Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Sunday 11/10/19
Week 10
Chargers (4-5) @ Raiders (4-4)— Chargers won last two games after a 2-5 start; they outrushed Green Bay 159-45 LW, first time since Week 2 they ran for 100+ yards. Bolts held last two foes (Chi-GB) to two TD’s on 19 drives; they split four road games TY, seven of their last eight games stayed under the total. Under Lynn, LA is 4-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or fewer points, 0-2-1 TY. Oakland covered four of last five games, won two of three SU at home; four of their last five games went over. Raiders allowed 24+ points in six of its last seven games. Chargers won last four series games, last three by combined score of 76-26; they won 17-16/20-6 in last two visits to Oakland.
Chiefs (6-3) @ Titans (4-5)— Mahomes (knee) may return here; check status. Chiefs are 4-0 SU on road, 2-3 at home TY; they’re 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as a road favorite, 3-1 TY. KC has only one takeaway in its last three games and scored only 22 points in last six red zone drives. Tennessee won its last two home games by total of 7 points; their home losses are by 2-7 points. Titans covered four of last six games as a home underdog; all three Tannehill starts went over. Tennessee won last three series games, winning last meeting 22-21 in a 2017 playoff game at Arrowhead. This is KC’s first visit to Nashville since ’13. AFC West teams are 14-12 ATS outside the division, 2-2 as road favorites; AFC South teams 13-11 ATS, 8-5 as an underdog.
Bills (6-2) @ Browns (2-6)— Cleveland lost its last four games, giving up 28.5 ppg; they lost all three home games SU, by 30-7-4 points. Browns are 0-3 in games decided by 7 or less points, 5-11 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite, 0-2 TY. Buffalo is 19-12-2 ATS in last 33 games as a road underdog, 2-0 TY; they’re 3-0 SU on road, last of which was in Week 5. Bills were held to 10-13 points in their two losses; six of eight Buffalo games stayed under the total. Buffalo won four of last five series games; last four meetings were all decided by 10+ points. Bills lost two of last three visits to Dawg Pound. AFC East underdogs are 4-6 ATS outside the division, 2-3 on road; AFC North home favorites are 0-8 ATS outside the division.
Cardinals (3-5-1) @ Buccaneers (2-6)— Tampa Bay is 4-15-1 ATS in its last 20 games as a home favorite; Bucs’ coach Arians faces his old team (49-30-1 from 2013-17) here- this is Tampa Bay’s first home game since Week 3. Bucs lost their last four games overall, giving up 33.8 ppg- they scored 32.8 ppg in five games where they turned ball over less than two times. Cardinals covered four of last five games, three of four road games; they haven’t turned ball over at all (+4) in their last five games. Redbirds are 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen games as a road underdog, 3-1 TY. Arizona won last three series games, winning last one 38-33 two years ago. NFC West road underdogs are 7-1 ATS outside their division.
Giants (2-6) vs Jets (1-7)— This is both teams’ home field; not much to choose from here. Giants turned ball over three times in their 37-18 home loss to Dallas Monday nite; they’ve coughed ball up 16 times (-5) in their last six games, are 1-4 SU on this field, with only win over Washington. Three of their last four games went over total. Jets lost last three games, by 33-14-8 points; they were outscored 64-19 in first half of those games. Gang Green has a -12 turnover ratio in last five games- five of their seven losses are by 14+ points. Giants won five of last six series games; two of last four meetings went to OT. NFC East non-divisional favorites are 3-7 ATS; AFC East non-divisional underdogs are 4-6 ATS.
Falcons (1-7) @ Saints (7-1)— Atlanta shuffled some assistant coaches during bye week, signed their 5th punter of year; not good. Falcons lost their last six games (1-5 ATS); they’re 0-4 SU on road, losing by 16-3-1-21 points- they’re 1-9 ATS in last ten games a road underdog, 0-3 TY. Three of their four road games went over total. New Orleans won/covered its last six games; Brees came back from injury last game and threw for 373 yards. Saints won last three series games, by 10-6-14 points; Falcons lost six of last eight visits to Bourbon Street, losing 23-13/31-17 in last two. Both teams are coming off a bye; Atlanta covered six of last eight post-bye games, New Orleans is 8-1-1 ATS in last ten post-bye tilts.
