Monday 11/18/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & NBA games.
Monday’s college basketball
Wm & Mary won its first four games, three of which were on road, but only one was against a top 200 team (won 80-79 at #125 Wofford); Tribe starts three seniors, is experience team #53- they’ve made 40.2% of their 3’s so far. W&M has two starters back from LY’s 14-17 team that went 10-8 in CAA. Oklahoma won its first three games, beating top 100 teams Minnesota/Oregon State away from home; Sooners play only one senior, are experience team #253 that has three starters back from LY’s 20-14 team that went 7-11 in Big X.
Pitt split its first four games, beating Florida State, losing to Wast Virginia, and also splitting pair of games with stiffs; Panthers are experience team #316 that is playing pace #337- they start three sophs, two juniors, have three starters back from LY’s 14-19 team that went 3-15 in ACC. Monmouth lost its last thee games after an opening win at Lehigh; Hawks lost by 55 at Kansas Saturday, after losing by 19 at K-State. Monmouth starts two sophs, two juniors, is #164 experience team that has four starters back from LY’s 14-21 team that went 10-8 in MAAC.
West Virginia won its first two games, beating Akron by 10, Pitt by 15; Mountaineers start three sophs, one frosh, have a 6-9 freshman who may grow into quite a force. WVU is experience team #281 whose bench plays minutes #28- they’ve got four starters back from LY’s 15-21 that went 4-14 in Big X. Northern Colorado lost by 24 at Texas, by 5 in OT at Northern Iowa- they beat two stiffs by 22-66 points. Bears start four sophs, one senior- they’ve got four starters back from LY’s 21-11 team that went 25-5 in Big Sky, but got beat in first round of Big Sky tourney.
NC-Greensboro split its first four D-I games, losing to Montana State Saturday when a kid drained a 50-footer at the buzzer; Spartans lost by 12 at Kansas, have a couple of 30-point wins over stiffs. UNCG is experience team #172 whose bench plays minutes #33- they’ve got three starters back from LY’s 29-7 team that went 15-3 in SoCon and made NIT. Appalachian State split its first four D-I games, losing by 8 at Michigan, by 3 to Montana State; Mountaineers are experience team #115 that starts couple of seniors, couple of sophs.
Evansville won its first two D-I games by total of 7 points, beating Ball State by 4, winning at Kentucky by 3 as a 25-point underdog; Purple Aces are experience team #137 that starts two sophs, two juniors- they’ve got three starters back from LY’s 11-21 team that went 5-13 in MVC. Evansville made 88.9% of its FT’s so far, best in country. SMU scored 77 ppg in beating three stiffs to start the season, with #219 Jacksonville State best team they’ve beaten; Mustangs are experience team #241 that starts two sophs, three juniors.
Middle Tennessee won its only D-I game by 3 at Lipscomb, when they made 13-30 on arc, took only 27 2’s- they beat couple of non-D-I teams; Blue Raiders are experience team #251 that starts three juniors, one senior- they’ve got three starters back from LY’s 11-21 team that went 8-10 in C-USA. Coastal Carolina lost its first two D-I games, both by a point to Campbell and Northern Kentucky; they pounded a D-III team. Chanticleers are experience team #174 that starts two sophs, two juniors- they’ve got 3 starters back from LY’s 17-17 (9-9 in Sun Belt) team.
Illinois lost by 21 at Arizona eight days ago, after beating Nicholls State by 8 in OT, winning by 12 at Grand Canyon; Illini turned ball over 26.9% of time so far- they’re experience team #218 that starts two sophs, one frosh- they’ve got four starters back from LY’s 12-21 team that went 7-13 in Big 14. you’re reading armadillosports.com. Hawai’i won three of four home games to start season (vs schedule #325)- they’re on mainland for first time this year. Rainbows are #89 experience team that doesn’t sub much- they start two juniors, two seniors.
