Tuesday 9/8/20 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF, MLB & NBA
Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
7:13 PM
TEX +105
LAA @ TEX | 9/08 | 8:05 PM EDT
My model says the Rangers win in 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value with them. Texas returns to the comforts of home after losing the final six contests of its seven-game road trip. Lance Lynn struggled in his last start but outdueled Los Angeles' Andrew Heaney in their matchup last month, limiting the Angels to two runs over five innings for the win. Look for the veteran to stop the bleeding for the Rangers on Tuesday.
19-11 LAST 30 MLB SIDES | +1061
24-18 IN LAST 42 TEX ML PICKS | +1121
15-8 IN LAST 23 LAA ML PICKS | +661
__________________
Football Jesus
NBA Tues Over total in MILW/Heat game 5, also has Miami to win series he sent out about 10 days ago
__________________
Michael Crosson
Western Conference Game #3 - LA Lakers/Houston Rockets
Best Bet - Houston Rockets +5
__________________
Andrew McInnis NBA 5%
5% NBA BIG MOVE $$
Game: (705) Miami Heat at (706) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: Sep 8 2020 6:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Miami Heat -2.0 (-110)
__________________
Sam Quinn
NBA JOURNALIST
7:28 AM
HOUSTON +5
L.A. LAKERS @ HOUSTON | 9/08 | 9:00 PM EDT
The Rockets got only 37 points from James Harden and Russell Westbrook in Game 2. They averaged 61.5 during the regular season. Some of that was by design. The Lakers trapped Harden aggressively to get the ball out of his hands, but it led to a level of 3-point shooting that the Lakers will likely try to prevent in Game 3. Westbrook's 10-point outing, however, is far less likely to recur. As bad of a shooter as he is, he probably isn't going to go 1-for-8 outside of the restricted area again, especially with the Lakers sagging off of him as much as they are. Expect a better outing from Houston's stars Tuesday.
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAL ATS PICKS | +90
__________________
SDQL
N.Y. METS -172
BALTIMORE @ N.Y. METS | 9/08 | 7:10 PM EDT
7:35 AM
These starters -- John Means for the Orioles and Michael Wacha for the Mets -- faced each other six days ago in the last meeting between these teams. The Mets won 9-4. Baltimore has been terrible in the first game of a series when seeking revenge, as it is 0-18 before Game 80 as an underdog of more than 135 in a series opener when coming off a home game and seeking same-season revenge. New York is 15-0 as a 115-plus home favorite coming off a home loss in which it held the lead and had fewer than 15 hits. We make the Mets the play.
62-33-1 IN LAST 96 MLB PICKS | +819
4-0 IN LAST 4 NYM ML PICKS | +400
3-1 IN LAST 4 BAL ML PICKS | +205
SAN FRANCISCO -145
SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO | 9/08 | 9:45 PM EDT
7:32 AM
The Mariners are 0-11 as 130-plus underdogs in a series opener when they held their opponent to six or fewer hits at home the day before. Seattle has lost these eleven games by an average of 4.82 runs. San Francisco is 13-0 as a 130-plus home favorite when coming off a home game in which its opponent scored first. We are on the Giants.
62-33-1 IN LAST 96 MLB PICKS | +819
2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ML PICKS | +79
CHI. WHITE SOX -145
CHI. WHITE SOX @ PITTSBURGH | 9/08 | 7:05 PM EDT
7:30 AM
If you have seen the following trend before, it is because we have been cashing with it for some time now. The White Sox are 15-0 as favorites off a win as favorites in which they never trailed. Chicago is 13-0 in this spot THIS season. Pittsburgh is 0-11 as a dog of more than 120 with Joe Musgrove when he threw fewer than 100 pitches in his last start. The Pirates have lost by an average of 5.09 runs per game and they are 0-3 in this spot this season, with every loss by multiple runs. We make the White Sox the play.
62-33-1 IN LAST 96 MLB PICKS | +819
10-0 IN LAST 10 CHW ML PICKS | +1000
2-1 IN LAST 3 PIT ML PICKS | +47
__________________
SCOTT DELANEY
Today's Winner
My 100 Dime Winner is the LOS ANGELES LAKERS in Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinal against the Houston Rockets. At 7:30 am eastern the line is Lakers -5.
