Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 6/28/19
Friday, June 28
Montreal Alouettes (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -14
Total: 57 ½
Game Overview
The prospect for success in Montreal is not all that high given its front-office issues off the field and its lack of deep talent on the field. The Alouettes were able to cover in a 32-25 loss to Edmonton in Week 1 as eight-point road underdogs. They are coming off a bye in Week 2, so the added rest could be a bonus as even heavier road dogs for this matchup. Question marks at the quarterback position continue. Antonio Pipkin was the starter in Week 1, but an injury paved the way for Vernon Adams Jr. to show what he can do with this offense. He was able to tie the game against the Eskimos in the final two minutes, but Montreal’s defense could not stop Edmonton in its final possession.
The Tiger-Cats demonstrated just how potent their offense can be by ranking up 64 points in Week 2 after scoring 23 points in a Week 1 win at home against Saskatchewan. Jeremiah Masoli completed 23-of-31 passing attempts for 338 yards and three scores in Saturday’s romp. He completed passes to seven different players while Hamilton was also able to gain another 161 yards running the ball on 25 rushing attempts.
Betting Trends
-- Montreal has the 4-1 edge ATS in the last five games played in Hamilton. However, the Tiger-Cats are 12-3 SU in their last 15 home games against their East Division rivals. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last nine meetings in Hamilton.
Friday June 28
Montreal @ Hamilton
Game 683-684
June 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
107.362
Hamilton
118.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 11
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 14
56
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+14); Over
CFL
Long Sheet
Friday, June 28
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MONTREAL (0 - 1) at HAMILTON (2 - 0) - 6/28/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CFL
Trend Report
Friday, June 28
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Montreal is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 12 games on the road
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Montreal is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games at home
Hamilton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Hamilton is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
CFL Week 3 preview, odds, picks and predictions: Riding the Roughriders offense
Rohit Ponnaiya
The Saskatchewan Roughriders exploded for 41 points in Week 2 and could be in for another big performance on Canada Day against the Toronto Argonauts.
It's Week 3 of the CFL and there are four games on the betting board, culminating in a Canada Day Clash on July 1 between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Toronto Argonauts.
Week 2 had plenty of offensive fireworks with four out of six teams scoring 39 points or more. Seven games into the season and we're starting to notice some trends; home teams are having trouble covering the spread and Overs are turning a tidy profit.
We break down the football odds north of the border with our analysis, betting trends, picks and predictions.
Season Betting Trends
Favorites: 5-2 SU, 3-4 ATS
Home teams: 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS
Over/Under: 6-1
Week 2 Picks: 1-2
Season to date: 3-4
EDMONTON ESKIMOS AT WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS
Line: Winnipeg -5, O/U 58
Time: Thursday, June 27, 8:30 p.m. ET
The Edmonton Eskimos look like legitimate contenders despite losing star quarterback Mike Reilly. Newly aquired field general Trevor Harris has completed 77 percent of his passes for 741 yards and six touchdowns through the first two games of the season, while former USC running back C.J. Gable has rushed for 265 yards on 6.2 yards per carry.
The Blue Bombers should be a big test for them though. Winnipeg limited the Lions to 328 yards of offense and 23 points (and seven of those points came on a kickoff return) on the road in Week 1. This will be the Bombers home opener as they come off a bye, while the Eskimos play their first contest on the road. The Esks will have only six days of rest, since their previous game was last Friday.
This is the toughest defense Edmonton has faced so far this year and Bombers star RB Andrew Harris (148 rushing yards in Week 1) should be able to take advantage of an Esks D that allowed 134 yards on the ground and 7.9 yards per carry against Montreal. The Bombers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games dating back to last season and I'm backing them to win and cover at home on Thursday.
PICK: Winnipeg -5
MONTREAL ALOUETTES AT HAMILTON TIGER-CATS
Line: Hamilton -13, O/U 58
Time: Friday, June 28, 7:30 p.m. ET
Hamilton is coming off a huge 64-14 win against Toronto last Saturday. Jeremiah Masoli threw for 338 yards and three touchdowns while running back Sean Thomas-Erlington gained 109 yards on the ground and another 56 through the air. The Ti-Cats offense struggled versus the Rough Riders in Week 1 but they also played poorly against Saskatchewan in 2018 and still had the most yards in the league by the end of the year.
Montreal lost by seven points against Edmonton in Week 1 but should consider themselves lucky that the game was so close. The Eskimos rolled up 608 yards of offense, while the Alouettes totaled just 325. Turnovers and penalties by Edmonton allowed Montreal to stay in the game. However, despite the Ti-Cats offensive explosion last week they had a pair of sloppy turnovers (and an additional fumble they managed to recover) and committed ten penalties.
Even against a squad as bad as the Alouettes, 13 points is a lot to lay with the home side. Keep in mind that Montreal has lost by more than seven points in only three of their last 12 games going back to last season. The Als are 8-1 ATS in their previous nine contests on the road and 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings in Hamilton. Back them to cover again on Friday.
PICK: Montreal +13
BC LIONS AT CALGARY STAMPEDERS
Line: Calgary -10.5, O/U 52.5
Time: Saturday, June 29, 7:00 p.m. ET
In Week 1 the Stampeders showed their vulnerabilty on defense by allowing the Redblacks to score 32 points against them at home. Calgary's strong defense last year was built around their terrific D-Line and the departure of three starters from that unit has hurt.
That should allow Mike Reilly to finally play like the QB that the Lions thought they had when they spent a boatload of money on him as a free agent. Reilly has been a disappointment through the first two games of the year but, at least on paper, the Lions still have a dangerous offense with Reilly airing the ball out to Bryan Burnham and Duron Carter (son of NFL Hall of Famer Chris Carter).
The Stamps should also be able to put up points thanks to one of the top quarterbacks in the game in Bo Levi Mitchell and a squad of talented weapons surrounding him. The Lions allowed 33 points to Winnipeg in Week 1 and 39 points to Edmonton last week. With this game having the lowest total of the week grab the Over.
PICK: Over 52.5
TORONTO ARGONAUTS AT SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS
Line: Saskatchewan -11.5, 53.5
Time: Monday, July 1, 7:00 p.m. ET
I faded Riders replacement QB Cody Fajardo last week and paid the price. Fajardo completed 27 of 34 passes for 360 yards and two touchdowns, and the Riders put up 41 points against the Redblacks in a three-point loss. Fajardo and dangerous running back William Powell should have a big game on Canada Day against an Argonauts defense that was gashed for 64 points by Hamilton last Saturday.
Toronto's offense wasn't much better with 14 points and 322 yards but has the talent to play much better with S.J. Green, Armanti Edwards and Derel Walker catching passes and James Wilder Jr. running the ball.
Saskatchewan's defense played very well in Week 1 against Hamilton before getting shredded for 447 yards and 44 points against Ottawa. With the O/U set at a very reasonable 53.5, back the Over.
PICK: Over 53.5