Saturday 1/12/19 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for Saturday’s NCAAB, NFL & NBA games.
Mike Wynn
Free Play: Free Florida St +7 over Duke
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SATURDAY: LSU +1 over Arkansas
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Totals4U
Saturday's Free Selection: Georgia Tech/Syracuse under 125
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Atlantic Sports
Saturday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Alabama - 6
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#1 Sports
Saturday's Free Selection: UAB Blazers + 4
Platinum Plays
Free Pick: the St Joseph Hawks +2½ over Duquesne
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play for Saturday, January 12, 2019
01/12 12:30 PM CB (667) TEXAS A&M VS (668) ALABAMA
Take : Alabama
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Nevada Sharpshooter
Your free winner for Saturday: Take PACIFIC -4 over Portland
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Golden Dragon
FREE WINNER for Saturday
Providence +1' College BB
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Hawkeye Sports
Saturday's Free Pick: New Mexico Lobos - 1
Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: West Virginia -6 College BB
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Arthur Ralph
FREE play SAT Syracuse-10
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Teyas Sports
FREE PICK 1/12 CBB WASHINGTON +1 1/2
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Vegas Steam Line
Your free winner for Saturday: VANDERBILT +13 over Kentucky
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Early Saturday: Detroit Titans - 7 1/2
Kenny Towers
FREE PLAY FOR SATURDAY - UTAH -11 over Chicago
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John Anthony Sports
Saturday's Free Selection: Marshall Thundering Herd pick 'em
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Tommy Brunson
Tom Crean's 9-5 Georgia Bulldogs successfully bounced-back from their worst showing of the season, as UGa pulled away at home over Vanderbilt, 82-63 on Wednesday. That game was directly after an absolute horror-show against Top-5 Tennessee in Knoxville last Saturday when the 'Dawgs were pancaked, 96-50.
Crean has this Georgia team pointed in the right direction, but they need to prove they can handle the conference road, something they have not done just yet. In fact, Georgia is just 2-4 straight up away from Athens this season. That of course is the primary reason they are installed as the double-digit road dog today at Auburn.
The Tigers are back home after getting schooled earlier this week on the road at Ole Miss. Bruce Pearl's team still carries the Top-20 ranking, and they are a perfect 8-0 straight up at home this season, but the Tigers have not exactly been "cash cows" when it comes to covering numbers this season.
Auburn enters today's game on a 1-6 spread slide their last 7 - all of those games as the favorite - and even though they are off a loss are likely to lightly regard this Georgia team that they easily bested in both series meetings last year, both wins coming by double-digits as the Tigers also cashed both at the ticket-window.
Georgia has covered in 7 of their last 8 games, and the underdog in this series stands at 6-2 the past 8 series meetings. I like those stats in my favor when getting over 10 points, that is for sure, but a further look also lends support to the dog cause for the Bulldogs.
Georgia only scores 5 less points per game than Auburn, and only allows 5 more points per game than the Tigers. But, the Bulldogs do shoot over 72% as a team from the free-throw line compared to the Tigers 66.8%, and Georgia also averages 4-plus more boards per game than the Tigers. Those 2 stats are key when getting double-digits.
After getting humiliated last Saturday, look for Georgia to give a scare to an Auburn team that is just 2-2 their last 4 games straight up.
Closer than expected this afternoon on The Plains.
3* GEORGIA
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Matt Josephs
Jan 12 '19, 1:00 PM in 58m
NCAA-B | Youngstown State vs IUPU-Indianapolis
Play on: OVER 148 -115
IUPUI is home once again after beating Cleveland State 90-74 last time out. The Jaguars are coming off a five game road trip. They've played so much better at home where they've scored 70 points per game or more. The defense could be a lot better though because teams are finding it easy to navigate them. Four opponents have shot 50% or better from the field. The Jags have good guard play and some decent forwards. Youngstown State traditionally has been bad defensively. They've allowed 78 at UIC, 99 at Green Bay, 106 at West Virginia and 75 at Ohio State. The offense isn't great which is a concern, but I think they find their way even if it comes in garbage time. I expect IUPUI to get to at least 80 in this one.
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Alex Smart
Jan 12 '19, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Princeton vs Pennsylvania
Play on: Pennsylvania -6½ -105 at betonline
These two long time Ivey League rivals will go head to head this afternoon. This will be the 2nd of back to back home and home games against each other with Princeton winning and cashing for their backers 68-65 in the first battle as hosts and pups. Now in the rematch at Penn I expect the home side Quakers to stand tall vs a Princeton side that has a recent propensity to falter against avenging opponents as is evident by failing to cover in 7 straight tilts vs revengers. Note:PRINCETON is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons and is 2-10 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. I know Penn has lost three straight, but that is what makes this team with 4 returning starters so dangerous. Desperation, and revenge are key motivating factors in what Im betting will be a cover for the Quakers.
