Tuesday 10/19/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games
Nick Borrman
5% top play - Liverpool ML vs Atletico Madrid
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BTC SPORT
Italians Missing Firepower
Game: (224357) AC Milan at (224358) FC Porto
Date/Time: Oct 19 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Total Under 2.5 (-115)
This is pretty close to a must-win spot for both teams, and I expect to see a tight and cagey affair. If both teams were at full strength, I would have very little hesitation backing AC Milan in this spot. But the Italians have a lot of injuries, and I'm not sure they have enough firepower to light up the scoreboard. Tiemoue Bakayoko, Olivier Giroud, Zlatan Ibrahimovic, Rade Krunic, Davide Calabria and Daniel Maldini are all expected to be available after missing time in September due to injury. Brahim Díaz and Theo Hernández are out because of positive COVID-19 tests. Ante Rebic is expected to miss the match after suffering an ankle injury. As much as Milan wants to play an up-and-down free-flowing style, I don't think they have the depth for it and would be better suited to play a more defensive game.
People see the five-goal effort that Liverpool put up against Porto, but the Portuguese squad was missing its center-back pairing and starting goalkeeper for that match. We should see a much better defensive effort from them on Tuesday.
Dominant Dortmund
Game: (224341) Borussia Dortmund at (224342) Ajax
Date/Time: Oct 19 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Borussia Dortmund +0.25 (-115)
Dortmund has won seven of their last eight matches, and I don't think there's much separating these two teams. The biggest x-factor here is the scheduling dynamic: Dortmund plays the second-worst team in the Bundesliga this upcoming weekend while Ajax plays league rival PSV. Ajax and PSV have finished No. 1 and No. 2 in the Dutch Eredivisie in five of the last seven years. Obviously Ajax isn't going to overlook a Champions League match, but that is a huge game on Sunday that will go a long way toward determining who wins the Dutch league this season. Dortmund doesn't have to worry about any kind of look-ahead.
At the time of posting, Dortmund +0.25 is available at Pinnacle (-109); DraftKings (-110); and Barstool (-121). Half of our stake is on Dortmund +0.5 and the other half is on draw-no-bet. If Dortmund wins the match, we win our full stake. If the match ends in a draw, we win half our stake. The only way we lose our full stake is if Ajax wins the match. If you don't have the Asian handicap available, I would be okay with laying a little more juice to get Dortmund +0.5, which guarantees you a full stakes win if Dortmund wins or the game ends in a draw. I see that available around -140 at the time of posting.
Game: (224377) Juventus at (224378) Zenit Petersburg
Date/Time: Oct 20 2021 3:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Juventus -0.25 (-115)
UEFA maintains a power ratings system for its leagues based on how well teams do in competitions like the Champions League, Europa League, etc.. The Russian league is ranked ninth and is only decimal points better than the Scottish and Ukrainian leagues. That's not good. When Scotland, Austria and the Ukraine are playing comparable (or better) soccer, then you know the Russian league is officially struggling. Zenit has lost its last two matches within that poor Russian league that I just mentioned, and they've lost seven of their last nine Champions League matches. At the time of posting, Juventus -0.25 is available at Pinnacle (-111); DraftKings (-110); and Barstool (-115). Half of our stake is on Juventua -0.5 and the other half is on draw-no-bet. If Juventus wins the match, we win our full stake. If the match ends in a draw, we lose half our stake. The only way we lose our full stake is if Zenit wins the match.
