Thursday 8/29/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NFL, NCAAF & MLB games.
Dave Cokin:
133 UCLA +3
144 BYU +6
__________________
Greg shaker
3*GOW
UCLA +3.5
__________________
Fezzik
3*gom
ucla +3
__________________
AJ HOFFMAN
3*
Texas state +34.5
__________________
HITMAN
2*
Jacksonville / Atlanta under 33
__________________
JR ODONNELL
3*
Texas state +33.5
__________________
KING CREOLE
2*
Cincinnati / UCLA under 59
__________________
+EV: MLB 4u: 908 Arizona Diamondbacks +178 (H Ryu | M Kelly) (Thursday, August 29th)
__________________
Alex B. Smith Sports
8/29 NFLX Minnesota -3
__________________
Brandon Watson (CFB - 3-0 Overall)
Cincinnati -136 (Moneyline)
BYU +6.5
__________________
Fezzik | NFL ML - Thursday, Aug 29 2019 8:00PM
ML 118 GBP (-145) Westgate vs 117 KAN double-dime bet
Analysis: Off a last second loss, a little extra GB motivation, AND a better late QB rotation.......
Fezzik | NFL ML - Thursday, Aug 29 2019 7:00PM
ML 103 MIN (-145) Pinnacle vs 104 BUF double-dime bet
Analysis: HUGE edge for Min at 3rd string QB with Sloter.
AND Zimmer is a great preseason coach, 17-7 ATS, 3-0 this year.
__________________
Megalocks
Texas St +33.5 (down to +31.5)
__________________
CleInsiderSports (2-2 L3 days)
MLB
A's ML (-220)
NFL
Giants +3
NCAAF
BYU +6.5
__________________
Vince Akins (1-1 yest)
MLB Trend Plays
2x Indians ML (-250)
Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9
Dodgers ML (-195)
__________________
Consensus (2-4 L3 days)
MLB
5u Twins/White Sox OVER 10
NCAAF
Cincinnati -2.5
__________________
Stats Analytics Sports (XNFL 3-5 ytd 38% (-2.36))..
XNFL
3* Titans/Bears Under 33
2* Titans +4
2* Cardinals +1
2* 49ers -3
1* Jaguars -3.5
__________________
Stats Analytics Sports
MLB
3* Dodgers/Diamondbacks Under 9
3* Giants/Padres Over 8
1* Mets -180
1* Rangers -160
1* Rockies -105
__________________
MLB BaseWizzard Plays:
ALL 1*
CIN -160
CIN/MIA OV 8 -130
__________________
BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (AUGUST 29)
The model has 3 sides and 3 total. There is 1 game with a side and total in the same game.
904 .5* CHC/NYM u7.5 -114
907 .67* LAD -190
908 .5* LAD/AZ u9 -114
909 .5* SDP -115
914 .33* KCR +164
915 .5* TB/HOU 8.5 +100
__________________
ROB VENO
BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (903) Chicago Cubs at (904) New York Mets
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Mets -1.5 (+115)
View Analysis
Game: (907) Los Angeles Dodgers at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-123)
__________________
DR. CHUCK BASEBALL PLAYS
Game: (913) Oakland Athletics at (914) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 1:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-110)
View Analysis
Bassitt v. Sparkman
1) wind blowing straight out at Kauffman today for a sweltering hot, humid, ball flying out day with 14mph winds.
2) Bill Welke is the home plate umpire today...and is as terrible for home teams as they come season...-10 Units and a full run more for the road team on average.
(Sidenote: the Over here and the A's were in a dead heat for the bigger play...but the Royals offense coming alive a tiny bit yesterday plus we should see all 18 at bats today and neither bullpen is very good...with the Royals being quite bad since 8/1)
3) No starter since the end of May (when he became a regular starter) has induced LESS swings and misses than ole Glenn on the mound for Ned Yost. He is bottom 10 inducing soft contact over the same period at just 11%...meaning 89% of the contact he allows (most of anyone) is medium to hard (both north of 40%!) and with these gusty winds today this isn't gonna be good against this nasty lineup! He also has a GB/FB ratio lower than all but a dozen starters in the league and a HR/FB ratio right near 20% or double the league average...with a BABIP well above .350!
4) Since 8/15 no team has takes better against RHP on the road than the A's with a .435 wOBA...even more dangerous against a pitcher with the wind in his face pitching to contact...fly ball contact at that...HRs might abound early...maybe often! They also have a .400 BABIP during that time and plays to another Sparkman disadvantage.
