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(@shazman)
Posts: 57388
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Thursday 9/17/20 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, MLB, NBA & NCAAF games

 
Posted : September 17, 2020 11:22 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57388
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Football Jesus

wk 2 NFL under total bengals/browns thur nite football
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
3:17 PM

CINCINNATI +5.5
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 9/17 | 8:20 PM EDT
Huh? The team that laid a giant egg in the league’s worst Week 1 defeat is laying more than five points? Plus, it emerges from that game beat up, with three players going down in the thrashing at the hands of Baltimore. The fates of three key members of the secondary who sat out the opener are unclear. Cincinnati came away from its opening loss reasonably healthy, and calm rookie QB Joe Burrow passed his first test with a conservative game plan that could be loosened up. Burrow won’t have to deal with the raucous Dawg Pound in what would have been an unsettling scenario.

4-0-1 IN LAST 5 NFL PICKS | +400
13-3 IN LAST 16 CIN ATS PICKS | +971

3-0 IN LAST 3 CLE ATS PICKS | +300
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Mike McClure
MONEY
11:56 AM

CINCINNATI +6
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 9/17 | 8:20 PM EDT
My simulations make the Browns -2.1 points better on a neutral field, 4.7 points better in a traditional home game, and 3.8 points better in a 2020 home game. I liked a lot of what I saw from Joe Burrow in his debut in a game they likely should have won without the questionable offensive pass interference in the end zone. The Bengals with the points are a must play considering the 2.2 point edge in the model.

3-0 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +300
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Matt Severance

OVER 43.5
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 9/17 | 8:20 PM EDT
5:22 PM
Yes, these state rivals combined for only 19 points in Week 1 losses, but both teams are missing key defensive players due to injury. Baker Mayfield can only improve off his effort in Baltimore, and Joe Burrow should also be better with an NFL game under his belt. The total has gone Over in four of the past five in this series with an average final score of 49.4 points. It should be in that ballpark again, but jump now at 43.5 before before it potentially rises back up to 44 (could see a 24-20 final score). Over is the play.
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Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
1:57 PM

CLEVELAND -6
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 9/17 | 8:20 PM EDT
Everybody is raving about Joe Burrow but aside from the last drive I thought he was very ordinary. He'll be good eventually, but this is a game in which the Browns will assert themselves. They're more talented than they showed Week 1. Lay the points.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
3-0 IN LAST 3 CIN ATS PICKS | +300

5-3-1 IN LAST 9 CLE ATS PICKS | +161
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H&H Sports
NHL Icecrusher - 4* Tampa Bay Lightning -154
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Michael Crosson
Eastern Conference Finals - Game #2
Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat
Triple Dime - Boston Celtics -2.5
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Matt Blunt
NFL
Best Bet - Cincinnati Bengals/Cleveland Browns Over 43
Regular Play - Cincinnati Bengals +6
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Kevin Rogers

Best Bet Cleveland Browns -6
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10goldtips

FINLAND Veikkausliiga
Lahti - TPS
Lahti over 1.5 @ 1.90

SWEDEN Superettan
Ljungskile - Norrby
Ljungskile over 1.5 @ 2.35
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Alan Scozzari

GUARANTEED A WAGER
Europa League
Piast Gliwice (Pol) -0,5 -102

TIP OF THE DAY A WAGER
Europa League Honved (Hun) - Malmo FF (Swe)
UNDER 2,5 +120
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Posted : September 17, 2020 11:26 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57388
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

Elite Sports Picks

Boston -2 over Miami (NBA)
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Insider Sports Report

4* Boston -2 over Miami (NBA)
Range: -.5 to -4.5

3* Texas (Lyles)/Houston (Valdez) OVER 9.5
Range: 9 to 10

3* Cincinnati/Cleveland UNDER 43.5 (NFL)
Range: 45.5 to 41.5
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National Sports Service

4* San Francisco (Anderson) -145 over Seattle (Margevicius)

3* Cincinnati +6.5 over Cleveland (NFL)

3* L.A. Dodgers (Urias) -165 over Colorado (Freeland)
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Primetime Sports Picks For 09/17/20

