Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Thursday 6/27/19
CFL Betting Notes - Week 3
David Schwab
Week 2 Betting Recap
This past weekend’s betting action in the CFL featured a trio of games starting with Ottawa’s thrilling 44-41 victory over Saskatchewan on Thursday night as a 4 ½-point home favorite. On Friday night, Edmonton stayed perfect on the year with a 39-23 win at home against British Columbia to easily cover the closing three-point spread.
Hamilton also moved to 2-0 straight-up with Saturday’s 64-14 romp over Toronto as a 4 ½-point road favorite. The Tiger-Cats are the only CFL team to also go 2-0 against the spread.
Thursday, June 27
Edmonton Eskimos (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -3 ½
Total: 58
Game Overview
Edmonton is off to a fast start behind Trevor Harris at quarterback. He completed 25 of his 33 passing attempts against BC for 294 yards and three touchdown throws. Greg Ellington was his top target with nine receptions for 174 yards and two of the three scores through the air. CJ Gable anchored the running game with 111 yards rushing on 23 carries in what is shaping up to be one of the most potent offensive attacks in the CFL. The Eskimos’ defense only allowed 202 yards of total offense in that latest win.
The Blue Bombers had the week off after beating BC 33-23 in Week 1 as slight one-point road favorites. Matt Nichols got the start at quarterback in that game and he went 21-for-33 for 184 yards passing and three touchdown throws. He completed at least one pass to six different players. Andrew Harris turned in an impressive performance running the ball with 148 yards rushing on 16 carries. Winnipeg’s defense allowed 324 yards passing, but it completely shut down the running game by allowing just four yards on four carries.
Betting Trends
-- Edmonton has won seven of its last eight road games against the Blue Bombers SU and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Winnipeg.
Friday, June 28
Montreal Alouettes (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -14
Total: 57 ½
Game Overview
The prospect for success in Montreal is not all that high given its front-office issues off the field and its lack of deep talent on the field. The Alouettes were able to cover in a 32-25 loss to Edmonton in Week 1 as eight-point road underdogs. They are coming off a bye in Week 2, so the added rest could be a bonus as even heavier road dogs for this matchup. Question marks at the quarterback position continue. Antonio Pipkin was the starter in Week 1, but an injury paved the way for Vernon Adams Jr. to show what he can do with this offense. He was able to tie the game against the Eskimos in the final two minutes, but Montreal’s defense could not stop Edmonton in its final possession.
The Tiger-Cats demonstrated just how potent their offense can be by ranking up 64 points in Week 2 after scoring 23 points in a Week 1 win at home against Saskatchewan. Jeremiah Masoli completed 23-of-31 passing attempts for 338 yards and three scores in Saturday’s romp. He completed passes to seven different players while Hamilton was also able to gain another 161 yards running the ball on 25 rushing attempts.
Betting Trends
-- Montreal has the 4-1 edge ATS in the last five games played in Hamilton. However, the Tiger-Cats are 12-3 SU in their last 15 home games against their East Division rivals. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last nine meetings in Hamilton.
Saturday, June 29
British Columbia Lions (0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -10 ½
Total: 53
Game Overview
The arrival of Mike Reilly as BC’s new starting quarterback drew the attention of the betting public when it came to the team’s CFL futures odds to win this season’s Grey Cup title. It has been a rocky start for Reilly through his first two games with 473 yards passing on a completion rate of 54.5 percent. He has thrown for two touchdowns against three interceptions. The Lions’ leading rusher has been John White with 28 yards on 12 carries.
Week 3 will be a good test to see if Calgary’s 32-28 loss to Ottawa in Week 1 as a nine-point favorite was just a fluke. The Stampeders’ lineup on both sides of ball is filled with quite a few new faces from last season’s championship run. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 275 yards with one touchdown pass and one interception in the season opener. He completed 59.0 percent of his 39 passing attempts. Calgary’s defense gave up 276 yards through the air and another 125 yards on the ground against the RedBlacks.
Betting Trends
-- Calgary has won seven of its last eight games against the Lions SU and the total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings. The total has also stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings in Calgary.
Monday, July 1
Toronto Argonauts (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-2 SU, 1-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -13
Total: 54
Game Overview
Toronto started this season pretty much the way it played last season with a bad loss. The 2017 Grey Cup Champions sunk to just four straight-up victories last year. The Argonauts’ defense allowed a touchdown on six consecutive Hamilton drives in Saturday’s loss, in what was the team’s worst loss ever in this heated East Division battle. James Franklin got the call at quarterback and he threw for 211 yards and no scores against one interception. Mcleod Bethel-Thompson completed nine-of-16 passes for 99 yards and the team’s only touchdown throw.
