Saturday 10/12/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 4:00PM
182 Nevada -3.0(-110) Pinnacle vs 181 San Jose St. triple-dime bet
Analysis: Just two weeks ago, we suffered one of the most embarrassing losses in my entire handicapping career. We gave out Nevada -2 vs Hawaii and they proceeded to lose 54-3. Now after that loss, we think we're buying Nevada stock low as they're off a bye, after head coach Jay Norvell had the following comments:
“It’s beyond disappointing and embarrassing to have that kind of performance,” said Norvell on Monday, less than 48 hours after a stunning 54-3 loss to the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in front of an ESPN2 nationwide audience and a dejected Homecoming crowd at Mackay Stadium.
“There’s a whole bunch of players and coaches over at Cashell Field House that got their eyes opened this morning,” Norvell said. “I guarantee you that.”
The Wolf Pack face what we feel is an overrated San Jose St team that benefited from +4 TO's vs Arkansas a few weeks ago, a very fortunate cover vs Air Force and +5 TO's vs New Mexico st
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Dave Essler
3* GOY
Arizona St -2
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Ralph Michaels
Game of the Month
Nevada Wolfpack (-3)
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+EV: CFB 4u: 157 Mississippi State Bulldogs -6.5 -105 (Saturday, October 12th)
+EV: CFB 4u: 149 Utah Utes -13.5 -112 (Saturday, October 12th)
+EV: CFB 4u: 140 Boise State Broncos -11.5 -105 (Saturday, October 12th)
+EV: CFB 3u: 119 Michigan Wolverines -21.5 -105 (Saturday, October 12th)
+EV: CFB 3u: 126 Oklahoma/Texas un75.5 -110 (Saturday, October 12th)
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Fezzik | CFL Total - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 4:00PM
693 MON / 694 WIN UNDER 48.0 Pinnacledouble-dime bet
Analysis: Weather Play UNDER here.
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NFAC
SATURDAY 10-12-19 =
UFC : LUIS PENA -165...($750) via Pinnacle
UFC : RYAN SPANN -140...($600) via 5dimes
UFC : MAX GRIFFIN -145...($600) via BetOnline
UFC : GERALD MEERSCHAERT +140...($600) via 5dimes
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Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 7:00PM
197 Fresno St. 3.5(-110) Westgate vs 198 Air Force double-dime bet
Analysis: We like the road dog here who has extra time to prep for the option. The Bulldogs are on a 10-1-1 ATS run as an underdog and there only two losses this season came against USC in the opener by 8 and in OT to an unbeaten Minnesota team. Meanwhile, Air Force is off an emotional loss to Navy last week. Navy only had a 376-354 yard edge but did out-rush Air Force 214-108 and had a 6.5-5.0 yards per play advantage. Air Force QB Donald Hammond was 10 of 25 for 205 yards and ran for 77 yards. Navy did score on a fumble return TD on the final play of the game. Outright upset!
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 7:30PM
204 Iowa 3.5(-110) Westgate vs 203 Penn St. double-dime bet
Analysis: Last week Penn St had 24-8 first down and 460-104 yard edges including 196-(-19) on the ground in their 35-7 win over Purdue. The Nittany Lions had 10 sacks, one shy of the program’s single-game record. On the other side, Iowa QB Nate Stanley had his worst game of his career throwing 3 INT’s and the Hawkeyes lost 10-3 at Michigan. Remember, coming into that game Stanley had thrown 60 TD’s and only 16 INT’s in his career and we expect a bounce back here. Penn St has not played a team in the Top 40 of our power ratings so far this season and their toughest opponent (Pitt) nearly beat them outright. We have a pair of top 5 defenses here and Iowa is 14-6-2 ATS (70%) as a home dog since 2000.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 12:00PM
128 Temple 5.5(-110) Westgate vs 127 Memphis single-dime bet
Analysis: Temple has a couple extra days to prep after a Thursday Night win at East Carolina. Temple had 29-21 first down and 490-327 yard edges including 237-98 on the ground but ECU got a back-door cover TD with :29 left. Meanwhile, ULM (Memphis’ opponent) had 30-25 first down and 575-535 yard edges in a 52-33 loss to Memphis last week. Memphis did have a 8.9-6.5 yards per play advantage but only led 39-33 with around 6 minutes left. While Memphis’ D is much improved this year, Temple still has the better D and is getting a TD at home. This total of only 50.5 (Memphis lowest this season) says this game will be lower scoring and that is in Temple’s wheelhouse.