4 Unit --> St. Louis (Hudson) -165 over Pittsburgh (Brault)

3 Unit --> N.Y. Mets (Degrom)/Philadelphia (Nola) UNDER 7.5

3 Unit --> Cincinnati/Cleveland UNDER 43.5 (NFL)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 09/17/20

5★ Texas (Lyles)/Houston (Valdez) OVER 9.5

3★ Philadelphia (Nola) -140 over N.Y. Mets (Lugo)

3★ Cleveland -6 over Cincinnati (NFL)
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Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
9:57 AM

MIAMI +2.5
MIAMI @ BOSTON | 9/17 | 7:00 PM EDT
The Heat once again are underdogs despite having won Game 1. Jimmy Butler and Goran Dragic have been a potent scoring duo throughout the playoffs, and the Celtics are an excellent matchup for Bam Adebayo given their lack of size up front. This should be another close game that Miami very well could win, so I’ll take the points.

130-77-3 IN LAST 210 NBA ATS PICKS | +4530
11-2 IN LAST 13 MIA ATS PICKS | +880

6-3-1 IN LAST 10 BOS ATS PICKS | +268
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Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
9:36 AM

CINCINNATI +6
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 9/17 | 8:20 PM EDT
Cleveland is looking to bounce back after an abysmal season-opening performance against Baltimore. On a short week, the Browns limp into a matchup versus the Bengals missing three starters on a defense that got gashed by Lamar Jackson. Now, I am not saying that rookie QB Joe Burrow is Lamar Jackson, but he may look like him this week as he'll have A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, John Ross III and Tee Higgins matched up against a secondary that was questionable heading into Week 1 and has been made thin because of injury.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
5-2 IN LAST 7 CIN ATS PICKS | +271

2-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ATS PICKS | +80

Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
YESTERDAY 8:07 PM

CLEVELAND -6
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 9/17 | 8:20 PM EDT
Both teams come off awful offensive performances. But I can see the Browns being more polished in Week 2, working hard on a short week. The Browns are an emotion-driven team and last week it worked against them with the sulking, but I like it to work fin their favor against the last team they defeated, in Week 14 last season. The one thing the Browns did well last week was run the ball. Take the Browns to cover.

4-3-1 IN LAST 8 CLE ATS PICKS | +55

R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 7:02 PM

CINCINNATI +6
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 9/17 | 8:20 PM EDT
Despite only putting up 13 points, I was impressed by Joe Burrow in his NFL debut and I expect him to have a big day here against a much worse defense in Cleveland. The Browns are incredibly beat up already, with 10 players questionable or worse on the final injury report. That will help an improved Bengals defense slow down a Browns offense that's still finding its feet under Kevin Stefanski. The Bengals have lost 13 straight on the road but are 8-5 ATS in those matchups as well as 8-3 ATS in that stretch when 'dogs of at least four points. Look for them to cash once again in that situation here.

8-2 IN LAST 10 NFL PICKS | +580
15-10 IN LAST 25 CIN ATS PICKS | +399

12-8-2 IN LAST 22 CLE ATS PICKS | +317
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Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
11:47 AM

MIAMI +2.5
MIAMI @ BOSTON | 9/17 | 7:00 PM EDT
The Heat are both 9-1 SU and ATS in the playoffs. Their only defeat was a three-point OT loss to the Milwaukee Bucks. Miami is playing its best basketball of the season and the team is healthy with a deep bench. The Heat are a tough matchup for the Celtics. These two teams are very similar in style of play, but the Heat dominated the paint in Game 1 and shot 47 percent from the field. Miami has several scorers that can beat opponents from beyond the arc. The Heat will once again will try to push the tempo. I’m not a big fan of the zig-zag theory, but some big action has come in on Boston. Either way, it will be close.