Missouri won two of first three games, losing last game in OT at Xavier after they led by 5 with 4:01 left- best team they’ve beaten is #136 Northern Kentucky, by 15. Mizzou is experience team #277 that starts three juniors, plays only one senior- they’ve got three starters back from LY’s 15-17 team that went 5-13 in SEC. Wofford lost by 19 at Butler after losing by point at home to Wm & Mary- they beat High Point by 28. Wofford is experience team #81 that starts couple of seniors, two juniors- they’ve got two starters back from LY’s 30-5 team (18-0 in SoCon).
South Dakota scored 81.5 ppg in winning its first four games, with #180 Hawai’i its best win and also its only true road win. Coyotes have made 56% (42-77) of their 3’s so far- they’re experience team #12 that starts four seniors, one junior- they’ve got four starters back from LY’s 13-17 team that went 7-9 in Summit. SIU-Edwardsville lost by 27 at Iowa, by 13 at home to Valparaiso, then beat Incarnate Word by hoop. Cougars have made only 24.1% of heir 3’s so far- they’re #133 experience that starts three seniors and a junior.
Utah State scored 87 ppg in winning its first four games, making 38.8% on arc; none of teams they beat are ranked above #230. Aggies are favored to win Mountain West- they’re experience team #153 that starts two juniors, coupe of sophs- they’ve got four starters back from LY’s 28-7 team that went 15-3 in MW, and made NCAA’s. Tex-San Antonio lost its first four games, giving up 80.8 ppg; their eFG% is #303 in country. Roadrunners lost by 18 at Oklahoma, best team they’ve played. UTSA is experience team #107 that starts three juniors, two seniors.
Colorado beat Arizona State by 10 over in China, then beat San Diego by 18 Saturday; Buffs made 42.5% of their 3’s but turned ball over 21.8% of time so far- they’re experience team #108 (#2 in continuity) that starts three juniors, two sophs. Colorado has all five starters back from LY’s 23-13 team that went 10-8 in Pac-12. Cal-Irvine is already playing its 4th road game, losing by 4 at Pepperdine, winning at Boise/San Diego. Anteaters are experience team #149 that starts four seniors, one junior- they’ve got two starters back from LY’s 31-6 team (15-1 in Big West).
TCU made 18-38 on arc (17-30 inside arc) in its 98-65 home win over Air Force, in its only D-1 game Tuesday. Horned Frogs are experience team #207 that starts two seniors, two sophs- they’ve got two starters back from LY’s 23-14 team that went 7-11 in Big X and lost in NIT semis. Air Force won two of first three games, beating rival Army in West Point by 12 Tuesday; Falcons are experience team #10 that starts three seniors, one junior- they’ve got all five starters back from LY’s 14-18 team that went 8-10 in Mountain West.
UCLA won its first three games by 14-16-17 points, forcing turnovers 22.4% of time while playing pace #325, typical Cronin stats. Bruins made 38.9% of their 3’s so far; they’re experience team #287 that starts a frosh, two sophs- they’ve got two starters back from LY’s 17-16 team that went 9-9 in Pac-12 after they got Alford fired. Southern Utah won at Nebraska in OT, then lost by 5 at BYU; Thunderbirds are #65 experience team that has made only 11.4% (4-35) of its 3’s so far- they start three juniors, two seniors, have 4 starters back from LY’s 17-17 team that went 9-11 in Big Sky.
Hank Goldberg
Kansas City -3.5
Kansas City @ L.A. Chargers | 11/18 | 8:15 PM EST
Philip Rivers is such a statue, and he'll get blitzed a lot by K.C. Andy Reid is encouraged that he might get two offensive linemen back. Patrick Mahomes is disappointed because he had to settle for field goals last week. Look for a huge performance as the Chiefs cover.
Larry Hartstein
Kansas City -3.5
Kansas City @ L.A. Chargers | 11/18 | 8:15 PM EST
The Chargers are allowing opposing QBs to complete 71 percent of their throws. While the Chiefs' offensive line is getting healthier, it appears L.A. will be missing three starters up front. The Chargers' O-line issues were evident in Week 10 when Oakland sacked Philip Rivers five times and intercepted him three times. Andy Reid is 23-2 straight-up in his last 25 games versus division foes. Back K.C. to bounce back from its fluky loss in Tennessee.