Ravens (6-2) @ Bengals (0-8)— Trap game for Ravens after they spanked Patriots LW. Rookie QB Finley gets his first NFL start here for winless Bengals; QB’s making their first career start this season are an amazing 9-1 ATS (5-4-1 SU). Ravens (-11) beat Bengals 23-17 at home four weeks ago, running ball for 269 yards- they outgained Cincy 497-250. Teams split season series last three years; Ravens lost six of last seven visits to Cincy. Ravens won last four games, scoring 25.3 ppg; they’re 7-12-1 ATS ij last 20 games as a road favorite, 1-1 TY- five of their last six games went over. Bengals are 0-3 SU at home, losing by 24-3-10 points; they covered one of last five post-bye games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.
Panthers (5-3) @ Packers (7-2)— Carolina won five of six Allen starts; they’re 2-1 SU in true road games, with only loss at 8-0 49ers- their last four games went over. Panthers are 13-7 ATS in last 20 games as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Packers had 4-game win streak snapped by Chargers LW; LA outgained them 442-184. Green Bay is 23-14-2 in last 39 games as a home favorite, 3-2 TY. Five of their last seven games went over. Since 2015, Packers are 13-15 ATS coming off a loss. Carolina won last two series games, 37-29/31-24; this is Carolina’s first trip to Lambeau in five years- they’re 2-4 SU in Green Bay. NFC South road underdogs are 5-7 ATS outside the division; NFC North home favorites are 5-5.
Lions (3-4-1) @ Bears (3-5)— Detroit had ball on Oakland’s 1-yard line at end of LW’s game, didn’t score and lost for third time TY by 7 or less points- only one of Lions’ eight games was decided by more than 7 points. Under Patricia, Detroit is 6-3 ATS as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Last six Detroit games went over the total. Bears lost last four games, outscored 48-19 in first half; they have one takeaway (-4) in last three games, after having 10 in first five games. Chicago is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite TY, after being 6-0 LY. Bears are 6-4-1 ATS in last 11 games with a spread of 3 or fewer points. Chicago swept Lions 34-22/23-16 LY, after losing nine of previous ten series games; Detroit lost two of last three visits to the Windy City.
Dolphins (1-7) @ Colts (5-3)— Indy QB Brissett has sprained MCL (check status). Miami led its last three games at halftime; they covered last four games, but have been outscored 136-25 in 2nd half of games this year. Dolphins are 5-13 ATS in last 18 games as a road underdog, 2-1 TY. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Colts had 3-game win snapped when they missed a 43-yard FG with 1:11 left; Indy won three of four home games, is 7-5-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite. Five of their eight games were decided by 3 or fewer points or in OT. Indy won six of last seven series games; five of the six wins were by 6 or fewer points. AFC South non-divisional home favorites are 4-5 ATS; AFC East underdogs are 4-6 ATS, 2-3 on road.
Rams (5-3) @ Steelers (4-4)— Steelers won last three games after a 1-4 start; they covered five of last six games, are 3-2 SU at home, with two losses by total of 5 points. Over last decade, Pitt is 9-4-1 ATS as a home underdog, 2-0 TY- they’ve had a positive TO ratio in their last seven games. LA won its last two games, converting 15-29 3rd down plays, after a 3-game skid when they were 7-31 on 3rd down. Rams are 10-6 as road favorites under McVay, 9-2-1 ATS in last 12 post-bye games, winning 51-17/30-16 in last two. Pitt won last three series games by combined score of 80-30; Rams lost five of last six visits to Steel City, with their last win here in ’03. AFC North home teams are 1-10 ATS outside their division; NFC West road favorites are 3-2.
