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CFL Betting News, Match-Ups and Trends For Saturday 6/15/19

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(@shazman)
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Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 6/15/19

 
Posted : June 15, 2019 9:11 am
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Ottawa RedBlacks vs. Calgary Stampeders Preview and Predictions 06-15-2019 in CFL

The Calgary Stampeders open the new season at home against the Ottawa Redblacks on Saturday in a rematch of the 2018 Grey Cup. The Stampeders avenged a loss to the Redblacks in the 2017 championship game with a 27-16 victory last year and Dave Dickenson's new-look squad, which must replace numerous players on both sides of the ball, including seven starters on defence, hopes to begin its quest for a fourth straight West Division title with another home win.

Calgary has been dominant at home over the last five years, amassing a 38-7 regular-season record at McMahon Stadium over that span and have extra incentive for another Grey Cup run with the city of Calgary hosting the 107th edition of the game. The Redblacks have won the East Division three out of the last four seasons but will roll out a revamped squad after losing their top quarterback (Trevor Harris), running back (William Powell) and wide receiver (Greg Ellingson) to free agency. Dominique Davis will get the starting nod at quarterback after beating out Jonathon Jennings for the job but has big shoes to fill with Harris opting to join the Edmonton Eskimos in the offseason and Ottawa, which many pundits have predicted will miss the playoffs, will likely lean heavily on a defence that returns 11 starters. "As many changes as there's been for us we're still a winning organization," defensive back Antoine Pruneau told reporters. "There are a lot of things that would have to go wrong for us not to have a winning season.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, TSN, ESPNews

ABOUT THE REDBLACKS (2018: 12-8): Davis appeared in all 18 games last season mostly in short yardage situations and racked up six rushing touchdowns to go along with 373 passing yards and three scores while Jennings passed for 1,628 yards and eight touchdowns in 10 appearances for the BC Lions. Brad Sinopoli is expected to be Davis' security blanket after the Canadian wideout hauled in a CFL-high 116 passes for 1,376 yards and four touchdowns last season while the team hopes Dominique Rhymes can step up after the departures of Ellingson to Edmonton and Diontae Spencer to the NFL. Jonathan Rose's one-game suspension for shoving an official in the playoffs was expected to roll over into the season opener after he won his appeal to play in the Grey Cup but will likely suit up as Ottawa coach Rick Campbell hasn't heard anything official from the league.

ABOUT THE STAMPEDERS (2018: 15-5): The club made it a priority to re-sign quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell, who threw for 5,124 yards and a career-high 35 touchdown passes en route to winning the Most Outstanding Player award last season as Calgary signed their veteran signal caller to a four-year deal. The Stampeders lost defensive coordinator DeVone Claybrooks, who left to take the head coaching job with the BC Lions while star linebacker Alex Singleton moved on to the NFL with the Philadelphia Eagles, and defensive back Ciante Evans signed a free-agent deal with the Montreal Alouettes. "We haven't had this much turnover in many years," Dickenson told reporters. "But we feel like the expectations are the same as we need to go out there and compete."

EXTRA POINTS

1. Calgary has won 13 straight regular-season games against East Division opponents.

2. Sinopoli has surpassed 1,000 receiving yards in four straight seasons.

3. Mitchell has thrown at least one touchdown pass in 22 of his last 23 games overall.

PREDICTION: Calgary 33, Ottawa 21
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Posted : June 15, 2019 9:11 am
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Winnipeg Blue Bombers vs. BC Lions Preview and Predictions 06-15-2019 in CFL

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers look to build on their first playoff win in seven years when they open the season on the road against the BC Lions on Saturday. The Blue Bombers slugged out a 23-18 victory over the Saskatchewan Roughriders before dropping a 22-14 decision to the Calgary Stampeders in the Western Final and believe they have added the necessary pieces to end the longest active Grey Cup drought in the league, which dates to 1990.

"The sky's the limit and we have high expectations for ourselves," Winnipeg quarterback Matt Nichols told reporters. "I think we have the talent to be better than we were last year but we need to go out and play good week in and week out." BC looks to make an early statement in the West Division after their free-agent frenzy in the offseason. The Lions responded from the disappointing 48-8 loss to Hamilton in the East Semifinal by making wholesale changes, highlighted by the signing of Mike Reilly, who has led the CFL in passing yards for three years running, with the hope that the veteran quarterback provides a steady hand in DeVone Claybrooks' first season in charge. "You look at us on paper and we're a talented team but everyone is undefeated right now," Claybrooks told reporters. "No one is going to outwork us and I'm not asking my players to commit to a standard that I'm not asking of myself."

TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (2018: 11-9): Most of the top talent from the highest scoring offence in the CFL is back, including Andrew Harris, who has won back-to-back rushing titles after racking up a career-high 1,390 yards and 11 total touchdowns last season. Harris hopes a revamped offensive line, which lost starters Matthias Goossen to retirement and Sukh Chungh to the BC Lions, is able to open up running lanes in his quest to become the first Blue Bombers running back to win three consecutive rushing titles. Winnipeg's big-play secondary lost Chris Randle, Kevin Fogg and Taylor Loffler to free agency and hopes offseason acquisition Winston Rose can play a leading role while providing guidance to Jeff Hecht and Chandler Fenner, who are expected to step into the starting lineup.