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 12:00PM
126 Texas 11.0(-110) Westgate vs 125 Oklahoma single-dime bet
Analysis: Last week OU looked sluggish in a win over Kansas. Meanwhile, West Virginia had a 463-427 yard edge over Texas, but the Mountaineers were -3 in TO’s. Texas did have a 216-96 rushing yard edge. Yes, OU is No. 1 in the country in Yards Per Play Differential (+4.5). However, Oklahoma has not played a team in the Top 50 of our power ratings so far. Texas is 6-1 ATS vs Oklahoma in their last 7 meetings (all as a dog) and have covered those games by an average of 11.4 ppg. Texas head coach Tom Herman is 13-3 ATS in the underdog role in his career winning 10 of those games outright. If you go back to his days as an O.C. at Iowa St, the last 27 times Herman’s been a part of a coaching staff and in the underdog role, the teams are incredibly 24-3 ATS!
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Colin Cowherd’s Marquee 3 (1-2 last week, 6-9 overall)
Notre Dame -10
Iowa +3.5
LSU -13 (says his biggest college game of the year so far)
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Dr chuck
Navy
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+EV: CFB 4u: 145 New Mexico State Aggies +10.5 -113 (Buy Half Point to -115, otherwise play +10) (Saturday, October 12th)
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LV Wolf
under 24.5 AF 1st H
under 20 mich st 1st H
temple +6
iowa +4
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Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole
DOUBLE PLAYS:
Texas +10.5
Washington State +1.5
Utah -14
Michigan State +10.5
Army -4.5
SINGLE PLAYS:
Navy PK
Temple +5
Baylor -11
BYU -5
Hou +7.5
Florida +13
Texas A&M +17
UAB -12
FIU -5.5
Fresno +3.5
Iowa +3.5
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Ultra Sporta
126 Texas +10’
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+EV: CFB 4u: 122 Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6.5 -115 (Saturday, October 12th)
+EV: CFB 4u: 202 Clemson Tigers -26.5 -115 (Saturday, October 12th)
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Jeff Ma
Oklahoma
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+EV: CFB 4u: 123 Navy Midshipmen -1 -105 (Saturday, October 12th)
+EV: NHL 2u: 062 Los Angeles Kings +142 (Saturday, October 12th)
+EV: NHL 3u: 073 Winnipeg Jets +106 (Saturday, October 12th)
+EV: NHL 2u: 068 Detroit Red Wings +165 (Saturday, October 12th)
+EV: NHL 2u: 080 Colorado Avalanche -146 (Saturday, October 12th)
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ASA’s. 7 star TEMPLE
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Tom Stryker
44-18 ATS NCAA CONFERENCE BEST BET OF THE WEEK
Michigan State
47-14 ATS NCAA Highly Profitable System Play
Marshall
55-25 ATS Elite Info MAC Superplay
Ohio
14-1 ATS & 16-2 ATS NCAA Saturday Night Steamroller
Fresno State
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GIANNI THE GREEK formerly "vegas runner"
4% ARIZONA +7
3% ea:
TEMPLE +4.5
CINCY/HOUST U 52
ORE ST/UTAH UNDER 60
WISC/MICH ST UNDER 20 FIRST 1/2
LA TECH/UMASS OVER 62.5
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Dwayne Bryant
5% Army -4.5
3% Oklahoma -10.5
3% UAB -12
3% Penn State -3
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Mike Stone
"First ever no rating release to print money"
Texas +11
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Mike Jacobs
"Highest rating since 2008"
Florida +13.5
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SkyBluePicks
Michigan State +10
USC +11
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Root
Mill - LSU
No limit - Iowa
Perfect play - USC
INNER circle - Mich st
Pinnacle - Texas AM
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Strike Point Sports
**8-U NCAAF TOP PLAY SATURDAY**
GOY Texas +11
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California Sports
GOY
Nevada
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Bezobets
4* Mich St +10.5 -110
3* Iowa +4 -110
3* LSU -13 -105
2* Texas A&M +17 -105
2* USC +11 -106
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BILL MARZANO
Alabama has scored at least 42 points in every game this year and averages 51.8 points a game. Tua Tagovailoa has 23 passing touchdowns and zero interceptions. Meanwhile Texas A&M is averaging 32.8 points per game. Both quarterbacks are going to have big days in the passing game. Ole Miss put up 31 on this Bama defense, and the Aggies will find some holes too. Take the Over.
