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(@shazman)
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Saturday 9/4/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NCAAF, MLB & NFL games.

 
Posted : September 1, 2021 12:55 pm
(@shazman)
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Micah Roberts

BYU @ ARIZONA | 09/04 | 10:30 PM EDT
BYU -11.5
ANALYSIS: Much respect to Jedd Fisch for doing his best in Tucson during the offseason, taking on his first head-coaching job following a winless 2020 for the Wildcats. He’s got former Arizona greats on the coaching staff, Tedy Bruschi as an advisor and Rob Gronkowski promoting Arizona pride, but the talent and experience isn’t there. The three-way battle for QB has all the candidates failing so far. BYU has a huge following in Las Vegas, so it will be like a home game. Rise and shout, the Cougars are out. BYU covers.

GEORGIA @ CLEMSON | 09/04 | 7:30 PM EDT
CLEMSON -3.5
ANALYSIS: This is a huge game for Georgia and it doesn’t do well in these spots against better teams. Clemson certainly is better, with more experience on both sides of the ball. The spread caught me off-guard because I expected to be laying at least seven points. Is the game in Athens? Nope, Charlotte. Tigers sophomore QB D.J. Uiagalelei has made only two starts, but he was unstoppable in both. Lay the cheap number with Clemson.
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Matt Severance

ALABAMA @ MIAMI (FLA.) | 09/04 | 3:30 PM EDT
MIAMI (FLA.) +19
ANALYSIS: I'm a tad biased as a Canes fan, but this line feels quite a bit too high. I realize Alabama always wins these Kickoff Games in blowouts and I'm not saying Miami wins -- although I don't think it's impossible. In terms of returning experience/starters, UM is among the national leaders and Alabama near the bottom. Nick Saban lost a TON of talent off last year's championship team. Sure, he simply reloads with five-stars, but it might take a few games to get going. I'll be stunned if the Tide cover this number. Wish I had gotten it when it was 20.
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Barrett Sallee

LSU @ UCLA | 09/04 | 8:30 PM EDT
LSU -3.5
ANALYSIS: Tigers coach Ed Orgeron learned from his 2020 mistakes by hiring coordinators who will run similar systems to the ones who helped them win the 2019 national title. UCLA's defense won't be able to get pressure on quarterback Max Johnson due to an experienced LSU offensive line, and Johnson -- along with the help of star wide receiver Kayshon Boutte -- will pick it apart. LSU is a legitimate threat to win the national title, and that will start in the Rose Bowl with an emphatic win over the Bruins.
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Dave Cokin:

UTSA +6.5
BYU -11.5
Marshall -3
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Posted : September 1, 2021 12:58 pm
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WUnderdog
CFB

Navy +3 vs marshall
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BRAD POWERS

Stanford
Baylor
Miami Florida Under
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SportsLine Projection Model

ARMY at GAST | 09/04 | 12:00 PM EST

Against The Spread
Pick: ARMY +2
ARMY covers in 60 percent of simulations

Over-Under
Pick: Under 49.5
The Under hits in 69 percent of simulations

Projected Final Score: ARMY 23 GAST 19

RICE at ARK | 09/04 | 02:00 PM EST

Against The Spread
Pick: RICE +19.5
RICE covers in 64 percent of simulations

Over-Under
Pick: Under 50
The Under hits in 61 percent of simulations

Projected Final Score: ARK 30 RICE 16
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IC

7 Iowa -3.5
3 Clemson -3
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Kyle Akins

SYRACUSE @ OHIO | 09/04 | 7:00 PM EDT
SYRACUSE -1
ANALYSIS: This Syracuse squad really missed not having traditional non-conference play last season and will be locked in on getting this game right against a MAC school that got very little experience in 2020. Syracuse was favored a single time in 2020. FBS teams that are favored in their season opener after having been favored two or fewer times last season are 123-93-6 ATS. The times in which the Orange have been favored recently have gone quite well. Syracuse is 5-1-1 ATS since November 2018 as a favorite.
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Posted : September 3, 2021 11:21 am
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Bryan Leonard

4% - UTSA +5
4% - Rutgers -14.5
4% - Stanford +3
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Kyle Anthony UFC:

3% Jourdain -180
3% Zawada +125
2% McCann -105
3% Brunson +160
4% Paddy Pimblett -130
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Scott Spreitzer

7* BYU -12.5
3* Marshall -2.5
3* KN St -3
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H&H Sports
Early Update

CFB
Triple Dime - Oklahoma -31.5
Dime - Wisconsin/Penn State Over 49
Dime - Stanford/Kansas State Under 54
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XS Sports Picks Saturday

NCAA YTD 8-4 (67%) +$12,590

5 Marshall -2.5 -103 (3:30pm)

5 Rutgers Over 52 -110 (12pm)

4 Kansas State -3 -110 (12pm)

4 Kansas State Over 53.5 -110 (12pm)

3 Oklahoma Under 67 -110 (12pm)

3 Indiana Under 46 -110 (3:30pm)
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Tom Stryker

27-14 ATS NCAA ELITE INFO DATABASE INVESTMENT
Louisiana Tech

13-7 ATS NCAA NON-CONFERENCE WAGER OF THE WEEK
Ga. Tech

39-18 ATS NCAA SYSTEM PLAY OF THE WEEK
UTSA

34-15 ATS NCAA HIGH ROLLER GAME OF THE MONTH
Nevada
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JM SPORTS

Game: (165) Penn State at (166) Wisconsin
Date/Time: Sep 4 2021 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Penn State +5.5 (-110)

3 unit Penn State (+5.5) @ Wisconsin - 12:00 PM ET KICK-OFF –
This opening week match-up may have as big (if not bigger) of an impact on the rest of the season as any. These two B10 teams face off early, both looking to bounce back after a rough season. Both teams have QB’s how have some experience, and has impressed in spots, but they also both have shown inconsistencies. Penn State is 7-2 vs. WIS in the L9 meetings, and they ended the season LY going 4-1 ATS in the L5. The Nittany Lions are 6-3 ATS in the L9 games on the road, and they look to take that to Wisconsin. The Badgers are 1-4 ATS in the L5 home games (favorite in all 5), even though they outscored opponents 94-18 in the first two games LY, that deficit fell, after WIS scored only 104 points in the L5 games total, with the offense struggling to put as many points on the board. While they had a powerful defense, they only outscored opponents on average by a score 25-17, and the competition in those games doesn’t compare to a top 20 Penn State team, that should be able to cut that 25-17 score to cover the spread, and even potentially take the opener in an upset.
Game: (191) Oregon State at (192) Purdue
Date/Time: Sep 4 2021 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Oregon State +7.0 (-110)

3 unit Oregon State (+7.0) @ Purdue - 7:00 PM ET KICK-OFF –
The biggest story of this game is a struggling defense of Purdue, they ended as the #59 defense last season but for years they have struggled to put together a solid unit as a whole. On top of the fact that the offense was ranked worse then the defense. Even though the offense has 9 returning starters, they have struggled upfront, and a single top-tier wide receiver isn’t enough to shut down a whole defense. The boilermakers haven’t covered since the opener last year, and the underdog has covered in 13 out of the L14 games that Purdue has been involved in. Oregon State has recently been THE best team as an underdog on the road, winning 8 straight games (and 9 straight on the road overall). They have gotten progressively better under Smith and have put up solid offensive numbers recently, the Beavers have 10 returning starters, adding a Colorado transfer QB to already solid depth at both the WR and RB position, all playing behind 5 returning offensive linemen against an aforementioned unproven defense.
Game: (195) Baylor at (196) Texas State
Date/Time: Sep 4 2021 7:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: Baylor -14.0 (-110)

3 unit Baylor (-14) @ Texas State - 7:00 PM ET KICK-OFF –
Texas State is a much improved team, that is continuing to improve, but they have a long way to go.. They allowed close to 500 yards/game last season, and 44.7 PPG in the L6 games, and even though they may lead in terms of experience, will that really be enough? This offense may be able to put together a nice scoring drive or two, but it will be difficult to make it a more common occurrence then that, even at an up-tempo pace against this stellar Baylor defense, a unit that returned almost every key starter in Aranda’s pride & joy, defense. Texas State has severely struggled in containing the run, enough so that even a team like Baylor, who may not have a top caliber run-game, can still take advantage of this flaw. Baylor has also improved their offensive line, and they have a promising receiving core working with a new OC who really could bring a new and improved passing game back to Baylor.
Game: (213) LSU at (214) UCLA
Date/Time: Sep 4 2021 8:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: LSU -2.5 (-110)