Vikings (6-3) @ Cowboys (5-3)— Minnesota won four of last five games, losing on last-second FG at Arrowhead LW; Vikings are 6-10 ATS in last 16 games as a road underdog, 0-3 TY— they held six of eight opponents to 21 or fewer points. Cowboys scored 31+ points in all five of their wins, 10-24-22 in their losses. Dallas is 6-3-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home favorite, 3-1 TY; they ran ball for 189-172 yards in their last two games, both divisional wins. Three of last four games for both teams went over the total. Teams split last six series games, with last one in ‘16; Vikings split last six visits here, last of which was in ’13. NFC East teams are 9-14 ATS outside the division, 3-3 as HF; NFC North teams are 11-12-1 ATS, 2-3 as road underdogs.
Seahawks (7-2) @ 49ers (8-0)— Richard Sherman’s first game against his old team. Seattle won 10 of last 11 series games; their 26-23 OT loss here LY was their first loss in last five trips to Santa Clara. Unbeaten 49ers are 5-3 ATS this year, 2-1 as HF’s; five of their eight wins are by 13+ points- they held six of eight foes under 300 TY, holding five opponents under 250. Seattle rallied from down 21-7 LW to beat the Bucs in OT; Seahawks scored 28.5 ppg in winning all four of their road games; they’re 5-1-1 ATS in last seven games as a road underdog. 2-0 TY. Seattle ran ball for 145+ yards in four of last five games; they allowed 33-30 points in their two losses, giving up three defensive TDs and a punt return TD in those two games.
NFL
Long Sheet
Week 10
Thursday, November 7
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LA CHARGERS (4 - 5) at OAKLAND (4 - 4) - 11/7/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CHARGERS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS is 103-73 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
LA CHARGERS is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 54-85 ATS (-39.5 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 30-51 ATS (-26.1 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 40-82 ATS (-50.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA CHARGERS is 4-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CHARGERS is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Sunday, November 10
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KANSAS CITY (6 - 3) at TENNESSEE (4 - 5) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 118-157 ATS (-54.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BUFFALO (6 - 2) at CLEVELAND (2 - 6) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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ARIZONA (3 - 5 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 6) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NY GIANTS (2 - 7) at NY JETS (1 - 7) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 39-65 ATS (-32.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 57-34 ATS (+19.6 Units) in road games off a division game since 1992.
NY JETS are 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY JETS are 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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ATLANTA (1 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (7 - 1) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BALTIMORE (6 - 2) at CINCINNATI (0 - 8) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CAROLINA (5 - 3) at GREEN BAY (7 - 2) - 11/10/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 113-84 ATS (+20.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 197-142 ATS (+40.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 73-47 ATS (+21.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 120-89 ATS (+22.1 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DETROIT (3 - 4 - 1) at CHICAGO (3 - 5) - 11/10/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 54-80 ATS (-34.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 2-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MIAMI (1 - 7) at INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 3) - 11/10/2019, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANAPOLIS is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA RAMS (5 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 4) - 11/10/2019, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 72-105 ATS (-43.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 82-55 ATS (+21.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LA RAMS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MINNESOTA (6 - 3) at DALLAS (5 - 3) - 11/10/2019, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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Monday, November 11
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SEATTLE (7 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (8 - 0) - 11/11/2019, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-11 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
SEATTLE is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NFL
Week 10
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Trend Report
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Thursday, November 7
Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
Oakland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Oakland's last 16 games at home
Oakland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Chargers
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Oakland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
LA Chargers is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Chargers's last 8 games
LA Chargers is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
LA Chargers is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games on the road
LA Chargers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Oakland
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
LA Chargers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Sunday, November 10
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 13 games
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
Chicago is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Chicago is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Detroit
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit
Detroit Lions
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 4-8-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Detroit is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Detroit is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
New Orleans is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Atlanta is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Orleans
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Atlanta is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tennessee is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games at home
Tennessee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Tennessee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Kansas City's last 14 games on the road
Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Baltimore is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cincinnati
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 6-18-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland's last 24 games at home
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Buffalo is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games on the road
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games
NY Jets is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 6 games
NY Jets is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
NY Jets is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
NY Jets is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
NY Jets is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
NY Jets is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Giants is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
