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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Week 13

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(@shazman)
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Wednesday 11/25/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL& NCAAF games.

 
Posted : November 25, 2020 11:57 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57388
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College Football Odds Week 13: Opening Lines and Sharp Money
Patrick Everson

Quarterback Brock Purdy has helped put Iowa State in contention for its first-ever Big 12 championship. FanDuel Sportsbook opened the Cyclones 2.5-point underdogs at Texas.

College football odds for Week 13 are on the betting board and getting action, with a few games of note. At the top of the list, perhaps surprisingly, is upstart and undefeated Indiana traveling to the Horseshoe to face fellow unbeaten Ohio State.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 13 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

College Football Week 13 Odds

These are the current College football Week 13 odds for the premier games on the schedule, as of November 23.

(2) Notre Dame at (23) North Carolina Odds
Opening line
Notre Dame -6.5, Over/Under 63.5

Why the line moved
This line posted early at FanDuel, going up Nov. 17, and therefore has bounced all over the place. Notre Dame opened -6.5 and got out to -9, then plummeted to -3.5 and is -4.5 Monday evening. Despite the wild swings, ticket count and money are running 9/1 on the Fighting Irish. The total went up Sunday at 63.5 and is 66.5 Monday evening, with tickets and money similarly in the 9/1 range on the Over.

(15) Iowa State at (21) Texas Odds
Opening line
Texas -2.5, Over/Under 60.5

Why the line moved
The Longhorns are down to -1.5 on interesting point-spread betting splits, with the Cyclones getting 62 percent of tickets and Texas taking 55 percent of money as of Monday evening. The total is already down to 57.5 from 60.5, with 77 percent of bets on the Over, but 56 percent of money on the Under.

(11) Oregon at Oregon State Odds
Opening line
Oregon -16.5, Over/Under 61.5

Why the line moved
This storied Pac-12 rivalry is seeing the double-digit 'dog get early attention at FanDuel, where Oregon opened -16.5, dropped to -12.5 and is at -13.5 Monday evening. The total moved from 61.5 to 64.5. However, FanDuel doesn't yet have betting splits on the spread or total.

Kentucky at (5) Florida Odds
Opening line
Florida -19.5, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved
The Gators sprinted to -24.5 at FanDuel by early Monday morning and are -23.5 as of Monday night, with early point-spread tickets running 4/1 and money more than 9/1 on Florida. The total is down two points to 57.5, despite early tickets and money in the 9/1 range on the Over.

Pittsburgh at (4) Clemson Odds
Opening line
Clemson -26.5, Over/Under 55.5

Why the line moved
Clemson is down three points to -23.5 at FanDuel on Monday night, although 57 percent of bets/56 percent of dollars are on the Tigers. The total opened at 55.5 and is now 54.5 on limited betting, so FanDuel doesn't yet have splits.

(13) Northwestern at Michigan State Odds
Opening line
Northwestern -9.5, Over/Under 41.5

Why the line moved
Coming off its big upset of Wisconsin, Northwestern opened -9.5 and is already up to -13.5 Monday night at FanDuel, where 85 percent of early bets and 96 percent of early dollars are on the Wildcats. The total is up a point to 42.5, with ticket count 2/1 on the Under, but money 2/1 on the Over.

Colorado at (18) USC Odds
Opening line
Souther Cal -10.5, Over/Under 63.5

Why the line moved
Southern Cal reached -13.5 Monday afternoon and is at -12.5 Monday night at FanDuel, with ticket count and money both in the 9/1 range on the Trojans. The total is up a point to 64.5 on limited betting, so splits aren't yet available.

(3) Ohio State at Illinois Odds
Opening line
Ohio State -28.5, Over/Under 69.5

Why the line moved
FanDuel has the Buckeyes down to -27.5 Monday night, a notch below the opening number, even though early action is all Ohio State, which is attracting 87 percent of bets and 96 percent of money. The total initially dropped a point to 68.5 but is up to 70.5 Monday night, with 80 percent of tickets and 70 percent of money on the Over.

(19) Auburn at (1) Alabama Odds
Opening line
Alabama -21, Over/Under 60.5

Why the line moved
Alabama is up to -24.5 Monday night at FanDuel, where 61 percent of tickets and 69 percent of dollars are landing on the Crimson Tide. The total is up two points to 62.5, with practically all the early tickets and money on the Over.

LSU at (6) Texas A&M Odds
Opening line
Texas A&M -14.5, Over/Under 64.5

Why the line moved
The Aggies opened just a tick beyond two-touchdown favorites at FanDuel, then dipped to -12.5 Sunday night, but are now back up to -14.5 Monday night. Texas A&M is attracting 74 percent of early point-spread bets and 88 percent of early point-spread cash. The total fell from 64.5 to 62.5 and is back at the opener Monday night, with the ticket count dead even, but 94 percent of money on the Over.

 
Posted : November 25, 2020 11:58 am
(@shazman)
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127COLORADO ST -128 AIR FORCE
AIR FORCE is 20-44 ATS (-28.4 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.

129NEW MEXICO -130 UTAH ST
UTAH ST is 24-11 ATS (11.9 Units) after allowing 325 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.

131UCF -132 S FLORIDA
S FLORIDA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) vs. incredible offensive teams - scoring 37 or more points/game in the last 3 seasons.

137STANFORD -138 CALIFORNIA
CALIFORNIA is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) when the line is +/-3 since 1992.

139OREGON -140 OREGON ST
OREGON ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.

143IOWA ST -144 TEXAS
TEXAS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when the total is 56.5-63 in the last 3 seasons.

147NEBRASKA -148 IOWA
IOWA is 52-25 ATS (24.5 Units) vesus good rushing teams - averaging >=4.75 rushing yards/carry since 1992.

151WYOMING -152 UNLV
UNLV is 54-88 ATS (-42.8 Units) after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers since 1992.

153SOUTHERN MISS -154 UAB
UAB is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games after a game where they forced 1 or less turnovers in the last 3 seasons.

155TCU -156 KANSAS
KANSAS are 41-70 ATS (-36 Units) vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.

 
Posted : November 25, 2020 11:59 am
(@neversplitaces)
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ECHO:
Hey Shaz, you used to post not only the daily FREE PREMIUM PLAYS, but also the daily FREE PICK PLAYS as well. The free plays all these guys provide, especially in basketball and baseball, are such poor, square plays , but they put them out just to provide the free pick service. However, these have had tremendous fade value for me in the past. If it's a hassle to post, don't worry about it in the least. But with basketball beginning tomorrow, if you get the chance to post, I'll let you have the top bunk. I appreciate all of what you do so very much. Thanks again.

 
Posted : November 25, 2020 12:18 pm
(@timmy1961)
Posts: 34797
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Will try queenie but I have a short window to break things down during game day, and as the numbers change I have to send sometimes the hoop games will come in in the middle of football game everything I sent so far has been all football

 
Posted : November 28, 2020 12:40 pm
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