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Pickswise Sports
NHL
3* Montreal -148 (Best Bet)
2* Tampa Bay/Florida Over 6
2* Pittsburgh -130
2* New Jersey -145
2* NY Islanders -120
NBA
2* Warriors/Lakers Under 228.5
1* Bucks -120 (Moneyline)
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Chris Ruffolo
NHL
NY Islanders/Chicago Under 6
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Goran Kucar - Soccer ⚽️ Handicapper
Soccer Picks Tuesday
Real Madrid -160
Borussia Dortmund/Ajax Over 3.5 goals [+105]
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Randy Chambers
NBA - Milwaukee Bucks -120 (Moneyline)
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Peter Tran
NBA - Golden State Warriors +4
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Andrew Jett
MLB - Los Angeles Dodgers -170
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vipcomboticket
Shakhtar Donetsk – Real Madrid : Real Over 1.5 @ 1.65
Portsmouth – Ipswich : Portsmouth Over 1.5 @ 2.40
Total Odds : 3.96
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romariobtts eu
CHILE: Primera B
Coquimbo – Deportes Temuco
Both to score : YES
Odds : 2.00
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The Prez
4% - under 7.5 Atlanta Braves/Dodgers
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ATS LOCK CLUB 10-2 last 12
4 dodgers under
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Hot Shot Sports
NBA
3* #503/504 Warriors/Lakers under 225
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GUS AUGUSTINE
100 DIME
Max Wager
ALCS Game of the Year
The Pick: 100 Dime Boston Red Sox
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CHRIS JORDAN
300♦
NBA Opening
Oddsmakers Error
The Pick: 300♦ Los Angeles Lakers
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DOM CHAMBERS
60 DIME
Eastern Conference Lock
The Pick: My 60 Dime play is on the Detroit Red Wings
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JAY MCNEIL
40 DIME
A.L.C.S. Game 4 Total
The Pick: 40 DIME play on the Houston Astros (Greinke) and the Boston Red Sox (Pivetta) to play Over the total.
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August Young
*4 Dodgers -175
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TRACE ADAMS
The Pick: 500♦ on the L.A. Dodgers (Buheler) -1 1/2 runs over the Atlanta Braves (Morton).
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MITCHELL NEWMAN
Opening Night Lock
Selection: 75 Dime winner on the Brooklyn Nets
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KIRBY MAXWELL
40 Dime
NLCS
Underdog Lock
PLAY: Los Angeles Dodgers Run Line
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GABRIEL DUPONT
30 DIME
NHL
NON-CONFERENCE DOG LOCK
The Play: BUFFALO SABRES
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CHUCK O'BRIEN
50 DIME
NBA Opening Lock
Pick: 50 DIME play on the Warriors
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AL DEMARCO - GM
10 Dime ALCS Lock
The Pick: Red Sox
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Pure Lock
10* Atlanta Braves +164
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TMTW SPORTS OCTOBER 19TH
YESTERDAY MLB VIP RECAP 2-0 (100%) +$10,000
Baseball Playoffs 13-8 (62%) +$12,840
MLB Regular Season 199-153 (57%) +$86,350
6k Boston -130
4k Boston -1.5 +144
4k Braves Under 7.5 -116
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Scott Rickenbach MLB
Red Sox
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Sean Murphy NHL
Under Pittsburgh
Under Columbus
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In Game Trap
Florida Panthers +110 (10*)
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IC
7-Unit Selection. Nets +1.5 over the Milwaukee Bucks (Tuesday @ 7:40pm est)
Elite Sports Picks
L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) -185 over Atlanta (Morton)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Atlanta (Morton)/L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) UNDER 7.5
Range: 8 to 7
3* Golden St./L.A. Lakers under 228 (NBA)
Range: 230 to 226
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National Sports Service
4* Milwaukee +1.5 over Brooklyn (NBA)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 10/19/21
4 Unit --> Brooklyn/Milwaukee UNDER 237.5 (NBA)
3 Unit --> Atlanta (Morton)/L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) OVER 7.5
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 10/19/21
4★ Golden St./L.A. Lakers under 228 (NBA)
3★ L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) -185 over Atlanta (Morton)
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Jonathan Von Tobel
Charlotte Hornets Under 38.5 Wins
Detroit Pistons Over 26.5 Wins
Houston Rockets Under 24.5 Wins
Minnesota Timberwolves Over 33.5 Wins
New Orleans Pelicans Over 38.5 Wins
New York Knicks Under 42.5 Wins
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Dan Besbris
Boston Celtics Over 45.5 Wins
Dallas Mavericks Over 48.5 Wins
Miami Heat Over 48.5 Wins
Portland Trail Blazers Over 44.5 Wins
Toronto Raptors Over 35.5 Wins
Chicago Bulls Under 42.5 Wins
Golden State Warriors Under 48.5 Wins
Phoenix Suns Under 51.5 Wins
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H&H Sports
MLB
Double Dime - Atlanta Braves +1.5 runs [-132]
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