__________________
KIRBY MAXWELL
TONIGHT'S WINNER
My 40 Dime play is the Miami Heat over the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. As of 9 a.m. eastern, the line is -2.
__________________
CHRIS JORDAN
Today:
Today's Play and Line
800♦ SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
At 5 am pacific, the line is -1.5 runs, +125.
__________________
JACK BRAYMAN
TODAY'S WINNER
Today's Play: 40 Dime Atlanta Braves
__________________
BRANDON LANG
Tuesday Selection......
My 50 Dime selection is on the Heat over the Bucks. The line on this game is -3 as of 8:00 am EST. Be sure to shop around for the best price available.
__________________
BOB VALENTINO
Tonight's winner...
100 Dimer is the Miami Heat minus the points against the Milwaukee Bucks. At 7:30 am eastern the Heat are -2 1/2 points in Vegas and offshore
__________________
MITCHELL NEWMAN
Today's Release...
Selection: Tuesday's release is a 40 Dime play on the N.Y. Yankees with Happ over the Toronto Blue Jays with Walker.
Line: At 8:30 am eastern the Yankees are -110.
__________________
KARL GARRETT
Tonight's Play ...
TODAY'S WINNER
50 Dime - Las Vegas Golden Knights -1 1/2 goals
At 710:15 am eastern time, the Knights are -1 1/2 goals, +160
__________________
Elite Sports Picks
L.A. Dodgers (Buehler) -1.5 runs -120 over Arizona (Weaver)
__________________
Insider Sports Report
4* Milwaukee (Houser)/Detroit (Turnbull) OVER 8.5
Range: 8 to 9
3* Miami/Milwaukee OVER 216 (NBA)
Range: 214 to 218
3* L.A. Angels (Heaney) -125 over Texas (Lynn)
Range: -110 to -150
__________________
National Sports Service
4* Chicago White Sox (Cease) -160 over Pittsburgh (Musgrove)
3* Houston +5 over L.A. Lakers (NBA)
__________________
Primetime Sports Picks For 09/08/20
4 Unit --> Milwaukee (Houser)/Detroit (Turnbull) OVER 8.5
3 Unit --> Cincinnati (Mahle) +105 over Chicago Cubs (Mills)
3 Unit --> L.A. Lakers/Houston UNDER 225.5 (NBA)
__________________
Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks® For 09/08/20
4★ L.A. Angels (Heaney) -125 over Texas (Lynn)
3★ N.Y. Yankees (Happ) +100 over Toronto (Walker)
3★ L.A. Lakers -5 over Houston (NBA)
__________________
Gameoftheyear
Pirates +1.5
__________________
Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
11:00 AM
MIAMI -4
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 9/08 | 6:30 PM EDT
The Heat couldn’t pull off the sweep in Game 4 despite Giannis Antetokounmpo having to leave early with an ankle injury. He is considered questionable to play in Game 5, but even if he does take the floor, he could be extremely limited. Jimmy Butler admitted after Game 4 that the Heat had a letdown in intensity in the previous game, so don’t expect him to let that happen again Tuesday.
125-75-3 IN LAST 203 NBA ATS PICKS | +4250
10-2 IN LAST 12 MIA ATS PICKS | +780
6-1 IN LAST 7 MIL ATS PICKS | +491
__________________
Bill Marzano
L.A. DODGERS -1.5
L.A. DODGERS @ ARIZONA | 9/08 | 9:40 PM EDT
11:01 AM
The Dodgers are coming off two straight defeats and they haven't lost three straight this season. This is a very favorable pitching matchup for Los Angeles. Walker Buehler is 1-0 this season and 1-0 in his career vs. the Diamondbacks. Arizona’s Luke Weaver is 1-6 with a 7.44 ERA. The Diamondbacks have lost 16 of their last 18 and are 1-6 vs. the Dodgers this year. Arizona has dropped 11 straight vs RHPs. Play Los Angeles -1.5 runs at -160.