NY Giants is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
NY Giants is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road
NY Giants is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
NY Giants is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Jets
NY Giants is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Tampa Bay's last 22 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing Arizona
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Arizona is 3-9-1 SU in its last 13 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games when playing Tampa Bay
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 6 games
Indianapolis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games at home
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Indianapolis is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Indianapolis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Miami Dolphins
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games
Miami is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 12 games on the road
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indianapolis
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games
Green Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Green Bay is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 20 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
LA Rams is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Rams's last 7 games
LA Rams is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
LA Rams is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Rams's last 8 games on the road
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
LA Rams is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
LA Rams is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
LA Rams is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 11 games
Dallas is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Dallas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games at home
Dallas is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Dallas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games
Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
NFL
Dunkel
Week 10
Thursday, November 7
LA Chargers @ Oakland
Game 107-108
November 7, 2019 @ 8:20 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
134.505
Oakland
130.969
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 3 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
Pick
48
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
Over
Sunday, November 10
Baltimore @ Cincinnati
Game 261-262
November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
134.439
Cincinnati
127.788
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 6 1/2
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 10
46
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+10); Under
Kansas City @ Tennessee
Game 251-252
November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
136.827
Tennessee
129.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 7
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 4
48
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-4); Over
Arizona @ Tampa Bay
Game 255-256
November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
126.803
Tampa Bay
128.994
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 4 1/2
52 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+4 1/2); Under
Detroit @ Chicago
Game 265-266
November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
129.906
Chicago
129.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
Even
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
by 3
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+3); Under
Atlanta @ New Orleans
Game 259-260
November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
122.507
New Orleans
139.694
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 17
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 12 1/2
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-12 1/2); Over
Buffalo @ Cleveland
Game 253-254
November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
129.831
Cleveland
129.355
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
Even
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+3); Under
NY Giants @ NY Jets
Game 257-258
November 10, 2019 @ 1:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
122.287
NY Jets
117.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Giants
by 5
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Giants
by 1 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(-1 1/2); Over
Miami @ Indianapolis
Game 267-268
November 10, 2019 @ 4:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Miami
123.576
Indianapolis
130.333
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indianapolis
by 7
39
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indianapolis
by 11
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+11); Under
LA Rams @ Pittsburgh
Game 269-270
November 10, 2019 @ 4:25 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
134.742
Pittsburgh
133.838
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Rams
by 1
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Rams
by 4
45
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+4); Under
Carolina @ Green Bay
Game 263-264
November 10, 2019 @ 4:25 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
133.861
Green Bay
135.198
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 1 1/2
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 5 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Carolina
(+5 1/2); Under
Minnesota @ Dallas
Game 271-272
November 10, 2019 @ 8:20 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
137.255
Dallas
134.726
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+3); Under
Monday, November 11
Seattle @ San Francisco
Game 273-274
November 11, 2019 @ 8:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
130.856
San Francisco
141.428
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 10 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 6
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-6); Over
Hot & Not Report - Week 10
Matt Blunt
Week of November 4th
Admittedly it was nice to take a minor step back from the chaos that is football season the past two weeks with looks at what was going on in the MLB and NBA. Last week's piece dealt with the two teams that squared off in the NBA Finals last year and discussed how both the Warriors and Raptors will likely be great long term fades this year.
Since that piece went up, Toronto's posted a 2-1 record both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS), while the Warriors went 1-3 SU and ATS. Not exactly the best results, but not exactly the worst results either on a blind theory that can be continually used and considered for the next few months.
Today it's back to the football field though, as the NFL dominates this industry and that's where people want to ingest their information. And while it would be easy to include the fact that home teams on US soil have gone a perfect 12-0 ATS in Week 9, that's not where I'm going at all. That's not really actionable information going forward in my view, and you've got to trust the Giants to continue that run tonight on MNF. Not something I'm interested in.
Instead, it's a look at a couple of trends that should at least be considered for a few games over the next two weeks in the NFL, as it deals with teams in the following game after a trip to London. There is always a lot of chatter about theories for what to take for those London games, but never much about the return trip home. Hopefully these streaks can help you break down those return games a little better.
Who's Hot
Taking 'overs' for NFL teams in their first game back after a London game: 8-2 O/U last two years; including 4-0 O/U this season.
