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TNF Broncos @ Jets

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(@the-trashman)
Posts: 434
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What does everyone think about this matchup tonight? I havent seen Timmy post for a while today, perhaps golfing?

What a shit show of a game tonight. Jets -1 & 41.5

Broncos staring Brett Rypien, 3rd stringer from Boise St. Guy can sling it, but first start on the road with 4 days of prep? Ouch. Broncos lots of other injuries. They do have Melvin Gordon though.

Jets - its very difficult for me to lay money on the Jets. They could be playing St Mary school of the blind at Jets -1 and I would be hesitant. They just suck. Darnold has not progressed. Theyre also injury laden, including LeVeon Bell, although not sure if that hurts them.

You would think this game is the Jets for the taking? I dont know. The Jets dont know how to win. Darnold is a turnover machine. The broncos defense is ok i guess, they played the steelers tough.

And the total, i could see it going either way. This one is a tough call players. I might lay off and just watch, maybe make a live bet if I can identify an angle.

Love to hear anyones thoughts!

 
Posted : October 1, 2020 7:07 pm
(@the-trashman)
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Phil Steele released a Marquee Play tonight on the Under 41.5

 
Posted : October 1, 2020 7:19 pm
(@freezerqueen)
Posts: 450
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Thank you for all the info....stats & Phil Steel...my bookie put line at pk & 41

 
Posted : October 1, 2020 7:29 pm
(@jimmythegreek)
Posts: 964
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Denver Broncos at New York Jets (-1.5, 41)

The advance line last week for this game was Broncos -2.5, and that’s what it opened at this past Sunday after both teams lost again. However, the Broncos announced Tuesday that former Boise State Bronco QB Brett Rypien (undrafted in 2019), would be their third starting quarterback in four games. Rypien replaced Jeff Driskel (who was filling in for injured starter Drew Locke) in the fourth quarter of Denver’s 28-10 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday and coach Vic Fangio decided to give the second-year QB a chance to start. Sportsbooks reacted by dropping the Broncos to 1-point road favorites with some books going to pick ‘em. The line has more even more since, settling with the Jets as consensus 1.5-point home favorites.

The move came in spite of the Jets also being 0-3 against the spread with losses of 27-17 at the Buffalo Bills, 31-13 vs. the San Francisco 49ers (the Jets’ only home game so far in which the MetLife field did more damage to the 49ers than the Jets did) and 36-7 at the Indianapolis Colts.

The recommended play here is on the Broncos, as they’ve been more competitive in their games than the Jets, covering the first two weeks in a 16-14 home loss to the Tennessee Titans and 26-21 loss at the Pittsburgh Steelers.

With the Broncos starting a third-string QB and the Jets averaging just 9 points a game, it’s understandable that the Over/Under was at 39.5, second-lowest of the season so far to the Jets-Bills opener (39). However, I wouldn’t bet the Under -- as tempting as it might be – and we’ve actually seen this number come up to 41. I prefer to bet Overs in games between also-rans as you get the defenses don’t have that extra motivation and the games often turn into backyard-type shootouts.

 
Posted : October 1, 2020 7:33 pm
(@strakey)
Posts: 252
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Think it would’ve moved the jets way no matter the QB. Broncos still have playmakers in D, but don’t think they’re anywhere near as good as they used to be. I’ll probably be on jets and over, so I recommend Denver and under to the rest of ya. Lol.

 
Posted : October 1, 2020 7:43 pm
(@freezerqueen)
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You guys are not helping me at all

 
Posted : October 1, 2020 7:51 pm
(@the-trashman)
Posts: 434
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Yeah. I just cannot, in good conscience, bet money on the jets. they are terrible. im most likely laying off and looking for an in game live bet once i see how the teams are playing.

 
Posted : October 1, 2020 7:53 pm
(@the-trashman)
Posts: 434
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I put in a live bet on the broncos right after the Jets scored that first TD. Broncos moneyline. Glad i didnt take the under. Fuck the jets, they suck, i will not bet on them until they complete a major turnaround.

Now we got college football the next two days, only one game tomorrow. Leaning LA Tech.

 
Posted : October 2, 2020 12:59 am
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