36-19-2 IN LAST 57 NFL ATS PICKS | +1490
4-1 IN LAST 5 LAC ATS PICKS | +291
2-1 IN LAST 3 KC ATS PICKS | +90
Mike Tierney
UNDER 52
Kansas City @ L.A. Chargers | 11/18 | 8:15 PM EST
With QB Patrick Mahomes back, Kansas City’s total points average crept back into the 50s. That’s too high for this matchup in Mexico against the league’s fifth-ranked pass defense. Los Angeles allows south of 20 points per game and has landed Under seven times in its last nine contests. Chargers QB Philip Rivers has been erratic and his receivers get little separation, so the team could hew to the ground game.
8-3-1 IN LAST 12 NFL O/U PICKS | +470
11-8-1 IN LAST 20 KC O/U PICKS | +236
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Virgobbi Sports
Week 11:
LAC +4 (-113)
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pointwise phones
2 Kansas City
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Marc Lawrence
Monday Night Magic Perfect Play!
Chargers
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Tom Stryker
11-0 ATS NFL RARE MONDAY NIGHT PERFECT PLAY
Chiefs
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PARLAY WINNERS
MONDAY FOOTBALL PLAYS
Play Los Angeles Chargers +3.5 over Kansas City (NFL Football)
Los Angeles has covered the spread in 76 of the last 131 games after covering the spread in two of the last three games and they have covered the spread in 62 of the last 110 games when playing as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.
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R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
5:08 PM
KANSAS CITY -4.5
KANSAS CITY @ L.A. CHARGERS | 11/18 | 8:15 PM EST
It now looks like the Chargers will be down two tackles in this matchup with Russell Okung downgraded to doubtful on Sunday. On the flip side, the Chiefs will have both their starting tackles on the field for the first time in weeks. That should open up the Chiefs offense by giving Patrick Mahomes more time to throw, while it'll be tougher for the Chargers to stay close if the Chiefs pass rush can pin its ears back in the second half. This is a critical game for Kansas City after an uneven run in recent weeks has turned the AFC West into a battle heading into the stretch.
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nbaclub info
Toronto Raptors - Charlotte Hornets
Over 216
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MTI
4.5-Star Bucks at Bulls UNDER 220
4.5-Star Timberwolves at Jazz UNDER 219.5
4-Star Cavs at Knicks UNDER 209
4-Star Spurs at Mavericks OVER 225
4-Star trailblazers at Rockets OVER 231.5
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CleInsiderSports (3-1 yest)
NFL
Pass
NBA
Rockets -7.5
NCAAB
Coastal Carolina -3
NHL
Capitals ML (-230)
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ELITE SPORTS PICKS
Dallas Mavs-4.5
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
4* TCU-15
3* Toronto Raptors-9
3* Chargers+4.5
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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Mid Tennessee St+2
3* Milw Bucks-7
3* Chargers/Chiefs UNDER 52.5
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Primetime Sports Picks For 11/18/19
4 Unit --> T.C.U. -15 over Air Force (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> South Dakota -16.5 over SIU-Edwardsville (NCAAB)
3 Unit --> Kansas City/L.A. Chargers UNDER 52.5 (NFL)
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Dave Essler
3* Bucks Under 229
1* West Virginia -15 1/2
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Philly Godfather The Eight Ball paid plays 11-18-19
565 Portland O/229.5
558 New York U/210
560 Brooklyn -2 First half
560 Brooklyn U/220
572 Suns -3
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newworldinsiders
CHICAGO INSIDER: Hawaii +15.5
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#1 Sports NFL Football Selections for Monday, Nov 18th
500,000* MNF "South of the Border" Super Lock of the Year!!!!!
Los Angeles Chargers + 4 1/2
1 Sports NBA Basketball Selections for Monday, Nov 18th
500,000* NBA Basketball Central Division Lock of the Month!!!!!
Milwaukee Bucks - 7 1/2
1 Sports NCAA Basketball Selections for Monday, Nov 18th
500,000* Monday Night NCAA Baskets Super Lock Blowout!!!!!
