS (60%). This is also a winder under bet. The total fell from 49 to 47 with the weather forecast expecting 15-20 MPH winds. When the wind blows 10 MPH or more the under is 35-20 (64%).
Lean under to broncos
More Week 13 Moves
Lean Ravens -3 to -4.5 at Steelers
Lean Jaguars 13.5 to 13 at Rams
Lean Dolphins -3 to -6.5 vs Giants (No Daniel Jones)
Lean Giants-Dolphins Under 42 to 39.5
Lean Jets 7 to 5 vs Eagles (No Jalen Hurts)
Lean Vikings-Lions Under 47.5 to 46.5
Lean Cardinals-Bears Under 46 to 42
Lean Colts -7.5 to -10 at Texans
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Jazz vs. Warriors Prediction The Jazz are catching 3.5 points as a road underdog against the Warriors at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday night. Given this clash of Western Conference foes, what’s the best play on the board?
Bills vs. Chiefs Prediction The Bills and Chiefs will play a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game when the two teams meet in the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. With the Chiefs laying 1.5 points and the total sitting at 54 points, what’s the best bet on the board?
Rams vs. Bucs Prediction For the third time in the last two seasons, the Rams and Bucs will meet, only this time the stakes are higher. Will the Rams upset the Bucs for a third consecutive time or is Tampa Bay the best bet on the board as a 3-point home favorite?
Northwestern vs. Purdue Prediction Big Ten rivals will meet at Mackey Arena on Sunday afternoon when No. 4 Purdue hosts Northwestern at 1:00 p.m. ET. Is 13 points too many to lay with the Boilermakers?
Pacers vs. Suns Prediction The Suns should add to their impressive win column on Saturday night when they host the struggling Pacers at 9:00 p.m. ET. That said, Phoenix has had issues covering against Indiana in previous meetings and is a 12-point home favorite. Are the Pacers a good value for bettors?
Flames vs. Oilers NHL Prediction A pair of struggling Canadian teams will square off in Edmonton, AB on Saturday night when the Oilers host the Flames at 10:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Will the Flames’ issues against the Oilers pop up again tonight?
49ers vs. Packers Prediction Aaron Rodgers and the No. 1-seeded Packers will host the 49ers in the Divisional round of the NFL playoffs on Saturday night at 8:15 p.m. ET. Will Rodgers and Co. torch San Francisco as a 5.5-point home favorite or are the Niners the better bet as the road dog?
Bengals vs. Titans NFL Prediction Joe Burrow will attempt to do something that no former No. 1 pick has ever accomplished: Advance to a conference championship game in his first or second season. Will the Bengals pull off the upset against the Titans or is the No. 1 seed the better play as a home favorite?
Baylor vs. Oklahoma Prediction No. 5 Baylor will take on Oklahoma at 3:00 p.m. ET on Saturday in a matchup of Big 12 rivals from Norman, OK. With the Bears only laying three points, are they the best play on the board when it comes to this matchup?
Kentucky vs. Auburn Prediction A clash of top-25 teams from the SEC will take place at Auburn Arena when the No. 2 Tigers host the No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats at 1:00 p.m. ET. Are the 15-3 Wildcats the best play as a 3.5-point road underdog?