Friday 11/29/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & NBA games.
Bryan Leonard
friday big 12 power play
4% texas tech +9
__________________
Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
YESTERDAY 1:10 PM
ARKANSAS +12
MISSOURI @ ARKANSAS | 11/29 | 2:30 PM EST
There's not a lot to like about either of these downtrodden programs. but morale, home-field advantage and a handful of points favor the Razorbacks, whose spirits are a little higher following a reasonably respectable performance against top-ranked LSU following the dismissal of coach Chad Morris. The Tigers are still wondering what went wrong during a five-game skid in which they have scored 47 total points. They could get bowl-eligible with a win Friday but it won't come easy.
60-42-3 IN LAST 105 CFB PICKS | +1349
4-0 IN LAST 4 MIZZOU ATS PICKS | +400
2-1 IN LAST 3 ARK ATS PICKS | +92
__________________
Freddy Wills
Vtech -125 3.3*
__________________
Power Sports' *10* NCAAF GAME OF THE YEAR ~ NOON ET FRIDAY!
10* Virginia (12:00 ET): While much of the College Football world will be focusing in on the big Ohio State-Michigan game this weekend and whether or not the underdog can reverse an ugly series history in that particular rivalry, the same narrative also rings true here in the Commonwealth Cup. In fact, things have been even more one-sided here, if you can believe it. Virginia has lost to Va Tech a record 15 consecutive times with many of the recent battles being close. Last year's defeat was among the most painful as UVA blew a 4Q lead and fell in OT. Virginia came into this season w/ its eye on winning the ACC's Coastal Division. That goal will be accomplished if they can finally beat the Hokies. Despite the dreadful series history, there is some good news here for the Cavaliers. The game is in Charlottesville where they are a perfect 6-0 SU this season, winning by an average of 20 points per game. Their offensive output jumps up to 41.2 PPG here at Scott Stadium, which is well above what the average is on the road. The Hoos have been the most consistent Coastal team in 2019 and this is the first time they have been a home dog all season. The bad news is Virginia Tech comes in hot. The Hokies share the same records as UVA as both are 8-3 overall and 5-2 in conference. But the path Va Tech to get here is a little different. They've caught fire in the second half of the season, winning six of seven (only loss was by 1 pt @ Notre Dame) after suffering what was a humiliating 45-10 defeat to Duke in a Friday night home game. The Hokies are also on a 6-0 ATS run after starting 0-4 ATS. Because they're hot and have had Virginia's number, this number has already changed significantly from the time it opened. I keep coming back to "if not now, when?" for Virginia. My projections say they should be a 5-pt favorite here. I'll trust those numbers and the fact Va Tech has failed to cover 5 of its last 6 games w/ a line of 3 pts or less. 10* Virginia
__________________
FEZZIK | CFB SIDE FRI, 11/29/19 - 3:30 PM
332 Memphis -11.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 331 Cincinnati
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
The Power Ratings greatly favor Memphis here, AND the game means MUCH more to Memphis than Cincy AS WELL!!
Ve½gas is NOT pricing properly Cincy's lack of motivation in this game!
Pick Made: Nov 27 2019 12:43AM PST
__________________
Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
SportsLine's principal data engineer, Stephen specializes in sports simulations, projections and advanced statistical analysis. He is a co-founder of AccuScore. Stephen, whose NCAA Tournament upset bracket called 15 of the 26 double-digit seed upsets in the first round the past four years, is coming off a strong 2018 MLB season in which he returned more than $1,100 to $100 players. In the NFL, Stephen is up nearly $1,400 over the past three years.
TEXAS TECH +10
TEXAS TECH @ TEXAS | 11/29 | 12:00 PM EST
YESTERDAY 9:13 PM
I;m seeing a one-score game between these Big 12 rivals Saturday. The underachieving Longhorns have struggled to create separation against inferior opponents, and the Red Raiders have enough firepower on offense to keep pace. My projections see a one-score game and have the Red Raiders covering nearly 65 percent of the time. Take the points.
19-14 IN LAST 33 CFB ATS PICKS | +353
5-0 IN LAST 5 TXTECH ATS PICKS | +500
__________________
Marc Lawrence
CFB
Memphis -10.5
__________________
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 12:37 PM
UNDER 63.5
TEXAS TECH @ TEXAS | 11/29 | 12:00 PM EST
I have been riding the Tom Herman Texas Unders train for a while and I'm not getting off this week. In Texas' Big 12 games under Tom Herman the Under is a lovely 18-9. Also, while the Under is 4-5-2 in Texas Tech games, only three of Tech's games have gone over this total this season. Finally, the Under has hit in five of the last seven meetings.