5-4 IN LAST 9 MLB PICKS | +40
10-4 IN LAST 14 LAD ATS PICKS | +440
2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI ATS PICKS | +100
CHI. WHITE SOX -125
CHI. WHITE SOX @ PITTSBURGH | 9/08 | 7:05 PM EDT
10:47 AM
The White Sox are playing excellent baseball right now. They have won four straight and 16 of 20 overall. Pittsburgh is 13-26 and Joe Musgrove is 0-4 with a 6.62 ERA. Chicago swept a two-game series vs. the Pirates last month, outscoring them 14-3 in the process. Dylan Cease is 5-2 with a 3.29 ERA. The White Sox have won their last six series openers. Pittsburgh is 1-11 in its last 12 matchups vs the A.L. Central.
7-5 IN LAST 12 MLB ML PICKS | +82
CLEVELAND -1.5
KANSAS CITY @ CLEVELAND | 9/08 | 6:10 PM EDT
10:31 AM
The Indians are 26-15 and are playing great baseball. Cleveland has some of the best pitching in MLB. Triston McKenzie is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA. The Royals are in last place at 14-28. Jakob Junis is 0-1 with a 4.32 ERA and 2-3 vs the Indians. Kansas City has dropped 13 of its last 16 vs the A.L. Central. Cleveland has won the last seven times in a second game of a series. The Indians are 9-1 in their last 10 Tuesday games. Play Cleveland -1.5 runs at -110.
5-4 IN LAST 9 MLB PICKS | +40
VEGAS -160
DALLAS @ VEGAS | 9/08 | 8:00 PM EDT
10:06 AM
The Knights simply can't afford to go down 0-2 and they will find a way to come up big in this game. Las Vegas’ powerful offense has been shut out in two of the last three games. The Knights are running into some terrific goaltending. Anton Khudobin comes into this game off his first career playoff shutout. Vegas gave up a goal on the first shot of the game but held the Stars scoreless the rest of the way. Las Vegas will come out much quicker here and will even up the series with a dominant performance.
21-13 IN LAST 34 NHL ML PICKS | +436
L.A. LAKERS -5
L.A. LAKERS @ HOUSTON | 9/08 | 9:00 PM EDT
9:43 AM
Los Angeles did a great job to even the series after getting hammered in the first game. The Lakers adjusted well to the speed of the Rockets as LeBron James showed us he is still the best player in the NBA, even at age 35. LeBron has done a terrific job getting Anthony Davis involved in the offense. This is perhaps the most important game of the series and I think the Lakers come out and make a statement. Russell Westbrook is really struggling from the field and the Houston offense is running smoother without him on the court.
6-2 IN LAST 8 NBA ATS PICKS | +380
6-3 IN LAST 9 HOU ATS PICKS | +270
3-2 IN LAST 5 LAL ATS PICKS | +80
MIAMI -165
MIAMI @ MILWAUKEE | 9/08 | 6:30 PM EDT
9:29 AM
The Heat had their chance to sweep, but let the Bucks take Game 4 in OT without Giannis Antetokounmpo. Miami is going to close out the series and will not give the Bucks any more chances. The Heat have the defense to stop Antetokounmpo and will continue to force him into tough shots. Miami continues to shoot the ball well from beyond the arc. The Heat are doing a terrific job staying out of foul trouble and converting free throws down the stretch. Jimmy Butler is the best player on the court.
7-3 IN LAST 10 NBA PICKS | +360
2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ML PICKS | +77
__________________
VSI
4 over-8-texas
__________________
Vegas Mike Davis
Min -129 (Gm 1)
Tor -112
Kc/Cle o8.5
Oak/Hou o6.5 (Gm 1)
Marlins +112
Tex +115
__________________
Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
11:18 AM
Matt Severance is a well-connected writer and handicapper who has worked in the industry since 2005. He believes in buying points in football to get off a push number like 3 or 7 He understands that oddsmakers don't do as much homework on lower-tier FBS games, creating betting opportunities. And he says homefield advantage is underrated in some markets and overrated in others.