TCU Horned Frogs - 15
The Stratosphere Release for Monday, November 18th
The Stratosphere Release!!!!!
Boston Celtics + 3 1/2
over
Phoenix
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Master Sports
NCAA BK
3* #7556 Auburn -15.5
SHARP TOTALS CLUB (8-4 on Season)
2*Northern Colorado/West Virginia Under 144
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Worlds Worst Picker CBB
His picks
E ville
Hawaii
Texas San Antonio
We take
SMU
Illinois
Utah st
Fade was 7-3 this weekend in college basketball it’s been doing pretty good
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Miller locks
7:30 pm est ncaab
high point vs. Belmont
pick: Belmont -25 (-104)
risk: 11 units
8:00 pm est ncaab
colgate vs. Auburn
pick: Auburn -16 (-111)
risk: 11 units
8:15 pm est nfl
kansas city chiefs vs. Los angeles chargers
pick: Kansas city chiefs -4 (+103)
risk: 11 units
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Poer Plays 10* Top total Bulls under NBA
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Dave Aquino
Nov18 - NFL: chiefs/chargers over 53
Nov18 - NHL (home): Arizona -1 (+124), Washington -1 (-117)
Nov18 - NHL (totals): kings/coyotes under 5.5
Nov18 - NBA: New York -5, Milwaukee -8.5
Nov18 - NCAAB (totals): Charleston Southern/Michigan State under 142
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Carmine Golden
5 Units Pure Gold Los Angeles Chargers +5
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Marco
2% KC/Chargers Over
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Executive
200%
KC - 51/2
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Bill Marzano
WASHINGTON -1.5
ANAHEIM @ WASHINGTON | 11/18 | 7:00 PM EST
3:28 PM
The Capitals lead the NHL in wins, points and goals. Goalie Braden Holtby is 9-0-1 in his last 10 starts, while Ducks goalie John Gibson is just 1-2-2 with a 3.44 GAA in his career versus Washington. The Caps have lost three straight meetings, so expect them to be more than ready for this matchup. Play Washington on the puck line at +111.
12-7-1 IN LAST 20 NHL PICKS | +477
AUBURN -16.5
COLGATE @ AUBURN | 11/18 | 8:00 PM EST
3:25 PM
Auburn has won 15 of its last 16 games dating back to last season, and the Tigers are averaging 86 points. Colgate is horrible defensively and simply overmatched here. Lay it.
16-6-2 IN LAST 24 CBB PICKS | +933
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Stephen Oh
BOSTON +3.5
BOSTON @ PHOENIX | 11/18 | 9:00 PM EST
4:26 PM
My model says the Celtics cover the spread 67 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value playing Boston at this point spread. The Celtics had their 10-game winning streak halted Sunday in Sacramento but are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 on the road against teams with winning records. The underdog has covered in each of the last seven meetings between the Celtics and Suns. Take Boston and the points.
3-1 IN LAST 4 PHO ATS PICKS | +189
MILWAUKEE -8.5
MILWAUKEE @ CHICAGO | 11/18 | 8:00 PM EST
4:01 PM
My model says that the Bucks cover the spread 68 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value playing Milwaukee at this point spread. The Bucks have won seven of eight after splitting their first four games this season. Milwaukee is riding a seven-game winning streak against Chicago that includes a nine-point triumph at home on Thursday. The team also is perfect ATS in its last six trips to the Windy City.
4-0 IN LAST 4 CHI ATS PICKS | +400
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Michael Rusk
UNDER 145
HAWAII @ ILLINOIS | 11/18 | 8:00 PM EST
6:27 PM
It wasn't until the start of this season that Illinois proved to have such a scoring presence. This amount is a bit high, considering Hawaii has had an average total of 130.83 in its last six games as at least a five-point underdog. With this sample size, there is no reason to think this total isn’t well over what it typically should be. I see the total being in the 130s on Monday night.