Play on Penn to cover
Totals Guru
Jan 12 '19, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Toledo vs Western Michigan
Play on: OVER 144½
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Jack Jones
Jan 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | St. Joe's vs Duquesne
Play on: Duquesne -3 -105 at Bovada
Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Duquesne -3
The Duquesne Dukes are one of the most improved teams in the Atlantic 10 this season. And they’ve handled their business at home this year, going 9-1 on their home floor. I think we are getting the Dukes at a great value here as only 3-point home favorites over St. Joe’s.
This is one of the worst St. Joe’s teams that Phil Martelli has ever had. The Hawks are just 7-8 SU & 4-10 ATS this season and have some real puzzling losses of late. They lost by 25 at home to Georgia Mason as 7-point favorites, and they lost by 14 at home to George Washington as 12.5-point favorites. They also lost on the road at St. Bonaventure by 26 last time out as 1.5-point dogs.
Those are the last three games of a 0-6 ATS run for the Hawks in their last six games overall. They also only beat Wagner by 2 as 15-point home favorites, failed to cover in a 3-point home win over Loyola-Chicago, and failed to cover in a road loss at Villanova. Oddsmakers have been so far off on this team that they have failed the cover the spread by a combined 96 points in their last four games, or by an average of 24 points per game.
St. Joe’s is 0-6 ATS after scoring 60 points or less this season. Plays against underdogs or PK (St. Joe’s) - an average offensive team scoring 67-74 PPG against an average defensive team giving up 67-74 PPG), after scoring 65 points or fewer in four straight games are 27-7 (79.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet Duquesne Saturday.
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Dave Price
Jan 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Georgia vs Auburn
Play on: Auburn -12½ -109 at GTBets
Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Auburn -12.5
The Key: The Auburn Tigers are coming of their worst loss of the season with a 67-82 setback at Ole Miss. They’ll come back hungry for a victory and playing with a chip on their shoulder at home Saturday when they host Georgia. The Tigers are 8-0 at home this year and winning by 31.6 PPG. Georgia lost its last road game by 44 points at Tennessee, and the Bulldogs don’t stand much of a chance of keeping this game competitive either against one of the SEC’s top teams. Auburn won both meetings with Georgia by 17 points on the road and 14 points at home last year. The Tigers are now 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Auburn. Take Auburn.
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Larry Ness
Jan 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Georgia vs Auburn
Play on: Auburn -12½ -109 at GTBets
1* Free Play on Auburn.
Georgia is 9-5 and Auburn is 11-3.
Georgia comes in off an 82-63 win over Vanderbilt at home on Wednesday, while Auburn will be looking to return to form after a listless 82-67 road loss at Ole Miss last time out.
If recent history is any precedence though, then Auburn has to be loving its chances for a bounce back performance this afternoon, as it’s taken two straight in this series, including a 78-61 road win last February 10th.
The Bulldogs come in averaging 77.3 PPG, while allowing 71.8. Rayshaun Hammonds had 19 points in the latest victory.
The Tigers are averaging 83.7 PPG though and they’re allowing just 65.7. Bryce Brown leads the nightly charge with 15.9 points.
Note as well that Georgia is a poor 8-11 ATS in its last 19 off a win vs. a conference rival, while Auburn is 19-7 ATS in is last 26 as a home favorite.
I believe Georgia has a letdown here in this difficult venue and off its satisfying road victory in its last outing, while everything points to Auburn putting the foot on the gas from start to finish after its latest setback.
Consider the home side in this one.
Good luck…Larry
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Sal Michaels
Jan 12 '19, 4:35 PM in 4h
NFL | Colts vs Chiefs
Play on: Colts +5½
Kenny Walker
Jan 12 '19, 4:35 PM in 4h
NFL | Colts vs Chiefs
Play on: Chiefs -5
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Mark Wilson
Jan 12 '19, 4:35 PM in 4h
NFL | Colts vs Chiefs
Play on: Chiefs -5
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Hunter Price
Jan 12 '19, 5:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Furman vs NC-Greensboro
Play on: NC-Greensboro -2½
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John Martin
Jan 12 '19, 5:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Grizzlies vs Heat
Play on: UNDER 197 -115
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Grizzlies/Heat UNDER 197
This is a rare matchup between two teams who get after it on defense. It’s also a matchup of two of the slowest teams in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 30th in pace while the Heat rank 22nd in pace. Both teams rank among the Top 7 in defensive efficiency this season as well. The Grizzlies have failed to score more than 100 points in 16 of their last 20 games overall and haven’t scored more than 107 in any of those 20. Miami is 12-2 UNDER in its last 14 games off an upset win as a home underdog. The UNDER is 6-1 in Grizzlies last seven road games. The UNDER is 10-3 in Heat last 13 against Western Conference teams. Give me the UNDER.