42-30-4 IN LAST 76 CFB PICKS | +1219
4-1 IN LAST 5 TEXAS O/U PICKS | +289
__________________
Jack Winningham
NHL
Carolina -130
Toronto -150
__________________
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 12:39 PM
UNDER 44.5
IOWA @ NEBRASKA | 11/29 | 2:30 PM EST
It is going to be a miserable, wet, cold and windy day in Lincoln on Friday. I don't expect either offense to warm anything up, either. Nebraska's run defense has been a problem, but Iowa can't run the ball. Nor will the Iowa defense allow Nebraska to do much of anything.
42-30-4 IN LAST 76 CFB PICKS | +1219
__________________
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 12:35 PM
WEST VIRGINIA +13.5
WEST VIRGINIA @ TCU | 11/29 | 4:15 PM EST
In the College Football Playoff Era (since 2014) it has been profitable to fade the Frogs at home. They've gone 16-21 ATS at home, and 13-18 ATS as a home favorite. This spread is a little too large in this matchup against a West Virginia team that isn't good, but has improved as the season has gone along.
42-30-4 IN LAST 76 CFB PICKS | +1219
__________________
Freddy Wills
VTECH ML -140 3.5*
WASH -7 3.3*
__________________
Lee sterling
30 Texas tech
25 Memphis, Troy
__________________
nbaclub info
Memphis Grizzlies - Utah Jazz
Over 218
__________________
LV Wolf
wash st +7.5
over 63 Tex Tex tech
__________________
Root
Mill- Nebraska
No limit- COL ST
__________________
Chris "the Bear" Fallica ESPN Chalk
Friday:
Buffalo -28
Nebraska +5 1/2
Memphis -11
__________________
NCAA Football(Bob Balfe)VIP
12:00 PM EST
Rotation #315-316
Virginia +2 over Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech turned their season around better than just about any team in the country. Once this team stepped away from Ryan Willis they have really flourished on offense. The problem I see today is they may just be a little overvalued as Hendon Hooker doesn’t have many road games under his belt. Virginia’s Defense is familiar with a mobile QB every single day in practice with Bryce Perkins. This game is for all the marbles on who will play Clemson in the title game. Virginia is a team has not beaten Tech in over a decade. Every single player on the Cavs team is hungry for a win against their rival. Both teams have great defensive lines and are good for a lot of sacks. This is going to be a great battle. I believe Virginia has the advantage today with their senior quarterback playing at home. Never underestimate Head Coach Bronco Mendenhall. Take Virginia
__________________
Robinhood
Nebraska +5.5
And First Half
__________________
Miller locks
12:00 pm est ncaaf
virginia tech vs. Virginia
pick: Virginia +2.5 (-110)
risk: 11 units
2:30 pm est ncaaf
iowa vs. Nebraska
pick: Iowa -5.5 (+102)
risk: 11 units
3:30 pm est ncaaf
cincinnati vs. Memphis
pick: Memphis -12.5 (-109)
risk: 11 units
__________________
Rockdeman Sports (CBB Play of the Day (8-4 last 12)) - Coppin State +12
__________________
Bill Connelly
Virginia +2.5
__________________
Britney Deluca
Cfb:Over 61 central Florida-south Florida (all-star banger play 1200 units)
virginia +3
Over 57 Memphis-cincy game
NBA philly -7
Ncaa hoops over 134 DePaul-minny game
Added
Ncaa hoops
st Mary’s -3
purdue -3
florida st -1
__________________
ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Appalachian State/Troy UNDER 62.5 NCAAFB
__________________
INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* Kent State/E. Michigan UNDER 67.5 NCAAFB
3* Memphis-11.5 NCAAFB
3* Charlotte+7.5 NBA
__________________
NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* E.Michigan-4.5 NCAAFB
3* Nebraska+5.5 NCAAFB
3* Oklahoma City-4 NBA
__________________
Primetime Sports Picks For 11/29/19
4 Unit --> Eastern Michigan -4.5 over Kent St. (NCAAF)
3 Unit --> Washington St./Washington UNDER 63.5 (NCAAF)
3 Unit --> Boston -3.5 over Brooklyn (NBA)
__________________
Bezobets
3u Wash -7.5
3u Memphis -11
2u Virginia +3
2u TTech +10
2u UNC +2.5 (BBall)
__________________
sharp premium