3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS | +186
SMU +2.5
SMU @ EVANSVILLE | 11/18 | 7:00 PM EST
6:19 PM
A classic overreaction line still carrying over from the Kentucky win for Evansville. SMU would have been the favorite had this game been the season opener for both. The Mustangs have failed to cover in each of their first three contests and are getting a great price on Monday night. SMU consistently has a tougher strength of schedule and shouldn’t be fazed by Evansville's fluke win over Kentucky last week.
3-1 IN LAST 4 CBB PICKS | +186
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Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
2:33 PM
HOUSTON -7.5
PORTLAND @ HOUSTON | 11/18 | 8:00 PM EST
The Rockets have won seven straight and James Harden is in an unbelievable groove. Clint Capela and Danuel House are expected back in the lineup for Houston. Back the home team to cover for the seventh time in the last nine Trail Blazers-Rockets games.
5-3 IN LAST 8 NBA ATS PICKS | +173
7-1 IN LAST 8 HOU ATS PICKS | +590
13-9 IN LAST 22 POR ATS PICKS | +314
Tom Fornelli
#TRUSTTHEPROCESS
1:35 PM
HOUSTON -7.5
PORTLAND @ HOUSTON | 11/18 | 8:00 PM EST
I wish I had been able to jump on this line before it moved, but I still like the Rockets here. This Blazers team struggles to find offense so badly that it went out and signed Carmelo Anthony in 2019. That's the only thing I need to say.
2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA PICKS | +89
2-1 IN LAST 3 HOU ATS PICKS | +87
4-3 IN LAST 7 POR ATS PICKS | +69
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Micah Roberts
FORMER VEGAS Bookmaker
3:11 PM
UT-SAN ANTONIO +19.5
UT-SAN ANTONIO @ UTAH ST. | 11/18 | 9:00 PM EST
Utah State is going to be in the NCAA Tournament and the Aggies have a great roster. They’ve won all four games this season (2-2 ATS), but I think they’ll be pressed to cover the big number tonight against Texas-San Antonio, which has failed to win or cover a game this season. The backcourt duo of Jhivan Jackson and Keaton Wallace both averaged 20 ppg last season and return. It’s in their guard play that I trust to get the cover Monday.
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Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
6:44 PM
CHICAGO +8.5
MILWAUKEE @ CHICAGO | 11/18 | 8:00 PM EST
The Bulls fought the Bucks to the wire in their meeting last Thursday, getting within three in the final 2 minutes before Milwaukee pulled away and won by nine. Milwaukee appears to have matchup issues with Zach LaVine and rookie Coby White, both of whom had monster games. Six Bulls also scored in double figures. The road-strong Bucks have won six of their last seven away from home. They might do so again Monday, but Chicago should have an improved effort coming off its loss to Brooklyn.
13-2-1 IN LAST 16 NBA ATS PICKS | +1082
5-0 IN LAST 5 CHI ATS PICKS | +500
Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
4:01 PM
MILWAUKEE -8.5
MILWAUKEE @ CHICAGO | 11/18 | 8:00 PM EST
My model says that the Bucks cover the spread 68 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value playing Milwaukee at this point spread. The Bucks have won seven of eight after splitting their first four games this season. Milwaukee is riding a seven-game winning streak against Chicago that includes a nine-point triumph at home on Thursday. The team also is perfect ATS in its last six trips to the Windy City.
4-0 IN LAST 4 CHI ATS PICKS | +400
Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
12:11 PM
MILWAUKEE -8.5
MILWAUKEE @ CHICAGO | 11/18 | 8:00 PM EST
The Bucks haven’t been slowed down by Khris Middleton’s thigh injury. He missed both of their last two games - a nine-point win over Chicago and a 19-point victory against Indiana. The Bulls have been an embarrassment of late as their most recent loss was Saturday's six-point setback against Brooklyn, which was without Kyrie Irving (shoulder) and Caris LeVert (thumb). This is a big line, but I think the Bucks win going away, so I’ll take them to cover.
6-4 IN LAST 10 CHI ATS PICKS | +159
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Jack Winningham
NCAABB
Kentucky -25
NFL
Chargers +6
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