Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 6/22/19
Betting Recap - Week 1
Joe Williams
League Betting Notes
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 1
-- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 1
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 1
-- Away teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 1
-- The 'Over' went 3-1 in Week 1
Analysis
Ottawa (1-0) picked up an impressive 32-28 road victory against Calgary (0-1), a little bit of revenge on their rivals' field after losing the Grey Cup to the Stampeders last November. 'Over' (50) bettors were in good shape after 49 points were on the board through three quarters. The fourth quarter was interesting, though, as the Stamps actually led 28-21 before getting blanked 11-0 in the first period.
Winnipeg (1-0) spent most of the week as an underdog, including opening as a two-point 'dog in Vancouver. The money came in on the Blue Bombers, and that was a wise investment. They won on the road against the BC Lions (0-1), taking a 33-23 decision. The game started off a bit slow with just three points on the board in the first quarter, but they posted 28 total points in the second quarter to snap things back on track.
In the first game of the weekend, Hamilton (1-0) got off on the right foot with a win and narrow cover against Saskatchewan (0-1), winning 23-17 as five-point favorite as the 'under' (48.5) connected.
We'll save the bad beat of the weekend for last, however. Edmonton (1-0) posted a 32-25 win against Montreal (0-1). It was bad for 'under' (49.5) bettors, who felt like they were in good shape with an 18-8 score on the board through three quarter. The teams combined for 31 points in the fourth quarter. Edmonton was covering for a majority of the game, but Montreal actually tied it up late before Edmonton picked up a touchdown with 1:07 to go.
Team Betting Notes
-- The Roughriders will look to cool off the RedBlacks in Week 2. Saskatchewan enters just 1-4 ATS in the past five road games, and they're 0-5 ATS in the past five Week 2 battles. They're also just 2-5 ATS in the past seven games in the month of June. In this series, Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, with the 'over' 6-2 in the past eight.
-- Ottawa enters 5-1 ATS in the past six games, and 4-1 ATS in the past five outings at home. They're also 7-1 ATS in the past eight outings in the month of June, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four in Week 2.
-- The BC Lions travel to meet Edmonton on Friday night. The Lions are 0-4 ATS in the past four games overall, and they're 5-11 ATS in the past 16 road outings and 3-7 ATS in the past 10 in Week 2.
-- The Esks haven't been much better against the number, going 2-5 ATS in the past seven overall, including their bad beat non-cover in Week 1. They're also 1-4 ATS in the past five in Week 2, and 2-6 ATS in the past eight outings against teams with a losing overall record.
-- The over is 4-0-1 in the past five meetings between BC and Edmonton, and 4-1 in the past five meetings in Edmonton.
-- Toronto makes their 2019 regular-season debut, and they look to snap an 0-7 ATS against teams from the East to close out the 2018 campaign. The Tiger-Cats are 0-4 ATS in their past four against East teams, so something's gotta give.
-- Hamilton has destroyed Toronto in recent seasons, at least against the number, going 12-3 ATS in the past 15 meetings, and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 trips up the QEW. The over is 4-0 in the past four meetings, and 4-1-1 in the past six battles in TO.
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CFL Betting Notes - Week 2
David Schwab
The CFL returned to action this past weekend and the favorites went 3-1 straight-up with an even 2-2 record ATS. Hamilton got things started on Thursday night with a 23-17 victory against Saskatchewan to cover as a 4 ½-point home favorite. On Friday night, Edmonton got past Montreal 32-25, but the Eskimos could not cover as eight-point favorites at home.
Saturday’s doubleheader of betting action started off with Ottawa stunning Calgary 32-28 as an 8 ½-point road underdog in a rematch of last season’s Grey Cup title game. Winnipeg scored another victory for the road teams with a 33-23 victory against British Columbia as a slight one-point favorite.
Saturday, June 22
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -2 ½
Total: 52
Game Overview
Expectations for the Tiger-Cats were running high heading in to Week 1 as favorites to win the East this season. Jeremiah Masoli threw for the second-most yards last year in the CFL and he started this season with 169 yards passing and one score while completing 17 of his 28 attempts in Thursday’s win.