Taking 'overs' in London games tends to be a popular refrain, but it's actually the following game for these teams that is the better time to look that way. The 'over' is 8-2 in post-London games the past two years, with the average total points being scored clocking in at 53.9 points per game. Not one of those games has finished with fewer than 42 points in that span, and if you are looking for team totals, the post-London team averages 24 PPG themselves in this role. In eight of those 10 games they've put up at least 23 points as well.
You can break it down even further in terms of being home or away in these post-London games as well, with teams at home going a perfect 3-0 O/U the past two years, and road sides going 5-2 O/U. In Week 10 we've got one team that fits each scenario, as the Cincinnati Bengals are at home hosting a Ravens team that's coming off a huge SNF win over New England, while the Los Angeles Rams are out on the road visiting Pittsburgh. And we can't leave out in Week 11 that Houston's on the road in Baltimore, while Jacksonville's on the road against Indianapolis. So we might see a few more Ravens game sail 'over' the number in the coming weeks like last night's win over the Patriots did.
In terms of finding tangible reasons why these 'overs' after a London game are coming in, the most obvious would be that these teams are rested and prepared as they are coming off a bye in every instance.
Having two weeks to prepare for a team in the NFL is a distinct advantage as long as coaching staffs and players make the most of their time, and generally speaking it will show up on the offensive end. After all, the name of the game is to score more points then the other guy, so you might as well spend more of your prep time trying to do that.
In terms of this year's numbers alone, three of the four teams coming off a London game have seen their next contests finish with 60+ points, and only the Carolina Panthers managed to put up fewer then 23 points themselves. However, even with these high point totals and teams scoring 24 points per game on average, that doesn't necessary equate to SU or ATS wins the following game as...
Who's Not
NFL teams in a post-London game are 3-6-1 SU and ATS the past two seasons; 0-3 ATS at home and 0-4 ATS in 2019
This was the more surprising part of the findings when backtracking this stuff, as you would think a post-bye scenario would lead to teams putting up more wins they they are. The fact that not one of these post-London teams has come close to covering the spread this year was very surprising, but still not as bad as the fact that three of the four of them had lost that following game by double-digits. Chicago got smoked at home by New Orleans (36-25), Oakland got smoked by Green Bay (42-24), and Carolina got smoked by San Francisco (51-13). If that pattern holds true in Week 10, you've got to figure that Cincinnati Bengals fans should probably get into the hard liquor rather early next Sunday with Baltimore coming to town.
Furthermore, if you take the push out of the equation (Jacksonville's 29-26 loss @ Indianapolis last year as +3 road dogs), all the other nine games are correlated in that the point spread hasn't mattered. Pick the SU winner and the ATS victory follows, and all three of the SU and ATS winners closed as either pick'em or underdogs – Seattle at (+3) in Detroit in Week 8 of 2018, LA Chargers at (pk) in Seattle in Week 9 of 2018, and Tennessee (+4.5) at Dallas in Week 9 of 2018 as well.
Only the Bengals are underdogs this week and it's tough to see them winning SU vs Baltimore, especially when all three of those previous winners were out on the road. That's where the Rams find themselves this week, but they are currently laying chalk (-4), but keep this in mind for Week 11 when the Jaguars and Texans are both out on the road and likely both catching points against Indy and Baltimore respectively.
Do with this information what you will, but don't be surprised if these four post-London games over the next two weeks have some points being put up.
NFL's Top ATS Teams:
t1. Saints 6-2 ATS
t1. Rams 6-2 ATS
t3. Patriots 6-3 ATS
t3. Packers 6-3 ATS
t3. Cardinals 6-3 ATS
t6. 49ers, Bills, Panthers, Cowboys, Raiders, & Steelers Tied at 5-3 ATS
NFL's Worst ATS Teams:
t28. Jets 2-6 ATS
t28. Falcons 2-6 ATS
t28. Buccaneers 2-6 ATS
t28. Browns 2-6 ATS
t28. Bears 2-6 ATS
t26. Redskins 3-6 ATS
t26. Giants 3-6 ATS