Saturday 10/12/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Kenny Walker
Oct 12 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | South Carolina vs Georgia
Play on: Georgia -23 -110 at Bovada
Free Pick on Georgia
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Bobby Conn
Oct 12 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Temple
Play on: UNDER 50½ -110
1* Free Play on Memphis/Temple under50½ -110
Two of the top teams in the American Athletic Conference are set to face off this weekend as the #23 Memphis Tigers (5-0) put their undefeated record on the line against the Temple Owls (4-1). The over/under is set at 50.5 points.
Memphis has run the table through five games of the season, taking down the likes of Ole Miss and Navy along the way. The Tigers have given up more than 24 points just once this year.
On average, Memphis is scoring 40 points per game on 461 yards of offense while allowing just 19 points per game on 325 yards. Through the air, the Tigers are allowing an average of just 146 passing yards per game.
Although Temple was able to take down #21 Maryland and Georgia Tech, the Owls fell to Buffalo 38-22 in the team’s lone loss of the season. Temple hasn’t allowed more than 22 points in any game this season.
On average, the Owls are scoring 30 points per game on 444 yards of offense while allowing 17 points per game on 292 yards.
Offensively, Temple features a strong run game led by Re’Mahn Davis, who has 503 yards and four touchdowns through five games.
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Stephen Nover
Oct 12 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Temple
Play on: Temple +4½ -105 at YouWager
What tips the scale and puts me on Temple is the Owls' home field, their balanced attack that can keep the Tigers' high-powered attack off the field and their strong defense, which is the best Memphis has seen all season. Temple is 4-1 with its lone loss coming on the road to Buffalo. It was the only time the Owls have given up more than 17 points this season. The Owls rank 10th in pass defense and are in the top-20 in fewest yards and points. Memphis ranks 93rd in run defense. The Owls have won their last seven home games, covering six of them. Temple plays on grass, which is an off-surface for Memphis. This will be the Tigers' first game on grass this season. They are 7-18-1 ATS the past 26 times when playing on grass. The Tigers may not play as fast on grass as they do on turf. Temple has a wild-card going, too, in Isaiah Wright. He's the reigning American Athletic Conference Special Teams Player of the Year and a dangerous kickoff returner.
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Sal Michaels
Oct 12 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | South Carolina vs Georgia
Play on: Georgia -23 -110 at Bovada
Free Play on Georgia -23 -110
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Cole Faxon
Oct 12 '19, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Bowling Green
Play on: OVER 64 -109
FREE PLAY on Toledo/Bowling Green over 64 -109
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Jack Jones
Oct 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Iowa State vs West Virginia
Play on: Iowa State -10 -110 at Pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Iowa State -10
The Iowa State Cyclones should be 5-0. But since they are not, I believe they remain undervalued. They blew late 4th quarter leads to both Iowa and Baylor and lost those games by a combined 3 points. If they hold both of those leads, they are 5-0 and getting a lot more national attention, and thus more respect from the betting public.
I was on Iowa State last week for many of the same reasons. They delivered in one of the most impressive performances of the entire college football season. They beat TCU 49-24 as 3-point home favorites. That’s a TCU team that has an elite defense year in and year out, and scoring 49 points against a Gary Patterson-coached defense is no small feat.
The Cyclones have posted elite numbers this year. They are averaging 37.6 points, 487 yards per game and 7.1 yards per play. They are only giving up 22.2 points, 348 yards per game and 4.7 yards per play. They are outscoring their opponents by 15.6 points per game, and outgaining them by 139 yards per game and 2.4 yards per play. That’s one of the best yards per play differentials in the entire country, and it’s one of the most important stats in handicapping any football team.
West Virginia is in a rebuilding year under first-year head coach Neal Brown. They only returned nine starters this year and lost a couple starters prior to the season. They have done a good job of getting to 3-2, winning close games over James Madison (20-13) and Kansas (29-24), as well as their most impressive win over NC State (44-27).