Brandon Banks had a big game catching the ball with six receptions for 77 yards and a score. Hamilton gained just 63 yards on the ground while allowing 172 rushing yards on defense.
Saturday will be Corey Chamblin’s debut as Toronto’s new head coach. He was the defensive coordinator for the Argonauts in their run to the 2017 Grey Cup title. Following the team’s fall from grace to just four victories last season, there is definitely some work to be done to get back on track.
James Franklin will get the start at quarterback, but he could be on a short leash if things get out of hand early. One of his top targets should be wide receiver Derel Walker, who came to Toronto from Edmonton this past offseason.
Betting Trends
-- The Tiger-Cats have covered ATS in eight of their last 10 road games against the Argonauts and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Toronto. Hamilton also has a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in the last five meetings overall.
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CFL
Long Sheet
Week 2
Saturday, June 22
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HAMILTON (1 - 0) at TORONTO (0-0) - 6/22/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-45 ATS (-27.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
HAMILTON is 4-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CFL
Week 2
Trend Report
Saturday, June 22
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Hamilton's last 12 games
Hamilton is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games on the road
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Hamilton is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Hamilton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Toronto is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Hamilton
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Hamilton
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CFL
Dunkel
Saturday, June 22
Hamilton @ Toronto
Game 693-694
June 22, 2019 @ 4:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Hamilton
113.535
Toronto
101.050
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 12 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hamilton
by 2 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(-2 1/2); Over
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CFL Week 2 preview, odds, picks and predictions: Argonauts add more weapons
Rohit Ponnaiya
James Wilder Jr. should play a major role for the Toronto Argonauts as they take on the Hamilton Tiger-Cats in their CFL season opener on Saturday.
We went 2-2 in our betting predictions to kick off Week 1 of the CFL, which is kind of like ordering a salad in a steakhouse, sufficient but disappointing. We head back to the board for the matchups in Week 2 with Mike Reilly making his return to Edmonton and Toronto playing its season opener against next-door neighbor Hamilton.
What did we learn from Week 1? Underdogs still rule early in the season with 'dogs going 3-1 ATS. Overs, on the other hand, went 3-1 reversing a trend which saw them go 1-3 in Week 1 during each of the last two years. We break down the odds and give you our best bets and predictions for the three games in Week 2 of the CFL.
Week 1 Picks: 2-2
Line: Hamilton -2.5, O/U 52
Time: Saturday, June 22, 4:00 p.m. ET
The Argonauts will play their first game of the season on Saturday. After winning the Grey Cup in 2017 they tied for the fewest wins in the league last year, going 4-14. All four of those wins came at home, but they took the L in both of their home tilts with the Ti-Cats, losing 36-25 in September and 34-20 in October.
Hamilton QB Jeremiah Masoli had a rough start to the season, completing 17 of 28 passes for 169 yards. But we predicted as much since he was going up against a tough Saskatchewan defense that shut him down in two games last season as well. This is still the same QB that threw for 5209 yards for the No. 1 rated offense in 2018 and Hamilton's offense has stayed more or less intact - which is a rare sight in a league with as much offseason turnover as the CFL.
The Argos allowed a league-worst 560 points last year and despite adding DB Kevin Fogg will likely not be much better. Masoli struggled against some of the better defenses in the league last year but absolutely tore up the Argos, averaging 343.3 yards through the air and tossing 12 TDs in three games.
On offense, Toronto should be improved from the unit that scored the second-fewest points in the league last year at 20.5 per game. They added WR Derel Walker (875 receving yards in just 11 games in 2018), RB Tyrell Sutton and former Florida Gator speedster Chris Rainey ( 452 rushing and receiving yards with an additional 2,112 yards on returns), along with first overall draft pick OL Shane Richards from Oklahoma State.
Argo running back James Wilder Jr, one of the top HS recruits in the U.S. class of 2011, is expected to play after leaving Toronto to deal with a family issue. Wilder has been on the verge of a breakout campaign for a couple seasons and missed five games with various ailments in 2018. Quarterback James Franklin also played with more consistency towards the end of last season. Take the Over.
PICK: Over 52
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