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Cole Faxon
Jan 12 '19, 7:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | New Hampshire vs Stony Brook
Play on: New Hampshire +17½
Doug Upstone
Jan 12 '19, 7:05 PM in 7h
NBA | Celtics vs Magic
Play on: UNDER 213½ -106
On Saturday night, Play Under on road teams like Boston when the total is to 200 or higher, revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite of 7 or more when playing their 3rd game in four days. Since 2014, the UNDER is 32-10!
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Bobby Conn
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: Rams -7
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Mike Williams
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: Rams -7
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Dustin Hawkins
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: Rams -7
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Info Plays
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: Rams -7
Marc Lawrence
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: OVER 49 -105
Play - Cowboys-Rams OVER (Game 303-304).
Edges - Cowboys: 12-6-1 OVER in this series since 1980 … Rams: 12-4 OVER home versus NFC North opponents … With NFL playoffs teams 6-0 OVER in their last six games when coming off a win-no-cover the last five years, we recommend a 1* play on the OVER total in this game. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Sean Murphy
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: UNDER 49½ -109
NFL Saturday Free play. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Dallas and Los Angeles at 8:15 pm et on Saturday.
This is the second-highest total on the board this weekend but I don’t believe the lofty number is warranted. The Cowboys offensive gameplan is clear. They’ll go as RB Ezekiel Elliott goes both in the running game and the passing game. I don’t expect to see them make a real concerted effort to push the football down the field, nor will they likely have the time to do so facing the Rams pass rush. They’ll simply be looking to keep the ball out of the hands of the Los Angeles offense and effectively shorten this game to give themselves any chance of pulling the upset. Meanwhile, the Rams really seemed to peak in their thrilling Monday night shootout win over the Chiefs back in mid-November. They righted the ship at the tail-end of the season but that was against some weak competition in the Cardinals and 49ers. Los Angeles will certainly face a challenge here as the Cowboys defense continues to play well, even dominant at times. The pointspread is really a toss-up here as far as I’m concerned but I do believe the total will prove too high as one, if not both offenses should perform below expectations. Take the under (10*).
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Ryan Worden
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: OVER 49 -110
The Dallas Cowboys offense has been consistently good over their last 9 games. It's no coincidence that they traded for Amari Cooper the week before they rattled off 8 wins in 9 games. Cooper has been the number 1 receiver the Cowboys offense was missing and he has opened up the run game for Ezekiel Elliot.
On the other side The Rams offense has been one of the best in the NFL all season and at home, they are virtually unstoppable. Outside of only managing 6 points against the Bears, L.A. has scored 23 or more points in every game except one and the total has gone OVER in 6 of their 8 home games. All signs point to this game easily going OVER. The Pick: Take The OVER
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Cappers Club
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: UNDER 50 -115
Cowboys vs Rams Under 50
This play just missed out on premium card. The Dallas Cowboys and the Los Angeles Rams face off on Saturday and in this game there is a slight lean to the under.
The Cowboys defense is going to lock down in this game. Remember this is a team that shut down the New Orleans Saints.
Cowboys know to keep this game close they need to keep it low scoring.
Back the under
5* FREE Cappers Club Power Play on Under 50
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Brandon Lee
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: Cowboys +7½ -120 at pinnacle
10* FREE NFL PICK (Cowboys +7.5)
I'll take my chances with Dallas covering this big number on the road. I just think that it’s asking a lot for Los Angeles to win here by more than a touchdown with how well the Cowboys are playing.
One of the more impressive things with Dallas’ win over Seattle is how that defense shut down the Seahawks league-leading rushing attack. Seattle managed just 73 yards on 24 attempts (3.0 yards/carry). All 3 of the Rams losses this season came in games where they failed to reach 100 yards rushing. I’m not saying LA is going to lose, I just think without the ground game working at full force, it will be hard for them to turn this into a blowout.
The other huge thing regarding the Cowboys and their ability to stop the run, is the fact that Todd Gurley had to sit out the last two games due to knee swelling up. It’s going to be pushing a month since he last played and while I expect him to be out there, it’s reasonable to think he won’t be at 100% and not quite in game form.
I also think you have to look at how the Bears defense was able to take away Gurley and force Goff to beat them. He failed miserably, completing 20 of 44 attempts for just 180 yards with 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. I’m not saying Dallas’ defense is on the same level as the Bears, but we did see the Cowboys hold Drew Brees and the Saints high-powered offense to just 10 points in the 2nd half of the season.