Today’s action is showing four of the top bettors on Virginia at +3 and +2.5 with no one in the top 5 across two books on Virginia Tech. All four have some position on the moneyline as well in this game. So since the game has no contradiction, it means that Virginia +2.5 qualifies as a Premium Play
__________________
Bondi
3* Virginia, Texas
__________________
PickersMx
La Barba
60 Dimes
Iowa -5.5
Lady Pickers
80 Dimes
Duke -23
Mushu
100 Dimes
Boise State -14
__________________
Sports Unlimited/Marco
3% Boise State-14
__________________
Northcoast
3* Miami Ohio +3’
3* Memphis -12’
marquee Arkansas St
3* Over 52 Bowling Green / Buffalo
marquee Under 44’ Iowa / Nebraska
__________________
Maddux
10 Central Michigan -9.5
10 Missouri/Arkansas under 55
10 Nebraska +5.5
10 West Virginia/TCU under 45
10 Virginia +3
10 Memphis -10
10 Kent State +5
__________________
From Northcoast group of handicappers:
------------------------------------
Billy Coleman
NBA
3* #565 Atlanta +10.5
------------------------------------
__________________
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Friday, Nov 29 2019 3:30PM
332 Memphis -12.5(-108) Pinnacle vs 331 Cincinnati single-dime bet
Analysis: Cincinnati is already locked into the AAC Championship game but if they win here, they likely host Navy next week. Meanwhile if Memphis wins this game, they host Cincinnati again next week. We think Cincinnati is one of the most overrated teams in the country. They have been out-gained in 6 of their last 7 games, but yet have won all 7! They were -151 yards vs East Carolina, -160 yards vs USF (USF missed 4 FG’s!) and -100 yards vs Temple last week (blocked PAT return TD the difference). Cincinnati is 4-0 in games decided by 3 points or less! This could easily be a 3 or 4-loss team.
__________________
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Friday, Nov 29 2019 2:30PM
328 Nebraska 5.0(-110) William Hill vs 327 Iowa single-dime bet
Analysis: Nebraska needs a win to get to bowl eligibility which would be huge for Scott Frost in his 2nd year. The Huskers are off their best performance of the season, a blowout win at Maryland and the game before vs Wisconsin, they had a misleading loss (493-482 yard edge). That premium you were paying on an over-hyped Nebraska team all season is now gone after starting 1-9 ATS. Meanwhile, Iowa is “leaking oil” as they were -178 yards vs Wisconsin (only lost by 2), -141 yards vs Minnesota (won by 4) and last week were +2 in TO’s vs Illinois but still couldn’t cover.
__________________
Friday, November 29, 2019
Premium Plays
Paul Leiner:
2500* CFB Iowa -4.5
100* CFB Over 44.5 Miami/Duke
100* CFB Virginia Tech -2.5
__________________
Tom Stryker
BLACK FRIDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL 3-TEAM POWER PARLAY
Virginia
Missouri
Nebraska
__________________
Top Consensus Sports
BLAZER:
3 Texas Tech +8.5
3 Ball St -3.5
NORTHCOAST:
3 Miami OH +3.5
3 Memphis -12.5
Top Opinions:
Arkansas St -11
Kent St +4.5
Buffalo -29
Regular Opinions:
USF +23.5
Arkansas +12.5
Colorado St +13.5
Appalachian St -13
Texas Tech +10
West Virginia +13.5
Washington -7
Had To Pickem:
Virginia Tech -2.5
Iowa -5.5
Central Michigan -10
PROBABILITY:
3 Washington -6.5
__________________
Maddux
Adding
10 Appalachian State -12
__________________
Ultra Sports 11/29
Memphis
Virginia
__________________
Bill Marzano
TEMPLE -4
TEMPLE VS TEXAS A&M | 11/29 | 2:00 PM EST
12:18 PM
Temple is a really good team and took Maryland to the wire despite a horrible game shooting from its leading scorer. The Owls are deep and plenty talented enough to put a hurting on Texas A&M, which does not have nearly the depth or talent of Temple. The Aggies have dropped six straight games ATS. Take Temple.
23-13-2 IN LAST 38 CBB PICKS | +852
MICHIGAN +4.5
MICHIGAN VS GONZAGA | 11/29 | 2:00 PM EST
12:14 PM
Michigan is the better team, and this is a game the Wolverines can win outright. They have a lot of depth and plenty of experience. Meanwhile Gonzaga was lucky to get by Oregon last night. Michigan is better defensively than the Ducks, and the Wolverines can shoot better from beyond the arc. Take Michigan.
