Tuesday 9/28/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games
DREW MARTIN
5% MLB Tuesday Plus Money BEST BET
Game: (909) Milwaukee Brewers at (910) St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: Sep 28 2021 7:45 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals +103 B Woodruff (RHP), A Wainwright (RHP) Must Start
The Brewers have been on cruise control for quite some time now, running out to a fairly large lead over the summer in the division and gearing up for the playoffs. On the flip side, "relatively quietly" (considering many sports bettors have turned their focus to football) the St. Louis Cardinals have rattled off 16 straight wins. The Red Birds are playing focused, energized ball, behind one of the best bullpens in baseball (#4 by my pen ratings), plus a scorching hot lineup.
Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright, the wily veteran who is facing the Brewers lineup in back-to-back starts and he did not fare well last time out (hence the favorable number we are able to get). The last time was on the road and tonight is at home and Wainwright is exhibit A when it comes to home/ road splits. He has over a .65 point difference in opposing lineups OPS against and almost a full point higher strikeout to walk ratio when pitching at home. Important to note, this is a 15+ year MLB career sample size, we are not cherry-picking numbers. This is likely where baseball analytics and fundamentals of him being a family man are in full effect. The opposition's starter Brandon Woodruff has been good overall this season, although with the Brewers already looking towards the playoffs, Woodruff has been on a tight pitch count, in fact not exceeding 6 innings of work since back in July. Pointing towards the shaky middle relief arms of the Brewers pen likely seeing some action.
Lastly, and arguably the most important angle in this handicap is the offensive production of recent. We are getting the second hottest lineup in baseball over the last week with the Cardinals (wRC+ 138) vs the coldest lineup in baseball with the Brewers (66 wRC+). Cardinals 16 straight wins- The trend is our friend and we get the better bullpen, the hotter lineup, and the home/ road splits favoring Wainwright, let's cash with the home dog in St. Louis.
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Stitches--NY Post. Won yesterday with the Indians. Season record now 92-83.
Tuesday's play (10 units) is on the Pirates.
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Elite Sports Picks
Boston (Sale) -1.5 runs -155 over Baltimore (Zimmermann)
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Insider Sports Report
4* Oakland (Bassitt) -125 over Seattle (Kikuchi)
Range: -110 to -150
3* N.Y. Yankees (Taillon) +110 over Toronto (Ryu)
Range: +125 to -115
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National Sports Service
4* Colorado (Freeland) -150 over Washington (Corbin)
3* Pittsburgh (Keller) -115 over Chicago Cubs (Mills)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 09/28/21
4 Unit --> Philadelphia (Wheeler) +110 over Atlanta (Morton)
3 Unit --> Houston (Urquidy) -135 over Tampa Bay (Wacha)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 09/28/21
4★ Chicago Cubs (Mills)/Pittsburgh (Keller) OVER 9
3★ Oakland (Bassitt) -125 over Seattle (Kikuchi)
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Pickswise Sports
MLB 3* Best Bets
Red Sox -1.5 runs
Giants -1.5 runs
Dodgers -177
Soccer
1* Manchester City/PSG (DRAW +250)
1* Liverpool/Porto Under 2.5 goals
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Randy Chambers - SportsChatPlace
MLB
Blue Jays/Yankees Over 9
Astros -125
Cardinals +110
Giants -1.5 runs
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XS Sports Picks
This Week 3-0 +$11,600 (100%)
5 Seattle -105
5 Chicago WS -1.5 +109
3 NY Yankees +110
3 LA Dodgers -1.5 +110
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TMTW Sports Tuesday September 28th
YTD 194-145 +$103,300
Yesterday MLB 1-1 +$2,400
Hot Streaks 10-4 +$38,550
5K ANGELS -115
4K RED SOX -1.5 -158
2K ROYALS -1.5 +167
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August Young
8-U MAX MLB Leads Tuesday!
Take #909 Milwaukee Brewers -115 over St. Louis Cardinals
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IC
WNBA -26.6u (44-44-2)
7 - U153 CHI/CON
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #925 Cleveland +105 (Civale)
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Nelly's Sports
Nelly’s AL East Total of the Week
Under Red Sox
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Matt Fargo
10* A.L. East Game of the Month
Toronto
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AAA Sports
*10* "RED DRAGON"
MLB Toronto
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Lightning Lockz
Red Sox/Orioles under 9.5
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VegasEliteSports
marlins -1.5 +130
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Jack Winningham
mlb
st Louis
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MLB(Bob Balfe)
10:10 PM EST
Rotation #929
A’s -115 over Mariners
Bassitt/Anderson
The A’s playoff chances are all but over, but they would love nothing more than to help the Mariners not make the playoffs as Seattle has not won 10 straight games over the A’s. Oakland is one of the rare teams that hits the ball better on the road and I do believe they have the pitching advantage tonight as Chris Bassitt is having a very fine year. Tyler Anderson has been shipped around this year and in his last start got knocked around big time. Look for the A’s to break their losing streak to Seattle tonight. Take Oakland.
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Cal Sports
Indians first 5
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RALPH MICHAELS
Game: (925) Cleveland Indians at (926) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Sep 28 2021 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Cleveland Indians +107 A Civale (RHP), Undecided (LHP) Must Start
FRIST FIVE #925 4% Cleveland +107 Kansas City (Civale & Singer) 8:10 PM
Happy to back Civale especially as a dog!
Civale with a 3.00 road ERA and 1.04 road WHIP in 9 starts
I expect a big bounce-back as Civale off worst start of season (1 2/3 IP 7 runs).
Singer with a 4.70 home ERA and 1.55 home WHIP
Indians on solid 8-5 runs with two losses as a +150 dog and a +170 dog.
Royals 4-10 at home L14
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Pure Lock
10* Cleveland Indians -107
10* Phoenix Mercury +5.5
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H&H Sports
MLB
Triple Dime - Braves -121
Triple Dime - Astros -130
Triple Dime - Dodgers -180
Dime - Red Sox -1.5 runs [-165]
Dime - Giants -1.5 runs [-125]
Dime - Athletics -110
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