This play isn’t all about the Dallas defense, I think this is also a great matchup for the Cowboys offense. It’s not secret that Dallas is at its best when they can establish the run game. They definitely got the talent at running back to do that with Ezekiel Elliot, but more than anything, they are facing a Rams defense that ranked dead last in the NFL, giving up 5.1 yards/carry against the run. Give me the Cowboys +7.5!
Steve Janus
Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 8h
NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
Play on: Rams -7 -110 at sportsbook
1* Free Sharp Play on Rams -7 -110
My money is on the Rams to cash in an easy win and cover here as a touchdown favorite against the Cowboys. People are sleeping on Los Angeles because they didn't close out the season like they started. Part of that was a less than 100% Todd Gurley, who should be ready to rock after 4 weeks off. I just think there's a big gap from the Rams/Saints to the rest of the league and it's just too big of an advantage for LA playing at home and off a bye. Rams defense isn't what people thought, but I'm confident it will play well against a limited Cowboys offense that isn't built for a shootout. Bet Los Angeles -7!
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John Ryan
Jan 12 '19, 10:05 PM in 10h
NBA | Bulls vs Jazz
Play on: UNDER 207½
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Easy Money Sports
Lee's Early Saturday Free Selection Is
Marquette -5½
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Jack Brayman
If they say the best thing for a hangover is the hair of the dog that bit you, I'm wondering if the Vegas Golden Knights consider their recent seven-game win streak or Thursday's loss to rival San Jose the canine that has them rabid today. Vegas will look to bounce back from Thursday's loss with no hangover, or disappointment, when they visit the Chicago Blackhawks.
My money is on the Golden Knights on the puck line, as I think they're going to be just fine.
And I'm calling for it, I think Brandon Pirri will have a multi-goal game, and could get himself a hat trick.
Chicago has been one of the worst teams in the league this season, while the AHL team in the city - the Wolves - has been highlighted by Pirri's scoring prowess. How will that translate to an NHL game? Well, Pirri continues to get points for the Golden Knights, and now that he's playing in a town he actually lives with his wife and kid, he can put on for Chi-town at the top level.
Pirri has bolstered the Vegas offense, sparking the second ling alongside Paul Stastny and Alex Tuch. The top line is missing Reilly Smith, but when you have Max Pacioretty joining Jonathan Marchessault and William Karlsson, it's not a bad replacement.
Chicago has lost four of five, and given up 4 or more goals in four of its last eight. In that span, the Blackhawks have given up 28 goals. Calgary and Nashville went into Chicago and won by an identical score of 4-3. Chicago will be lucky to get three goals on Marc-Andre Fleury, or Malcolm Subban for that matter.
Especially after losing at home against San Jose on Thursday.
No hangovers for the Golden Knights, who bite back with a big win.
5* GOLDEN KNIGHTS PUCK LINE
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Chris Jordan
It's a battle of Mid American Conference titans at Central Michigan tonight, and I'm going to play the home team Chippewas, as they should sneak past the Bowling Green Falcons.
Both squads come in 2-0 in league play, but it's the Chipps who will be a bit more motivated after their two-point overtime win at home against Akron that stands out. Thursday night CMU pulled out an 88-86 victory, and the arena should be buzzing after that win.
The Chippewas score 82.7 points per game, but at home that number jumps to 89.2. And while I know Bowling Green has been stellar on defense of late, allowing just 65.4 points per game in its last five, but in true road games, the Falcons are allowing 75.6 points per contest.
That'll be trouble when facing guard Larry Austin Jr., who leads the Chippewas and is fourth in the MAC in scoring with an 18.2-points-per-game average. He also averages 5.4 assists and 2.3 steals a game. His backcourt mate, Shawn Roundtree Jr., averages just under 16 points a game while guard Kevin McKay averages 13.1 points and is CMU's leading rebounder at 7.3 per game. There's also David DiLeo, who is scoring 11.5 points per game and is draining a team-best 41.7 percent from 3-point range. He ranks fifth in the MAC that category.
Neither team had an impressive non-conference schedule, so I won't bother talking about which team is battle-tested, but I will say the Chippewas have a wealth of momentum in looking for their eighth straight victory behind the aforementioned scoring cast.
4* CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Lasvegasmoneymachine
NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN ‑130
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Monster Sports Picks
NCAA Basketball NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN ‑130
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Ace / V.I.P.
LOS ANGELES RAMS ‑6.5
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PointSpreadJonny
OAKLAND GOLDEN GRIZZLIES ‑135
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Tommy King Wins
NBA SACRAMENTO KINGS ‑5
The Oracle
NFL INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +5.5
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