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Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 1/14/21

Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 1/14/21 1 month 2 weeks ago #529348

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Thursday 1/14/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NBA, & NCAAB games
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Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 1/14/21 1 month 2 weeks ago #529349

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Jeff Hochman

WASHINGTON @ BUFFALO | 01/14 | 7:00 PM EST
WASHINGTON -135
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Mike McClure

Golf

Betting Card

Webb Simpson +1200
Sergio Garcia +4000
Brendon Todd +5500
Jason Kokrak +6600 (0.4 units)
Charles Howell III +6600 (0.2 units)
Chez Reavie +10000 - (0.4 units)

Top 5 Finish

Sungjae Im +550
Sergio Garcia +750
Bendon Todd +1000
Chez Reavie +1600

Top 10 Finish

Brendon Todd +500
Charles Howell III +500 (0.5 units)
Chez Reavie +750 (0.5 units)
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Rick Gehman

Golf

Last Week Recap

We couldn't carry our 2020 momentum into 2021, losing 2.86 units at the Sentry Tournament of Champions. Bryson DeChambeau finished one shot outside the top five, resulting in our tickets finding the bottom of a trash can. The lone bright spot was Sungjae Im earning a top 10 cash at +275.

Event Preview

The Sony Open is the first full-field event on the PGA Tour in 2021. We will see 32 of the 42 competitors from last week tee it up in Honolulu this week at Waialae Country Club. Waialae features a flat terrain and narrow fairways, which will be a stark contrast coming from the Plantation Course last week.

Winner - Webb Simpson (+1200) - 0.50 units
Top 5 - Webb Simpson (-120) - 0.50 units

Simpson played about as poorly as he possibly could have in Maui and still finished T-17. He lost 6.58 strokes off the tee, the worst event for him in my database, so it's unlikely that he hits it that poorly again. Combine that with him finishing fifth in strokes gained approach last week and the fact that he's finished third and T-4 in his last two trips to Waialae, and I'm firing up Simpson in all formats.

Winner - Abraham Ancer (+2500) - 0.33 units
Top 10- Abraham Ancer (+250) - 0.33 units

Ancer flew up the leaderboard on Sunday last week, shooting a round of 66 (-7) en route to a T-17 finish. Waialae should be a much better fit for Ancer, who can take advantage of the flat, narrow par-70 layout.

Winner - Brendon Todd (+5500) - 0.25 units
Top 10- Brendon Todd (+500) - 0.40 units

Notice a trend here? Waialae is short and requires golfers who can find fairways and roll the rock. That's the blueprint for Todd, who finished T-13 last week at Kapalua. Todd's lack of distance beat him down at the Plantation Course, where he lost 5.15 strokes off the tee. He offset that with a stellar flat stick which is the most effective weapon he has lurking in his bag.

Winner - Cameron Davis (+13500) - 0.15 units
Top 10- Cameron Davis (+1100) - 0.25 units

Rarely do I fire outrights on golfers this long, but weird things happen after golfers have taken a long break, and Davis flashed some incredible raw talent last year. He contended at Wyndham and the Sanderson Farms. Waialae should be a happy hunting ground for the young Aussie, who finished T-9 here last season.

Top 10- Sebastian Munoz (+500) - 0.45 units

Munoz played himself out of the Tournament of Champions on Thursday, opening with a 75 (+2). That didn't stop him from grinding away over the final three days, playing them in 18 under par. That was the second-best aggregate score over the final three rounds, behind only Joaquin Niemann, who lost in a playoff.

Top 20- Brian Gay (+750) - 0.45 units

Gay has been feast or famine in the last six months, winning in Bermuda among many missed cuts. Gay has teed it up at the Sony Open on nine occasions, making the cut in seven of them. We aren't asking much of him to finish inside the Top 20, and these odds are too juicy to pass up.

Tournament Matchup - Webb Simpson (-118) over Harris English (-106) - 1 unit

These are two golfers I absolutely love, but English's win last week has shortened these odds to untenable levels. It wouldn't be hard to imagine a bit of a hangover for English, who just captured his first win since 2013. Simpson, on the other hand, is hungry and headed to one of the best course fits for him.
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Larry Hartstein

UCF @ TEMPLE | 01/14 | 12:00 PM EST
OVER 136

SAN DIEGO ST @ UTAH ST. | 01/14 | 9:00 PM EST
SAN DIEGO ST +2

STANFORD @ UTAH | 01/14 | 5:00 PM EST
STANFORD -1.5
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Matt Severance

N.Y. ISLANDERS @ N.Y. RANGERS | 01/14 | 7:00 PM EST
N.Y. RANGERS -110

CAROLINA @ DETROIT | 01/14 | 7:30 PM EST
UNDER 6.5
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Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 1/14/21 1 month 2 weeks ago #529357

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IC
4 Unit Play. #718. Take Utah +1.5 over Stanford (Thursday @ 5pm est)
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Ben Burns cbb

10* Arizona
Cbb shocker Tennessee st
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Master Sports

NBA
4* #575 Indiana +3
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Hot Shot Sports

NBA
3* #571 Houston +7
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Wayne Root

Gold standard - BYU
Pinnacle UTAH ST
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Thom Cunningham

Purdue/Indiana Over 129
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Matt Blunt

Nashville -120
San Jose +120
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John Bollman

Washington -135
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Mike Barner

INDIANA @ PORTLAND | 01/14 | 10:00 PM EST
INDIANA +3
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SDQL

INDIANA @ PORTLAND | 01/14 | 10:00 PM EST
INDIANA +3

CHARLOTTE @ TORONTO | 01/14 | 7:30 PM EST
UNDER 220
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Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 1/14/21 1 month 2 weeks ago #529361

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Big AL NCAAB

Indiana -3
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Wunderdog

NBA
Charlotte +8.5 @ toronto
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Paul O'Callaghan/OcalSports

We had Bryant on the open at -4.5 now -7, you can parlay it with the under if you like, Bryant -7 is still my favorite play of the 4:

Bryant -4.5 (-7)
Bryant Under 160
Arizona @ Oregon State Over 140.5
Morehead State @ E Illinois Under 134
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CleInsiderSports

NBA
Spurs -7

CBB
St. Mary's -1

NHL
Capitals/Sabres UNDER 6
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Worlds Worst Picker
Peabody’s picks
UCLA
Washington

We take
Washington st
USC
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FEZZIK | NBA TOTAL THU, 01/14/21 - 7:35 PM
572 SAN / 571 HOU Under 219.0 Bookmaker
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Sports Picks Weekly
Thursday, January 14th 2021
NBA:
*Denver -5
Indiana/Portland Under -229
NCAAB:
*Indiana -3 (-117)
BYU. pk
San Francisco -13
Montana St. -6 (-118)
NHL:
*Nashville ML (-119)
Minneosta/L.A. Over 5.5
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Pro Stats

Eastern Illinois -6
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Free Premium Service Plays For Thursday 1/14/21 1 month 2 weeks ago #529362

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Paul Leiner

*2500. Over 131.5. UCLA/Washington state
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IC
4 - Toronto -8
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