However, when the Mountaineers have stepped up in class against teams of Iowa State’s caliber, they have been blown out. They lost at Missouri (7-38) and at home to Texas (31-42) last week. I think it will be tough for them to get back up off the mat after that loss to Texas, a Longhorns team that was clearly looking ahead to the Red River Rivalry against Oklahoma. Iowa State won’t be overlooking WVU, not with two losses already this season.
West Virginia didn’t come out of that game against Texas unscathed, either. They lost two of their top three receivers in Sean Ryan and Sam James to injury. Ryan had five receptions for 70 yards while James had six receptions for 66 yards and a score against Texas before exiting. James leads the team with 32 receptions for 329 yards and two touchdowns this season, while Ryan has 15 receptions for 168 yards on the year. Losing two of their biggest playmakers will make it very difficult for the Mountaineers to move the football against one of the best defenses in the Big 12 in Iowa State. They won’t have the firepower to keep up on the scoreboard.
We saw last year Iowa State shutting down a much more potent WVU offense in a 30-14 home victory. That game was an even bigger blowout than the final scored showed. The Cyclones had 498 yards of total offense in the win, and they held Will Grier and company to just 152 yards and nine first downs. They outgained the Mountaineers by 346 yards and obviously should have won by even more than they did. This 2019 version of WVU is nowhere near as good as that one, while the Cyclones are even stronger than they were last year with 16 returning starters.
Iowa State is 10-1 ATS after covering the spread in three of its last four games over the last three seasons. Matt Campbell is 11-1 ATS in October games as the coach of the Cyclones, and they are hitting their stride this month once again. Iowa State is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 conference games. The Mountaineers are 7-23-2 ATS in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Iowa State Saturday.
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Mike Williams
Oct 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Texas Tech vs Baylor
Play on: Baylor -10 -110 at 1BetVegas
1* on Baylor -10 -110
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Dustin Hawkins
Oct 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs Nevada
Play on: San Jose State +1 -105 at Bovada
1 Dimer on San Jose State +1 -105
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Sean Murphy
Oct 12 '19, 6:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | UAB vs UTSA
Play on: UAB -12 -108 at Pinnacle
Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on UAB minus the points over UTSA at 6 pm et on Saturday.
UAB didn’t have to be great to earn a win last week as it hosted one of the nation’s weakest teams in Rice. The Blazers essentially sleepwalked through the first quarter of that game before turning on the jets and brushing aside the Owls by a 35-20 score. Now the Blazers know they’ll need to be sharper as they hit the road to face 2-3 Texas-San Antonio on Saturday. The Roadrunners two previous wins have come against FCS squad Incarnate Word and most recently against 1-4 UTEP last week. The win against UTEP came on the strength of a 189-yard rushing day from RB Sincere McCormick but don’t count on a repeat performance here as he had gained just around 250 yards through the first four games. There’s no real look-ahead at play for UAB here as it will host lowly Old Dominion next week. A win here would give the Blazers a nice opportunity to become Bowl eligible well before the end of October. Note that UAB rolled past UTSA by a 52-3 score in last year’s meeting. Take UAB (10*).
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Bryan Leonard
Oct 12 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Ole Miss vs Missouri
Play on: Missouri -11½ -110 at jazz
154 Mississippi at Missouri
While the Rebels have played a 9 point tougher FBS schedule, we find value on the host. From a game score perspective Missouri is 14 points better than Ole Miss. The Tigers have a 2.32 yards per play advantage as opposed to the 0.36 advatage for the visitor. The Missouri defense has been very good against the pass, and we have major concerns about this Mississippi passing game.