ABOUT THE LIONS (2018: 9-10): Reilly inked a four-year deal worth $3 million and returns to Vancouver where he started his CFL career and will have a plethora of weapons at his disposal including wide receiver Bryan Burnham (67 receptions, 1,029 yards, nine touchdowns), who is one of the few holdovers following last year's abrupt playoff exit. BC also brought in talented but troubled wide receiver Duron Carter, who was a league all-star in 2016, defensive back Aaron Grymes and running back John White to give itself playmakers on both sides of the ball. General manager Ed Hervey severed ties with a number of veterans such as wide receiver Manny Arceneaux, who surpassed 1,000 receiving yards four times during his eight-year stint with BC, and Rolly Lumbala, who had been with the Lions since 2008.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Four of the last seven meetings between the teams have been decided by three points or fewer.

2. Reilly has thrown for over 5,000 yards in three straight seasons.

3. Nichols was held under 300 passing yards in 14 of his 15 starts in 2018.

PREDICTION: Winnipeg 33, British Columbia 31
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Posted : June 15, 2019 9:12 am
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Saturday, June 15

Ottawa RedBlacks (12-8 SU, 10-10 ATS) at Calgary Stampeders (15-5 SU, 11-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Stampeders -8
Total: 51

Game Overview

The quest to win another East Division title begins with Dominique Davis as the likely starter at quarterback for this rematch of last year’s Grey Cup. Ottawa also has Jonathan Jennings on the roster as another possible option under center.

The RedBlacks will also have some new faces running the ball with the departure of William Powell, who led the CFL in rushing attempts last year. Heading on the road for the season opener, Ottawa was 6-5 ATS last season in 11 games closing as an underdog.

It has been a given that Calgary would post the best SU record in the CFL after doing so the previous three seasons. However, the Stampeders lost 11 starters from last year’s championship roster.

Bo Levi Mitchell was resigned at quarterback after being named the league’s Most Outstanding Player. He was third in total passing yards (5,124) while leading the way with 35 touchdown throws. Until some other team steps up its game, Calgary remains the team to beat in the CFL.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has won its last five home games against Ottawa SU and it has a 6-1 edge ATS in the last seven meetings at McMahon Stadium. The total has gone OVER in seven of the last 10 games between the two inter-division rivals.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (11-9 SU, 11-8-1 ATS) at B.C. Lions (9-10 SU, 10-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Lions -1
Total: 51

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers are another solid team stuck in the logjam that is the West Division. They made it all the way to the division finals last season before losing to Calgary 22-14 as 4 ½-point road underdogs.

The total stayed UNDER in six of their final eight games after leading the CFL in scoring last season with an average of 30.6 points per game. Matt Nichols started 14 games and threw for 3,146 yards and 18 touchdowns, but he was also picked off 13 times. Winnipeg also has Chris Streveler waiting in the wings.

The Lions are among the ranks of the five teams that will start the 2019 regular season with a new head coach. With Wally Bruno calling it a career, the torch has been passed to DeVone Claybrooks.

He is already facing some high expectations with Reilly returning to BC as the new starting quarterback after he began his CFL career with the Lions. In his final season in Edmonton, Reilly once again led the league in total passing yards (5,562) with 30 passing touchdowns and 18 interceptions.

Betting Trends

-- BC has won seven of its last 10 home games against Winnipeg SU in this West Division tilt, but Winnipeg has an overall 8-2 edge ATS in the last 10 meetings. The total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine matchups.

 
Posted : June 15, 2019 9:14 am
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Dunkel's Highlighted Game
Ottawa at Calgary - Saturday June 15, 2019

The Ottawa RedBlacks come into Week 1 with the highest Dunkel road rating on the board at 116.572. Ottawa is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 road games. The Calgary Stampeders come in with a home rating of 119.897. Calgary is 21-4 SU in its last 25 home games. The Ottawa RedBlacks have a Dunkel O/U road rating of 56.006. The RedBlacks have gone over in five the their last seven games at Calgary. Dunkel’s Pick: Ottawa (+8 1/2; Over). Other notable categories for this week’s matchups:

Highest-rated Favorite: Edmonton 126.150
Lowest-rated Favorite: BC Lions 103.977
Highest-rated Underdog: Ottawa 116.572
Lowest-rated Underdog: Montreal 105.680
Highest O/U Rating: Hamilton 62.565
Lowest O/U Rating: Winnipeg 42.715

 
Posted : June 15, 2019 10:11 am
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Ottawa @ Calgary

Game 685-686
June 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ottawa
116.572
Calgary
119.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 3 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 8 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(+8 1/2); Over

Winnipeg @ BC Lions

Game 687-688
June 15, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Winnipeg
115.560
BC Lions
103.977
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Winnipeg
by 11 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Winnipeg
(+2); Under

 
Posted : June 15, 2019 10:12 am
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