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Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 9/23/21

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(@shazman)
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Thursday 9/23/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games

 
Posted : September 23, 2021 7:53 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57403
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MARC LAWRENCE

Game: (303) Marshall at (304) Appalachian State
Date/Time: Sep 23 2021 7:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Marshall +7.5 (-115)

Edges - Thundering Herd: 3-0-1 ATS as a dog when coming off a SU loss as a double-digit favorite, and 6-1-1 ATS as a non-conference road dog, and 4-0 ATS away in weekday games …
Mountaineers: 3-7-1 ATS at home when coming off a home game, including 0-4-1 ATS versus .600 or greater opponents … With the Herd coming off a 42-38 loss to East Carolina as a double-digit favorite in a game in which they gained 647 yards, we recommend a 3% play on Marshall. Thank you and good luck as always.
Play on Marshall +7.5
Line Parameters +7 or more, 2% +5.5 or more.
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SportsLine Projection Model

CAROLINA PANTHERS AT HOUSTON TEXANS | 09/23 | 8:20 P.M. ET

Against the Spread
Pick: Carolina -7.5
The Panthers are covering the spread in 52 percent of simulations.

Over/Under
Pick: Over 44
The Over is cashing in 51 percent of simulations.

Money line
Pick: Houston +300
The Texans win in 30 percent of simulations, leaving value at those odds
Projected final score: Panthers 27, Texans 18
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Stitches--NY Post. Literally, on fire. Won again yesterday with the Cardinals. Season record now 91-79.

Thursday's play (20 units) is on the A's.
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Posted : September 23, 2021 7:57 am
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TMTW SPORTS

MLB 186-143 +$70,000
NFL 13-3 (81%) +$30,930
NCAA 18-7 (72%) +$32,620

3k St Louis +105

3k Baltimore Over 9 +100

4k Marshall Over 59.5 -110

5k FH Houston Over 21.5 -105

5k Houston Over 43 -110
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XS Sports Picks Thursday

NFL YTD 5-4 (56%) +$7,270

5k Carolina FH -4.5 -115
5k Carolina -9 +100
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XS Sports Picks Thursday

NCAA YTD 23-16 (59%) +$25,370

3k Marshall Over 59 -110
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XS Sports Picks Thursday

MLB This Week 8-4 (67%) +$7,950

5k St Louis +103

5k Seattle +140

5k Atlanta -1.5 -123

5k Houston -1.5 -105
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Elite Sports Picks

Milwaukee (Houser) -120 over St. Louis (Wainwright)
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Insider Sports Report

4* L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer) -1.5 runs -150 over Colorado (Freeland)
Range: -135 to -175

3* Appalachian St. -7 over Marshall (NCAAF)
Range: -5 to -9

3* Carolina/Houston UNDER 43.5 (NFL)
Range: 45.5 to 41.5
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National Sports Service

4* Oakland (Bassitt) -145 over Seattle (Kikuchi)

3* Marshall/Appalachian St. OVER 59.5 (NCAAF)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 09/23/21

4 Unit --> St. Louis (Wainwright)/Milwaukee (Houser) UNDER 8

3 Unit --> L.A. Dodgers (Scherzer)/Colorado (Freeland) UNDER 10.5

3 Unit --> Marshall +7 over Appalachian St. (NCAAF)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 09/23/21

4★ Toronto (Matz)/Minnesota (Pineda) UNDER 9.5

3★ Carolina/Houston OVER 43.5 (NFL)
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Posted : September 23, 2021 10:51 am
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GUS AUGUSTINE

20 Dime
Primetime
Teaser Winner # 3 in a Row

Thursday Night Teaser of the Month

The Pick: 20 Dime 7-point teaser Carolina Panthers and Under

The Line: At 10 am eastern the lines are Carolina -8 and 43 points.
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CHUCK O'BRIEN

Biggest MLB Play of my Career Goes Again
Top-Rated
100 DIME
MLB Winner # 53 of 87
4-Run Mismatch of the Month
100 Dime Play:Braves Run Line
Line as of 7:30 AM Eastern: Braves -110 at -1 1/2 Runs
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KIRBY MAXWELL

40 DIME
College Football
Total of the Month # 2 in a Row

RATING: 40 Dime
PLAY: Over Marshall-Appalachian State
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JAY MCNEIL

60 DIME

Non-Conference Dead Mortal Lock

The Pick: 60 DIME play on the Marshall Thundering Herd.