14-6 IN LAST 20 NBA PICKS | +675
3-0 IN LAST 3 MIA ATS PICKS | +300
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John Bollman

N.Y. YANKEES -219
TORONTO @ N.Y. YANKEES | 9/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:42 AM
Masahiro Tanaka is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA this season but he has yet to face the Blue Jays this season. He is 13-5 with a 2.87 ERA in 21 starts in his career against the Blue Jays. Chase Anderson is 0-1 with a 5.81 ERA this season and he is coming off two straight tough performances. The Yankees have won seven straight games and they are 20-7 at home this season.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +120
7-4 IN LAST 11 TOR ML PICKS | +270

COLORADO +150
L.A. DODGERS @ COLORADO | 9/17 | 8:40 PM EDT
11:42 AM
The Dodgers are just 5-5 in their last 10 games while the Rockies are 4-6 in their last 10 games. Julio Urias is starting for the Dodgers and he is 3-0 with a 3.53 ERA this season and he is coming off a quality start. However, he allowed four runs in 4.1 IP to the Rockies a week and a half ago. Kyle Freeland is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA this season and he allowed three runs in six innings in his start against them this season. The Rockies have the 10th best OPS in the league against lefties while the Dodgers are ranked 19th. Take the value in the Rockies.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +120

ST. LOUIS -157
ST. LOUIS @ PITTSBURGH | 9/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:41 AM
Dakota Hudson is 3-2 with a 2.92 ERA this season and he has thrown a quality start in three of his last four outings. Steven Brault is 0-3 with a 5.06 ERA this season and he has lost each of his last two decisions giving up seven runs in 8.2 IP. They have a smaller sample size, but the Cards have the sixth best OPS in the league against lefties at .805.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +120
20-10 IN LAST 30 PIT ML PICKS | +814

20-16 IN LAST 36 STL ML PICKS | +74

MINNESOTA -180
MINNESOTA @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 9/17 | 2:10 PM EDT
11:41 AM
Kenta Maeda is 5-1 with a 2.43 ERA this season and he is facing Reynaldo Lopez who is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA this season. Lopez has allowed seven runs in 2.1 IP in two starts against the Twins this season. This is a big starting pitching mismatch, take the Twins.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +120
16-5 IN LAST 21 MIN ML PICKS | +899

9-4 IN LAST 13 CHW ML PICKS | +439
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SDQL

L.A. DODGERS -172
L.A. DODGERS @ COLORADO | 9/17 | 8:40 PM EDT
7:30 AM
The Dodgers are 13-0 SU as road favorites after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs, including 10-0 this season. The Rockies are 0-22 as 140-plus underdogs coming off a game as favorites in which they allowed six or fewer hits and multiple walks. We are on the Dodgers.

26-11 IN LAST 37 MLB ML PICKS | +685
4-1 IN LAST 5 COL ML PICKS | +243

CLEVELAND -280
CLEVELAND @ DETROIT | 9/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
7:28 AM
The Tigers are 0-10 as 170+ underdogs coming off a home shutout loss, and 0-8 in the first game of a series with no rest as underdogs vs. a team that has lost at least their last four games. Cleveland is 17-0 before Game 90 on the road after playing as a road favorite when it scored two or fewer runs for its starter in his last start. Cleveland has won these 17 games by an average of 4.18 runs. We are on the Indians.

26-11 IN LAST 37 MLB ML PICKS | +685
10-3 IN LAST 13 CLE ML PICKS | +401

ST. LOUIS -157
ST. LOUIS @ PITTSBURGH | 9/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
7:23 AM
The Cardinals are 12-0 before Game 100 in the first game of a series with no rest as road favorites against a team that has lost at least its last three games. The Pirates are 0-15 as an underdog of more than 130 coming off a road loss in which they had at least 2.25 times as many hits as runs. Pittsburgh is 0-10 in this spot this season. We make St Louis the play.

26-11 IN LAST 37 MLB ML PICKS | +685
4-0 IN LAST 4 STL ML PICKS | +400

2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ML PICKS | +55
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Red Dog Sports

MLB
3* Dodgers/Rockies under 11.5
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John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
12:11 PM

TAMPA BAY -170
TAMPA BAY @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 9/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
The Lightning have been clearly in control of this series, although they let the last game slip away to get the series to 3-2. The Lightning will not want a Game 7 at all and I think they will make their push tonight. Brayden Point could be out of the lineup again but I think the Lightning end it tonight.