23-13-2 IN LAST 38 CBB PICKS | +852
PITTSBURGH -123
PITTSBURGH @ COLUMBUS | 11/29 | 7:00 PM EST
12:12 PM
This has been a one-sided series dominated by the Penguins, who have won nine of the last 10 meetings and the last one 7-2. The Penguins are banged up and missing Sidney Crosby (groin), but haven't really skipped a beat, having won three straight and registered a point in six straight. Matt Murray continues to play well in net.
6-3 IN LAST 9 NHL ML PICKS | +239
MIAMI -11.5
GOLDEN ST. @ MIAMI | 11/29 | 8:00 PM EST
12:10 PM
The Heat have been dominating at home, posting a 7-0 record both straight up and ATS, outscoring their opponents by 18 per game. The Heat are allowing just 100 points per game overall at home. The Warriors are just 2-8 on the road this year and getting outscored by almost 12 per game and still too banged up to be competitive on a nightly basis.
8-4 IN LAST 12 NBA ATS PICKS | +363
4-0 IN LAST 4 MIA ATS PICKS | +400
OHIO ST. -27.5
MORGAN ST. @ OHIO ST. | 11/29 | 9:00 PM EST
12:09 PM
This game is a mismatch, and the score will reflect that in the end. The Buckeyes are a really good team and solid defensively, allowing just 52.0 points a game and outscoring opponents by 24.3 points per game. The Buckeyes are shooting 48.8 percent from the field while holding their opponents to 32.2 percent from the field and 28.9 percent from long range. Morgan State has lost three straight, and one of those losses was to Liberty, 89-48. Look for a similar score here. Take the Buckeyes.
23-13-2 IN LAST 38 CBB PICKS | +852
2-1 IN LAST 3 OHIOST ATS PICKS | +90
L.A. CLIPPERS -6
L.A. CLIPPERS @ SAN ANTONIO | 11/29 | 8:30 PM EST
12:08 PM
The Spurs are struggling right now to say the least, having dropped five straight at home and eight straight in this series. This is a big game for Kawaii Leonard, who returns to San Antonio. The Spurs are just 1-9 ATS at home this year and really struggling defensively ,allowing 115 points per game overall. The Spurs are 0-6 ATS their last six games vs the West.
8-4 IN LAST 12 NBA ATS PICKS | +363
CINCINNATI +12.5
CINCINNATI @ MEMPHIS | 11/29 | 3:30 PM EST
11:42 AM
This is a lot of points to be giving a very dangerous Bearcats team that has won nine straight games since a Week 2 loss at Ohio State. The winner of this game will host the AAC Championship game. The Bearcats are already in the Championship game, so I do expect Memphis to win but much closer than this number suggests. The Bearcats are allowing 19.9 points per game on the season (23rd in the nation) and have 23 takeaways (seventh). Weather could be a factor, and Memphis was 0-3 last year in the rain. Take Cincy.
25-16 IN LAST 41 CFB PICKS | +712
__________________
Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
11:40 AM
OVER 44.5
IOWA @ NEBRASKA | 11/29 | 2:30 PM EST
Nebraksa has had its offense going the past two weeks and will look to finish strong in this rivalry game. The Hawkeyes remain balanced and potent on offense and should be able to get theit share of points too. Barring an unforeseen defensive masterpiece by both clubs, this one should clear the Over with room to spare.
60-42-3 IN LAST 105 CFB PICKS | +1349
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
YESTERDAY 12:39 PM
UNDER 44.5
IOWA @ NEBRASKA | 11/29 | 2:30 PM EST
It is going to be a miserable, wet, cold and windy day in Lincoln on Friday. I don't expect either offense to warm anything up, either. Nebraska's run defense has been a problem, but Iowa can't run the ball. Nor will the Iowa defense allow Nebraska to do much of anything.
42-30-4 IN LAST 76 CFB PICKS | +1219
__________________
Greg Shaker cbb
3 Arizona under 148.5
2 Utah jazz over 219
__________________
Ken Thompson
3 unit Memphis -11
__________________
Point Train. 10 star GOY. Memphis
__________________
Executive Sportsline
Fri, Nov 29
2:30
CFB
250%
Missouri -13'
over Arkansas
4:00
CFB
250%
Washington -7
over Wash St
__________________