4 unit LSU (-2.5) @ UCLA - 8:30 PM ET KICK-OFF –
Absolutely my top play going into the first full Saturday of college football. Although it may be the first real Saturday, UCLA is already coming off a big W in week 0 against Hawaii. Even though the game was a blowout, the Bruins didn’t look nearly as good as the score reflected, they won’t be able to run the ball at will like they did, and they only averaged 6.5 yards/pass attempt. 17 points in the blowout came off of turnovers & special teams, and didn’t result from UCLA offense specifically and they are going up against a defense that is significantly bigger, stronger, and more experienced then Hawaii. UCLA has had a somewhat questionable defense of late, allowing 38.2 games to opponents in the L9, w/ the #71 defense last season, and now they are going up against a LSU offense that was #34 last season, with a VERY talented roster, full of options at the skill positions, including Boutte and a multitude of running backs. The Tigers are 13-6-1 ATS as a F including 6-1 ATS in non-conference games s/ 2019, and they have excelled on the road, going 16-6 ATS under Orgeron. LSU has won 4 straight season openers vs. PAC-12 opponents, and even though they may be starting a back-up QB, this “back-up” is proven, and let the team to two big upset wins (including a HUGE upset vs. Florida). LSU struggled last season (but they had the LEAST returning starters LY w/ only 5), after a long season and dropping last years opener, I don’t think a more experienced LSU team will allow another opening week loss, especially against a Chip Kelly team that is 6-11 ATS @ H since he took over at UCLA.
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steve merril

sd st
auburn
usc
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Posted : September 4, 2021 9:03 am
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Bill Krackomberger

UCLA +3
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Dr. Bob

UCLA +3

Futures
Ohio under 6.5 wins
Texas Tech over 5.5
SMU over 6.5
Middle Tennessee St over 4.5
San Diego State over 6.5
Utah State over 3.5
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Paul Leiner

2000 Over 50.5 Georgia/Clemson
1000 pimblett -140 over vendramini (UFC)
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The Money Team Wins Sports Network

Yesterday 2-0 +$8,000 (Posted Here)

YTD 7-0 +32,000

5 Michigan Over 66 -107

8 Indiana Under 46 -107

3 Houston -1.5 -102

5 Southern Miss +2 -109

3 UCLA +2.5 -107

3 Nevada +3 +100
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Stitches--- NY Post. Won with the Mets yesterday. Season record now 76-76.

Saturday's play (20 units) is on the Red Sox.
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Posted : September 4, 2021 9:59 am
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ATS Covers

NCAAF: Clemson -3

NCAAF: BYU -12.5
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marc lawrence
Playbook data play
miami,fla
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CHRIS JORDAN

300♦
College Football

West Coast Total of the Week

The Pick: 300♦ Under Fresno State-Oregon
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GUS AUGUSTINE

60 Dime
Non-Conference
Line Mistake of the Week

The Pick: 60 Dime LSU Tigers
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KIRBY MAXWELL

40 Dime
College Football
Oddsmakers Error of the Week

PLAY: Georgia Bulldogs
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SCOTT DELANEY
The Pick: 40 Dime San Jose State Spartans
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TRACE ADAMS

Top-Rated
1000♦

Opening Week Underdog Shocker

The Pick: 1000♦ on the Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns
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Marco D'Angelo

4 UTSA
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MITCHELL NEWMAN

75 DIME
Bankroll Builder Lock

Selection: 75 Dime winner on Penn State plus the points.
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JAY MCNEIL

60 DIME
Marquee Dead Mortal Lock

The Pick: 60 DIME play on the Georgia Bulldogs

The Line: At 7:45 am eastern time, the Bulldogs are +3 points.
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TOMMY BRUNSON