5) Chris Bassitt is certainly the better starter going today and has looked decent of late...and while most of the advantages lean toward the A's offense...he is right at the bottom of the league with just an 8% swing and miss rate...and while we hit with an easy BIG win early this week in this same matchup due to the Royals offensige futility...Bassitt might allow them to build on a smidge of the momentum they gained with a win last night to enable the possibility of a split today!
Runs should abound in the early innings on both starters and the A's should look more like they did on Monday with our rocking chair winner and hopefully do their part at making today's AS EASY!
Also recommend a play on the A's -1 if you can get it...at a play of 5% or damn close...1.5 could burn us like Tuesday.but worth a 3% play or so if all can find. ML is worth a big look as well but the price is (justifiably) gross...
Game: (913) Oakland Athletics at (914) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 1:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Oakland Athletics -1.0 (-121)
View Analysis
Bassitt v. Sparkman
Extensive analysis in 5% play...or with All Access - use discount code MLB99 at checkout
wind + Sparkman + Welke + A's on the road off a loss is the basis
Game: (917) Minnesota Twins at (918) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Total Under 6.0 (-101)
View Analysis
Berrios v. Cease
Joe West is the crux of this bet today...as he is an Under champ umpire behind the plate. He is 7-17 O/U overall and 3-11 when 2 right handers face off as well as 3-9 O/U in the AL...meaning the addition of a DH on both ends does not inhibit his ability.
I have faith in Berrios and the issue will most likely be Dylan Cease...who is a young rookie struggling to keep some consistency in his starts...in fact having his worst start facing these Twins....turns it around today with a swirling right to left strong wind making things tough more on the hitters early than the pitchers
Game: (911) Cleveland Indians at (912) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: Aug 29 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Cleveland Indians -0.5 (-145)
View Analysis
Clevinger v. action
__________________
Norm Hitzges
Ravens -6
UCLA +3
__________________
Master Sports (via Northcoast)
3* Cubs w/ Lester +165
__________________
Miller locks
7:00 pm est ncaaf
ucla vs. Cincinnati
pick: Cincinnati -2.5 (-112)
risk: 11 units
7:10 pm est mlb
cincinnati reds vs. Miami marlins
pick: Cincinnati reds -1.5 (+103)
risk: 11 units
8:00 pm est ncaaf
georgia tech vs. Clemson
pick: Georgia tech +37 (-111)
risk: 11 units
10:15 pm est ncaaf
utah vs. Byu
pick: Byu +6.5 (-105)
risk: 11 units
__________________
Platinum sports picks.
Utah -6.5
__________________
Nevada sports group.
Minnesota v SDSU under
Bills v Vikings under
__________________
Green Bay Monster sports 45-30 on top rated plays 10-6 on max plays 12-4 on heavy leans - heavy lean white Sox + 1.5 runs +110 heavy lean over white Sox 10
__________________
Wayne Root-
No limit Utah
Mill- UCLA
__________________
Chinese Syndicate
UCLA +3.5
Bet To Win 1%
__________________
Scott Delaney
Max Wager
100 DIME
Opening Game of the Year
Florida International
__________________
MIDWEST CAPPER
CFB: Georgia Tech +37
CFB: BYU +6.5
CFB: Cincinnati U -2.5
__________________
north coast sports late phones
3 1/2 VIKINGS -2 1/2
3 49ers -4
3*** Packers -2
MQPP FIU UNDER 58 1/2
__________________
EAGLE EYE SPORTS---ALBERT SCHIPANI
Ga Tech +34.5 (-110)
Jac. Jaguars -4 (-110)
__________________
TKwins
3* Units Texas -160 MLB
3* Tulane -3
3* Utah -6.5
__________________
Clear Data Sports
EPL
33* Southampton +299
.45* Pukki to score +110
1.32* Shefield United +1.5 -132
1.11* Crystal Palace/Aston Villa u2.5 -111
1.18* Burnley/Liverpool u3 -118
.82* Everton ML +122
.70* Arsenal ML +142
__________________
+EV: CFB 4u: 137 FIU Golden Panthers +3 -110 (Thursday, August 29th)
__________________
Tom Stryker
3* Texans
1* Colts
__________________
Jimmy Moore
4* Florida International Golden Panthers +3 (8:00 edt)
The FIU program is on the way up with coach Butch Davis. They won 8 games 2 years ago and 9 games last year under Davis and they return a full 16 starters this season including their QB. The Golden Panthers were 6-0 ATS on the road last season so they are not intimidated by the road. Tulane - on the other hand - was just 2-3 ATS at home last season and they have a huge look ahead game playing at SEC powerhouse Auburn next week. Look for FIU to get the job done here. Thank you and good luck.
__________________
Larry Ness
NFLX 10* "signature" 36-Club Play
Seahawks
__________________