11-6 IN LAST 17 TB ML PICKS | +319

6-3 IN LAST 9 NYI ML PICKS | +278

Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
12:06 PM

TAMPA BAY -170
TAMPA BAY @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 9/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
The Islanders did a great job to force a Game 5. Winning this game and forcing a Game 7 is not likely. The Lightning have outplayed the Islanders and had a ton of chances to put them away. But Tampa Bay is getting some terrific play in net and the defensemen are doing a great job of blocking shots. The Lightning are healthy and they will come out with a sense of urgency. Andrei Vasilevskiy must continue his fantastic play in net. Tampa Bay has won 15 of the last 21 meetings.

24-15 IN LAST 39 NHL ML PICKS | +391
11-3 IN LAST 14 TB ML PICKS | +654

8-5 IN LAST 13 NYI ML PICKS | +138
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Posted : September 17, 2020 12:26 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 57388
Member Moderator
Topic starter
 

John Bollman

N.Y. YANKEES -219
TORONTO @ N.Y. YANKEES | 9/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:42 AM
Masahiro Tanaka is 2-2 with a 3.16 ERA this season but he has yet to face the Blue Jays this season. He is 13-5 with a 2.87 ERA in 21 starts in his career against the Blue Jays. Chase Anderson is 0-1 with a 5.81 ERA this season and he is coming off two straight tough performances. The Yankees have won seven straight games and they are 20-7 at home this season.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +120
7-4 IN LAST 11 TOR ML PICKS | +270

COLORADO +150
L.A. DODGERS @ COLORADO | 9/17 | 8:40 PM EDT
11:42 AM
The Dodgers are just 5-5 in their last 10 games while the Rockies are 4-6 in their last 10 games. Julio Urias is starting for the Dodgers and he is 3-0 with a 3.53 ERA this season and he is coming off a quality start. However, he allowed four runs in 4.1 IP to the Rockies a week and a half ago. Kyle Freeland is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA this season and he allowed three runs in six innings in his start against them this season. The Rockies have the 10th best OPS in the league against lefties while the Dodgers are ranked 19th. Take the value in the Rockies.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +120

ST. LOUIS -157
ST. LOUIS @ PITTSBURGH | 9/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:41 AM
Dakota Hudson is 3-2 with a 2.92 ERA this season and he has thrown a quality start in three of his last four outings. Steven Brault is 0-3 with a 5.06 ERA this season and he has lost each of his last two decisions giving up seven runs in 8.2 IP. They have a smaller sample size, but the Cards have the sixth best OPS in the league against lefties at .805.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +120
20-10 IN LAST 30 PIT ML PICKS | +814

20-16 IN LAST 36 STL ML PICKS | +74

MINNESOTA -180
MINNESOTA @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 9/17 | 2:10 PM EDT
11:41 AM
Kenta Maeda is 5-1 with a 2.43 ERA this season and he is facing Reynaldo Lopez who is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA this season. Lopez has allowed seven runs in 2.1 IP in two starts against the Twins this season. This is a big starting pitching mismatch, take the Twins.

4-3 IN LAST 7 MLB PICKS | +120
16-5 IN LAST 21 MIN ML PICKS | +899

9-4 IN LAST 13 CHW ML PICKS | +439
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SDQL

L.A. DODGERS -172
L.A. DODGERS @ COLORADO | 9/17 | 8:40 PM EDT
7:30 AM
The Dodgers are 13-0 SU as road favorites after a game in which their bullpen allowed multiple runs, including 10-0 this season. The Rockies are 0-22 as 140-plus underdogs coming off a game as favorites in which they allowed six or fewer hits and multiple walks. We are on the Dodgers.

26-11 IN LAST 37 MLB ML PICKS | +685
4-1 IN LAST 5 COL ML PICKS | +243

CLEVELAND -280
CLEVELAND @ DETROIT | 9/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
7:28 AM
The Tigers are 0-10 as 170+ underdogs coming off a home shutout loss, and 0-8 in the first game of a series with no rest as underdogs vs. a team that has lost at least their last four games. Cleveland is 17-0 before Game 90 on the road after playing as a road favorite when it scored two or fewer runs for its starter in his last start. Cleveland has won these 17 games by an average of 4.18 runs. We are on the Indians.