Late Night Bailout Lock
The Pick: My 50 Dime play is Arizona plus the points.
The Line: At 8:00 am eastern time, Arizona is +12 1/2 points.
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MATT RIVERS

Top-Rated
100 DIME
College Can-Opener

The Pick: 100 Dimes - Rutgers
The Line: Rutgers -15 at 8:45 am here in Miami where I'm based
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AL DEMARCO - GM

Top-Rated 15-Dime Release
Opening Blowout of the Year

The Pick: 15 Dimes - Oklahoma

The Line: Oklahoma -31 1/2 at 6:20 am pacific
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SEAN MICHAELS
Pick: 25 Dime release on Clemson
Line: -3 at 6:45 am here in Las Vegas where I'm base
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Posted : September 4, 2021 10:40 am
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JACK BRAYMAN

Top-Rated
100 DIME
National League East
Game of the Year

The Pick: 100 Dime Philadelphia Phillies

The Line: As of 11 pm eastern Friday, the line is Philadelphia -125
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Dwayne Bryant
3 Baylor
3 UTSA
3 BYU
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VegasEliteSports

Rutgers under 55(Small bet)
Yankees under over 5 F5(LOCK)
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MarkHanson - Nebraska under 55
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VegasGuru

yankees under 9.5(50U)
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GODFATHERLOCKS SEPTEMBER 4TH PICKS

2ND EVER 10 DIME / 10K UNIT �� PICK (As strong as Virginia Tech last night)
GEORGIA BULLDOGS +3 (NCAAF)

MASSIVE 5000 UNIT PICKS
#1 - WISCONSIN BADGERS -5.5
#2 - WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS -2.5
#3 - UCLA BRUINS +2.5

TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS
#1 - MIAMI FLORIDA HURRICANES +19.5
#2 - IOWA HAWKEYES -3.5
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Bob Balfe
Kan.st -3/Stanford
Over 57,,wva./md
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IQ Sports

5* White Sox -150 (923)
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Northcoast
4* LSU (-2.5) UCLA 8:30pm FOX
4* West Virginia (-2.5) Maryland 3:30pm ESPN
3* Louisiana (+9) Texas 4:30pm FOX
3* Southern Miss (+2) South Alabama 8pm ESPN Plus 3* Nevada (+3.5) California 10:30pm FS1
4* Under 61.5 Alabama/Miami, FL 3:30pm ABC
3* Under 47 Marshall/Navy 3:30pm CBS Sports Net
3* Over 67.5 Kent St/Texas A&M 8pm ESPNU
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UNDERDOG SPORTSLINE

Game: (157) Army at (158) Georgia State
Date/Time: Sep 4 2021 12:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5 units
Play: Army +2.0 (-110)

Projected Final: Army by 4
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JM SPORTS

Game: (909) St. Louis Cardinals at (910) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Sep 4 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Milwaukee Brewers -118 K Kim (LHP), A Houser (RHP) Must Start

4 unit Milwaukee Brewers (-118) over St. Louis Cardinals (Houser/Kim) —
Houser may not have the most impressive stat line, but a 3.69 ERA isn’t the worst thing you can have, especially when you have an ERA under 3.00 for the games in front of your home crowd. The Brewers also look like they love playing behind Houser, they are 10-2 in his L12 starts (including 5-1 in his L6 @ home) and 6-1 in the L7 vs. the division. Milwaukee is also 9-1 in his 10 starts with a line > -220 and 8-0 in a matchup vs a SP w/ an ERA <6.75! On top of the fact that Milwaukee will be looking to bounce back after last night, and they know how to do it, they are 7-2 w/ a line < 130 off B2B L’s, and 7-1 in the second game of a series, when dropping the opener to a divisional opponent. While St. Louis has Kim on the mound, Kim is 2-5 on the road with a 3.72 ERA and St. Louis is 2-6 in his L8 road starts (1-6 w/ line -115. St. Louis hasn’t faired well as an AD either, they are 1-6 as an AD vs the division (with line between 100 & 165) and they are 8-22 w/ a line ≥ 110 as an AD (including a 7-20 record vs RHP).
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Posted : September 4, 2021 11:04 am
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Wiseguy Team