PLAY MISSOURI
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Info Plays
Oct 12 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Ole Miss vs Missouri
Play on: UNDER 57 -105
1* FREE INFO PLAY on Ole Miss vs Missouri under 57 -105
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Totals Guru
Oct 12 '19, 7:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Ole Miss vs Missouri
Play on: OVER 56 -109
Free Total Annihilator On Ole Miss vs Missouri over 56 -109
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Alex Smart
Oct 12 '19, 7:30 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Navy vs Tulsa
Play on: Tulsa +1 -109 at Pinnacle
Last week Navy was in a war with Air Force and after a building a DD lead, and had to eventually come from behind with a late score to win it 34-25, and will now be in a huge emotional let down spot vs a Tulsa team that is up trending. Meanwhile, HC Montgomery had his team up 30-9 last week on the road before losing in OT to a high powered SMU side. Instead of being downtrodden Im expecting this to buoy the confidence of the Canes and for them to come out here and finish the job here this week vs a viable but vulnerable opponent.
Midshipmen are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.Midshipmen are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Midshipmen are 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 games in October.
Golden Hurricane are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.Golden Hurricane are 14-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Golden Hurricane are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
Play on Tulsa to cover
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Brandon Lee
Oct 12 '19, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Florida vs LSU
Play on: LSU -13½ -110 at sportsbook
10* FREE NCAAF PICK (LSU -13.5)
I got no problem laying the double-digit spread with LSU at home this Saturday. Not many times you see a team ranked No. 7 in the country as a double-digit dog. While the public might not be all over the Gators here, they also aren't jumping on the Tigers.
I not only think LSU is the better team, but this is a brutal spot for the Gators off that physical game against Auburn. I know they beat Auburn pretty handedly, but I'm not so sure Auburn is as good as people thought they were.
I know the Gators defense is good, but they haven't seen anything close to the talent that LSU has on the offensive side of the ball. Florida is also a very limited offensive team and I don't see them keeping pace. The atmosphere for LSU home games at night is something special and I think the Gators will struggle to keep their composure.
Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 off a home win by 17 or more and 7-0 ATS at home in October under head coach Ed Orgeron. Also, home favorites of 10.5 to 21 that have outgained each of their last two opponents by 125+ yards and have an experienced QB are 44-17 (72%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me LSU -13.5!
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Jimmy Boyd
Oct 12 '19, 10:05 PM in 11h
NHL | Flyers vs Canucks
Play on: Canucks -110 at BetOnline
1* Free NHL Pick on Vancouver Canucks -110
Great value here with the Canucks at basically a pick'em at home against the Flyers. Vancouver opened the season with back-to-back road losses, but got back on track with a 8-2 win over Los Angeles in their home opener.
I look for the Canucks to bring that same energy on their home ice Saturday night. As for the Flyers, I think they could be running on empty in this one. Philadelphia open the season overseas in Prague, then returned to the U.S. to play their home opener and they won that 4-0 in a very spirited effort. Now they are back on the road for a 3-game trip that starts in Canada.
Just think it will be really hard for the Flyers to match the intensity of Vancouver in this one. I like the Canucks to win this one rather convincingly. Take Vancouver!
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Hunter Price
Oct 12 '19, 10:05 PM in 11h
NHL | Flames vs Golden Knights
Play on: Flames +130 at 5dimes
1* Free Pick on Flames +130
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Mike Wynn
Free Winner: Houston +7½ Over Cincinnati
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Saturday, October 12, 2019
10/12 04:30 PM PT / 7:30 PM ET
CF (199) USC VS (200) NOTRE DAME
Take: (200) NOTRE DAME
Reason: Your free play for Saturday, October 12, 2019 is in the College football scheduled contest between USC and Notre Dame. Your free play is on Notre Dame.
