Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 6/18/19
Betting Recap - Week 1
June 18, 2019
By Joe Williams
League Betting Notes
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 SU in Week 1
-- Underdogs went 3-1 ATS in Week 1
-- Home/road teams posted a 2-2 SU record in Week 1
-- Away teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 1
-- The 'Over' went 3-1 in Week 1
Analysis
Ottawa (1-0) picked up an impressive 32-28 road victory against Calgary (0-1), a little bit of revenge on their rivals' field after losing the Grey Cup to the Stampeders last November. 'Over' (50) bettors were in good shape after 49 points were on the board through three quarters. The fourth quarter was interesting, though, as the Stamps actually led 28-21 before getting blanked 11-0 in the first period.
Winnipeg (1-0) spent most of the week as an underdog, including opening as a two-point 'dog in Vancouver. The money came in on the Blue Bombers, and that was a wise investment. They won on the road against the BC Lions (0-1), taking a 33-23 decision. The game started off a bit slow with just three points on the board in the first quarter, but they posted 28 total points in the second quarter to snap things back on track.
In the first game of the weekend, Hamilton (1-0) got off on the right foot with a win and narrow cover against Saskatchewan (0-1), winning 23-17 as five-point favorite as the 'under' (48.5) connected.
We'll save the bad beat of the weekend for last, however. Edmonton (1-0) posted a 32-25 win against Montreal (0-1). It was bad for 'under' (49.5) bettors, who felt like they were in good shape with an 18-8 score on the board through three quarter. The teams combined for 31 points in the fourth quarter. Edmonton was covering for a majority of the game, but Montreal actually tied it up late before Edmonton picked up a touchdown with 1:07 to go.
Team Betting Notes
-- The Roughriders will look to cool off the RedBlacks in Week 2. Saskatchewan enters just 1-4 ATS in the past five road games, and they're 0-5 ATS in the past five Week 2 battles. They're also just 2-5 ATS in the past seven games in the month of June. In this series, Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in the past five meetings, with the 'over' 6-2 in the past eight.
-- Ottawa enters 5-1 ATS in the past six games, and 4-1 ATS in the past five outings at home. They're also 7-1 ATS in the past eight outings in the month of June, while going 4-0 ATS in the past four in Week 2.
-- The BC Lions travel to meet Edmonton on Friday night. The Lions are 0-4 ATS in the past four games overall, and they're 5-11 ATS in the past 16 road outings and 3-7 ATS in the past 10 in Week 2.
-- The Esks haven't been much better against the number, going 2-5 ATS in the past seven overall, including their bad beat non-cover in Week 1. They're also 1-4 ATS in the past five in Week 2, and 2-6 ATS in the past eight outings against teams with a losing overall record.
-- The over is 4-0-1 in the past five meetings between BC and Edmonton, and 4-1 in the past five meetings in Edmonton.
-- Toronto makes their 2019 regular-season debut, and they look to snap an 0-7 ATS against teams from the East to close out the 2018 campaign. The Tiger-Cats are 0-4 ATS in their past four against East teams, so something's gotta give.
-- Hamilton has destroyed Toronto in recent seasons, at least against the number, going 12-3 ATS in the past 15 meetings, and 8-2 ATS in their past 10 trips up the QEW. The over is 4-0 in the past four meetings, and 4-1-1 in the past six battles in TO.
CFL Betting Notes - Week 2
June 18, 2019
By David Schwab
Betting Recap - Week 1
The CFL returned to action this past weekend and the favorites went 3-1 straight-up with an even 2-2 record ATS. Hamilton got things started on Thursday night with a 23-17 victory against Saskatchewan to cover as a 4 ½-point home favorite. On Friday night, Edmonton got past Montreal 32-25, but the Eskimos could not cover as eight-point favorites at home.
Saturday’s doubleheader of betting action started off with Ottawa stunning Calgary 32-28 as an 8 ½-point road underdog in a rematch of last season’s Grey Cup title game. Winnipeg scored another victory for the road teams with a 33-23 victory against British Columbia as a slight one-point favorite.
Thursday, June 20
Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -5 ½
Total: 48 ½
Game Overview
The Roughriders were hoping to make a run to the top of the West this season with a healthy Zach Collaros at quarterback, but an injury on his opening drive in Thursday’s loss brought an early end to his night.
Both Cody Fajardo and Isaac Harker saw playing time in his place and combined for 194 yards passing and zero touchdown throws against a pair of interceptions. One bright spot of the night was William Powell’s 104 yards rushing and one touchdown on 20 carries.
Ottawa got off to a solid start in defense of last season’s East Division title. Dominique Davis is the RedBlacks’ new starting quarterback and he did more damage with his legs than his throwing arm in Saturday’s big win in Calgary.
He ended that game with 276 yards passing, but he was picked off four times without finding the end zone through the air. He did run the ball five times for 10 yards with three of those rushing attempts going for scores. Mossis Madu ran the ball 24 times for 112 yards to highlight the running game.
Betting Trends
-- Ottawa has a 4-1 edge ATS in its last five games against Saskatchewan. The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight meetings in this inter-division tilt. The Roughriders have won four of their last six road games against Ottawa SU.
Friday, June 21
British Columbia Lions (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -4 ½
Total: 55 ½
Game Overview
The much anticipated debut of Mike Reilly as BC’s new quarterback did not disappoint other than the final score of Saturday’s loss. He put the ball up 39 times and completed 22 passes for 324 yards and one touchdown throw. He was also picked off twice.
He completed passes to six different players including five throws to Bryan Burnham for 153 yards. The Lions’ ground game was non-existent with John White running the ball four times for four yards.
The Eskimos turned to Trevor Harris as their replacement for Reilly at quarterback. He made an even bigger splash with his new team by throwing for 447 yards and three scores with no interceptions. He put the ball up 41 times and completed 32 passes to seven different players.
Ricky Collins was the leading receiver with nine catches for 175 yards. Edmonton also got a strong effort from CJ Gable running the ball. He gained 154 yards rushing on 20 carries.
Betting Trends
-- Edmonton as a SU 7-3 edge against BC over the past 10 meetings, including a perfect 5-0 run at home. The Eskimos have covered in four of their last six home games against BC with the total going OVER in four of the last six meetings in Edmonton.
Saturday, June 22
Hamilton Tiger-Cats (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -2 ½
Total: 52
Game Overview
Expectations for the Tiger-Cats were running high heading in to Week 1 as favorites to win the East this season. Jeremiah Masoli threw for the second-most yards last year in the CFL and he started this season with 169 yards passing and one score while completing 17 of his 28 attempts in Thursday’s win.
Brandon Banks had a big game catching the ball with six receptions for 77 yards and a score. Hamilton gained just 63 yards on the ground while allowing 172 rushing yards on defense.
Saturday will be Corey Chamblin’s debut as Toronto’s new head coach. He was the defensive coordinator for the Argonauts in their run to the 2017 Grey Cup title. Following the team’s fall from grace to just four victories last season, there is definitely some work to be done to get back on track.
James Franklin will get the start at quarterback, but he could be on a short leash if things get out of hand early. One of his top targets should be wide receiver Derel Walker, who came to Toronto from Edmonton this past offseason.
Betting Trends
-- The Tiger-Cats have covered ATS in eight of their last 10 road games against the Argonauts and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings in Toronto. Hamilton also has a 4-1 edge both SU and ATS in the last five meetings overall.