500 Dime | Florida ML, Baylor ML, Michigan ML, Texas ML, Oregon ML (5 Team Money-Line Parlay)
1,000 Dime | Stanford +3
2,000 Dime | Nevada +3 1/2
3,000 Dime | Miami +19 1/2
4,000 Dime | Marshall -2
5,000 Dime MAX PLAY | West Virginia -3
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Smart Money Plays

Oklahoma Sooners Over 27.5 Team Total 1st half -130 (5u, 1e)
UTSA Roadrunners +5 (5u, 730e)
UTSA Roadrunners +170 (2u, 730e)
Texas State Bobcats +14 (3u, 7e)
UCLA Bruins +3 (3u, 830e)
Wisconsin Badgers -5.5 (2u, 1e)
Marshall Thundering Herd -2.5 (3u, 330e)
San José State Spartans +14.5 (2u, 5e)
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Elite Sports Picks

Baylor -14 over Texas St. (NCAAF)
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Insider Sports Report

5* L.S.U. -2.5 over U.C.L.A. (NCAAF)
Range: -1 to -5

3* Stanford +3 over Kansas St. (NCAAF)
Range: +4.5 to +.5

3* Navy +2.5 over Marshall (NCAAF)
Range: +4 to PK
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National Sports Service

4* Rutgers -14.5 over Temple (NCAAF)

3* Rice/Arkansas OVER 49.5 (NCAAF)

3* Illinois -4.5 over Texas-San Antonio (NCAAF)
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Matt Severance

LSU @ UCLA | 09/04 | 8:30 PM EDT
LSU -2.5
ANALYSIS: Glad we waited on this one as it has fallen from LSU -3.5 to -2.5. I get it as UCLA did look good last week in routing a solid Hawaii team and the Tigers had to relocate to Houston this week due to Hurricane Ida. I would probably take the Bruins on the first-half line, but then the superior talent wins out. There will also be a ton of LSU fans there for what that's worth. Believe it or not, this is only the Tigers' second all-time game in California and first at the Rose Bowl. They are 10-3 ATS in their past 13 on the road. UCLA is 1-9 ATS in its past 10 after a win of at least 20 points.

+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 12:03 PM

C. MICHIGAN @ MISSOURI | 09/04 | 4:00 PM EDT
MISSOURI -14
ANALYSIS: Central Michigan will be without three important people Saturday in head coach Jim McElwain (appendicitis), first-team All-MAC safety Willie Reid (off the field issue) and running back Kobe Lewis (injury; 574 yards, seven total TDs last year). Missouri appears on the rise under Coach Eli Drinkwitz and QB Connor Bazelak, who earned SEC Co-Freshman of the Year honors a year ago. He's one of eight starters back on offense and the defense brings back eight plus three transfers who have combined for 70 career starts elsewhere. That group is led by former Rice linebacker Blaze Alldredge, who was a two-time C-USA first team selection. I would do an alternate line of Mizzou -13.5 but I don't think this spread will drop that far otherwise.

+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 1:46 AM

MARSHALL @ NAVY | 09/04 | 3:30 PM EDT
MARSHALL -2.5
ANALYSIS: Not sure I would go as far as Micah Roberts in saying that this is the biggest Week 1 mistake on the board spread-wise, but I do agree the Thundering Herd should be favored a bit more so let's get this while it's under 3. They were spectacular against the run last year and bring nearly everyone back on that side of the ball -- plus add a few transfers. Getting essentially all offseason to prepare for that one-dimensional Navy rush attack is a huge plus as opposed to having to do so in a week during a season. Marshall also has a pretty good QB in Grant Wells, who in 2020 was the first Conference USA quarterback in history to early first team all-league honors. The Middies are 1-4 in their past five as dogs.

+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 1:13 AM

STANFORD @ KANSAS ST. | 09/04 | 12:00 PM EDT
KANSAS ST. -2.5
ANALYSIS: Neutral-site game from Dallas, with K-State serving the home team and should also have the major fan advantage. When you don't have one clear starting QB, that is usually a problem. Stanford doesn't as David Shaw said both Jack West and Tanner McKee will play against Kansas State. They have combined to attempt just 63 NCAA passes. KSU brings back one of the most experienced QBs in the nation in super senior Skylar Thompson, who has 30 starts. Stanford also has injury issues regarding top wideout Michael Wilson and defensive backs Jonathan McGill and Salim Turner-Muhammad. The early start time also could be a factor for the West Coast Cardinal.