CHI. WHITE SOX -130
CHI. WHITE SOX @ PITTSBURGH | 9/08 | 7:05 PM EDT
At one point, the White Sox were as high as -170 favorites and there's no major reason why that number has dropped so much -- the Pale Hose are thus great value at -130. Chicago has won six straight series openers and is a terrific 15-6 SU away from home. Pittsburgh, meanwhile, is 1-10 at home in its past 11 vs. AL teams and starts struggling Joe Musgrove, who is 0-4 with a 6.62 ERA. The Pirates have scored a total of two runs with him on the mound this season.
__________________
XS Sports Picks Tuesday (NBA)
Yesterday 1-1 -$300
$5000 Milwaukee +4 (6:30 pm)
$2000 Milwaukee ML +150 (6:30 pm)
$5000 Houston Over 222.5 (9 pm)
__________________
XS Sports Picks Tuesday (MLB)
Yesterday 2-1 +$4,150
$3000 Detroit +138 (7 pm)
$3000 Cleveland -1.5 -103 (6:10 pm)
$5000 Detroit Under 8.5 (7 pm)
LATE MLB:
$5000 Texas Over 8 -110 (8:05 pm)
$5000 San Diego Over 8.5 -115 (9:10 pm)
__________________
XS Sport Picks Tuesday (NHL)
Restart NHL (42-26) 62% +$58,070
$10,000 Dallas +145 (8 pm)
__________________
Accu Picks
NBA
3* L.A. Lakers -4.5
__________________
5% NBA BIG MOVE $$
Game705) Miami Heat at (706) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: Sep 8 2020 6:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Miami Heat -2.0 (-110)
__________________
John Bollman
MLB
Minnesota -125
__________________
Sportsline Computer
MLB
Minnesota -125
__________________
Vince Akins
Best Bet Play of the Day - New York Yankees +105
Chicago White Sox -130
Colorado Rockies +210
Toronto Blue Jays/New York Yankees Under 10.5 runs
__________________
Tony Mejia
Cleveland Indians -1.5 runs -110
San Diego Padres - 1.5 runs -119
__________________
Rockdeman Sports
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 runs +120 (Game #1)
Atlanta Braves -114
New York Mets/Baltimore Orioles Over 9
__________________
Kevin Davis
Washington Nationals +140
Chicago White Sox -130
__________________
Kevin Rogers
Texas Rangers +115
San Francisco Giants -160
__________________
STEPHEN DEANGELO
TODAY'S ACTION
The pick: 50 DIME: Minnesota Twins
__________________
CHUCK O'BRIEN
Tuesday Selection
100 Dime Play:San Diego Run Line
Line as of 2:15 PM Eastern: San Diego -125 at -1 1/2 Runs
__________________
CleInsiderSports
NBA
Heat/Bucks UNDER 218.5
MLB
A's gm1 ML (+130)
__________________
Big AL
Tampa Rays
__________________
Wayne Root
Perfect play- Marlins
Mill- heat
__________________
WUnderdog
MLB
Philadelphia -183 vs boston. 4:00 pm
__________________
Ralph Michaels
2%Padres -250
__________________
The Whale Picks
$2000k Winner
Orioles/mets o9(-105)
__________________
John Misener
Whitesox Over 5 -110 1st 5
__________________
NBA
Triple Dime - Houston Rockets/Miami Heat Under 220 (Bookmaker)
Double Dime - Houston Rockets +5.5 (-125)
NHL Icecrusher - Triple Dime Vegas Golden Knights -150
MLB
Triple Dime - Tampa Bay Rays -150
Triple Dime - Houston Astros -130 (Game #1)
Double Dime - Cincinnati Reds -105
Dime Play - Philadelphia Phillies/Boston Red Sox Over 8 (Game #2)
__________________
Bryan Leonard
5% GOM - Angels -130
__________________
Inside the Puck Line
7 Unit Vegas/Dallas Under 5.5 goals
__________________
Stats Analytics Sports
1* Tigers/Brewers Under 9
1* LA Angels -1.5 runs
__________________
The Whales VIP Play
White Sox-130
__________________
Larry ness
Texas
__________________
AAA art aronson
10* Tampa bay-1.5
__________________
Stephen nover mlb
La dodgers -1.5
__________________
Sportsline Computer
MLB
Clev -210
Oak +1.5
__________________