BILL MARZANO The Badgers are going to make a statement here. This is the most dominating defense right now. They will shut down a Spartans offense that has been inconsistent thus far. Michigan State's defense is always tough, but the Badgers have one of the best running backs in the nation in Jonathan Taylor, who is averaging 7.2 yards per carry. The Badgers will control the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football. Take Wisconsin.
BILL MARZANO Georgia Tech continues to be on top of my fade list as the Yellow Jackets are 0-5 against the spread this year. Their offense is among the worst in the FBS. They rank 124th (out of 130) in total yards, 125th in passing yards and 127th in points scored. They have been getting gashed on the ground, allowing a whopping 245.8 yards, which is 128th. Duke is playing well and averaging a robust 40.3 points in its last four games. Georgia Tech has lost both road games by average of 30.0 points. Take Duke.
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Shazzzz, Lookin for marc Lawrence false favorite ,if you can... Thanks ,your doing an awesome job brother...Con grats...
The Rooster's Moves
09-Oct-2019: 190 smiss-3-115 (1%)
09-Oct-2019: 194 FIU over 61 (2%)
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Philly GodFather
11-Oct-2019: CFB 145 New Mexico State over 57
11-Oct-2019: NFL 255 Seattle Seahawks Over 46
09-Oct-2019: CFB 204 Iowa +3.5
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allan desrosiers
25 nevada
10 asu
7 uab
7 teaer fla atl / c mich
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Sharp Totals Club
2*Tennessee Over
2*Wisconsin Under
2*Clemson Under
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Paul Leiner
2000* Wisconsin -10
100* Maryland -3.5
100* Duke -17
100* Over 47 Marshall/ODU
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nhl1x pro
Vegas Golden Knights , regular time
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Bob Balfe
BEWARE.. on the really bad run 3-11 last 14 paid plays
NCAA Football
12:00 PM EST
Rotation #125-126
Oklahoma -10 over Texas
NCAA Football
12:00 PM EST
Rotation #135-136
Maryland -3.5 over Purdue
NCAA Football
3:30 PM EST
Rotation #147-148
Arizona State -1 over Washington State
Arizona State/Washington State Over 61
NCAA Football
11:00 PM EST
Rotation #151-152
Arizona +6 over Washington
Arizona/Washington Over 59.5
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Maddux
10* Maryland -3
10* Oklahoma -9.5
10* Kent State/Akron over 54
10* Louisville +7
20* Oregon State +14/+15
10* South Carolina +25
10* Georgia State +4.5
10* Arkansas +7
10* USC/Notre Dame over 55.5
10* Northern Illinois/Ohio over 49.5
10* San Jose State +3.5
10* Hawaii +13
10* Washington/Arizona over 58
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Marquee Picks For 10/12/19
4★ Fresno St. +3 over Air Force (NCAAF)
4★ Memphis/Temple OVER 49.5 (NCAAF)
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TonyK 3G-Sports
5* LSU -13
4* Boise -12.5
4* West Virginia +10
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Brad Powers | CFB Total - Saturday, Oct 12 2019 12:00PM
117 Toledo / 118 Bowling Green UNDER 65.0 Westgate single-dime bet
Analysis: Weather forecast: 47 degrees and 14mph wind. Toledo games average 57.4 total ppg, Bowling Green games average 55.4 total ppg. How is this line so high?