The Line: At 7:15 am eastern time, Marshall is +7 points.
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Posted : September 23, 2021 12:03 pm
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Larry Hartstein
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 09/23 | 8:20 PM EDT
CAROLINA -7.5

Micah Roberts
MARSHALL @ APP. ST. | 09/23 | 7:30 PM EDT
MARSHALL +7

R.J. White
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 09/23 | 8:20 PM EDT
CAROLINA -7.5

Justin Perri
KANSAS CITY @ CLEVELAND | 09/21 | 6:10 PM EDT
OVER 9

Matt Severance
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 09/23 | 8:20 PM EDT
UNDER 44

Micah Roberts
CAROLINA @ HOUSTON | 09/23 | 8:20 PM EDT
CAROLINA -8

Matt Severance
CHI. WHITE SOX @ CLEVELAND | 09/23 | 1:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +1.5

John Bollman
SAN FRANCISCO @ SAN DIEGO | 09/23 | 4:10 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -111
ST. LOUIS @ MILWAUKEE | 09/23 | 2:10 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS +105
CHI. WHITE SOX @ CLEVELAND | 09/23 | 1:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +130

 
Posted : September 23, 2021 12:30 pm
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August Young

*5 San Diego Padres -105
*4 Minnesota Twins +125
*4 Los Angeles Angels +147
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Jack Winningham

San Francisco Giants -108 over the San Diego Padres, 4:10 PM EST
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Greg Shaker

NFL Total Destroyer

Panthers-Texans Under 43.5

PLAY: UNDER Panthers/Texans
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY

The Panthers defense is the best in the NFL after 2 weeks of the season. That includes all categories, total yards, total points, passing, running. They have put extreme pressure on the QB this season with 8 sacks and lots of hurries. They face the Texans who will be without the Tyrod Taylor and that is big news. It is the reason why this side line has gone from the open of 4.5 all the way to 8 as of this writing. Davis Mills gets the nod and he did not look too good last week in the 2nd half against a somewhat marginal Browns D. I don't think he is going to have much success even though he will have more time to prepare albeit it is a short week. If the Texans can run the ball he might have success but Carolina has been solid stopping the rush and you can best bet because of that Mills will be in long yard 3rd down plays all game against the Best Passing D in the league. It's not likely to be pretty. The fact is my only concern is that the visitors will cause some turnovers that could lead to quick Panther Scores. The Texans are not bad on defense and Carolina is just OK on offense ranked 18th in the league for points scored. Panther games have played UNDER the last 5 games dating back to last season. It's a pretty easy choice and our NFL Models agree. That makes this a strong 2*UNDER.
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Pure Lock

10* Toronto Blue Jays -138
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Posted : September 23, 2021 1:53 pm
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JACK BRAYMAN

Thursday Night Total of the Month

The Pick: 40 Dime UNDER Panthers-Texans

The Line: As of 11:30 pm eastern Wednesday, the line is 43 points
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H&H Sports

MLB
Triple Dime - Dodgers -1.5 runs [-160]
Triple Dime - Athletics -145
Double Dime - Braves -1.5 runs [-120]
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MITCHELL NEWMAN

75 DIME

Interconference Lock

Selection: 75 Dime winner on the Carolina Panthers

Price: At 7:00 am eastern time, the Panthers are -8 points.
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TRACE ADAMS

Top-Rated
1000♦
Week 3 Bankroll Builder

The Pick: 1000♦ on the Carolina Panthers.
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AL DEMARCO - GM

Top-Rated 15-Dime Release

Panthers
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CHRIS JORDAN

500♦
Thursday Night
Game of the Month

Carolina Panthers
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World Worst Picker

App St. -

We take:
Marshall +
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Sean Murphy

10* Under Marshall/App
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Posted : September 23, 2021 2:22 pm
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