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SATURDAY: MICHIGAN -23 over Illinois
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Totals4U
Early Saturday's Free Selection: BYU/South Florida over 50
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Roz Wins
Roz's SATURDAY, October 12, 2019 Free Pick
10/12 04:30 PM CF (123) NAVY VS (124) TULSA
Take : Navy
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Atlantic Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Marshall - 15 1/2
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#1 Sports
Early Saturday's Free Selection: Eastern Michigan Eagles - 1 1/2
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Platinum Plays
Your Free Platinum Play: the South Florida Bulls +5½ over BYU
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play Saturday, October 12, 2019
10/12 12:30 PM CF (177) MICHIGAN STATE VS (178) WISCONSIN
Take : Michigan State
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Free Early Saturday Selection Is
MARYLAND -3½
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday : PENN ST -3½ over Iowa
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Maryland -3'
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Hawkeye Sports
Early Saturday's Free Pick: New Mexico State Aggies + 10
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Michigan -22'
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Arthur Ralph
FREE play Sat: Utah -14 CFB
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The Last Call
Saturday's Early Free Play: Nevada Wolfpack - 2 1/2
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Teyas Sports
FREE PICK 10/12/2019 EARLY FREE PICK GEORGIA-21 1/2
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: TEXAS TECH +11 over Baylor
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Saturday: Akron Zips + 14 1/2
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Kenny Towers
Your Free Pick for Saturday: Florida-Atlantic -11
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Vegas Investment Picks
MLB ST. LOUIS CARDINALS +125
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Tony Brown
Tony’s *5 Star NCAAF Free Pick
Memphis vs. Temple, 10/12/2019 12:00 EDT
Point Spread: +4½/-115 Temple
Sportsbook:
sportsbetting
Fp: owls have been lights out in AAC play with a 9-1 record including a perfect 7-0 at home dating back to last season. Games not played on paper but some stats can’t be ignored making temple my ncaa free pick !
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Chip Chirimbes
Chips FREE NCAA Best Bet Winner
BYU vs. USF, 10/12/2019 15:30 EDT
Point Spread: +5/-110 USF
Sportsbook:
BetOnline
Chips FREE NCAA Best Bet Winner
BYU at South Florida 3:30 ET
Bulls (+) over Cougars- Do you really think the Cougars hive a hoot about this trip and matchup in Tampa against South Florida. Bulls coach Charlie Strong once again is driving a program into the ground but BYU has no incentive here and the line reflects that. But, today, Chip's off of his SEC Game of Year win with Florida 24-13 and has a 'Guaranteed' Full-Slate Fab-5 today and for Sunday's NFL Game of the Year winner. After a disappointing loss at Toledo when they lost starting quarterback Zach Wilson to a thumb injury the Cougars will now start Jaren Hall their first black quarterback in school history. It won't be enough...Don't miss ANY of it and play take SOUTH FLORIDA!
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Brian Bitler
Brian’s 9* CFB No Non-Sense Winner
Nebraska vs. Minnesota, 10/12/2019 19:30 EDT
Point Spread: -7½/-103 Minnesota
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Minnesota comes into this game 5-0 and needing a big convincing win over Nebraska to get into the top 25 CFB rankings that they have been so far shut out of. Nebraska has under achieved all season and are off a blowout loss to Ohio State here. This line has been inflated and public bettors are flocking to the road team here as they perceive it as value. Look for Minnesota to run this game up and cover easily for us.
Cornhuskers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
Cornhuskers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Invest 9 units on Minnesota rotation #130
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Chase Diamond
Chase’s 8* CFB Power Move
Navy vs. Tulsa, 10/12/2019 19:30 EDT
Point Spread: +1½/-115 Tulsa
Sportsbook:
Bodog
This game features the 3-1 Navy and the 2-3 Tulsa. Navy off a huge emotional game versus rival Air Force and now have to take to the road to face a Tulsa team hurting after a overtime loss to SMU. Look for a bounce back game from Tulsa who’s roster I like better then Navy’s plus they are at home and we have heavy public action on the other side here. Take Tulsa 8* Winner
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Cameron Ross
Utah V. Oregon St.
Utah vs. Oregon State, 10/12/2019 20:00 EDT
Total: -110/+58½ Over
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Over 58.5
Two offensive minded teams here should run it up Saturday .Look for each team to touch or atleast flirt with 30 points .This one should be a for sure shootout from the jump and we are going to go with the over here .
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