26-11 IN LAST 37 MLB ML PICKS | +685
10-3 IN LAST 13 CLE ML PICKS | +401

ST. LOUIS -157
ST. LOUIS @ PITTSBURGH | 9/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
7:23 AM
The Cardinals are 12-0 before Game 100 in the first game of a series with no rest as road favorites against a team that has lost at least its last three games. The Pirates are 0-15 as an underdog of more than 130 coming off a road loss in which they had at least 2.25 times as many hits as runs. Pittsburgh is 0-10 in this spot this season. We make St Louis the play.

26-11 IN LAST 37 MLB ML PICKS | +685
4-0 IN LAST 4 STL ML PICKS | +400

2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ML PICKS | +55
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Red Dog Sports

MLB
3* Dodgers/Rockies under 11.5
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John Bollman
THE EXECUTIVE
12:11 PM

TAMPA BAY -170
TAMPA BAY @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 9/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
The Lightning have been clearly in control of this series, although they let the last game slip away to get the series to 3-2. The Lightning will not want a Game 7 at all and I think they will make their push tonight. Brayden Point could be out of the lineup again but I think the Lightning end it tonight.

11-6 IN LAST 17 TB ML PICKS | +319

6-3 IN LAST 9 NYI ML PICKS | +278

Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
12:06 PM

TAMPA BAY -170
TAMPA BAY @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 9/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
The Islanders did a great job to force a Game 5. Winning this game and forcing a Game 7 is not likely. The Lightning have outplayed the Islanders and had a ton of chances to put them away. But Tampa Bay is getting some terrific play in net and the defensemen are doing a great job of blocking shots. The Lightning are healthy and they will come out with a sense of urgency. Andrei Vasilevskiy must continue his fantastic play in net. Tampa Bay has won 15 of the last 21 meetings.

24-15 IN LAST 39 NHL ML PICKS | +391
11-3 IN LAST 14 TB ML PICKS | +654

8-5 IN LAST 13 NYI ML PICKS | +138
__________________

Bill Marzano
VETERAN HANDICAPPER
12:40 PM

CINCINNATI +6
CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 9/17 | 8:20 PM EDT
The Browns were destroyed in their opener by the Ravens. That was no surprise, but I really didn't like what I saw from Baker Mayfield and company. A competitive Bengals team had chances to win their home opener vs. the Chargers. Joe Burrow is just going to get better in each start and he has talented players around him with a solid defense. Cincinnati is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 8-3 ATS in its last 11 as a road dog. Cleveland is just 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. AFC teams.

4-1 IN LAST 5 NFL ATS PICKS | +290
2-1 IN LAST 3 CIN ATS PICKS | +92

2-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ATS PICKS | +81
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Jimmy Adams (VegasInsider - NFL) - Cincinnati Bengals +6
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Kevin Davis (VegasInsider)
MLB
Toronto Blue Jays +205
St Louis Cardinals -155
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Vince Akins (VegasInsider)
MLB
Best Bet - Los Angeles Dodgers -153
Houston Astros -220
Philadelphia Phillies -124
Philadelphia Phillies/New York Mets Over 7.5
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Sportsline Computer

MLB

Twins -177
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Stats Analytics Sports (NFL) - 2* Browns/Bengals Over 43.5
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H&H Sports (MLB) - Double Dime Chicago White Sox +165
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Stats Analytics Sports
MLB
White Sox +165
Giants -1.5 runs +125
Dodgers -1.5 runs -115
Blue Jays/Yankees Under 9.5
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DAVE ESSLER | NBA SIDES THU, 09/17/20 - 7:00 PM
701 MIA 2.5 (-110) Pinnacle vs 702 BOS

triple-dime bet
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Root

Millionaire- Bengals
Inner circle- Phillies
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bob balfe

heat +2.5// boston
cincy +6// clev
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Tom Stryker

82-57 ATS NFL ELITE INFO BEST BET

Browns
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Posted : September 17, 2020 4:44 pm
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