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Warren Sharp
Four smaller CFB totals for now:
119 Michigan Over 48 (0.5 units)
125 Oklahoma Over 76 -115 (0.5 units)
147 Washington State Over 60 (0.5 units)
199 USC team total Over 22.5 -140 (0.75 units)
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winning sports plays
J.R. Stevens
(CFB - GAME OF THE YEAR)
[158] Houston +8/ML +250
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Marc lawrence
From vegas insider
TEXAS
TEX AM
IOWA
WASH ST
MICH ST
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Gold sheet
Iowa
texas
arizona
fla st
wyoming
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Northcoast
5* Florida Atlantic-11’
4* Army -4’
4* FIU -5
3* Texas +10’
3* Iowa +3’
3* Boise St -13
3* Arizona +6’
4* Under 47’ Old Dominon / Marshall
3* Over 61 Alabama/ Texas A&M
3* Over 54 Iowa St / West Virginia
3* Under 49’ Nebraska/ Minnesota
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pointwise phones
4- michigan st , texas
3- wake forest , UAB , florida, washington st , navy
2-houston , alabama , temple
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NFAC
full card
SATURDAY 10-12-19 =
UFC : LUIS PENA -165…($750) via Pinnacle
UFC : RYAN SPANN -140…($600) via 5dimes
UFC : MAX GRIFFIN -145…($600) via BetOnline
UFC : GERALD MEERSCHAERT +140…($600) via 5dimes
152) ARIZONA +7 (-120) – Buy 1/2 PT…($800) – BIG MOVE via Pinnacle
150) UNDER 60 UTAH-OSU…($600) via Pinnacle
128) TEMPLE +4.5…($600) via Pinnacle
171) UNDER 51.5 CINCI-HOU…($600) via Cantor
1778) UNDER 20 MSU-WISC (1st Half)…($600) via 5dimes
195) OVER 63 UMASS-LATECH…($600) via Pinnacle
206) SAN DIEGO ST -3.5…($750) via Pinnacle
197) FRESNO ST +3.5…($600) via Westgate
192) W KENTUCKY +5…($600) via Cantor
133) GEORGIA ST +4,5…($600) via Bookmaker
1133) UNDER 32 GEO ST-CC (1st Half)…($600) via Grande
184) TEXAS A&M +17…($500) Wynn & Bovada at 17.5
155) SOUTH CAROLINA +22…($500) via Cantor
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Primetime Sports Picks For 10/12/19
4 Unit Iowa +3.5 over Penn St. (NCAAF)
3 Unit Charlotte +5 over Florida International (NCAAF)
3 Unit Navy -1 over Tulsa (NCAAF)
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
5* Nevada-2.5
3* Iowa +3.5
3* LSU-13
3* Arizona+6.5
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ELITE SPORTS
Arizona UNDER 59
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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE
4* Fresno St+3
3* Texas+10.5
3* Army-4.5
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Tom Franklin Sportsmasters 10* Hawaii
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Bondi
7* Iowa
4* LSU
3* Temple, Utah
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Bryan Leonard
MLB PLAYOFF DIAMOND GEM
4%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals +131
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Jack Winningham
Mississippi St -6
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Miller locks
12:00 pm est ncaaf
rutgers vs. Indiana
pick: Indiana -27.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
12:00 pm est ncaaf
mississippi state vs. Tennessee u
pick: Mississippi state -6.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
3:30 pm est ncaaf
cincinnati u vs. Houston u
pick: Cincinnati u -7 (-113)
risk: 11 units
3:30 pm est ncaaf
michigan state vs. Wisconsin
pick: Wisconsin -10 (-109)
risk: 11 units
4:00 pm est ncaaf
iowa state vs. West virginia
pick: Iowa state -10 (-111)
risk: 11 units
4:08 pm est mlb
washington nationals vs. St. Louis cardinals
pick: Washington nationals (-139)
risk: 11 units
6:00 pm est ncaaf
uab vs. Utsa
pick: Uab -12 (-110)
risk: 11 units
7:00 pm est ncaaf
north texas vs. Southern miss
pick: Southern miss -3 (-108)
risk: 11 units
7:30 pm est ncaaf
penn state vs. Iowa
pick: Iowa +3.5 (-110)
risk: 11 units
8:08 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Houston astros
pick: New york yankees (+146)
risk: 11 units
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CleInsiderSports
MLB
Astros ML (-155)
NCAAF
Arizona +6.5
South Florida +4.5
Michigan State +10
NHL
Canucks ML (-115)
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Philly GodFather
11-Oct-2019: CFB 145 New Mexico State over 57
11-Oct-2019: NFL 255 Seattle Seahawks Over 46
09-Oct-2019: CFB 204 Iowa +3.5
Add a parlay of Navy, Tennessee and San Jose all ML.
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Lenny Stevens
20 Florida
20 Psu
10 mich st
10 Nevada
10 Wyoming
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Sports Unlimited/Marco
5% Washington State pk
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From Northcoast group of handicappers:
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Master Sports
MLB
4* #905/906 Washington/St. Louis OVER 7
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kelso
200-Unit COLLEGE GAME OF THE YEAR.
kent st
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Michal Rusk
NEBRASKA +7.5
NEBRASKA @ MINNESOTA | 10/12 | 7:30 PM EDT
THU 10/10
Nebraska opened as a small road favorite. Now this line has flipped to Minnesota being favored by more than a touchdown. The market is still taking into consideration the Huskers' embarrassing primetime loss to Ohio State two weeks ago. The public doesn’t forget that easily. But last season Nebraska thumped the Gophers by 25 points. There is too much cushion for the Huskers not to cover on the road Saturday night. Take Nebraska.