+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
TUE 8/31

TEXAS TECH @ HOUSTON | 09/04 | 7:00 PM EDT
TEXAS TECH -1.5
ANALYSIS: It's a big year for Texas Tech coach Matt Wells as he is just 8-14 in his two seasons in Lubbock. The Red Raiders landed one of the top transfer QBs on the market this offseason in former Oregon starter Tyler Shough, a potential 2022 NFL first-round pick. Wells also upgraded at offensive coordinator by hiring Sonny Cumbie away from TCU. Cumbie is a former Texas Tech quarterback and assistant. The defense has nine starters back. Houston is a solid team, but the Red Raiders should be able to win by at least a field goal in the Texas Kickoff. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their past four as underdogs.

+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
MON 8/30

NOTRE DAME @ FLORIDA ST. | 09/05 | 7:30 PM EDT
FLORIDA ST. +8
ANALYSIS: OK, well I have to respond to Micah Roberts -- who, let's be clear, probably knows more about odds than I ever will. Completely disagree here. The Noles are gonna be scary good with McKenzie Milton, and the Irish have among the fewest returning starters in college football. New QB Jack Coan lost his job at Wisconsin. Not saying FSU will win but .. yeah. I'll happily take the points. Eighteen of the past 19 years an AP Top 10 wasn't ranked at end. If you watched Early Edge recently, I believe that's the Irish. Also believe Brian Kelly will be in the NFL after this year.

+300 3-0-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
SAT 8/21
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 09/04/21

4 Unit --> Cincinnati -22.5 over Miami-Ohio (NCAAF)

3 Unit --> Alabama/Miami-Florida UNDER 61.5 (NCAAF)

3 Unit --> Louisiana Tech +23 over Mississippi St. (NCAAF)
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MurgesJohn
Iowa -3.5
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Ponypete
Penn st under 49.5
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Veno

over 57 west Virginia--5%
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EAGLE EYE SPORTS
Guaranteed
Texas -8.5

EAGLE EYE SPORTS
Gridiron
UCLA +3
Syracuse -1

EAGLE EYE SPORTS
D-Moose
Florida Atlantic +23.5
Rutgers -14
Iowa -3.5
Syracuse -1
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Micah Roberts

ATLANTA @ COLORADO | 09/04 | 8:10 PM EDT
COLORADO +101
ANALYSIS: German Marquez has the luxury of understanding Coors Field and how it works for a starting pitcher, something that no one, except two in the past, has figured out yet. In 15 home starts he has a 3.13 ERA, and the Rockies are 12-3. Ian Anderson will make his Coors Field, and he’s somehow favored. The Rockies are 44-23 at home. Rockies to win.

+1202 72-53-1 IN LAST 126 MLB PICKS
10:39 AM

LSU @ UCLA | 09/04 | 8:30 PM EDT
UCLA +2.5
ANALYSIS: Chip Kelly might finally have something brewing in his fourth season at UCLA after beginning 10-21. The Bruins have the luxury of having a game under their belt with most of their starters (19) back from last season, and they bullied their way last week to a 44-10 win against Hawaii powered by the running game. LSU has mother nature issues on its mind at home, questions at QB and questions about a defense that allowed 492.0 yards and 34.9 points per game last season. I took UCLA plus the points.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+490 6-1 IN LAST 7 UCLA ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 6:30 PM

PENN ST. @ WISCONSIN | 09/04 | 12:00 PM EDT
PENN ST. +5.5
ANALYSIS: I look for Penn State to carry momentum from winning its last four games after a rough start to 2020. Mostly, I don’t trust Badgers sophomore QB Graham Mertz, who threw five TDs in the 2020 opener against Illinois, but then threw just four TDs to five interceptions in the final six games as Wisconsin went 3-3. I look for both defenses to shine. Take Penn State plus the too many points.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+188 3-1 IN LAST 4 PSU ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 WISC ATS PICKS
YESTERDAY 4:29 PM

