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NCAAF Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Saturday 9/5/20

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(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 9/5/20

 
Posted : September 5, 2020 8:27 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
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237ARKANSAS ST -238 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 28-12 ATS (14.8 Units) as an favorite of 10.5-21 since 1992.

239SMU -240 TEXAS ST
SMU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) on the road when the total is 63.5+ in the last 3 seasons.

241MIDDLE TENN ST -242 ARMY
ARMY is 95-123 ATS (-40.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

 
Posted : September 5, 2020 8:31 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 1

Saturday, September 5

Middle Tennessee St @ Army

Game 241-242
September 5, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Middle Tennessee
75.413
Army
72.292
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 3
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 5 1/2
55
Dunkel Pick:
Middle Tennessee
(+5 1/2); Under

SMU @ Texas State

Game 239-240
September 5, 2020 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
SMU
80.980
Texas State
69.149
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
SMU
by 12
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
SMU
by 22
63
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+22); Over

Arkansas St @ Memphis

Game 237-238
September 5, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arkansas St
81.119
Memphis
92.461
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 11 1/2
72
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 20 1/2
69
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas St
(+20 1/2); Over

 
Posted : September 5, 2020 8:32 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (2 - 10) at SOUTHERN MISS (7 - 6) - 9/3/2020, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, September 5

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ARKANSAS ST (8 - 5) at MEMPHIS (12 - 2) - 9/5/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (10 - 3) at TEXAS ST (3 - 9) - 9/5/2020, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIDDLE TENN ST (4 - 8) at ARMY (5 - 8) - 9/5/2020, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday, September 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (7 - 6) at NAVY (11 - 2) - 9/7/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NAVY is 183-134 ATS (+35.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 183-134 ATS (+35.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 101-62 ATS (+32.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 69-44 ATS (+20.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 
Posted : September 5, 2020 8:33 am
(@shazman)
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Thursday’s game
South Alabama @ Southern Mississippi
— Southern Miss has been over .500 the last five years, losing three of their last four bowls; they’ve been minus in turnovers the last seven years (-60).
— Eagles have 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense. USM has a senior QB with 22 career starts; their offensive line has 93 career starts- 8 of their top 10 OL are juniors/seniors.
— Last three years, Eagles are 8-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.

— South Alabama has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; they’re 9-27 SU the last three years.
— Jaguars have a soph QB who started four games LY; their OL has 66 returning starts.
— Under coach Campbell, USA is 5-7 ATS as a road underdog.

These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

Saturday’s games
Arkansas State @ Memphis
— Arkansas State won its bowl LY after their coach’s wife died before the season started; they’re 47-30 SU in six years under Anderson.
— Red Wolves have 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense; their OL has 128 career starts, with all five starters back.
— ASU has both its QBs back from LY; Bonner played the first four games, hurt his thumb and won done for the year. Backup Hatcher played the last nine games, throwing 27 TD’s with 10 INT’s.
— Under Anderson, Red Wolves are 6-8 ATS as road underdogs.

— Memphis Tigers have a new coach, their OL coach the last three years. Their new DC is Mike MacIntyre, formerly a head coach at Colorado.
— Memphis has 6 starters back on offense, 6 on defense; their OL has 57 returning starts.
— Tigers have a senior QB who threw for 4,014 yards LY.
— Last two years, Memphis was 9-4 ATS as a home favorite.

These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

SMU @ Texas State
— SMU has 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense; they were 10-3 LY, their best season in a long time, but they lost their bowl game 52-28.
— Mustangs’ OL has 92 returning starts; they have a senior QB who has started 32 games, beginning his career at Texas.
— Last three years, SMU is 1-5 ATS as a road favorite.

— Texas State went 3-9 in Spivital’s first year as HC; they’ve got 8 starters back on offense, only 4 on defense.
— Bobcats’ OL has 71 returning starts, as they try to run the ball better this year. State has a junior QB who started 12 games LY, but they also have a Memphis transfer who was battling him for the starting job.
— Last four years, Texas State is 5-13 ATS as a home underdog.

Last year, SMU (-18) ran the ball for 390 yards in a 47-17 win over Texas State.

Middle Tennessee @ Army
— Middle Tennessee missed a bowl LY for first time in five years; they’ve got 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense from LY’s 4-8 team.
— Blue Raiders have 47 returning starts on their OL, but four returning starters; their junior QB started 12 games LY- he runs better than he throws.
— Since 2013, MTSU is 11-15-1 ATS as a road underdog, 4-5 the last two years.

— Army was 5-8 LY, after going 21-5 in 2017-18; Cadets have 5 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Cadets have returning starts on the OL, with two senior starters; their junior QB has five career starts.
— Last five years, Army is 9-15 ATS as a home favorite.

These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

Monday’s game
BYU @ Navy
— BYU is 27-25 in four years under Sitake; they’ve got 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
— Cougars’ OL has 110 retuning starts; their junior QB has 16 career starts but is no lock to keep the job- they used two other QB’s last year.
— BYU was 0-5 ATS as a road favorite LY; under Sitake, they’re 3-7 in that role.

— Navy went 11-2 LY, beat Kansas State in their bowl game; they’ve had 8 straight winning seasons.
— Middies have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; their OL has 29 returning starts- one of their linemen died in February. Navy will have a new QB this season.
— Last two years, Navy is 7-3-1 ATS at home.

These teams haven’t met in the last five seasons.

 
Posted : September 5, 2020 8:33 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 57748
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Topic starter
 

NCAAF

Week 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 3

Central Arkansas @ Alabama-Birmingham
Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Central Arkansas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

South Alabama @ Southern Miss
South Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games on the road
South Alabama is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 5 games
Southern Miss is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Friday, September 4

Colgate @ Western Michigan
Colgate
Colgate is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colgate is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games at home

Saturday, September 5

Eastern Kentucky @ Marshall
Eastern Kentucky
Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Eastern Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Marshall
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Marshall's last 8 games at home
Marshall is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Middle Tennessee @ Army
Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Middle Tennessee's last 10 games on the road
Army
Army is 20-2 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Army's last 5 games at home

Southern Methodist @ Texas State
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Southern Methodist's last 13 games
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas State's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas State's last 10 games at home

Houston Baptist @ North Texas
Houston Baptist
Houston Baptist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston Baptist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
North Texas
North Texas is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 7 games at home

Arkansas State @ Memphis
Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arkansas State's last 5 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Stephen F. Austin @ Texas El Paso
Stephen F. Austin
Stephen F. Austin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Stephen F. Austin is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas El Paso
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas El Paso's last 8 games at home

Monday, September 7

Brigham Young @ Navy
Brigham Young
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games on the road
Brigham Young is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Navy
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Navy is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

 
Posted : September 5, 2020 8:34 am
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