20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445
CONNECTICUT +34
CONNECTICUT @ TULANE | 10/12 | 3:45 PM EDT
THU 10/10
The last time these two teams faced each other, Tulane was just a 1-point favorite. This line is out of whack due to the fact that UConn has only covered twice in its last seven games while Tulane has covered five out of its last six. UConn has had an extremely tough season so far. But the Huskies are well groomed for a Tulane team that's not even borderline top-five in the AAC. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves here. Tulane wins convincingly, but not by five touchdowns.
20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445
AKRON +14.5
KENT ST. @ AKRON | 10/12 | 3:30 PM EDT
THU 10/10
Akron is one of the lonely four in college football that has yet to cover a game. As more than a two-touchdown underdog at home, Akron provides plenty of value on Saturday. The Zips haven't lost to Kent State since 2014. This line is a huge overreaction to their slow start this season. The hook on top of 14 makes it even more enticing. Akron keeps this one within two scores.
20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445
OVER 47.5
OLD DOMINION @ MARSHALL | 10/12 | 2:30 PM EDT
THU 10/10
Old Dominion is one of only four teams in college football that hasn't cashed an Over yet. This total, which opened at 43.5, is a huge misplay on Vegas’ end. Marshall hasn’t had a total this low since November of last year. Other than last week versus Western Kentucky, Old Dominion hasn’t had a total this low in more than five seasons. With both defenses ranking outside the top 50, I don’t see this total being an issue. Over is the play.
20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445
GEORGIA TECH +17.5
GEORGIA TECH @ DUKE | 10/12 | 12:30 PM EDT
THU 10/10
This is a classic case of a team that enters enemy territory in October without a cover on the season. Georgia Tech comes in as one of the least desirable teams in college football. That is why I am on the Yellow Jackets, who are grabbing just 37 percent of the bets. I am thrilled to fade the public in this spot. Let’s not forget that when these two faced each other last season, Georgia Tech was the favorite. That was also with Daniel Jones, now starting for the New York Giants, leading Duke. This is way too many points to pass up in this contest. Duke by single digits.
20-5 IN LAST 25 CFB PICKS | +1445
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UDog
San jose st
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Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 8:45 PM
E. MICHIGAN -1.5
BALL ST. @ E. MICHIGAN | 10/12 | 2:00 PM EDT
No other game on Saturday's college football schedule provides more value than this one, according to my model. Eastern Michigan is covering 70 percent of simulations, so you're getting excellent value here. Ball State's only wins this season have come against Fordham of the FCS and a bad Northern Illinois team. Eastern Michigan took out Big Ten member Illinois a month ago in Champaign. In addition, the Eagles have won the last three meetings, outscoring the Cardinals, 146-75, including a 42-20 blowout in Muncie last season. Take Eastern.
15-5 IN LAST 20 CFB ATS PICKS | +948
2-1 IN LAST 3 EMICH ATS PICKS | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 BALLST ATS PICKS | +90
Josh Nagel
SENIOR ANALYST
THU 10/10
E. MICHIGAN -1
BALL ST. @ E. MICHIGAN | 10/12 | 2:00 PM EDT
Eastern Michigan has been inconsistent and is coming off a no-show against Central Michigan. But the Eagles are one of the MAC West Division's better teams and should be a little bit more of a favorite against a Ball State club that could be in a letdown spot following its road win over Northern Illinois.
18-11-2 IN LAST 31 CFB PICKS | +580
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Executive Sportsline football
Sat, Oct 12
10:30
CFB
400%
S.Diego St -3'
over Wyoming
..
3:30
CFB
300%
Wash St pk
over Arizona St
4:00
CFB
300%
Baylor -10'
over Texas Tech
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Executive Sportsline baseball
Sat, Oct 12
4:10
250%
St.Louis +125
over Washington
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Goodfella
3* - Iowa
3* - StLouis Cards RL
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NFAC
MLB
Houston -150 1000
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charlie
east mich over 57
cinn over 51
clemson -27
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