MARSHALL @ NAVY | 09/04 | 3:30 PM EDT
MARSHALL -2.5
ANALYSIS: This is one of the biggest mistakes on the board in Week 1, as Marshall should be favored by more than a touchdown. Navy doesn’t have much experience returning from 2020's 3-7 squad - just four players on offense, and not the quarterback. Marshall has a new head coach in Charles Huff, but offensive coordinator Tim Cramsey and QB Grant Wells both are back from a club that began last season with seven straight wins. Eight starters return from the nation’s No. 1 scoring defense (13 ppg) in 2020. It shouldn’t be close. Take Marshall to cover.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 MRSHL ATS PICKS
THU 9/2

TEMPLE @ RUTGERS | 09/02 | 6:30 PM EDT
RUTGERS -14
ANALYSIS: No value with the number, but I have lots of optimism for Greg Schiano’s second season back at Rutgers. I believe the students and fans do as well and will make home field matter again, like it did in Schiano’s first go-around with the program. He’s got almost everyone back from last season, including all of the starters on offense. Temple has a new transfer QB and five starters back on both sides of the ball from a team that went 1-6 and lost by an average score of 37-19. Experience and depth matter most here. Take Rutgers to cover.

+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 CFB ATS PICKS
+190 3-1 IN LAST 4 TEMPLE ATS PICKS
MON 8/30
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Posted : September 4, 2021 11:26 am
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Posts: 57659
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Topic starter
 

Super Lock Line

NCAAF Lock: Cincinnati -22.5
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Wise Guy Insider

NCAAF: USC -14

NCAAF: Illinois -4

NCAAF: San Diego State -31.5
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MIDWEST CAPPER

NCAAF: Iowa -3.5

NCAAF: LSU -2.5
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Pure Lock

10* Milwaukee Brewers -128
10* Marc-André Barriault -178
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VIP TKwins

4* West Virginia -2
3* Navy +3
3* Lsu -2
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Marc Lyle Sports

Kentucky Over 53.5
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Posted : September 4, 2021 11:37 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57659
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PickersMx

Lady Pickers
100 Dimes NCAAF
Auburn -37
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Great Lake Sports

MLB
3* #907 Philadelphia -120 (Suarez)
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John Bollman

N.Y. METS @ WASHINGTON | 09/04 | 1:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON +150
ANALYSIS: The Nats are currently home dogs for both games of the doubleheader and when this happens I like to use the strategy of playing the first home dog. If the first home dog wins, we lay off the second game. If it loses, we play the second home dog and try to come out positive. The Mets are 26-40 on the road this season and they won last night’s game in extra innings after blowing the game in the 9th inning. These games are only 7 innings so they minimize the usage of the Nats poor bullpen. The Nats are just 3-11 at home since the trade deadline, but the Mets are just 4-11 on the road since the trade deadline. I like the Nats to take at least one of these games today.
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IC

3* San Jose Over 2.5 -140
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Posted : September 4, 2021 12:43 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57659
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LockSmithWins

LSU -2.5
Nebraska -41.5
Alabama vs Miami Over 61
Oregon -20
Oklahoma -32
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The Machines Picks

San Jose State +14.5
Georgia vs. Clemson Over 50.5
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Jerzy Sports Picks

KN ST -3
Alabama -19
Georgia +3
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Tokyo Brandon

921) Cleveland Indians at (922) Boston Red Sox
Game: (921) Cleveland Indians at (922) Boston Red Sox
Date/Time: Sep 4 2021 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Boston Red Sox -1.0 (-130) E Morgan (RHP), T Houck (RHP) Must Start

This is an alt line -1 on the Red Sox. -1 means if you win by 1 it is a push. The Red Sox are one of the best home teams in baseball and they have the SP, bullpen and lineup advantage here. They also have momentum carrying them into a playoff run while the Indians are a terrible road team riding out the season. The Red Sox are the #3 hitting team vs RHP and with the better bullpen should be able to take this one by more than a run.
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Posted : September 4, 2021 1:39 pm
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