The Roughriders hung tight against Ottawa last Thursday coming off a tough loss to Hamilton on the road in Week 1. With quarterback Zach Collaros once again sidelined with an injury, Cody Fajardo took over the reins and completed 27 of his 34 passing attempts against the RedBlacks for 360 yards and two touchdowns against zero interceptions. Saskatchewan’s defense allowed 354 yards and three scores through the air.
Betting Trends
-- Saskatchewan has a SU 5-1 record against Toronto in the last six meetings with a 4-2 edge ATS. However, the Argonauts are 8-4-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against the Roughriders.
Thursday, June 27
Edmonton @ Winnipeg
Game 681-682
June 27, 2019 @ 8:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
114.601
Winnipeg
114.279
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
Even
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
by 3 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+3 1/2); Under
CFL
Long Sheet
Week 3
Thursday, June 27
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EDMONTON (2 - 0) at WINNIPEG (1 - 0) - 6/27/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 3-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Friday, June 28
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MONTREAL (0 - 1) at HAMILTON (2 - 0) - 6/28/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 3-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Saturday, June 29
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (0 - 2) at CALGARY (0 - 1) - 6/29/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-1 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Monday, July 1
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TORONTO (0 - 1) at SASKATCHEWAN (0 - 2) - 7/1/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1996.
TORONTO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in July games since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CFL
Week 3
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Trend Report
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Thursday, June 27
Edmonton Eskimos
Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Edmonton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Edmonton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Winnipeg is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Winnipeg is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
Winnipeg is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Friday, June 28
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games
Montreal is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Montreal is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Montreal's last 12 games on the road
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Montreal is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games
Hamilton is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games at home
Hamilton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Hamilton is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
Saturday, June 29
British Columbia Lions
British Columbia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
British Columbia is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
British Columbia is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Calgary
British Columbia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary Stampeders
Calgary is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 12 games at home
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing British Columbia
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Monday, July 1
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Saskatchewan is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Toronto
Edmonton Eskimos vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Preview and Predictions 06-27-2019 in CFL
The Edmonton Eskimos look to set the early pace in the West Division when they visit the Winnipeg Blue Bombers on Thursday. The Eskimos opened the season with a 32-25 victory against the Montreal Alouettes before taking down the BC Lions 39-23 in Week 2 to spoil former quarterback Mike Reilly's return to Commonwealth Stadium, and will try to score 30 or more points for the sixth straight game.
"When our offence is clicking it's both sides working, the running game and passing game," Edmonton coach Jason Maas told reporters. "I'm very excited about the way those guys are playing right now." Winnipeg kicked off the new campaign with an impressive 33-23 victory on the road against BC before being off in Week 2. The Blue Bombers kept most of their offensive core, including quarterback Matt Nichols and running back Andrew Harris after recording their first playoff win since 2011, and hope to make an early statement of intent in the West Division by knocking off the Eskimos for the second time in three meetings. "It's going to be a good test for us because they're coming in hot as they've played two great games," Harris told reporters. "The Week 2 bye is not ideal, but I feel like we're feeling fresh... and we're looking forward to have them here at home."
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPN2
ABOUT THE ESKIMOS (2-0): Trevor Harris continued his sizzling start to the season as he threw for 294 yards and three touchdowns to go along with a rushing score against the Lions. C.J. Gable is the CFL's leading rusher after he went over 100 yards on the ground for the second straight week as he gained 111 on 23 carries while surpassing 4,000 yards for his career. Edmonton signed defensive lineman Mark Mackie and added veteran offensive lineman J'Michael Deane, who has played for three different teams during his eight-year career, while linebacker Korey Jones was released Monday.
ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (1-0): Matt Nichols threw for 184 yards and three touchdowns while Andrew Harris continued where he left off after winning the rushing title last season by gaining 148 yards against BC. Wide receiver Chris Matthews is set to return to the lineup after missing the last month with an undisclosed injury and hopes to regain the form which saw him win the CFL's Most Outstanding Rookie Award in 2012. Linebacker Kyrie Wilson returned to practice after suffering a head injury against BC and is expected to play Thursday while offensive lineman Pat Neufeld will miss his second straight game.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Trevor Harris leads the league in passing yards (741) and total touchdowns (eight).
2. Edmonton has been penalized 31 times for 283 yards in its first two games.
3. Andrew Harris has rushed for more than 100 yards in six regular-season games since the start of 2018.
PREDICTION: Winnipeg 34, Edmonton 29
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